The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 8, 2013

PiRate Ratings: College Football–October 10-12, 2013

College Football’s “Big Dance-Little Dance.”

In Division One college basketball, you have experts offering up their “bracketology every week.  Some have already begun to issue these reports before the first exhibition game has been played.

In college football, FBS-Style, the Big Dance is basically just the National Championship Game, at least for one final season.  68 additional teams receive bowl games that for all practical purposes can be considered football’s NIT, or what we at the PiRate Ratings call, “The Little Dance.”

The equivalent of bracketology is the bowl projection.  Unfortunately, very little discussion comes forth.  We do not know whether the weekly bowl projections made by the so-called experts look forward and predict the outcomes of the remaining games or just go by the current won-loss records and national ratings.

In basketball, you have sure things, near locks, probables, teams that are definitely out unless they win their conference tournament, and the infamous bubble.  It is the bubble that stirs so much interest, because usually 20-25 teams contend for the last dozen spots in the NCAA Tournament.

What if someone offered this same discussion for football?  We could have two separate bubbles, one for the National Championship Game and another for the remaining bowls.

That someone is The PiRate Ratings.  Here is our first 2013 edition of “bowltology.”

Here is how we shall break down the various degrees of bowl-worthiness that we use to determine which teams should go to which bowl games.

Contenders: These are the cream of the crop.  They are definitely going to play in a bowl, but unlike the next category down, they also have a legitimate shot at playing in the National Championship Game.  This does not include teams that could go 12-0 but have no shot at playing for the title.

Locks: These are teams that will definitely be playing in a bowl.  A couple of teams are already 6-0, so for the most part, they are now locks, but this also includes the teams that you know will be in a bowl even if their record is presently 3-2.

The Bubble: These are teams that will compete against each other to become bowl-eligible and those that do become bowl eligible will earn the lower-tiered bowl invitations.  These do not include teams that have a great shot at finishing 6-6 but play in a conference where 6-6 usually does not earn a bowl bid (think 4th or 5th place in the Sunbelt at 6-6, whereas 7-5 in the Sunbelt moves a team into this category.)

Still Alive: These are teams that appear to be out of bowl consideration for now, but if something happened, and they began to win week-after-week, they could move ahead of a bubble team and end up in a bowl.  Think of a team that starts 1-5 and then finishes 5-1 to take the last bowl spot from a major conference.  The 6-6 teams from the lesser conferences that usually do not receive a bowl invitation at 6-6 also go here, because just one extra win will move them into the bubble.  Remember, some of the bowls have secondary agreements with some of these lesser conferences, and a 7-5 team from this lesser conference will receive preferential treatment, even taking precedence over a 7-5 team from a big conference.

Okay, so here is our look at each conference.  We will list each league’s bowl tie-ins at the end of each conference report.

American Athletic Conference

 

Contenders: Louisville

Locks: Central Florida, Houston

Bubble: Rutgers, Cincinnati

Still Alive: Memphis, S M U

 

Louisville will only make it into the top two of the Final BCS Standings if only one team has one or fewer losses.  It will take a 10-2 or 11-2 record by all but one team for the Cardinals to jump into the national title game.  There is still no guarantee that UL will even run the table in the AAC.  The Cards still have games with Rutgers, Central Florida, Houston, and Cincinnati.  Even though these four are not power teams, one any given Saturday (or Thursday), one of these teams can pull off the upset.

Central Florida is very much capable of winning 10 games in the regular season, and with a week off to prepare for Louisville, the Knights even have a chance to win the AAC, as they get another week off to prepare for Houston on November 9.

Houston is a quiet 4-0, because the Cougars don’t have Case Keenum, Kevin Kolb, David Klingler, or Andre Ware playing, and they don’t have Art Briles or Kevin Sumlin coaching.  UH has a chance to improve to 8-0 before they face Central Florida and Louisville on the road in back-to-back weeks.

Rutgers is close to moving up one line.  The Scarlet Knights need just two more wins to become bowl eligible, and there are three very winnable games on the back half of the schedule.  We are being a little conservative with RU’s placement.

Cincinnati appeared to be inconsistent in September, but it is starting to look like the Bearcats are simply mediocre.  After losing to winless South Florida last week, UC must find three wins to earn a bowl bid.  Temple, Connecticut, Memphis, and SMU give the Bearcats four shots to win three, but this team can easily go 2-2 in these games and lose the rest to finish 5-7.

Memphis and SMU both have just one win at this juncture.  Neither looks on the surface to have a chance at a bowl, but for different reasons, we will include both in this category.

Memphis is just 1-3, so the Tigers have eight games remaining and must go 5-3 to become bowl eligible.  After a probable loss to Houston this week, which would drop UM to 1-4, the Tigers have their elimination game the following week against SMU.  The loser of that game will be removed from this list, while the winner will still be alive.

As for Memphis, the Tigers still have games remaining against Cincinnati, UT-Martin, South Florida, Temple, and UConn.  SMU has Temple, Cincinnati, UConn, and South Florida.  They must beat Memphis and all four of these other teams to get to 6-6.

Bowl Tie-Ins

1. BCS

2. Russell Athletic

3. Belk

4. Pinstripe

5. BBVA Compass

6. Beef O’Brady’s

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

 

Contenders: Florida St., Clemson, and Miami

Locks: Virginia Tech

Bubble: Maryland, Georgia Tech

Still Alive: The rest of the league other than North Carolina and Virginia

 

The ACC is still number five among the five big conferences, but the league is closing the gap some this year.  Clemson has the power win with the season-opening defeat of Georgia.  Florida State could get a power win over Florida, something Miami already has.  If any of these three goes 13-0, they will be squarely in the National Championship Game conversation.  Of course, if Oregon and Alabama stay undefeated, it does not matter if one of these teams runs the table without surrendering another point this year.

Virginia Tech didn’t get their power win.  They fell to Alabama in the opening game, and that keeps the Hokies out of contender position.  VT can still win the conference and garner an Orange Bowl bid.

Maryland and Georgia Tech are the best of the rest.  The Terrapins returned to earth with the 63-0 loss to FSU.  How quarterback C. J. Brown recovers from the concussion he suffered may determine if the Terps can recover and win seven or eight games, or if they become the 2013 version of the 2012 Arizona Cardinals.

Georgia Tech has a favorable schedule to get to six and probably seven wins, but the Yellow Jackets have games at BYU and Clemson plus the finale at home against Georgia.  7-5 now appears to be the ceiling.

