The Pi-Rate Ratings

September 17, 2013

PiRate Ratings–College Football: September 19-21, 2013

Odds and Ends

This is shaping up to be a season where multiple big-time coaching jobs could become available in the college football world.  As many as five major schools could be searching for a new head man to lead them back to where they think they should be.

 

We’ll start in Austin, Texas, where Longhorn coach Mack Brown appears to be losing control of a team that had enough talent to run the table.  The defense, which should have been vastly improved, has taken a step back.  Numerous media mentions of all the talent that did not sign with the Longhorns, including quarterbacks Robert Griffin III, Johnny Manziel, and Jameis Winston, make the coaching staff look incompetent, even if it isn’t totally so.  The bottom line is that at Texas, 10-2 should be the weakest acceptable won-loss record for a school with all the resources needed to be the New York Yankees of college football.   There is enough quality talent in the Lone Star State to stock an entire BCS conference.

 

Next, let’s venture to Los Angeles, where some clever person has been going around painting the word “Kiffin” on all the fire lanes in the area.  Lane Kiffin might have to beat Stanford in the regular season and Oregon in the Pac-12 Championship Game to save his job.  USC is not a slam dunk success like Texas, but it should be rather easy to recruit enough talent to compete for the national title three years out of five.  The defense has given up twice as many points per game in Kiffin’s tenure than it did in the last several years of the Carroll era.  The Wild Bunch they are not.

 

Next, we’ll venture to the plains and stop in Lincoln, Nebraska, where Bo Pelini has not turned the Cornhuskers’ program around.  The Cornhuskers believe that every year should be 1971, 1983, 1995, or 1997.  After Tom Osborne left, Frank Solich carried on the tradition with minor slippage.  58-19 was not good enough for the rabid NU fans, and Solich was chased off following a 10-3 season in 2003.  Ten years and two coaches later, the Cornhuskers have not equaled that 10-3 record that was not good enough for Solich to keep his job.  Under Solich, Nebraska’s scoring margin was 15.1 points per game.  In his tenure, they gave up 17.4 points per game.  Pelini’s Cornhusker teams have lost four games every year, and this year’s team looks like it could have a tough time losing just that many.  Throw in a recent audio release that displayed the coach bad-mouthing the Cornhusker fans in an expletive-filled monologue, and it looks like short of Nebraska getting to the Rose Bowl, Pelini’s job is in serious jeopardy.

 

Now, throw in the regular turnover that happens every year, and add these three big jobs that could become open.  The following is a list of schools where coaches could decide to retire or try something else.

 

Steve Spurrier—South Carolina:  Spurrier is 68 years old.  He does not seem very happy this year, as there has been dissension in Columbia.  He may decide playing golf every day is preferable to this.

 

Kirk Ferentz—Iowa: Ferentz has long been known as one of the best pure coaches in the game.  His Iowa Hawkeyes have shared to Big Ten titles, but they have never earned a trip to Pasadena in his 14 previous seasons.  Ferentz has turned down multiple offers to move to the NFL where he was a highly competent assistant under Bill Belichick with the original Cleveland Browns.  At 58, if he ever wants to be an NFL head coach, it needs to be soon.  This could be the year he finally pulls the trigger.

 

Jerry Kill—Minnesota:  This is a sad situation.  Kill is an excellent coach, and he is slowly turning the Gophers’ program around.  He revived the downtrodden program at Northern Illinois in just three seasons, and in year three in the Twin Cities, he has UM off to a 3-0 start with a nine-win season possible.  Unfortunately, Kill suffers from epilepsy, and just last week he had to leave a game for the fourth time due to seizure.  He has received the emphasis “Vote of Confidence” from the administration, but VOCs very frequently prove to be metaphorical for “PYBs” or “Pack Your Bags.”  It is not fair, but other schools are using this in recruiting, and the more events that take place, the more it will be effective.  Kill may have to step aside for another position in the university.  Life is not fair.

 

Mike Gundy—Oklahoma St.: Gundy has a fat record (70-35) in Stillwater, and he has all the pieces he needs (T. Boone Pickens and his money) to build a dynasty at OSU.  However, there is a black cloud hanging over this team as a multiple-part expose emerges detailing how the Cowboys’ climbed almost to the top of the mountain via the illicit trail.  If sanctions come down, Gundy could even receive a show-cause edict, which would basically force him out of coaching at the college level for “x” amount of years.

 

Bob Stoops—Oklahoma: This is crazy, but there are football zealots in Oklahoma that are not satisfied with a 150-37 won-loss record.  They should look closely up north where their former conference rival exiled Coach Solich to Athens, Ohio.  Stoops has not won a second national championship.  It has been 13 years.  Never mind that he brought OU to the National Championship Game twice but lost to teams that were among the 25 best of all time.

