The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 21, 2013

PiRate Ratings–College Football: October 22-26, 2013

Who’s In, Who’s on the Bubble, Who’s Out

Contenders: Teams Contending for the BCS National Championship Game

 

Locks: Teams either already bowl-eligible or sure to become bowl-eligible

 

Bubble: Teams still in contention for bowl-eligibility but that must win some big games

 

Still Alive: Teams that need to pull off upsets and also win all the games in which they will be favored to become bowl-eligible.

 

American Athletic

Contenders: None

Locks: Louisville, Central Florida, Houston

Bubble: Cincinnati, Rutgers

Still Alive: SMU, South Florida

 

Louisville goes from title contender to likely participant in a minor bowl after losing to Central Florida.  UCF is now the odds-on favorite to win the automatic BCS Bowl bid, and they will probably play in the Fiesta Bowl unless either Northern Illinois or Fresno St. qualifies for a BCS bowl.

 

Houston never was in the hunt for a national title, but the Cougars now have the best shot to unseat UCF for the conference title.  An out of conference loss to BYU does not affect their chances for the automatic BCS bid.  Houston and UCF face off in Orlando on November 9.

 

Atlantic Coast

Contenders: Florida St., Miami

Locks: Clemson, Virginia Tech

Bubble: Georgia Tech, Maryland, Duke,

Still Alive: Pittsburgh, Boston College

 

Florida St. surprisingly opened up as the number two team in the first BCS poll, but the Seminoles will still need either Alabama or Oregon to lose a game to make it to Pasadena.  Oregon’s schedule will allow the Ducks to pass the Seminoles if both win out.

 

Miami needs even more help.  The Hurricanes could run the table and still miss out on the title game, as they are behind Ohio St., Missouri, and even one-loss Stanford.

 

Virginia Tech and Miami should decide the Coastal Division title winner when they square off at Sun Life Stadium on November 9.  The winner of that game could sneak in as a BCS at-large team if they lose no other game but the ACC Championship Game.  Of course, if the Coastal champ wins, Florida St. could receive an at-large bid.

 

Big 12

Contenders: Baylor, Texas Tech

Locks: Oklahoma, Texas, Oklahoma St.

Bubble: Kansas St.

Still Alive: West Virginia

 

For fans of schools in conferences that do not receive a lot of bowl bids, like the MAC, the Big 12 could provide an extra bowl opportunity.  We project a maximum of seven bowl eligible teams and a possibility of six if West Virginia loses one more game that they are projected to win.  If this league provides a BCS at-large bid, then seven teams will be one short and six will be two short.

 

Baylor is getting no respect at number eight in the BCS rankings, while Texas Tech is not found until number 10.  A 12-0 season for either team will still send the champion to the Fiesta Bowl, where their reward might be playing Central Florida, Houston, Northern Illinois, or Fresno St.

 

Big Ten

Contenders: Ohio St.

Locks: Nebraska, Wisconsin, Michigan, Michigan St.

Bubble: Iowa, Minnesota, Northwestern

Still Alive: Indiana

 

Ohio St. fans are screaming that the BCS rankings show favoritism to the SEC, and that their Buckeyes are just as deserving as Alabama, Florida St., or Oregon.  They believe that it is unjust because Alabama’s schedule includes a host of SEC games complimented by non-conference games against Colorado St., Georgia St., and Chattanooga.  If the SEC teams Alabama defeats are not considered tough wins because they are SEC wins, how does Alabama’s schedule trump Ohio St.’s schedule?  OSU plays the Big Ten schedule plus Buffalo, San Diego St., and California.  Buffalo and SDSU could both end up in bowls.

 

We may or may not agree with this premise, but we do agree that the BCS is terribly flawed, and the new 4-team playoff is just as much flawed.

 

It is our opinion that the participants in a playoff should not be selected but earned through won-loss record and tiebreakers that everybody can figure out by looking at the won-loss records and tiebreakers.

 

We published just how such a playoff should be conducted so that no team would have to be “chosen” to participate.  We shall re-publish that treatise later this season.

 

Conference USA

Contenders: None

Locks: East Carolina, Rice, Tulane, Marshall

Bubble: North Texas, Middle Tennessee

Still Alive: Tulsa

 

This is still a very interesting race, even though the winner has the Liberty Bowl for its reward.

 

East Carolina and Marshall close out the regular season on Friday, November 29, in Huntington, with the winner almost assured of winning the division title.