The rest of the Atlantic Division as well as Pittsburgh and Duke in the Coastal Division are fighting it out for what looks like three bowl bids.  As of this week, we give the edge to North Carolina St., Pittsburgh, and Duke, but that could change quickly.

Bowl Tie-Ins

1. BCS (Orange)

2. Chick-fil-A

3. Russell Athletic

4. Sun

5. Belk

6. Music City

7. AdvoCare V100

8. Military

9. Kraft Fight Hunger (If BYU Not Eligible)

 

Big 12

Contenders: Baylor, Oklahoma

Locks: Texas Tech, Oklahoma St.

Bubble: T C U, Texas, West Virginia, Kansas St.

Still Alive: None

 

Baylor is averaging more points per game than their basketball team will likely average.  The Bears should be 7-0 with an extra week to prepare for Oklahoma on Thursday night, November 7.  They will then have an extra two days to prepare for Texas Tech at Cowboys’ Stadium.  The schedule is no pushover after that, as BU will then have to beat Oklahoma St. and TCU on the road and close with a December 7 win over Texas.  If they go 12-0, they still will need either Oregon or Alabama to lose a game and probably need Ohio St. to lose as well.

Oklahoma has a road win over Notre Dame, and if they go 12-0, it will also include road wins over Baylor and Oklahoma St.  The Sooners’ defense is championship worthy, but unless the offense becomes a lot more consistent, OU is headed for a second or third place finish in the league.

Texas Tech is still undefeated, but until they pick up a key win, such as the game at Oklahoma at the end of the month, we cannot include them as a national title contender.

Oklahoma St. looks like an eight or nine-win team.  This version of Cowboys is firing a six-shooter with just four bullets.

TCU has not been the same since rejoining their former Southwest Conference rivals in the Big 12.  At 2-3, The Horned Frogs have a tough hill to climb with quarterback Casey Pachall out with a broken left arm.  To get to bowl eligibility, TCU must win four of the final seven.  Included in the final seven are games against Oklahoma St., Texas, Kansas St., and Baylor.  So, the Frogs must beat at least one of these teams as well as Kansas, West Virginia, and Iowa St.

Texas, West Virginia, and Kansas St. sit on slippery bubbles.  The trio all have better than 50-50 chances to reach six wins, but as of today, they must be placed in the bottom rung.  Nothing is guaranteed with this trio.

Bowl Tie-Ins

1. BCS (Fiesta)

2. Cotton

3. Alamo

4. Buffalo Wild Wings

5. Holiday

6. Texas

7. Pinstripe

 

Big Ten

Contenders: Ohio St., Michigan

Locks: Wisconsin, Michigan St., Nebraska, Northwestern

Bubble: Iowa, Illinois, Indiana

Still Alive: Minnesota

 

Ohio St. could run the table for the second consecutive season, running its unbeaten streak to 25 games and still have to settle for a Rose Bowl bid.  The Buckeyes could also be faced with having to beat Michigan in back-to-back weeks just to have a chance to play for the national title.

Don’t count out Michigan.  The Wolverines are in the same boat as Ohio St.  The Legends Division is a little tougher top to bottom than the Leaders, and Michigan must also play at Penn St. in interdivisional play.

Michigan St., Nebraska, and Northwestern will contend with Michigan for the division title, but none of this group has a chance at ascending to the top two of the BCS.  Wisconsin can probably do no better than second in the Leaders Division, but the Badgers will be back in a bowl in December or January.

The Big Ten has its own “Three I” league as its bubble.  Iowa, Illinois, and Indiana all have the talent and schedule to become bowl eligible, but they still have some work to do before moving to lock status.

Minnesota has now dropped two in a row in league play after beginning the year with four non-conference wins.  The Gophers can still find two conference wins, but the going will not be easy.  Unfortunately, Head Coach Jerry Kill has a seizure condition that has forced him to miss multiple games this year and in his three years in Minneapolis.  He may need to step down at the end of the season.

Bowl Tie-Ins

1. BCS (Rose)

2. Capital One

3. Outback

4. Gator

5. Buffalo Wild Wings

6. Texas

7. Heart of Dallas

8. Little Caesar’s Pizza

 

Conference USA

Contenders: None

Locks: East Carolina, Marshall

Bubble: Middle Tennessee, Rice, Tulane

Still Alive: Florida Atlantic, Louisiana Tech, North Texas, UTSA

 

This conference is probably the hardest one to prognosticate.  The East is basically a two-team race between East Carolina and Marshall with the winner of their regular season finales taking the division flag.  The loser will quite likely take the number two overall bowl.

The West Division is up for grabs with Rice and surprising Tulane currently tied for first and North Texas, Louisiana Tech, and UTSA all capable of winning the division title.

Last year, Rice was 2-6 and apparently out of bowl consideration, but we here actually called for the Owls to win four in a row and earn a small bowl.  It would not surprise us at all if another CUSA team pulled off a similar feat, so until each CUSA team has reached seven losses, we really cannot count them out.  Florida Atlantic, Louisiana Tech, and UTSA are all 2-4, but one of these teams could very well go 4-2 down the stretch in this conference.

Bowl Tie-Ins

1. Liberty

2. Heart of Dallas

3. Military

4. Beef O’Brady’s

5. Hawaii

6. New Orleans

3. The Armed Forces Bowl Will Take CUSA #3 if Navy is ineligible and knock the 3-6 bowls down one spot in the pecking order

 

Independents

Contenders: None

Locks: Notre Dame, BYU, Navy

Bubble: None

Still Alive: Army

 

Notre Dame is out of the national title picture this year, but the Irish can still earn a BCS at-large bid.  They might have to run the table to get into the top eight of the BCS standings and automatically qualify.  A loss to Stanford at the end of the season would likely drop them out of consideration, especially if Fresno St. or Northern Illinois sneak in through the back door.  Notre Dame will most likely become an at-large bowl participant where a conference cannot fulfill its allotment.

BYU and Navy automatically have set bowls to attend if they are bowl eligible, and both should have no trouble getting to six wins.

Army also has an automatic bowl invitation, but the Black Knights are in jeopardy once again of not becoming bowl eligible.  At 2-4, there are five winnable games left on the schedule, but four of those five games could just as easily go the other way.