 

The Return of the Rebels?

If you are college football fan over the age of 55, you can remember a time when the Ole Miss football team was the equivalent of Oregon in modern times.  Yes, the Rebels once were the most exciting team in college football, and they competed for the national title every year.  They even won three of them back when four to seven polls’ champions were recognized as real champions.

 

Under legendary coach Johnny Vaught, Ole Miss became the first SEC team to emphasize a wide-open style of play with quarterbacks that could pass the ball on any down from any place on the field.  Prior to Vaught, all SEC teams still played caveman football.  They ran the ball 99% of the time until they passed their own 40 yard line.  If it was 3rd and 10 from their own 25 yard line, teams were more likely to punt the ball rather than attempt a pass.  Some teams had four or five passing plays in their playbook and even numbered them as “Pass Number Four.”  Teams ran the ball 90% of the time, and when they did throw, it was usually a play-action pass on first or second down in the other team’s territory.

 

Vaught changed that in Oxford.  He used the Wing-T, Slot-T, T with Flanker, and even a three-receiver set with no tight ends.  Other SEC teams still had two tight ends and no wide receivers, and Tennessee still used the Single Wing.  Under Vaught, Ole Miss made football exciting.  Quarterbacks matriculated to Oxford, because it gave them the opportunity to show off their skills to NFL scouts.  Archie Manning may have been the most widely publicized QB to play for Vaught, but top notch passers like Glynn Griffing, Jake Gibbs, and Charlie Conerly.

 

After Vaught retired at the end of the 1970 season, Ole Miss fell on hard times.  Multiple losing seasons followed with the occasional rebound to 6-5 or 8-4.  Eli Manning brought the Rebels a short-term window where they faced off against LSU in 2003 with the winner taking the conference championship, but alas, the Bengal Tigers nipped them by a field goal and went on to capture the national title as well.

 

Now, Hugh Freeze has the Rebels on track to return to the times when everything was gravy in Oxford.  Ole Miss looks like a team capable of scaring Alabama, LSU, and Texas A&M.  Freeze took a 2-10 team in 2011 and won seven games including an impressive blowout of Pittsburgh in the BBVA Compass Bowl last year.  After demolishing Texas in Austin last week, Ole Miss has its first 3-0 start since 1989.  The Rebels have the benefit of an extra week to prepare for Alabama in Tuscaloosa on the 28th, and the Tide did not roll all over Ole Miss last year.  If Ole Miss can gain a split in the their next four games (at Alabama, at Auburn, Texas A&M, and LSU), they could earn a Cotton, Capital One, or Outback Bowl bid in year two of the new regime.  And, if they go 3-1, they could be looking at the Sugar Bowl or better.  Oh, and Ole Miss had its best recruiting year since the Vaught days.  Some of the true freshmen are already paying big dividends for Freeze.  Now, a school that has been recognized in modern times as a great place to enjoy a football game and watch a team wearing Harvard Crimson and Yale Blue has become a place to watch the new most exciting team of the Deep South.

 

Previews Of This Week’s Key Games

Clemson at North Carolina St.: The Tigers fortunately had a week off to come down from the high of beating Georgia.  They now have a trap game when they travel to Raleigh Thursday night.  The Wolf Pack will be waiting in ambush, and as much as the Clemson Memorial Stadium crowd helped CU in its big win, the Carter-Finley faithful will help NCSU.  State is 2-0, albeit against two pushovers, but the Pack also had a week off to prepare for this game.  Expect State to play its best game of the entire season, but will it be enough?

 

Arizona St. at Stanford: Stanford has not looked all that impressive in its first two games, while Arizona St. has looked like a team capable of winning the Pac-12 South flag.  The winner of this game will move to the top of the heap of Duck challengers.  It should be as exciting as last Saturday’s ASU-Wisconsin game.  Hopefully, a blown call will not decide this one.

 

North Carolina at Georgia Tech:  We have seen the Techsters easily dispose of Elon and Duke, but can the Yellow Jackets run all over a quality ACC team?  If the answer is yes, then the ACC race just became very interesting.  Tech still has road games against Miami, BYU, and Clemson, and of course, they end with Georgia.  If Paul Johnson is on the verge of taking the one BCS team that runs the spread option offense back toward the top of the league, then the rest of the league’s coaches will not sleep easily.  It is virtually impossible to practice against this offense when your scout team cannot learn to run it in one week.