 

In the West, there is a chance that North Texas, Rice, and Tulane could end up in a three-way tie.  We favor North Texas to emerge as the division titlist to face Marshall for the conference championship.

 

Independents

Contenders: None

Locks: Notre Dame, BYU

Bubble: Navy

Still Alive: Army

 

Notre Dame is still contending for a BCS at-large bid, but the Irish must win out and hope for some others to come back to the pack.  A win at Stanford could do the trick, but we believe it will not happen.

 

BYU might deserve a BCS at-large bid if the Cougars win out to finish 10-2, but we do not believe the human polls will give them enough respect.

 

Navy and Army could face off in December with both teams needing one more win to become bowl-eligible.  Army has now lost 11 consecutive games in this series, with last year being the most emotional of the bunch.

 

Mid-American

Contenders: None

Locks: Northern Illinois, Ball St.

Bubble: Bowling Green, Ohio, Buffalo, Toledo

Still Alive: Central Michigan

 

Northern Illinois still finds itself on the outside looking in for a BCS Bowl bid.  The Huskies are one spot behind Fresno St., and two spots outside of the requirement to finish in the top 16 and also finish ahead of another automatic qualifier, which Central Florida currently sits at number 23.

 

Ball St. is more than talented enough to end any chance NIU has of getting back to a big bowl.  If NIU should knock off Ball St. on Wednesday, November 13, in DeKalb, the Huskies still must defeat Bowling Green, Buffalo, or Ohio in the MAC Championship Game.

 

This conference will go six deep in bowl-eligibility, but only three spots are guaranteed bowls.  As it looks today, we believe two more teams will receive at-large bowl invitations, while one deserving team will be team number 71.

 

Mountain West

Contenders: None

Locks: Fresno St., Boise St.

Bubble: Utah St., UNLV

Still Alive: San Jose St., Colorado St., Wyoming, San Diego St., Nevada

 

Fresno St. has about a 95% chance of earning a trip to the Fiesta Bowl if the Bulldogs win out.  The Bulldogs are number 17 in the BCS rankings, and they only need one team in the 12-16 range to lose or a team in the 5-11 range to lose twice.  The AAC champion has virtually no chance of surpassing a 12-0 Fresno team.

 

Boise St. is the major obstacle in Fresno’s way.  The Broncos lost a one-point heartbreaker at Fresno earlier this year, and in a rematch in the MWC Championship Game, Boise St. might be the favorite in Las Vegas.

 

The rest of the league will see a great struggle between five or six teams trying to eek out six wins.  Utah St., Wyoming, and UNLV need two more wins.  Colorado St., San Diego St., San Jose St., and Nevada need three more wins.  Cannibalism inside the league will send two or three to sub .500 records.  Six teams should qualify with chances for a seventh team to squeeze in at 6-6.  Hawaii will not get the required seven wins, so the Hawaii Bowl will go to another MWC team.

 

Pac-12

Contenders: Oregon, Stanford

Locks: Oregon St., Arizona St., UCLA

Bubble: Washington, Arizona, USC, Utah

Still Alive: Washington St.

 

Oregon will move to number two in the BCS rankings if they win out.  That will include victories over UCLA, Stanford, Arizona, Oregon St., and the South Division champion.

 

Stanford is the only one loss team that currently still resides in the National Champion contender list.  The Cardinal would have to win out, which would include beating Oregon, and then need Ohio St., Missouri, and either Alabama or Florida St. to lose.

 

This league could very well end up with 10 of the 12 members becoming bowl-eligible.  However, two could be on the outside looking in at 6-6, as lesser leagues have seven-win teams available.

 

Southeastern

Contenders: Alabama, Missouri

Locks: LSU, Texas A&M, Georgia, Florida, South Carolina, Auburn

Bubble: Ole Miss, Vanderbilt, Tennessee,

Still Alive: Mississippi St.

 

Alabama looks to be invincible at this point after struggling for a few weeks earlier in the year.  There is still a chance that the SEC could wind up with both participants in the National Championship Game like in 2011.  If Both Alabama and Missouri finish 12-0, the two teams could play for the national title if the conference title game is close.

 

Auburn and Tennessee are the two other surprise teams.  The Tigers are already bowl-eligible, and they could move into January 1 bowl status with a win over Georgia.  Tennessee needs two more victories and closes with Vanderbilt and Kentucky.

 

Sunbelt

Contenders: None

Locks: UL-Lafayette

Bubble: Western Kentucky, Arkansas St., Troy, South Alabama, Texas St.