Bowl Tie-Ins

Notre Dame—Automatically Gets a BCS Bowl if they finish in the BCS Top 8

B Y U—Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl if Bowl Eligible

Navy—Armed Forces Bowl if Bowl Eligible

Army—Poinsettia Bowl if Bowl Eligible

 

Mid-American Conference

Contenders: None

Locks: Northern Illinois

Bubble: Ball St., Bowling Green, Ohio

Still Alive: Buffalo, Toledo

 

This conference is treated a little differently than some of the others above.  While we fully expect that all six of the teams we have listed here will be bowl eligible, it is not guaranteed that more than three will be invited to bowls.  It all rides on how many conferences will not be able to fill its allotted bowl spots.  The MAC benefits when this happens, as they always have extra bowl eligible teams after its three guaranteed spots are taken.

Northern Illinois could very well go 13-0 this year and have to play in a lesser bowl than last year’s Orange.  The Huskies are in a dogfight with Fresno St., and they will come in second if both go undefeated.  One loss this year eliminates them from BCS bowl talk.

Ball St. is the team most likely to upset NIU.  The Cardinals may have the top coach in the nation in Pete Lembo.  He quickly turned this program around faster than Brady Hoke earlier in the decade.  Watch for Lembo to become a hot commodity after the season, and he could take another job before the bowls.

Bowling Green and Ohio should decide the East Division winner when the two face off on Tuesday night, November 12 in Bowling Green.  The loser of that game will be on the slippery part of the bubble as the fourth best team in a league that has three guaranteed bowl bids.

Buffalo and Toledo should both end up with seven wins, and if it is a bad season for other conferences failing to get enough bowl eligible teams, these two schools could still earn a bowl bid.

Bowl Tie-Ins

(Northern Illinois could earn a return trip to a BCS Bowl as an automatic at-large qualifier)

1. GoDaddy.com

2. Little Caesar’s Pizza

3. Famous Idaho Potato

4. Military Bowl if ACC cannot provide an 8th bowl eligible team

 

Mountain West Conference

Contenders: None

Locks: Fresno St., Boise St.

Bubble: Utah St.

Still Alive: Everybody else but Air Force and Hawaii

 

After CUSA, this is the next hardest conference to figure out.  One thing is clear: if Fresno St. runs the table, the Bulldogs are almost a lock to earn the at-large BCS Bowl Bid and will almost equally assuredly go to the Fiesta Bowl to play the Big 12 Champion.  FSU has played its toughest opponents for the season and has defeated Rutgers and Boise St.  A loss to any of the final six teams (UNLV, San Diego St., Nevada, Wyoming, New Mexico, and San Jose St.) would be a major upset, and Fresno will definitely be favored over the Mountain Division champion in the conference championship game.  However, if Boise St. wins the Mountain Division, it will be very hard beating the Broncos twice in one season.  If Kevin Sumlin leaves Texas A&M for either Texas, USC, or the NFL, then Bulldog coach Tim DeRuyter will quickly emerge as one of the top candidates for that job.

Boise St. is not up to par with its recent success, but the Broncos will definitely earn a bowl bid this year.  Whether they can keep Coach Chris Petersen with some major job openings popping up is a bigger mystery.

Utah St. is Boise’s top competitor for the Mountain Division crown, and the two teams face off in Logan this weekend.  Expect the winner to face Fresno in the conference championship game.

If Fresno St. earns a BCS at-large bid, this league may have difficulty meeting its bowl obligations.  The rest of the league is so evenly matched, they could cannibalize themselves and end up with several 5-7 teams.

We believe at least two surprise teams will emerge with at least six wins.  Wyoming is halfway there with seven more games scheduled.  The Cowboys have a crucial three-game stretch starting this weekend with New Mexico at home, and followed by a home game with top rival Colorado St and a road game against San Jose St.  The Cowboys must win two of these three, because they only have one legitimate shot at a win in the final four with Fresno St., Boise St., and Utah St. remaining to be played, the latter two on enemy turf.

UNLV is perennially picked to finish last in the MWC, but the Rebels show signs of life this year.  They have already surpassed last year’s win total, and at 3-2, Coach Bobby Hauck appears to have his squad poised to make a run to bowl eligibility.  The Rebels should top Hawaii this weekend for win number four, and then there are games to be played against Nevada, San Jose St., Utah St., Air Force, and San Diego St. (Fresno St. too, but we will count this as a sure loss).  The Rebels will need to pick off two more wins, and they are capable of doing such.

San Diego St. has been a disappointment thus far in 2013.  An opening loss to Eastern Illinois set the tone for a let down, and the Aztecs find themselves at 2-3 with Fresno St. and Boise St. still to be played.  It leaves little room for error, and we do not believe SDSU will make it past five wins.

You can say almost the exact thing for San Jose St.  The Spartans are nowhere near the team they were last year under former coach Mike MacIntyre.  At 2-3, SJSU still has road games against Colorado St., UNLV, and Nevada, as well as home games with Wyoming, Navy, and Fresno St.  It looks like at least seven losses for the Spartans.

Nevada has the same issues as San Jose St.  The Wolfpack are breaking in a new coach trying to replace a legend, and things are not working out so far this year.  A 3-3 first half precedes a second half that includes games against Boise St., Fresno St., and BYU.  One more loss in the other games, which include UNLV, Colorado St., and San Jose St., means no bowl.

Colorado St. is 2-3 with enough talent to win four more games, and their next three games will show us if they are ready to move up in the league.  They must win two of the next three (San Jose St., Wyoming, Hawaii) to prove they belong on the bubble.

New Mexico is a long shot at best.  The Lobos can run the ball against anybody on their schedule, but they can just as easily be bowled over on defense.  UNM is 2-3 and must upset Wyoming this week to stay alive in the bowl picture.  If they are 3-3 by this time next week, then the Lobos will become a bubble team.

Bowl Tie-Ins

(Fresno St. could earn a BCS At-Large Bowl)

1. MAACO Las Vegas

2. Poinsettia

3. Armed Forces

4. New Mexico

5. Hawaii (Hawaii will not be bowl eligible and not receive this)

6. Famous Idaho Potato

 

Pac-12 Conference

Contenders: Oregon, Stanford, UCLA

Locks: Washington, Arizona, Oregon St.

Bubble: USC, Washington St., Arizona St.

Still Alive: Utah

 

Oregon is the heaviest favorite of all non-SEC teams to make it to the National Championship Game.  The Ducks look to have their best team ever, but they still have three very tough road games ahead in Washington, Stanford, and Arizona.  If they run the table and win the Pac-12 Championship Game, which is almost definitely to make them have to beat either UCLA or Arizona twice this year, then the Ducks will finish in the top two no matter how many of the other undefeated teams run the table.  A 13-0 Oregon team will finish ahead of undefeated Ohio St., Clemson, Florida St., Oklahoma, or Baylor.