 

Auburn at LSU: LSU has quietly started 3-0 with three impressive offensive showings.  Auburn is also 3-0 under new coach Gus Malzahn.  LSU should win this game by double digits, but it will be an excellent test to gauge where both programs stand.  Should LSU win handily, and Auburn continue to play well, it could mean that Les Miles has a possible 2011 repeat on his hands.  If Auburn pulls off the upset, then Malzahn will be crowned the new Shug Jordan.

 

Arkansas at Rutgers: This contest allows us to gauge the American Athletic Conference.  Rutgers looks like a middle of the pack team in the new AAC, while Arkansas is probably around 8th or 9th best in the SEC.  Bret Bielema has rapidly installed his style of offense in Fayetteville, and the Razorbacks have two backs topping 100 yards in the same game.  When he finds two tight ends capable of making all-conference at the same time, it will be time to seriously look at Arkansas as a player in the toughest division in college football.

 

Michigan St. at Notre Dame:  The Irish have not put it together for four quarters in their first three games, and Michigan St. may require such an effort for Notre Dame to avoid a 2-2 start.  This game basically becomes a BCS at-large bowl eliminator, as the loser will have virtually no chance to qualify for such.  Notre Dame must finish in the top eight in the BCS standings to automatically earn a bid to one of the big five bowls.  10-2 should be good enough with the schedule they play.  9-3 will be iffy.  8-4 means they will bowl in December.

 

Missouri at Indiana: This one is somewhat similar to the Arkansas and Rutgers game, but with one extra reason to watch.  Missouri underperformed last year with quarterback James Franklin injured.  Is this team capable of playing with Georgia, Florida,  and South Carolina?  If the Tigers win convincingly, we still may not know the answer, but a convincing win will definitely move MU above Tennessee and Vanderbilt as the team most likely to surprise one of the big three.  Coach Gary Pinkel could have Mizzou at 5-0 when they play at Georgia on October 12.  The Tigers will be out for blood in that game after the Bulldogs clawed them by three touchdowns in their inaugural conference game last year.

 

Here are this week’s college football ratings.

PiRate Regular

1

Oregon

133.9

2

Alabama

132.5

3

Ole Miss

124.9

4

Stanford

124.2

5

Oklahoma St.

122.6

6

Texas A&M

122.0

7

Georgia

121.5

8

L S U

121.2

9

Ohio St.

120.7

10

South Carolina

119.9

11

Arizona

119.5

12

Washington

118.9

13

U C L A

118.6

14

Florida St.

118.5

15

Louisville

117.6

16

Baylor

117.5

17

Florida

117.5

18

Arizona St.

117.0

19

Clemson

116.7

20

Texas

116.4

21

Oklahoma

115.6

22

Notre Dame

115.6

23

Michigan

115.3

24

Wisconsin

115.2

25

Oregon St.

115.1

26

Missouri

115.1

27

Michigan St.

114.8

28

Miami

114.6

29

Georgia Tech

114.6

30

Northwestern

114.5

31

T C U

113.1

32

U S C

113.0

33

B Y U

110.8

34

Virginia Tech

110.7

35

Nebraska

110.7

36

Penn St.

110.0

37

Kansas St.

109.1

38

Vanderbilt

108.9

39

Texas Tech

108.8

40

Mississippi St.

108.6

41

Auburn

107.2

42

North Carolina

106.9

43

Cincinnati

105.7

44

Washington St.

105.7

45

Tennessee

105.6

46

West Virginia

103.8

47

Indiana

103.8

48

Central Florida

103.4

49

Fresno St.

103.2

50

Utah

103.1

51

Utah St.

103.0

52

Minnesota

102.0

53

Syracuse

101.6

54

San Jose St.

101.0

55

Arkansas

100.9

56

Boise St.

100.3

57

Boston College

100.2

58

Iowa

99.9

59

Illinois

99.8

60

Toledo

99.7

61

Pittsburgh

99.4

62

Maryland

99.2

63

Bowling Green

99.2

64

Rutgers

99.0

65

Kentucky

99.0

66

East Carolina

98.2

67

Iowa St.

98.1

68

Northern Illinois

98.1

69

Rice

97.7

70

Duke

97.6

71

Navy

97.6

72

Ball St.

97.5

73

Purdue

96.8

74

Marshall

96.8

75

North Carolina St.

96.7

76

Wake Forest

96.6

77

Louisiana–Monroe

96.4

78

California

96.3

79

Louisiana–Lafayette

94.4

80

Arkansas St.

93.9

81

Virginia

93.7

82

Kansas

93.7

83

Tulsa

93.6

84

S M U

93.5

85

North Texas

92.8

86

San Diego St.

92.5

87

Colorado

92.0

88

Ohio

91.6

89

Houston

91.2

90

Wyoming

91.0

91

Colorado St.