Still Alive: UL-Monroe

 

UL-Lafayette could be looking at a third consecutive New Orleans Bowl invitation, and it would not surprise us if their opponent is another Pelican State school.  If multiple teams compete for the second bid, expect Western Kentucky to get the shaft the same way an eight-win Middle Tennessee team was shafted last year.  The Hilltoppers are moving to CUSA, and the league will punish them just like they punished the Blue Raiders in 2012.

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

PiRate Regular

1

Alabama

135.9

2

Oregon

135.1

3

Florida St.

127.6

4

Baylor

127.0

5

Stanford

125.7

6

L S U

123.5

7

Missouri

123.3

8

Arizona St.

122.6

9

Ohio St.

121.9

10

Ole Miss

120.3

11

Wisconsin

119.9

12

Texas A&M

119.9

13

Washington

119.4

14

Oregon St.

118.7

15

Clemson

118.3

16

South Carolina

118.3

17

Miami

117.9

18

Oklahoma St.

117.9

19

U C L A

117.8

20

Texas

117.4

21

Arizona

116.3

22

Florida

116.3

23

Nebraska

116.0

24

Oklahoma

115.5

25

Louisville

115.1

26

Michigan

114.7

27

Georgia

114.6

28

Auburn

114.2

29

Notre Dame

114.1

30

Michigan St.

112.9

31

Georgia Tech

112.9

32

U S C

112.1

33

B Y U

112.0

34

Texas Tech

111.3

35

Virginia Tech

111.2

36

T C U

111.1

37

Kansas St.

109.8

38

Utah

108.6

39

Penn St.

108.5

40

Northwestern

108.5

41

Vanderbilt

107.3

42

Tennessee

106.7

43

Mississippi St.

106.7

44

Boise St.

106.5

45

Iowa

106.4

46

Central Florida

106.1

47

Fresno St.

104.9

48

Indiana

104.7

49

Cincinnati

104.3

50

Utah St.

104.3

51

North Carolina

103.9

52

Washington St.

103.7

53

East Carolina

103.4

54

Boston College

102.9

55

Minnesota

102.1

56

West Virginia

101.3

57

Ball St.

100.8

58

Illinois

100.7

59

Bowling Green

100.5

60

Northern Illinois

100.4

61

Pittsburgh

100.1

62

Duke

100.1

63

Rutgers

100.0

64

Toledo

99.1

65

Syracuse

99.0

66

Kentucky

98.8

67

Marshall

98.7

68

Wake Forest

98.3

69

Louisiana–Lafayette

97.7

70

Iowa St.

97.7

71

Houston

97.4

72

San Jose St.

97.1

73

Buffalo

96.7

74

Colorado St.

95.9

75

North Texas

95.7

76

Maryland

95.4

77

Rice

95.2

78

Arkansas

95.2

79

North Carolina St.

94.6

80

Ohio

94.5

81

S M U

94.1

82

Navy

93.4

83

Kansas

93.2

84

Western Kentucky

92.9

85

Tulsa

92.1

86

California

92.1

87

Arkansas St.

92.0

88

San Diego St.

91.9

89

Virginia

91.9

90

Purdue

90.5

91

Memphis

90.4

92

Florida Atlantic

89.1

93

Colorado

88.4

94

South Alabama

88.4

95

Kent St.

88.2

96

South Florida

87.9

97

Nevada

87.8

98

Tulane

87.8

99

Wyoming

87.4

100

Louisiana–Monroe

86.9

101

Temple

86.7

102

Connecticut

86.3

103

U T S A

86.2

104

U N L V

85.7

105

Hawaii

84.4

106

Middle Tennessee

84.3

107

Army

84.0

108

U A B

83.3

109

Central Michigan

82.8

110

Akron

82.5

111

U T E P

81.7

112

Troy

81.2

113

Texas St.

81.0

114

Louisiana Tech

80.5

115

New Mexico

80.2

116

Air Force

77.6

117

Western Michigan

75.4

118

Massachusetts

74.1

119

Miami (O)

73.2

120

Eastern Michigan

72.7

121

Southern Miss.

71.0

122

Florida Int’l

69.1

123

New Mexico St.

69.1

124

Idaho

68.8

125

Georgia St.

62.9

 

PiRate Mean

1

Oregon

132.0

2

Florida St.

131.8

3

Alabama

131.6

4

Arizona St.