Stanford has not yet reached its potential, and the Cardinal are 5-0.  They will host Oregon on Thursday night, November 7, but they also must host UCLA in two weeks and play at Oregon St. the week after.  It is no guarantee that Stanford will be 8-0 when the Ducks come to Palo Alto.

UCLA is definitely the third banana in this league, but the Bruins relish that giant pale blue chip on their shoulders.  The problem for the UCLAns is they have to play at Stanford and Oregon in back-to-back weeks, and we are not sure Alabama could win both of those games.  In order to get to the national title game, the Bruins would have to win both and then defeat one of those two powers again in the conference title game.

Washington, Arizona, and Oregon St. have just one loss each.  These three teams will definitely be bowl eligible and fight for spots in the pecking order.

Arizona faces a very tough assignment Thursday night when they get the honor of playing USC in the Trojans’ first game since Lane Kiffin’s firing.  You can expect SC to give 110% effort, but the Wildcats should be able to run the ball with success.  If UA wins this game, they might become the favorite to take the South Division flag with UCLA having to come to Tucson in November for a homecoming tilt.  Arizona hosts Oregon in late November, and this could be the biggest trap game on the Ducks’ schedule.

We will find out this week if Washington St. and USC belong in the bowl lock category.  The Cougars look to be in the process of returning to relevance in the Pac-12.  A win over Oregon St. would move WSU to 5-2 with at least two winnable games remaining.

As for USC, the team has talent but not enough depth to compete in the South Division.  Interim coach Ed Orgeron did not have success as a head coach at Ole Miss and was criticized many times for his decision-making in games.  The Trojans may sneak by with a 7-6 record this year, but the big talk in Troy is about who will be the next coach.

Arizona St. is a dangerous team to overlook.  The Sun Devils had near misses against Stanford and Notre Dame, and you just know they are going to ruin somebody’s season.  Their home game with Washington in two weeks could be the deciding factor in whether they will compete with UCLA and Arizona for the division title.

Utah needs three more conference wins to become bowl eligible, but the Utes could easily finish 2-5 or 1-6 and miss out.  They will have to come up with a couple of upsets.

Bowl Tie-Ins

1. BCS (Rose)

2. Alamo

3. Holiday

4. Sun

5. MAACO Las Vegas

6. Kraft Fight Hunger

7. New Mexico

8. Poinsettia if Army is not bowl eligible

 

Southeastern Conference

Contenders: Alabama, Georgia, LSU, Texas A&M

Locks: Florida, Missouri, South Carolina, Auburn

Bubble: Ole Miss

Still Alive: Tennessee, Mississippi St., Vanderbilt, Arkansas

 

Only in the SEC can you find three one-loss teams still in contention for the national title.  The SEC West is only marginally weaker than the NFC East (okay that’s not really true but it sounds good).  If Georgia runs the table and defeats Alabama in the SEC Championship Game, and if there are not two undefeated teams remaining, the Bulldogs will play for all the marbles.  If LSU runs the table and defeats Georgia in a rematch at the SEC Championship Game, the Tigers will be in that same position.  If Texas A&M wins out and Alabama runs the table, there is a chance the Aggies could face Alabama in a rematch at the National Championship Game.

In order for any other league to send a one-loss champion to the National Championship Game, the SEC must have no one-loss teams remaining.  We have not even included the possibility that Florida, South Carolina, or Missouri could get to the postseason with just one loss.  Auburn has just one loss at the current time, but the Tigers will fall two or three more times this year, so we have them in the lock category behind the others just mentioned.

Ole Miss needs three more wins to get to six, and we cannot see how they could falter and finish 5-7.  However, we want to see how the Rebels fare this week against Texas A&M and next week against LSU before we move them to lock status.

The SEC has 10 bowl agreements, and if they send a second team to the BCS, 11 teams are capable of earning bowl bids.  Our ratings show that there is a strong possibility that too many high-caliber teams could send all but Alabama to two losses and actually prevent the league from sending a second team to a BCS Bowl if Fresno St. or Northern Illinois sneaks into the “automatic” category.

There are four teams still alive for bowl eligibility, and we expect at least one to make it to six wins.  The new leader of this pack is Tennesssee.  The Vols showed they are capable of playing with the big boys at home when they came oh so close to ruining Georgia’s chances to stay in title contention.  The final three games are winnable with Auburn and Vanderbilt visiting Neyland Stadium before the Vols finish the regular season at Kentucky.  The October 19 home game against South Carolina is now a winnable contest, so Tennessee basically has to win three of these four games.

Mississippi State coach Dan Mullen was a hot commodity three years ago when he guided the Bulldogs to nine wins including a blowout of Michigan in the Gator Bowl.  Now, he finds himself on the verge of moving to the hot seat.  His Bulldogs are 2-3 with games yet to be played against South Carolina, Texas A&M, Alabama, Arkansas, and Ole Miss.  It looks like a sub .500 year, and Mullen may wish he had taken another job when the opportunities arose.

Arkansas and Vanderbilt don’t appear to have the talent this year to make a bowl, but both still have a chance at 3-3.

Bowl Tie-Ins

1. BCS (Sugar)

2. Capital One

3 or 4 *: Outback

3 or 4 *: Cotton

5. Chick-fil-A

6. Gator

7 or 8: Music City

7 or 8: Liberty

9. BBVA Compass

10. AdvoCare V100

* Generally, the Outback takes a team from the East and the Cotton takes a team from the West, but it is not a definite rule.

 

Sunbelt Conference

Contenders: None

Locks: None

Bubble: UL-Lafayette, Western Kentucky, Arkansas St., Texas St.

Still Alive: South Alabama, Troy, UL-Monroe

 

The weakest conference is not that far behind the MAC and CUSA.  The Sunbelt has just two guaranteed bowl bids, but there are a couple of secondary agreements with other bowls.

Louisiana Lafayette is the team to beat in this league, but the Ragin’ Cajuns must play the two toughest contenders on the road in back-to-back Tuesday night games starting a week from today.  Western Kentucky already has a conference loss to South Alabama, but the Hilltoppers might have the most talent in the league as well as Coach Bobby Petrino at the helm.  Arkansas St. is 1-0 in the league, but the Red Wolves appear to be a little less talented than the last two seasons.  ASU finishes the season at Western, and the winner of that game could very well win the league title.

Texas St. appeared to be on the verge of moving up to conference title contender, but the Bobcats lost last week to UL-Lafayette and did not look like they belonged among the contenders.

South Alabama, Troy, and UL-Monroe face tough roads ahead to get to seven wins, but one of this trio should pull it off and become a dark horse bowl contender with Texas St. waiting for leagues to come up short in their bowl allotments.