90.0

92

Buffalo

89.7

93

Connecticut

89.6

94

Western Kentucky

89.4

95

South Florida

89.3

96

U T S A

88.7

97

Kent St.

88.1

98

Memphis

87.6

99

Nevada

87.4

100

U A B

87.3

101

Middle Tennessee

86.8

102

Troy

86.8

103

Temple

86.7

104

Hawaii

85.6

105

Florida Atlantic

85.5

106

U T E P

85.3

107

Western Michigan

84.8

108

Tulane

84.7

109

Army

84.4

110

U N L V

84.3

111

Louisiana Tech

82.9

112

South Alabama

82.9

113

Akron

82.8

114

Central Michigan

82.7

115

Southern Miss.

81.3

116

Texas St.

81.2

117

Eastern Michigan

79.3

118

New Mexico

79.3

119

Air Force

79.0

120

Miami (O)

78.4

121

New Mexico St.

73.7

122

Massachusetts

71.0

123

Idaho

69.7

124

Florida Int’l

67.8

125

Georgia St.

60.1

 

PiRate Mean

1

Oregon

129.8

2

Alabama

125.1

3

Florida St.

122.2

4

Ole Miss

120.5

5

L S U

120.4

6

Arizona St.

118.8

7

Georgia

118.6

8

Ohio St.

118.0

9

South Carolina

117.9

10

Texas A&M

116.6

11

Wisconsin

116.5

12

Clemson

115.7

13

Miami

115.7

14

Louisville

115.6

15

Michigan St.

115.3

16

Stanford

114.6

17

Washington

114.6

18

Arizona

114.6

19

Georgia Tech

114.2

20

Michigan

113.8

21

Florida

113.3

22

Penn St.

113.0

23

Oklahoma St.

112.6

24

Missouri

112.2

25

Northwestern

112.1

26

Notre Dame

111.7

27

Oklahoma

111.4

28

Virginia Tech

111.0

29

U C L A

110.9

30

U S C

110.5

31

North Carolina

109.2

32

B Y U

109.0

33

Baylor

107.8

34

Nebraska

107.7

35

Indiana

107.5

36

T C U

107.4

37

Arkansas

107.4

38

Auburn

107.0

39

Texas

106.6

40

Maryland

106.5

41

Cincinnati

106.2

42

Texas Tech

106.2

43

Vanderbilt

106.0

44

Central Florida

105.6

45

Washington St.

105.1

46

Tennessee

105.0

47

Mississippi St.

104.8

48

Oregon St.

104.0

49

Illinois

103.7

50

North Carolina St.

103.0

51

Utah

102.7

52

Fresno St.

102.6

53

Rutgers

102.4

54

Minnesota

102.2

55

Houston

102.1

56

Kansas St.

101.5

57

Marshall

101.2

58

Rice

100.6

59

Ball St.

100.4

60

East Carolina

100.3

61

Toledo

100.3

62

Utah St.

99.9

63

Navy

99.8

64

Kentucky

99.6

65

Wake Forest

99.5

66

Northern Illinois

99.3

67

Bowling Green

99.0

68

Iowa

98.9

69

S M U

98.6

70

Syracuse

98.6

71

Boston College

98.5

72

Duke

98.3

73

Colorado

97.5

74

Pittsburgh

97.3

75

Virginia

97.1

76

West Virginia

96.0

77

San Jose St.

95.9

78

Memphis

95.8

79

Louisiana–Monroe

95.2

80

Ohio

95.1

81

North Texas

95.0

82

Boise St.

94.0

83

Louisiana–Lafayette

94.0

84

Purdue

93.1

85

Middle Tennessee

92.8

86

Wyoming

92.3

87

Army

92.1

88

California

91.8

89

U T E P

91.5

90

Kent St.

91.3

91

Tulane

91.2

92

Western Kentucky

91.0

93

Kansas

90.9

94

Tulsa

90.6

95

Colorado St.

90.3

96

U T S A

90.2

97

Nevada

90.1

98

Buffalo

90.0

99

U A B

89.4

100

San Diego St.

89.4

101

Texas St.

88.6

102

Arkansas St.

88.3

103

Iowa St.

88.0

104

Troy

88.0

105

Akron

87.9

106

South Alabama

87.4

107

U N L V

86.9

108

Hawaii

86.3

109

Western Michigan

86.0

110

New Mexico

85.5

111

Temple

85.1

112

Florida Atlantic

84.9

113

Central Michigan

84.9

114

Connecticut

84.6

115

Louisiana Tech

84.5

116

Eastern Michigan

84.2

117

Air Force

83.6

118

South Florida

82.3

119

Miami (O)

82.3

120

Southern Miss.

