The Pi-Rate Ratings

September 25, 2013

PiRate Ratings: NFL–September 26-30, 2013

Filed under: Pro Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 12:46 pm

Interesting Games This Week

Atlanta vs. New England

A loss at home this week could find the Falcons three games behind the Saints and possibly a game behind Carolina.  New England coach Bill Belichick is winning like he won with Cleveland—excellent defense and enough offense to get by.  When Rob Gronkowski is healthy enough to contribute, this team will be hard to beat if they continue to lead the AFC in scoring defense.

 

Cleveland vs. Cincinnati

This rivalry game is usually closer than the pointspread.  Should Cleveland find a way to pull off the upset at home, they will be tied with the Bengals at 2-2 and possible the Ravens as well.  Cinti must win this game to be considered one of the league’s elite.

 

Detroit vs. Chicago

The winner of this game will be in first place, and if the Bears are that team, they will open up a two game lead in the NFC North.  If Chicago wins this game, their schedule sets them up for a 7-0 or 6-1 record heading into their bye week and the trip to Lambeau Field.  Detroit appears to have the more difficult schedule in the next six weeks, so this game is more important to the Lions.

 

Houston vs. Seattle

All of a sudden, this game becomes a lot more important to the Texans than most thought a couple weeks ago.  After surviving an overtime thriller against Tennessee two weeks ago, Houston failed to show up against Baltimore.  If the Texans lose this game, they could fall to third place.  After this game, the Texans go to San Francisco.  Two weeks later, they play at Kansas City.  Following the bye, they host Indianapolis, so there are enough roadblocks to see this team failing to repeat as AFC South champions should they lose this game.

 

Seattle looks strong enough to earn home field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs, and if this happens, they will be a heavy favorite to make the Super Bowl.  If they win this game, there is not much that can derail a minimum of a 12-4 regular season record with a ceiling of 15-1.

 

New Orleans vs. Miami

The winner of this game will be 4-0, and very few 4-0 teams fail to make the playoffs.  Go tell that to fans of the Arizona Cardinals.  The Saints could be on the verge of pulling away from the pack in the NFC South, while Miami is looking at a rough road until their bye week on November 3.  Their schedule after this game finds the Dolphins playing Baltimore, New England, and Cincinnati in October.  If Miami loses this game, they could easily be 4-4 at the halfway mark.

 

San Diego vs. Dallas

The Chargers have looked good in their losses to Houston and Tennessee, but they have been impressive losers in the past and not turn things around.  This game is a must-win for San Diego.  A Dallas win could open a two-game lead for the Cowboys in what now looks like one of the weakest divisions in the NFL.

 

St. Louis vs. San Francisco

Could the 49ers fall to 1-3 after the first quarter of the season?  It can happen, and if it does, where will that place Colin Kaepernick, and what will that say about Jim Harbaugh?  Now, if Alex Smith leads Kansas City to another victory to move the Chiefs to 4-0, and the Niners fall to 1-3, more than one football protagonist will start second-guessing Harbaugh’s decision to dump Smith.  Kaepernick is now 6-4 as the 49ers starter, while Smith is 8-2-1 in the past two years as a starter.

 

St. Louis won this game in overtime last year and later forced a tie at Candlestick Park.

 

Current NFL PiRate Ratings

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Dallas Cowboys

102.5

105.0

102.6

New York Giants

96.6

95.7

95.1

Washington Redskins

95.3

94.7

94.6

Philadelphia Eagles

94.3

95.9

94.1

 

 

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Green Bay Packers

106.3

104.9

105.6

Chicago Bears

103.7

104.1

103.6

Detroit Lions

100.2

101.9

99.8

Minnesota Vikings

97.1

95.5

95.9

       
South

PiRate

Mean

Biased

New Orleans Saints

104.8

106.6

105.2

Atlanta Falcons

102.6

103.7

101.9

Carolina Panthers

100.5

100.2

100.7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

97.0

95.6

96.9

 

 

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Seattle Seahawks

109.0

109.4

109.6

San Francisco 49ers

103.0

102.2

103.1

St. Louis Rams

96.5

97.5

95.8

Arizona Cardinals

93.5

96.0

93.4

       

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Biased

New England Patriots

106.7

102.4

107.1

Miami Dolphins

100.8

102.1

101.8

New York Jets

97.8

95.2

98.3

Buffalo Bills

95.9

94.0

95.9

 

 

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Baltimore Ravens

104.1

103.5

103.9

Cincinnati Bengals

103.5

103.7

103.8

Cleveland Browns

96.3

96.4

96.7

Pittsburgh Steelers

95.6

94.5

94.7

       
South

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Indianapolis Colts

102.8

102.0

103.2

Houston Texans

102.1

101.2

102.0

Tennessee Titans

100.0

99.7

100.8

Jacksonville Jaguars

88.1

87.3

87.9

       
West

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Denver Broncos

110.9

112.0

111.5

Kansas City Chiefs

100.1

103.9

101.0

San Diego Chargers

98.9

100.1

99.8

Oakland Raiders

93.5

93.1

93.7

 

This Week’s Games

   

 

 

 

Week Number:

4

 

 

 

Date of Games:

September 26-30

 

 

 

Vegas Line As Of:

 

 

 

 

   

 

 

 

Home Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Atlanta New England

-1.1

4.3

-2.2

Buffalo Baltimore

-5.7

-7.0

-5.5

Cleveland Cincinnati

-5.2

-5.3

-5.1

Denver Philadelphia

19.6

19.1

20.4

Detroit Chicago

-1.0

0.3

-1.3

Houston Seattle

-3.9

-5.2

-4.6

Jacksonville Indianapolis

-12.2

-12.2

-12.8

Kansas City N Y Giants

6.5

11.2

8.9

Minnesota (@ London) Pittsburgh

1.5

1.0

1.2

New Orleans Miami

7.0

7.5

6.4

Oakland Washington

1.7

1.9

2.6

San Diego Dallas

-0.6

-1.9

0.2

St. Louis San Francisco

-3.5

-1.7

-4.3

Tampa Bay Arizona

7.5

3.6

7.5

Tennessee N Y Jets

5.2

7.5

5.5

 

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