Bowl Tie-Ins

1. New Orleans

2. GoDaddy.com

3. Beef O’Brady’s if CUSA or AAC cannot supply a team

4. Little Casesar’s Pizza if Big Ten cannot supply a team

 

This Week’s PiRate Rankings

PiRate Regular

1

Oregon

134.2

2

Alabama

133.0

3

Stanford

127.7

4

Washington

123.9

5

L S U

123.9

6

Clemson

123.2

7

Florida St.

123.0

8

Baylor

122.7

9

Ohio St.

122.3

10

Texas A&M

121.6

11

Ole Miss

119.7

12

Georgia

119.0

13

Florida

118.8

14

Oklahoma

118.5

15

Louisville

118.4

16

Miami

118.3

17

Missouri

118.3

18

U C L A

118.1

19

Arizona St.

117.5

20

Oklahoma St.

117.4

21

South Carolina

117.1

22

Arizona

116.7

23

Wisconsin

116.4

24

Texas

115.1

25

Michigan St.

115.0

26

Michigan

114.8

27

Oregon St.

114.2

28

Notre Dame

114.0

29

T C U

113.6

30

Northwestern

113.5

31

Nebraska

112.8

32

Texas Tech

111.5

33

Virginia Tech

111.3

34

Georgia Tech

111.3

35

U S C

110.8

36

B Y U

110.7

37

Auburn

110.2

38

Kansas St.

109.9

39

Mississippi St.

107.9

40

Penn St.

107.7

41

Iowa

105.9

42

Indiana

105.8

43

Washington St.

105.7

44

Utah

105.5

45

Vanderbilt

105.5

46

Utah St.

104.9

47

Tennessee

104.9

48

Fresno St.

104.6

49

Cincinnati

104.2

50

Boise St.

103.5

51

Central Florida

103.4

52

North Carolina

103.4

53

Northern Illinois

102.3

54

East Carolina

102.1

55

Ball St.

101.8

56

West Virginia

101.7

57

Illinois

101.5

58

Syracuse

101.3

59

Boston College

101.0

60

Iowa St.

101.0

61

Kentucky

100.4

62

Pittsburgh

100.3

63

Toledo

100.2

64

Arkansas

100.2

65

Minnesota

99.8

66

Marshall

99.7

67

Bowling Green

99.3

68

Rutgers

99.2

69

Maryland

99.2

70

Duke

96.5

71

North Carolina St.

96.0

72

San Jose St.

96.0

73

Houston

95.9

74

Wake Forest

95.8

75

Ohio

95.6

76

Louisiana–Lafayette

95.6

77

Navy

95.1

78

Rice

94.7

79

Western Kentucky

94.7

80

California

94.4

81

Colorado St.

94.2

82

Buffalo

93.5

83

S M U

93.3

84

North Texas

92.8

85

Purdue

92.5

86

San Diego St.

92.1

87

Virginia

92.0

88

Arkansas St.

91.9

89

Tulsa

91.4

90

Memphis

91.3

91

Colorado

91.2

92

Kansas

90.5

93

Wyoming

90.5

94

Kent St.

89.3

95

Florida Atlantic

88.3

96

South Florida

87.7

97

Connecticut

87.6

98

Nevada

87.6

99

Middle Tennessee

86.8

100

Louisiana–Monroe

86.7

101

U T S A

86.6

102

U N L V

86.3

103

Tulane

85.9

104

South Alabama

85.9

105

Army

85.1

106

U A B

84.1

107

Hawaii

84.1

108

Troy

83.9

109

Temple

83.6

110

Texas St.

82.8

111

U T E P

82.4

112

New Mexico

82.1

113

Louisiana Tech

80.9

114

Central Michigan

80.2

115

Akron

79.8

116

Western Michigan

77.7

117

Air Force

77.4

118

Eastern Michigan

76.1

119

Miami (O)

75.1

120

Southern Miss.

74.3

121

Massachusetts

73.8

122

New Mexico St.

69.5

123

Idaho

68.9

124

Florida Int’l

68.3

125

Georgia St.

60.1

 

PiRate Mean

1

Oregon

130.8

2

Florida St.

127.5

3

Alabama

126.7

4

Clemson

124.2

5

L S U

122.6

6

Ohio St.

120.3

7

Miami

119.4

8

Washington

119.2

9

Stanford

119.1

10

Texas A&M

118.7

11

Louisville

117.1

12

Wisconsin

116.9

13

Georgia

116.9

14

Arizona

116.8

15

Florida

116.1

16

Missouri

115.9

17

Ole Miss

115.7

18

Michigan St.

115.4

19

Baylor

114.4

20

South Carolina

114.4

21

Oklahoma

114.3

22

Michigan

113.4

23

U C L A

112.5

24

Virginia Tech

112.4

25

Arizona St.

112.4

26

Notre Dame

111.4

27

Nebraska

111.3

28

Northwestern

110.9

29

Penn St.

110.4

30

Georgia Tech

110.2

31

T C U

110.2

32

Texas Tech

109.8

33

Indiana

109.8

34

B Y U

109.5

35

Auburn

109.3

36

U S C

108.2

37

Oklahoma St.

107.3

38

Central Florida

106.8

39

Washington St.

106.5

40

Ball St.

105.8

41

Oregon St.

105.8

42

Houston

105.4

43

Texas

105.2

44

Iowa

105.2

45

North Carolina

105.1

46

Utah

104.7

47

Tennessee

104.5

48

Mississippi St.

104.5

49

Marshall

104.3

50

Arkansas

104.3

51

Maryland

104.2

52

Illinois

104.2

53

East Carolina

104.2

54

Fresno St.

103.8

55

Cincinnati

103.7

56

Northern Illinois

103.7

57

Rutgers

102.9

58

Vanderbilt

102.9

59

Kansas St.

102.2

60

Utah St.

101.8

61

Toledo

101.7

62

North Carolina St.

101.2

63

Kentucky

101.1

64

Boston College

100.9

65

Bowling Green

100.3

66

Ohio

99.5

67

Syracuse

99.1

68

Pittsburgh

99.1

69

Wake Forest

99.0

70

Minnesota

98.9

71

Boise St.

98.1

72

Navy

97.5

73

Memphis

97.3

74

Rice

97.3

75

Louisiana–Lafayette

96.9

76

Western Kentucky

96.7

77

Duke

96.5

78

S M U

95.1

79

North Texas

94.6

80

Colorado St.