80.7

121

Massachusetts

80.2

122

New Mexico St.

80.0

123

Idaho

79.1

124

Florida Int’l

70.6

125

Georgia St.

69.3

 

PiRate Bias

1

Oregon

135.5

2

Alabama

133.6

3

Ole Miss

125.2

4

Oklahoma St.

123.4

5

Stanford

122.9

6

L S U

122.2

7

Texas A&M

122.1

8

Georgia

122.0

9

Ohio St.

121.0

10

Florida St.

120.4

11

Washington

119.9

12

South Carolina

119.6

13

Louisville

119.3

14

Arizona

118.3

15

Baylor

117.9

16

U C L A

117.9

17

Clemson

117.8

18

Arizona St.

117.0

19

Oklahoma

115.6

20

Georgia Tech

115.5

21

Florida

115.5

22

Wisconsin

115.2

23

Texas

115.1

24

Miami

114.8

25

Michigan

114.6

26

Northwestern

114.0

27

Missouri

114.0

28

Notre Dame

113.6

29

Oregon St.

113.5

30

T C U

113.3

31

Michigan St.

112.9

32

U S C

112.8

33

B Y U

112.0

34

Virginia Tech

110.3

35

Penn St.

109.3

36

Texas Tech

109.1

37

Nebraska

109.0

38

Vanderbilt

108.4

39

Mississippi St.

108.0

40

Kansas St.

107.7

41

North Carolina

107.5

42

Washington St.

106.5

43

Cincinnati

106.4

44

Auburn

106.3

45

Utah St.

105.0

46

Tennessee

104.9

47

Central Florida

104.3

48

Indiana

104.1

49

Fresno St.

104.1

50

Utah

102.5

51

West Virginia

102.1

52

San Jose St.

101.6

53

Maryland

101.5

54

Boise St.

101.1

55

Minnesota

100.9

56

Syracuse

100.7

57

Boston College

100.5

58

Illinois

100.4

59

Bowling Green

100.4

60

Toledo

100.2

61

Rutgers

99.6

62

Iowa

99.6

63

East Carolina

99.5

64

Arkansas

99.4

65

Pittsburgh

99.1

66

Rice

99.0

67

Northern Illinois

98.8

68

Marshall

98.7

69

Ball St.

98.2

70

Navy

97.7

71

North Carolina St.

97.5

72

Kentucky

97.5

73

Louisiana–Monroe

97.1

74

Wake Forest

96.5

75

Duke

96.4

76

Iowa St.

96.2

77

Purdue

94.3

78

California

94.3

79

Virginia

94.0

80

Louisiana–Lafayette

93.8

81

Arkansas St.

93.4

82

Wyoming

93.2

83

North Texas

93.0

84

S M U

92.9

85

Ohio

92.9

86

Kansas

92.6

87

Tulsa

92.6

88

Houston

92.5

89

San Diego St.

92.5

90

Colorado St.

90.4

91

Colorado

90.1

92

Connecticut

90.0

93

Buffalo

89.8

94

Western Kentucky

89.8

95

Kent St.

88.7

96

U T S A

88.4

97

Troy

88.3

98

Memphis

88.2

99

South Florida

88.0

100

U A B

87.5

101

Middle Tennessee

87.0

102

Western Michigan

87.0

103

Nevada

86.8

104

Hawaii

86.7

105

U T E P

86.0

106

Florida Atlantic

85.8

107

Army

85.7

108

Temple

85.4

109

Tulane

84.9

110

U N L V

84.7

111

South Alabama

83.9

112

Akron

83.2

113

Central Michigan

82.4

114

Louisiana Tech

82.1

115

Southern Miss.

81.3

116

Texas St.

80.4

117

New Mexico

79.5

118

Eastern Michigan

79.3

119

Air Force

79.0

120

Miami (O)

76.8

121

New Mexico St.

73.2

122

Massachusetts

70.9

123

Idaho

69.3

124

Florida Int’l

67.7

125

Georgia St.

61.5

 

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Louisville

0-0

3-0

117.6

115.6

119.3

Cincinnati

0-0

2-1

105.7

106.2

106.4

Central Florida

0-0

3-0

103.4

105.6

104.3

Rutgers

0-0

2-1

99.0

102.4

99.6

S M U

0-0

1-1

93.5

98.6

92.9

Houston

1-0

2-0

91.2

102.1

92.5

Connecticut

0-0

0-2

89.6

84.6

90.0

South Florida

0-0

0-3

89.3

82.3

88.0

Memphis

0-0

0-2

87.6

95.8

88.2

Temple

0-1

0-3

86.7

85.1

85.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

League Averages

 

 

96.4

97.8

96.7

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Florida St.