122.2

5

L S U

121.6

6

Missouri

121.4

7

Wisconsin

120.7

8

Ohio St.

119.9

9

Baylor

119.4

10

Clemson

119.1

11

Miami

118.8

12

Stanford

118.1

13

Texas A&M

117.0

14

Ole Miss

116.8

15

South Carolina

115.5

16

Washington

115.3

17

Michigan

114.8

18

Nebraska

114.6

19

Louisville

114.4

20

Florida

113.5

21

Michigan St.

113.4

22

Auburn

113.2

23

U C L A

112.1

24

Arizona

112.0

25

Georgia

111.9

26

Virginia Tech

111.9

27

Georgia Tech

111.8

28

Notre Dame

111.5

29

B Y U

111.3

30

Oklahoma

110.5

31

Oregon St.

110.4

32

Penn St.

110.4

33

Central Florida

109.3

34

U S C

109.1

35

Oklahoma St.

108.5

36

Texas

108.4

37

Texas Tech

108.1

38

Houston

107.0

39

T C U

107.0

40

Indiana

107.0

41

Utah

106.6

42

Tennessee

106.2

43

Northwestern

106.1

44

Iowa

105.7

45

North Carolina

105.7

46

East Carolina

105.5

47

Vanderbilt

105.0

48

Fresno St.

104.6

49

Ball St.

104.2

50

Mississippi St.

103.7

51

Rutgers

103.2

52

Cincinnati

103.2

53

Boston College

103.1

54

Washington St.

103.0

55

Illinois

102.9

56

Marshall

102.7

57

Northern Illinois

102.0

58

Boise St.

102.0

59

Kansas St.

101.9

60

Utah St.

101.9

61

Wake Forest

101.8

62

Minnesota

101.1

63

Bowling Green

101.1

64

Duke

100.9

65

Toledo

100.4

66

Maryland

99.6

67

Louisiana–Lafayette

99.5

68

Pittsburgh

99.3

69

North Carolina St.

98.9

70

Kentucky

98.8

71

Buffalo

98.5

72

Ohio

98.3

73

Arkansas

98.3

74

North Texas

98.1

75

Rice

97.7

76

Syracuse

97.4

77

S M U

96.6

78

Memphis

96.3

79

Colorado St.

96.2

80

Navy

95.4

81

Western Kentucky

94.4

82

West Virginia

94.2

83

Virginia

94.1

84

San Jose St.

93.7

85

South Alabama

92.0

86

Tulane

91.6

87

Kent St.

91.2

88

Colorado

91.1

89

Florida Atlantic

91.0

90

Tulsa

90.6

91

San Diego St.

90.3

92

Kansas

90.3

93

Army

90.1

94

Nevada

90.1

95

Iowa St.

89.4

96

Middle Tennessee

89.2

97

Wyoming

89.1

98

Arkansas St.

88.7

99

U T S A

88.4

100

U N L V

87.9

101

Purdue

87.9

102

California

87.7

103

Temple

87.2

104

Texas St.

86.7

105

Louisiana–Monroe

86.4

106

Akron

86.4

107

Central Michigan

85.5

108

Hawaii

84.8

109

U T E P

84.5

110

Troy

84.4

111

New Mexico

84.1

112

U A B

84.0

113

South Florida

82.8

114

Louisiana Tech

82.7

115

Connecticut

82.0

116

Air Force

81.0

117

Massachusetts

80.5

118

Miami (O)

76.7

119

Eastern Michigan

76.1

120

Western Michigan

75.8

121

Idaho

73.9

122

New Mexico St.

72.4

123

Florida Int’l

71.3

124

Southern Miss.

70.6

125

Georgia St.

70.5

 

 

PiRate Bias

1

Alabama

136.6

2

Oregon

136.3

3

Florida St.

129.4

4

Baylor

128.7

5

Stanford

124.9

6

L S U

124.2

7

Missouri

123.0

8

Arizona St.

122.6

9

Ohio St.

121.9

10

Wisconsin

120.8

11

Ole Miss

120.1

12

Clemson

119.2

13

Texas A&M

119.2

14

Washington

119.1

15

Miami

118.6

16

Oklahoma St.

117.6

17

Oregon St.

117.0

18

South Carolina

116.9

19

Texas

116.4

20

U C L A

116.3

21

Louisville

116.1

22

Arizona

115.2

23

Nebraska

115.1

24

Florida

115.0

25

Oklahoma

114.6

26

Michigan

114.3

27

Auburn

114.1

28

Georgia

113.7

29

Georgia Tech

113.3

30

B Y U

112.8

31

Notre Dame

112.6

32

Michigan St.