94.6

81

West Virginia

94.3

82

Virginia

94.1

83

Buffalo

94.1

84

Colorado

93.9

85

Wyoming

92.4

86

Middle Tennessee

92.1

87

Iowa St.

91.9

88

San Jose St.

91.9

89

Army

91.6

90

Kent St.

91.6

91

Nevada

90.5

92

San Diego St.

90.2

93

California

90.1

94

Tulane

89.9

95

U N L V

89.7

96

Florida Atlantic

89.6

97

South Alabama

89.6

98

Purdue

89.4

99

Texas St.

89.0

100

U T S A

88.6

101

Tulsa

88.5

102

Arkansas St.

87.8

103

Kansas

87.7

104

New Mexico

87.5

105

U T E P

86.6

106

Louisiana–Monroe

85.6

107

Troy

85.6

108

U A B

84.8

109

Hawaii

83.8

110

Akron

83.6

111

Connecticut

83.4

112

Temple

83.4

113

Louisiana Tech

83.3

114

Central Michigan

82.8

115

South Florida

82.1

116

Massachusetts

81.7

117

Air Force

81.1

118

Eastern Michigan

79.6

119

Western Michigan

78.4

120

Miami (O)

78.0

121

Idaho

74.8

122

Southern Miss.

73.7

123

New Mexico St.

72.9

124

Florida Int’l

70.5

125

Georgia St.

69.3

 

PiRate Bias

1

Oregon

135.4

2

Alabama

134.9

3

Stanford

126.8

4

L S U

125.1

5

Clemson

124.7

6

Florida St.

124.7

7

Washington

124.0

8

Baylor

123.8

9

Ohio St.

122.6

10

Texas A&M

121.2

11

Louisville

120.0

12

Miami

119.4

13

Ole Miss

119.3

14

Georgia

119.0

15

Oklahoma

118.5

16

Florida

117.6

17

Missouri

117.6

18

U C L A

117.1

19

Oklahoma St.

116.9

20

Wisconsin

116.7

21

Arizona

116.4

22

Arizona St.

116.1

23

South Carolina

115.6

24

T C U

114.5

25

Michigan

114.2

26

Northwestern

113.9

27

Michigan St.

113.8

28

Texas

113.5

29

Notre Dame

112.3

30

Oregon St.

112.2

31

Nebraska

111.7

32

B Y U

111.7

33

Virginia Tech

111.4

34

Texas Tech

111.4

35

Georgia Tech

111.1

36

U S C

110.3

37

Auburn

109.9

38

Kansas St.

109.2

39

Mississippi St.

107.6

40

Penn St.

107.0

41

Washington St.

106.5

42

Iowa

106.3

43

Utah St.

106.2

44

Indiana

106.0

45

Utah

105.6

46

Boise St.

105.0

47

Fresno St.

104.9

48

Vanderbilt

104.6

49

Central Florida

104.4

50

Tennessee

104.2

51

Cincinnati

103.8

52

North Carolina

103.6

53

Ball St.

103.5

54

East Carolina

103.2

55

Northern Illinois

102.6

56

Boston College

102.3

57

Marshall

102.0

58

Illinois

101.7

59

Maryland

101.5

60

Toledo

101.3

61

Syracuse

100.5

62

West Virginia

100.3

63

Bowling Green

100.3

64

Iowa St.

100.1

65

Pittsburgh

99.8

66

Rutgers

99.6

67

Kentucky

99.5

68

Arkansas

99.3

69

Minnesota

98.8

70

Houston

97.6

71

North Carolina St.

97.0

72

Ohio

97.0

73

San Jose St.

96.6

74

Wake Forest

95.7

75

Western Kentucky

95.7

76

Louisiana–Lafayette

95.6

77

Duke

95.1

78

Colorado St.

95.1

79

Navy

95.0

80

Rice

94.8

81

Buffalo

94.3

82

North Texas

93.9

83

California

92.8

84

Wyoming

92.5

85

Memphis

92.3

86

S M U

92.2

87

Virginia

92.0

88

San Diego St.

92.0

89

Arkansas St.

91.7

90

Tulsa

90.1

91

Kent St.

90.0

92

Purdue

89.9

93

Colorado

89.3

94

Kansas

89.2

95

Florida Atlantic

89.2

96

Nevada

88.0

97

Connecticut

87.7

98

Middle Tennessee

87.5

99

U N L V

87.0

100

Army

86.9

101

South Alabama

86.9

102

South Florida

86.8

103

U T S A

86.5

104

Tulane

86.5

105

Louisiana–Monroe

86.2

106

Troy

85.1

107

Hawaii

84.6

108

U A B

83.7

109

Texas St.

83.2

110

Temple

82.5

111

New Mexico

82.5

112

U T E P

82.0

113

Louisiana Tech

80.3

114

Akron

80.1

115

Central Michigan

79.3

116

Western Michigan

78.4

117

Air Force

77.4

118

Eastern Michigan

75.2

119

Massachusetts

74.2

120

Southern Miss.

73.5

121

Miami (O)

73.4

122

New Mexico St.

69.1

123

Idaho

68.4

124

Florida Int’l

68.2

125

Georgia St.

61.5

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Louisville

1-0

5-0

118.4

117.1

120.0

Cincinnati

0-1

3-2

104.2

103.7

103.8

Central Florida

1-0

4-1

103.4

106.8

104.4

Rutgers

1-0

4-1

99.2

102.9

99.6

Houston

1-0

4-0

95.9

105.4

97.6

S M U

0-1

1-4

93.3

95.1

92.2

Memphis

0-1

1-3

91.3

97.3

92.3

South Florida

1-0

1-4

87.7

82.1

86.8

Connecticut

0-0

0-4

87.6

83.4

87.7

Temple

0-2

0-5

83.6

83.4

82.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

League Averages

 

 

96.5

97.7

96.7

 

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Clemson

3-0

5-0

123.2

124.2

124.7

Florida St.

3-0

5-0

123.0

127.5

124.7

Syracuse

0-1

2-3

101.3

99.1

100.5

Boston College

1-1

3-2

101.0

100.9

102.3

Maryland

0-1

4-1

99.2

104.2

101.5

North Carolina St.