1-0

2-0

118.5

122.2

120.4

Clemson

0-0

2-0

116.7

115.7

117.8

Syracuse

0-0

1-2

101.6

98.6

100.7

Boston College

1-0

2-1

100.2

98.5

100.5

Maryland

0-0

3-0

99.2

106.5

101.5

North Carolina St.

0-0

2-0

96.7

103.0

97.5

Wake Forest

0-1

1-2

96.6

99.5

96.5

     

 

 

 

Coastal Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Miami

0-0

2-0

114.6

115.7

114.8

Georgia Tech

1-0

2-0

114.6

114.2

115.5

Virginia Tech

0-0

2-1

110.7

111.0

110.3

North Carolina

0-0

1-1

106.9

109.2

107.5

Pittsburgh

0-1

1-1

99.4

97.3

99.1

Duke

0-1

2-1

97.6

98.3

96.4

Virginia

0-0

1-1

93.7

97.1

94.0

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

104.8

106.2

105.2

 

Big 12 Conference

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Oklahoma St.

0-0

3-0

122.6

112.6

123.4

Baylor

0-0

2-0

117.5

107.8

117.9

Texas

0-0

1-2

116.4

106.6

115.1

Oklahoma

1-0

3-0

115.6

111.4

115.6

T C U

0-1

1-2

113.1

107.4

113.3

Kansas St.

0-0

2-1

109.1

101.5

107.7

Texas Tech

1-0

3-0

108.8

106.2

109.1

West Virginia

0-1

2-1

103.8

96.0

102.1

Iowa St.

0-0

0-2

98.1

88.0

96.2

Kansas

0-0

1-1

93.7

90.9

92.6

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

109.9

102.8

109.3

 

Big Ten Conference

 

Leaders Division

 
Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

 
Ohio St.

0-0

3-0

120.7

118.0

121.0

 
Wisconsin

0-0

2-1

115.2

116.5

115.2

 
Penn St.

0-0

2-1

110.0

113.0

109.3

 
Indiana

0-0

2-1

103.8

107.5

104.1

 
Illinois

0-0

2-1

99.8

103.7

100.4

 
Purdue

0-0

1-2

96.8

93.1

94.3

 
     

 

 

 

 

Legends Division

 
Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

 
Michigan

0-0

3-0

115.3

113.8

114.6

 
Northwestern

0-0

3-0

114.5

112.1

114.0

 
Michigan St.

0-0

3-0

114.8

115.3

112.9

 
Nebraska

0-0

2-1

110.7

107.7

109.0

 
Minnesota

0-0

3-0

102.0

102.2

100.9

 
Iowa

0-0

2-1

99.9

98.9

99.6

 
     

 

 

 

 
League Averages    

108.6

108.5

107.9

 

Conference USA

 

East Division

 
Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

 
East Carolina

1-0

2-1

98.2

100.3

99.5

 
Marshall

0-0

2-1

96.8

101.2

98.7

 
U A B

0-0

0-2

87.3

89.4

87.5

 
Middle Tennessee

0-0

2-1

86.8

92.8

87.0

 
Florida Atlantic

0-1

1-2

85.5

84.9

85.8

 
Southern Miss.

0-0

0-3

81.3

80.7

81.3

 
Florida Int’l

0-0

0-3

67.8

70.6

67.7

 
     

 

 

 

 

West Division

 
Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

 
Rice

0-0

1-1

97.7

100.6

99.0

 
Tulsa

0-0

1-2

93.6

90.6

92.6

 
North Texas

0-0

2-1

92.8

95.0

93.0

 
U T S A

0-0

1-2

88.7

90.2

88.4

 
U T E P

0-0

1-1

85.3

91.5

86.0

 
Tulane

1-0

2-1

84.7

91.2

84.9

 
Louisiana Tech

0-1

1-2

82.9

84.5

82.1

 
     

 

 

 

 
League Averages    

87.8

90.3

88.1

 

Independents

Team

 

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Notre Dame

 

2-1

115.6

111.7

113.6

B Y U

 

1-1

110.8

109.0

112.0

Navy

 

2-0

97.6

99.8

97.7

Army

 

1-2

84.4

92.1

85.7

New Mexico St.

 

0-3

73.7

80.0

73.2

Idaho

 

0-3

69.7

79.1

69.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

Independent Avg’s.

 

 

92.0

95.3

91.9

 

Mid-American Conference

East Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Bowling Green

1-0

2-1

99.2

99.0

100.4

Ohio

0-0

2-1

91.6

95.1

92.9

Buffalo

0-0

1-2

89.7

90.0

89.8

Kent St.