111.7

33

U S C

111.4

34

T C U

111.3

35

Texas Tech

110.9

36

Virginia Tech

110.9

37

Kansas St.

109.1

38

Utah

108.4

39

Northwestern

108.3

40

Boise St.

107.9

41

Penn St.

107.9

42

Central Florida

107.3

43

Vanderbilt

107.1

44

Iowa

107.0

45

Mississippi St.

106.4

46

Tennessee

106.1

47

Utah St.

105.8

48

Fresno St.

105.4

49

Washington St.

104.5

50

Boston College

104.4

51

North Carolina

104.4

52

Indiana

104.2

53

East Carolina

104.2

54

Cincinnati

103.7

55

Ball St.

102.0

56

Minnesota

101.5

57

Bowling Green

101.5

58

Marshall

100.7

59

Rutgers

100.6

60

Northern Illinois

100.5

61

Illinois

100.5

62

Pittsburgh

100.2

63

West Virginia

99.9

64

Toledo

99.6

65

Kentucky

99.4

66

Duke

99.2

67

Houston

98.8

68

Wake Forest

98.8

69

Louisiana–Lafayette

98.3

70

Buffalo

98.0

71

San Jose St.

97.8

72

Syracuse

97.7

73

North Texas

96.9

74

Colorado St.

96.9

75

Maryland

96.6

76

Iowa St.

96.5

77

Ohio

95.4

78

North Carolina St.

95.4

79

Rice

95.3

80

Arkansas

93.7

81

S M U

93.3

82

Navy

93.2

83

Western Kentucky

93.1

84

Kansas

92.5

85

Virginia

92.2

86

San Diego St.

92.0

87

Arkansas St.

91.7

88

Memphis

91.2

89

Tulsa

91.0

90

California

90.4

91

Florida Atlantic

90.1

92

South Alabama

89.5

93

Kent St.

89.1

94

Tulane

88.5

95

Wyoming

88.5

96

Nevada

88.2

97

Purdue

87.9

98

South Florida

87.2

99

Louisiana–Monroe

86.5

100

Colorado

86.4

101

Temple

86.1

102

U T S A

85.9

103

U N L V

85.8

104

Connecticut

85.8

105

Army

85.7

106

Hawaii

85.1

107

Middle Tennessee

84.6

108

Akron

83.0

109

U A B

82.6

110

Central Michigan

82.3

111

Troy

82.1

112

Texas St.

81.1

113

U T E P

80.9

114

New Mexico

80.6

115

Louisiana Tech

79.9

116

Air Force

77.2

117

Western Michigan

75.5

118

Massachusetts

74.1

119

Miami (O)

71.6

120

Eastern Michigan

71.6

121

Southern Miss.

70.1

122

Florida Int’l

69.1

123

New Mexico St.

68.6

124

Idaho

68.2

125

Georgia St.

64.4

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Louisville

2-1

6-1

115.1

114.4

116.1

Central Florida

2-0

5-1

106.1

109.3

107.3

Cincinnati

2-1

5-2

104.3

103.2

103.7

Rutgers

1-1

4-2

100.0

103.2

100.6

Houston

2-0

5-1

97.4

107.0

98.8

S M U

1-1

2-4

94.1

96.6

93.3

Memphis

0-3

1-5

90.4

96.3

91.2

South Florida

2-0

2-4

87.9

82.8

87.2

Temple

0-3

1-6

86.7

87.2

86.1

Connecticut

0-2

0-6

86.3

82.0

85.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

League Averages

 

 

96.8

98.2

97.0

 

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Florida St.

4-0

6-0

127.6

131.8

129.4

Clemson

4-1

6-1

118.3

119.1

119.2

Boston College

1-2

3-3

102.9

103.1

104.4

Syracuse

1-2

3-4

99.0

97.4

97.7

Wake Forest

2-2

4-3

98.3

101.8

98.8

Maryland

1-2

5-2

95.4

99.6

96.6

North Carolina St.

0-3

3-3

94.6

98.9

95.4

     

 

 

 

Coastal Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Miami

2-0

6-0

117.9

118.8

118.6

Georgia Tech

3-2

4-3

112.9

111.8

113.3

Virginia Tech

3-0

6-1

111.2

111.9

110.9

North Carolina

0-3

1-5

103.9

105.7

104.4

Pittsburgh

2-2

4-2

100.1

99.3

100.2

Duke

1-2

5-2

100.1

100.9

99.2

Virginia

0-3

2-5

91.9

94.1

92.2

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

105.3

106.7

105.7

 

 

Big 12 Conference

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Baylor

3-0

6-0

127.0

119.4

128.7

Oklahoma St.