0-2

3-2

96.0

101.2

97.0

Wake Forest

1-2

3-3

95.8

99.0

95.7

     

 

 

 

Coastal Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Miami

1-0

5-0

118.3

119.4

119.4

Virginia Tech

2-0

5-1

111.3

112.4

111.4

Georgia Tech

2-2

3-2

111.3

110.2

111.1

North Carolina

0-2

1-4

103.4

105.1

103.6

Pittsburgh

2-1

3-1

100.3

99.1

99.8

Duke

0-2

3-2

96.5

96.5

95.1

Virginia

0-1

2-3

92.0

94.1

92.0

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

105.2

106.6

105.6

 

 

Big 12 Conference

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Baylor

1-0

4-0

122.7

114.4

123.8

Oklahoma

2-0

5-0

118.5

114.3

118.5

Oklahoma St.

1-1

4-1

117.4

107.3

116.9

Texas

2-0

3-2

115.1

105.2

113.5

T C U

0-2

2-3

113.6

110.2

114.5

Texas Tech

2-0

5-0

111.5

109.8

111.4

Kansas St.

0-2

2-3

109.9

102.2

109.2

West Virginia

1-2

3-3

101.7

94.3

100.3

Iowa St.

0-1

1-3

101.0

91.9

100.1

Kansas

0-1

2-2

90.5

87.7

89.2

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

110.2

103.7

109.7

 

 

Big Ten Conference

Leaders Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Ohio St.

2-0

6-0

122.3

120.3

122.6

Wisconsin

1-1

3-2

116.4

116.9

116.7

Penn St.

0-1

3-2

107.7

110.4

107.0

Indiana

1-0

3-2

105.8

109.8

106.0

Illinois

0-1

3-2

101.5

104.2

101.7

Purdue

0-1

1-4

92.5

89.4

89.9

     

 

 

 

Legends Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Michigan St.

1-0

4-1

115.0

115.4

113.8

Michigan

1-0

5-0

114.8

113.4

114.2

Northwestern

0-1

4-1

113.5

110.9

113.9

Nebraska

1-0

4-1

112.8

111.3

111.7

Iowa

1-1

4-2

105.9

105.2

106.3

Minnesota

0-2

4-2

99.8

98.9

98.8

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

109.0

108.8

108.6

 

 

Conference USA

East Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

East Carolina

2-0

4-1

102.1

104.2

103.2

Marshall

1-0

3-2

99.7

104.3

102.0

Florida Atlantic

1-3

2-4

88.3

89.6

89.2

Middle Tennessee

1-1

3-3

86.8

92.1

87.5

U A B

0-1

1-4

84.1

84.8

83.7

Southern Miss.

0-1

0-5

74.3

73.7

73.5

Florida Int’l

1-0

1-4

68.3

70.5

68.2

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Rice

2-0

3-2

94.7

97.3

94.8

North Texas

0-1

2-3

92.8

94.6

93.9

Tulsa

0-1

1-4

91.4

88.5

90.1

U T S A

1-1

2-4

86.6

88.6

86.5

Tulane

2-0

4-2

85.9

89.9

86.5

U T E P

0-2

1-4

82.4

86.6

82.0

Louisiana Tech

1-1

2-4

80.9

83.3

80.3

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

87.0

89.1

87.2

 

 

Independents

Team

 

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Notre Dame

 

4-2

114.0

111.4

112.3

B Y U

 

3-2

110.7

109.5

111.7

Navy

 

3-1

95.1

97.5

95.0

Army

 

2-4

85.1

91.6

86.9

New Mexico St.

 

0-6

69.5

72.9

69.1

Idaho

 

1-5

68.9

74.8

68.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

Independent Avg’s.

 

 

90.6

93.0

90.6

 

 

Mid-American Conference

East Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Bowling Green

3-0

5-1

99.3

100.3

100.3

Ohio

1-0

4-1

95.6

99.5

97.0

Buffalo

1-0

3-2

93.5

94.1

94.3

Kent St.

1-2

2-4

89.3

91.6

90.0

Akron

0-2

1-5

79.8

83.6

80.1

Miami (O)

0-1

0-5

75.1

78.0

73.4

Massachusetts

0-1

0-5

73.8

81.7

74.2

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Northern Illinois

1-0

5-0

102.3

103.7

102.6

Ball St.

2-0

5-1

101.8

105.8

103.5

Toledo

2-1

3-3

100.2

101.7

101.3

Central Michigan

1-1

2-4

80.2

82.8

79.3

Western Michigan

0-2

0-6

77.7

78.4

78.4

Eastern Michigan

0-2

1-4

76.1

79.6

75.2

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

88.1

90.8

88.4

 

 

Mountain West Conference

Mountain Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Utah St.

2-0

3-3

104.9

101.8

106.2

Boise St.

1-1

3-2

103.5

98.1

105.0

Colorado St.

0-0

2-3

94.2

94.6

95.1

Wyoming

1-0

3-2

90.5

92.4

92.5

New Mexico

0-1

2-3

82.1

87.5

82.5

Air Force

0-4

1-5

77.4

81.1

77.4

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Fresno St.

2-0

5-0

104.6

103.8

104.9

San Jose St.

1-1

2-3

96.0

91.9

96.6

San Diego St.

1-0

2-3

92.1

90.2

92.0

Nevada

2-1

3-3

87.6

90.5

88.0

U N L V

1-0

3-2

86.3

89.7

87.0

Hawaii

0-3

0-5

84.1

83.8

84.6

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

91.9

92.1

92.7

 

 

Pacific 12 Conference

North Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Oregon

2-0

5-0

134.2

130.8

135.4

Stanford

3-0

5-0

127.7

119.1

126.8

Washington

1-1

4-1

123.9

119.2

124.0

Oregon St.

2-0

4-1

114.2

105.8

112.2

Washington St.

2-1

4-2

105.7

106.5

106.5

California

0-2

1-4

94.4

90.1

92.8

     

 

 

 

South Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

U C L A

1-0

4-0

118.1

112.5

117.1

Arizona

0-1

3-1

117.5

112.4

116.1

Arizona St.

1-1

3-2

116.7

116.8

116.4

U S C

0-2

3-2

110.8

108.2

110.3

Utah

0-2

3-2

105.5

104.7

105.6

Colorado

0-2

2-2

91.2

93.9

89.3

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

113.3

110.0

112.7

 

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Georgia

3-0

4-1

119.0

116.9

119.0

Florida

3-0

4-1

118.8

116.1

117.6

Missouri

1-0

5-0

118.3

115.9

117.6

South Carolina

2-1

4-1

117.1

114.4

115.6

Vanderbilt

0-3

3-3

105.5

102.9

104.6

Tennessee

0-2

3-3

104.9

104.5

104.2

Kentucky

0-2

1-4

100.4

101.1

99.5

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Alabama

2-0

5-0

133.0

126.7

134.9

L S U

2-1

5-1

123.9

122.6

125.1

Texas A&M

1-1

4-1

121.6

118.7

121.2

Ole Miss

1-2

3-2

119.7

115.7

119.3

Auburn

2-1

4-1

110.2

109.3

109.9

Mississippi St.