0-1

1-2

88.1

91.3

88.7

Akron

0-0

1-2

82.8

87.9

83.2

Miami (O)

0-0

0-2

78.4

82.3

76.8

Massachusetts

0-0

0-3

71.0

80.2

70.9

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Toledo

0-0

1-2

99.7

100.3

100.2

Northern Illinois

0-0

2-0

98.1

99.3

98.8

Ball St.

0-0

2-1

97.5

100.4

98.2

Western Michigan

0-0

0-3

84.8

86.0

87.0

Central Michigan

0-0

1-2

82.7

84.9

82.4

Eastern Michigan

0-0

1-2

79.3

84.2

79.3

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

87.9

90.8

88.4

Mountain West Conference

Mountain Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Utah St.

1-0

2-1

103.0

99.9

105.0

Boise St.

1-0

2-1

100.3

94.0

101.1

Wyoming

0-0

2-1

91.0

92.3

93.2

Colorado St.

0-0

1-2

90.0

90.3

90.4

New Mexico

0-0

1-2

79.3

85.5

79.5

Air Force

0-2

1-2

79.0

83.6

79.0

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Fresno St.

0-0

2-0

103.2

102.6

104.1

San Jose St.

0-0

1-1

101.0

95.9

101.6

San Diego St.

0-0

0-2

92.5

89.4

92.5

Nevada

0-0

1-2

87.4

90.1

86.8

Hawaii

0-0

0-2

85.6

86.3

86.7

U N L V

0-0

1-2

84.3

86.9

84.7

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

91.4

91.4

92.1

   

 

Pacific 12 Conference

North Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Oregon

0-0

3-0

133.9

129.8

135.5

Stanford

0-0

2-0

124.2

114.6

122.9

Washington

0-0

2-0

118.9

114.6

119.9

Oregon St.

1-0

2-1

115.1

104.0

113.5

Washington St.

1-0

2-1

105.7

105.1

106.5

California

0-0

1-2

96.3

91.8

94.3

     

 

 

 

South Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Arizona

0-0

3-0

119.5

114.6

118.3

U C L A

0-0

2-0

118.6

110.9

117.9

Arizona St.

0-0

2-0

117.0

118.8

117.0

U S C

0-1

2-1

113.0

110.5

112.8

Utah

0-1

2-1

103.1

102.7

102.5

Colorado

0-0

2-0

92.0

97.5

90.1

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

113.1

109.6

112.6

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Georgia

1-0

1-1

121.5

118.6

122.0

South Carolina

1-1

2-1

119.9

117.9

119.6

Florida

0-0

1-1

117.5

113.3

115.5

Missouri

0-0

2-0

115.1

112.2

114.0

Vanderbilt

0-2

1-2

108.9

106.0

108.4

Tennessee

0-0

2-1

105.6

105.0

104.9

Kentucky

0-0

1-2

99.0

99.6

97.5

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Alabama

1-0

2-0

132.5

125.1

133.6

Ole Miss

1-0

3-0

124.9

120.5

125.2

Texas A&M

0-1

2-1

122.0

116.6

122.1

L S U

0-0

3-0

121.2

120.4

122.2

Mississippi St.

0-1

1-2

108.6

104.8

108.0

Auburn

1-0

3-0

107.2

107.0

106.3

Arkansas

0-0

3-0

100.9

107.4

99.4

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

114.6

112.5

114.2

 

Sunbelt Conference

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Louisiana–Monroe

0-0

2-1

96.4

95.2

97.1

Louisiana–Lafayette

0-0

1-2

94.4

94.0

93.8

Arkansas St.

1-0

2-1

93.9

88.3

93.4

Western Kentucky

0-1

1-2

89.4

91.0

89.8

Troy

0-1

2-1

86.8

88.0

88.3

South Alabama

1-0

2-1

82.9

87.4

83.9

Texas St.

0-0

2-0

81.2

88.6

80.4

Georgia St.

0-0

0-3

60.1

69.3

61.5

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

85.6

87.7

86.0

 

Transitioning Teams *

Team

 

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Georgia Southern

 

2-1

85.9

88.3

93.0

Old Dominion

 

1-2

81.7

82.5

88.5

Appalachian St.

 

0-2

78.6

77.3

85.7

Charlotte

 

2-1

56.5

61.1

63.6

           
* Not figured in regular averages to 100      

 

Here Are This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

 

Date:

September 19-21, 2013

   

 

 

 

Home Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Air Force Wyoming

-9.5

-6.2

-11.7

Akron UL-Lafayette

-8.6

-3.1

-7.6

Alabama Colorado St.