2-1

5-1

117.9

108.5

117.6

Texas

3-0

4-2

117.4

108.4

116.4

Oklahoma

3-1

6-1

115.5

110.5

114.6

Texas Tech

4-0

7-0

111.3

108.1

110.9

T C U

1-3

3-4

111.1

107.0

111.3

Kansas St.

0-3

2-4

109.8

101.9

109.1

West Virginia

1-3

3-4

101.3

94.2

99.9

Iowa St.

0-3

1-5

97.7

89.4

96.5

Kansas

0-3

2-4

93.2

90.3

92.5

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

110.2

103.8

109.8

 

Big Ten Conference

Leaders Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Ohio St.

3-0

7-0

121.9

119.9

121.9

Wisconsin

3-1

5-2

119.9

120.7

120.8

Penn St.

1-1

4-2

108.5

110.4

107.9

Indiana

1-2

3-4

104.7

107.0

104.2

Illinois

0-2

3-3

100.7

102.9

100.5

Purdue

0-3

1-6

90.5

87.9

87.9

     

 

 

 

Legends Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Nebraska

2-0

5-1

116.0

114.6

115.1

Michigan

2-1

6-1

114.7

114.8

114.3

Michigan St.

3-0

6-1

112.9

113.4

111.7

Northwestern

0-3

4-3

108.5

106.1

108.3

Iowa

1-2

4-3

106.4

105.7

107.0

Minnesota

1-2

5-2

102.1

101.1

101.5

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

108.9

108.7

108.4

 

 

Conference USA

East Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

East Carolina

3-1

5-2

103.4

105.5

104.2

Marshall

2-0

4-2

98.7

102.7

100.7

Florida Atlantic

1-4

2-5

89.1

91.0

90.1

Middle Tennessee

1-2

3-4

84.3

89.2

84.6

U A B

1-1

2-4

83.3

84.0

82.6

Southern Miss.

0-2

0-6

71.0

70.6

70.1

Florida Int’l

1-1

1-5

69.1

71.3

69.1

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

North Texas

2-1

4-3

95.7

98.1

96.9

Rice

3-0

5-2

95.2

97.7

95.3

Tulsa

1-1

2-4

92.1

90.6

91.0

Tulane

3-0

5-2

87.8

91.6

88.5

U T S A

1-2

2-5

86.2

88.4

85.9

U T E P

0-3

1-5

81.7

84.5

80.9

Louisiana Tech

1-2

2-5

80.5

82.7

79.9

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

87.0

89.1

87.1

 

 

Independents

Team

 

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Notre Dame

 

5-2

114.1

111.5

112.6

B Y U

 

5-2

112.0

111.3

112.8

Navy

 

3-3

93.4

95.4

93.2

Army

 

3-5

84.0

90.1

85.7

New Mexico St.

 

0-7

69.1

72.4

68.6

Idaho

 

1-6

68.8

73.9

68.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

Independent Avg’s.

 

 

90.2

92.4

90.2

 

 

Mid-American Conference

East Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Bowling Green

3-0

5-2

100.5

101.1

101.5

Buffalo

3-0

5-2

96.7

98.5

98.0

Ohio

2-1

5-2

94.5

98.3

95.4

Kent St.

1-3

2-6

88.2

91.2

89.1

Akron

1-3

2-6

82.5

86.4

83.0

Massachusetts

1-2

1-6

74.1

80.5

74.1

Miami (O)

0-3

0-7

73.2

76.7

71.6

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Ball St.

4-0

7-1

100.8

104.2

102.0

Northern Illinois

3-0

7-0

100.4

102.0

100.5

Toledo

2-1

4-3

99.1

100.4

99.6

Central Michigan

2-2

3-5

82.8

85.5

82.3

Western Michigan

0-4

0-8

75.4

75.8

75.5

Eastern Michigan

0-3

1-6

72.7

76.1

71.6

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

87.8

90.5

88.0

 

Mountain West Conference

Mountain Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Boise St.

3-1

5-2

106.5

102.0

107.9

Utah St.

3-1

4-4

104.3

101.9

105.8

Colorado St.