0-2

2-3

107.9

104.5

107.6

Arkansas

0-2

3-3

100.2

104.3

99.3

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

114.3

112.4

114.0

 

 

Sunbelt Conference

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Louisiana–Lafayette

1-0

3-2

95.6

96.9

95.6

Western Kentucky

1-1

4-2

94.7

96.7

95.7

Arkansas St.

1-0

2-3

91.9

87.8

91.7

Louisiana–Monroe

0-1

2-4

86.7

85.6

86.2

South Alabama

1-1

2-3

85.9

89.6

86.9

Troy

1-1

3-3

83.9

85.6

85.1

Texas St.

0-1

3-2

82.8

89.0

83.2

Georgia St.

0-0

0-5

60.1

69.3

61.5

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

85.2

87.6

85.7

 

 

Transitioning Teams

Team

 

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Georgia Southern

 

3-2

83.6

86.0

90.7

Old Dominion

 

4-2

83.5

84.3

90.5

Appalachian St.

 

1-4

76.6

75.5

83.7

Charlotte

 

4-2

59.4

64.0

66.5

           
Not figured in regular averages to 100      

 

This Week’s PiRate Spreads

Date:

October 10-12, 2013

   

 

 

 

Home Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Air Force San Diego St.

-11.7

-6.1

-7.6

Louisville Rutgers

22.2

17.2

23.4

U S C Arizona

-3.7

-1.2

-2.8

Cincinnati Temple

23.6

23.3

24.3

Georgia Missouri

3.7

4.0

4.4

Texas (a) Oklahoma

-3.4

-9.1

-5.0

Texas Tech Iowa St.

13.5

20.9

14.3

Virginia Tech Pittsburgh

14.0

16.3

14.6

Connecticut South Florida

2.9

4.3

3.9

Michigan St. Indiana

12.2

8.6

10.8

Houston Memphis

7.6

11.1

8.3

Army Eastern Michigan

12.0

15.0

14.7

Purdue Nebraska

-17.3

-18.9

-18.8

T C U Kansas

26.1

25.5

28.3

Arkansas South Carolina

-13.9

-7.1

-13.3

Duke Navy

3.9

1.5

2.6

Ohio Central Michigan

17.9

19.2

20.2

Western Michigan Buffalo

-13.8

-13.7

-13.9

Massachusetts Miami (O)

0.7

5.7

2.8

Ball St. Kent St.

15.5

17.2

16.5

Clemson Boston College

25.2

26.3

25.4

L S U Florida

8.1

9.5

10.5

Kansas St. Baylor

-9.8

-9.2

-11.6

Wisconsin Northwestern

5.9

9.0

5.8

Colorado St. San Jose St.

1.2

5.7

1.5

Maryland Virginia

9.2

12.1

11.5

North Carolina St. Syracuse

-2.3

5.1

-0.5

Georgia St. Troy

-21.8

-14.3

-21.6

Tulane East Carolina

-13.7

-11.8

-14.2

Wyoming New Mexico

11.4

7.9

13.0

Washington Oregon

-7.3

-8.6

-8.4

U T S A Rice

-5.6

-6.2

-5.8

Penn St. Michigan

-4.1

0.0

-4.2

Northern Illinois Akron

25.5

23.1

25.5

Florida Atlantic Marshall

-8.4

-11.7

-9.8

Utah Stanford

-19.2

-11.4

-18.2

Kentucky Alabama

-29.6

-22.6

-32.4

North Texas Middle Tennessee

9.0

5.5

9.4

B Y U Georgia Tech

2.9

2.8

4.1

Texas St. UL-Monroe

-1.4

5.9

-0.5

Arkansas St. Idaho

26.0

16.0

26.3

Mississippi St. Bowling Green

11.6

7.2

10.3

Florida Int’l U A B

-13.3

-11.8

-13.0

Utah St. Boise St.

4.4

6.7

4.2

U N L V Hawaii

5.7

9.4

5.9

U T E P Tulsa

-6.5

0.6

-5.6

Ole Miss Texas A&M

1.1

0.0

1.1

U C L A California

26.7

25.4

27.3

Washington St. Oregon St.

-5.5

3.7

-2.7

Arizona St. Colorado

28.5

 25.9

 30.1

 

(a) Game Played in Dallas

 

 

 

 

PiRate Bowl Projections

GAME

Team

vs.

Team

New Mexico

Wyoming

vs.

Washington St.

MAACO Bowl Las Vegas

Boise St.

vs.

Oregon St.

Famous Idaho Potato

Indiana *

vs.

Bowling Green

New Orleans

Western Kentucky

vs.

Tulane

Beef ‘O’ Brady’s

Arkansas St *

vs.

Middle Tennessee

Hawai’i

Ohio *

vs.

North Texas

Little Caesars Pizza

Ball St.

vs.

Illinois

Poinsettia

Utah St.

vs.

Notre Dame *

Military Bowl

Duke

vs.

East Carolina

Texas

Northwestern

vs.

West Virginia

Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl

U S C

vs.

B Y U

Pinstripe

Houston

vs.

Kansas St.

Belk

Rutgers

vs.

Georgia Tech

Russell Athletic

Central Florida

vs.

Miami

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl

T C U

vs.

Wisconsin

Armed Forces

U N L V

vs.

Navy

Music City

Pittsburgh

vs.

Auburn

Alamo

Oklahoma St.

vs.

U C L A

Holiday

Texas

vs.

Washington

AdvoCare V100 Bowl

Tennessee

vs.

North Carolina St.

Sun

Maryland

vs.

Arizona

Liberty

Ole Miss

vs.

Rice

Chick-fil-A

Virginia Tech

vs.

Texas A&M

Heart Of Dallas

Marshall

vs.

Iowa

Gator

Michigan St.

vs.

Florida

Outback

Georgia

vs.

Nebraska

Capital One

Michigan

vs.

Missouri

Rose

Ohio St.

vs.

Stanford

Fiesta

Baylor

vs.

Fresno St.

Sugar

Clemson

vs.

Louisville

Cotton

L S U

vs.

Texas Tech

Orange

Florida St.

vs.

Oklahoma

BBVA Compass Bowl

Cincinnati

vs.

South Carolina

GoDaddy.com

UL-Lafayette

vs.

Northern Illinois

BCS Championship

Alabama

vs.

Oregon

* At-large selection

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