46.0

38.3

46.7

Army Wake Forest

-9.2

-4.4

-7.8

B Y U Utah

9.7

8.3

11.5

Baylor UL-Monroe

24.1

15.6

23.8

Central Michigan Toledo

-14.5

-12.9

-15.3

Connecticut Michigan

-22.7

-26.2

-21.6

Duke Pittsburgh

0.7

3.5

-0.2

Eastern Michigan Ball St.

-16.2

-14.2

-16.9

Florida Tennessee

14.9

11.3

13.6

Florida Atlantic Middle Tennessee

1.7

-4.9

1.8

Fresno St. Boise St.

5.9

11.6

6.0

Georgia North Texas

32.2

27.1

32.5

Georgia Tech North Carolina

10.7

8.0

11.0

Indiana Missouri

-8.3

-5.5

-6.9

Iowa Western Michigan

18.1

15.9

15.6

Kansas Louisiana Tech

13.8

9.4

13.5

L S U Auburn

17.0

16.4

18.9

Louisville Florida Int’l

52.8

48.0

54.6

Maryland (a) West Virginia

-3.1

12.0

0.9

Massachusetts Vanderbilt

-35.4

-23.3

-35.0

Memphis Arkansas St.

-3.8

10.0

-2.7

Miami (O) Cincinnati

-25.3

-21.9

-27.6

Minnesota San Jose St.

4.5

9.8

2.8

Mississippi St. Troy

24.8

19.8

22.7

Nevada Hawaii

4.8

6.8

3.1

North Carolina St. Clemson

-17.0

-9.7

-17.3

Notre Dame Michigan St.

3.8

-0.6

3.7

Penn St. Kent St.

24.9

24.7

23.6

Rice (b) Houston

6.5

-1.5

6.5

Rutgers Arkansas

1.1

-2.0

3.2

San Diego St. Oregon St.

-19.6

-11.6

-18.0

Stanford Arizona St.

10.2

-1.2

8.9

Syracuse Tulane

19.9

10.4

18.8

Texas Kansas St.

10.3

8.1

10.4

Texas A&M S M U

31.0

20.5

31.7

Texas Tech Texas St.

30.6

20.6

31.7

U C L A New Mexico St.

47.9

33.9

47.7

U S C Utah St.

13.0

13.6

10.8

U T E P U T S A

-0.9

3.8

0.1

Virginia Tech Marshall

16.9

12.8

14.6

Washington St. Idaho

38.0

28.0

39.2

Wisconsin Purdue

21.4

26.4

23.9

   

 

 

 

(a) Game Played in Baltimore

 

 

 

(b) Game Played at Reliant Stadium in Houston

 

 

 

 

PiRate Bowl Projections

GAME

Team

vs.

Team

New Mexico

Wyoming

vs.

Oregon St.

MAACO Bowl Las Vegas

Fresno St.

vs.

Arizona St.

Famous Idaho Potato

Boise St.

vs.

Ohio U

New Orleans

Arkansas St.

vs.

Middle Tennessee

Beef ‘O’ Brady’s

(UL-Monroe)

vs.

North Texas

Hawai’i

Air Force

vs.

Tulsa

Little Caesars Pizza

Northern Illinois

vs.

(Texas St.)

Poinsettia

San Jose St.

vs.

(Washington St.)

Military Bowl

Pittsburgh

vs.

East Carolina

Texas

Nebraska

vs.

West Virginia

Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl

U S C

vs.

B Y U

Pinstripe

Rutgers

vs.

(Notre Dame)

Belk

Cincinnati

vs.

North Carolina

Russell Athletic

Central Florida

vs.

Georgia Tech

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl

Texas

vs.

Northwestern

Armed Forces

Utah St.

vs.

Navy

Music City

North Carolina St.

vs.

Florida

Alamo

Texas Tech

vs.

Stanford

Holiday

Kansas St.

vs.

Arizona

AdvoCare V100 Bowl

(Ball St.)

vs.

Maryland

Sun

Virginia Tech

vs.

Washington

Liberty

Arkansas

vs.

Marshall

Chick-fil-A

Miami

vs.

South Carolina

Heart Of Dallas

Rice

vs.

Minnesota

Gator

Michigan St.

vs.

Missouri

Outback

Texas A&M

vs.

Wisconsin

Capital One

Michigan

vs.

Georgia

Rose

U C L A

vs.

L S U

Fiesta

Oklahoma St.

vs.

Louisville

Sugar

Alabama

vs.

Florida St.

Cotton

Ole Miss

vs.

Baylor

Orange

Clemson

vs.

Oklahoma

BBVA Compass Bowl

Houston

vs.

Auburn

GoDaddy.com

UL-Lafayette

vs.

Bowling Green

BCS Championship

Oregon

vs.

Ohio St.

 

(Teams In Parentheses Are At-Large Selections)

 

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