1-1

3-4

95.9

96.2

96.9

Wyoming

2-1

4-3

87.4

89.1

88.5

New Mexico

0-3

2-5

80.2

84.1

80.6

Air Force

0-5

1-6

77.6

81.0

77.2

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Fresno St.

3-0

6-0

104.9

104.6

105.4

San Jose St.

2-1

3-3

97.1

93.7

97.8

San Diego St.

2-0

3-3

91.9

90.3

92.0

Nevada

2-2

3-4

87.8

90.1

88.2

U N L V

2-1

4-3

85.7

87.9

85.8

Hawaii

0-4

0-6

84.4

84.8

85.1

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

92.0

92.1

92.6

 

 

Pacific 12 Conference

North Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Oregon

4-0

7-0

135.1

132.0

136.3

Stanford

4-1

6-1

125.7

118.1

124.9

Washington

1-3

4-3

119.4

115.3

119.1

Oregon St.

4-0

6-1

118.7

110.4

117.0

Washington St.

2-3

4-4

103.7

103.0

104.5

California

0-4

1-6

92.1

87.7

90.4

     

 

 

 

South Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Arizona St.

3-1

5-2

122.6

122.2

122.6

U C L A

2-1

5-1

117.8

112.1

116.3

Arizona

1-2

4-2

116.3

112.0

115.2

U S C

1-2

4-3

112.1

109.1

111.4

Utah

1-3

4-3

108.6

106.6

108.4

Colorado

0-3

3-3

88.4

91.1

86.4

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

113.4

110.0

112.7

 

 

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Missouri

3-0

7-0

123.3

121.4

123.0

South Carolina

3-2

5-2

118.3

115.5

116.9

Florida

3-2

4-3

116.3

113.5

115.0

Georgia

3-2

4-3

114.6

111.9

113.7

Vanderbilt

1-3

4-3

107.3

105.0

107.1

Tennessee

1-2

4-3

106.7

106.2

106.1

Kentucky

0-3

1-5

98.8

98.8

99.4

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Alabama

4-0

7-0

135.9

131.6

136.6

L S U

3-2

6-2

123.5

121.6

124.2

Ole Miss

2-3

4-3

120.3

116.8

120.1

Texas A&M

2-2

5-2

119.9

117.0

119.2

Auburn

3-1

6-1

114.2

113.2

114.1

Mississippi St.

0-2

3-3

106.7

103.7

106.4

Arkansas

0-4

3-5

95.2

98.3

93.7

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

114.4

112.5

114.0

 

 

Sunbelt Conference

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Louisiana–Lafayette

2-0

4-2

97.7

99.5

98.3

Western Kentucky

1-2

4-3

92.9

94.4

93.1

Arkansas St.

1-0

3-3

92.0

88.7

91.7

South Alabama

1-1

3-3

88.4

92.0

89.5

Louisiana–Monroe

1-1

3-4

86.9

86.4

86.5

Troy

2-1

4-3

81.2

84.4

82.1

Texas St.

1-2

4-3

81.0

86.7

81.1

Georgia St.

0-2

0-7

62.9

70.5

64.4

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

85.4

87.8

85.8

 

Transitioning Teams

Team

 

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Old Dominion

 

4-3

83.9

84.7

90.6

Georgia Southern

 

4-2

83.1

85.5

90.2

Appalachian St.

 

1-6

73.6

72.5

80.7

Charlotte

 

4-3

58.7

63.3

65.8

           
Not figured in regular averages to 100      

 

 

This Week’s PiRate Spreads

Date:

October 22-26, 2013

   

 

 

 

Home Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Arkansas St. UL-Lafayette

-3.2

-8.3

-4.1

Mississippi St. Kentucky

10.9

7.9

10.0

Middle Tennessee Marshall

-11.9

-11.0

-13.6

B Y U Boise St.

8.5

12.3

7.9

Miami Wake Forest

22.6

20.0

22.8

South Florida Louisville

-24.7

-29.1

-26.4

Iowa St. Oklahoma St.

-17.2

-16.1

-18.1

Central Florida Connecticut

22.8

30.3

24.5

Minnesota Nebraska

-10.9

-10.5

-10.6

Rutgers Houston

5.6

-0.8

4.8

Akron Ball St.

-15.8

-15.3

-16.5

Iowa Northwestern

0.9

2.6

1.7

Texas A&M Vanderbilt

15.6

15.0

15.1

Virginia Georgia Tech

-18.5

-14.7

-18.1

Navy Pittsburgh

-4.2

-1.4

-4.5

Ohio Miami (O)

23.8

24.1

26.3

Bowling Green Toledo

3.9

3.2

4.4

Massachusetts Western Michigan

0.7

6.7

0.6

S M U Temple

10.4

12.4

10.2

Alabama Tennessee

32.2

28.4

33.5

Florida St. North Carolina St.

36.0

35.9

37.0

Maryland Clemson

-19.9

16.5

-19.6

Oklahoma Texas Tech

7.2

5.4

6.7

Virginia Tech Duke

14.1

14.0

14.7

Northern Illinois Eastern Michigan

30.7

28.9

31.9

North Carolina Boston College

4.0

5.6

3.0

Rice U T E P

16.0

15.7

16.9

Illinois Michigan St.

-9.2

-7.5

-8.2

Kent St. Buffalo

-6.0

-4.8

-6.4

Tulane Tulsa

-1.8

3.5

0.0

Kansas St. West Virginia

11.5

10.7

12.2

U S C Utah

6.5

5.5

6.0

Western Kentucky Troy

14.2

12.5

13.5

Air Force Notre Dame

-33.5

-27.5

-32.4

U T S A U A B

4.9

6.4

5.3

Florida Int’l Louisiana Tech

-9.4

-9.4

-8.8

Nevada U N L V

4.6

4.7

4.9

Oregon U C L A

20.3

22.9

23.0

Missouri South Carolina

8.0

8.9

9.1

Kansas Baylor

-30.8

-26.1

-33.2

San Jose St. Wyoming

12.2

7.1

11.8

Texas St. South Alabama

-5.4

-3.3

-6.4

UL-Monroe Georgia St.

26.5

18.4

24.6

Southern Miss. N. Texas

-22.7

-25.5

-24.8

Auburn Florida Atlantic

28.1

25.2

27.0

Ole Miss Idaho

55.0

46.4

55.4

T C U Texas

-3.8

1.1

-2.6

Ohio St. Penn St.

16.4

12.5

17.0

Colorado Arizona

-24.9

-17.9

-25.8

Oregon St. Stanford

-4.0

-4.7

-4.9

San Diego St. Fresno St.

-10.0

-11.3

-10.4

Washington California

30.3

30.6

31.7

Hawaii Colorado St.

-7.5

-7.4

-7.8

 

GAME

Team

vs.

Team

New Mexico

U N L V

vs.

U S C

MAACO Bowl Las Vegas

Boise St.

vs.

Arizona St.

Famous Idaho Potato

Colorado St.

vs.

Bowling Green

New Orleans

UL-Lafayette

vs.

Middle Tennessee

Beef ‘O’ Brady’s

Buffalo *

vs.

Marshall

Hawai’i

San Jose St.

vs.

Tulane

Little Caesars Pizza

Northern Illinois

vs.

Notre Dame *

Poinsettia

Fresno St.

vs.

Ohio *

Military Bowl

Boston College

vs.

East Carolina

Texas

Minnesota

vs.

West Virginia

Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl

Arizona

vs.

B Y U

Pinstripe

Rutgers

vs.

Kansas St.

Belk

Houston

vs.

Duke

Russell Athletic

Louisville

vs.

Virginia Tech

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl

Texas

vs.

Iowa

Armed Forces

Utah St.

vs.

Navy

Music City

Maryland

vs.

Georgia

Alamo

Texas Tech

vs.

Stanford

Holiday

Oklahoma St.

vs.

U C L A

AdvoCare V100 Bowl

Vanderbilt

vs.

Georgia Tech

Sun

Pittsburgh

vs.

Washington

Liberty

Tennessee

vs.

North Texas

Chick-fil-A

Clemson

vs.

Texas A&M

Heart Of Dallas

Rice

vs.

Indiana

Gator

Wisconsin

vs.

Ole Miss

Outback

L S U

vs.

Michigan

Capital One

Michigan St.

vs.

Auburn

Rose

Ohio St.

vs.

Oregon St.

Fiesta

Baylor

vs.

Central Florida

Sugar

Missouri

vs.

Miami

Cotton

South Carolina

vs.

Oklahoma

Orange

Florida St.

vs.

Nebraska

BBVA Compass Bowl

Cincinnati

vs.

Florida

GoDaddy.com

Arkansas St.

vs.

Ball St.

BCS Championship

Alabama

vs.

Oregon

Advertisements

Blog at WordPress.com.

%d bloggers like this: