The Pi-Rate Ratings

March 4, 2013

30 Bracketology Ratings For College Basketball–Monday, March 4, 2013

We have simplified our 30 Bracketology Ratings, and we now have a point score for each team.

 

This makes it easier to separate the conferences that will send only one team to the NCAA Tournament as well as show which four at-large teams are scheduled to appear in the opening round in Dayton (as the last four teams in).

 

Here is how our new point score works.

 

1. We gather 30 of the top national bracketology ratings, with their list of 68 teams ranked by seeding.

 

2. For every #1-seed, we award 30 points, 29 points for a #2-seed, 28 points for a #3-seed, and so forth down to 1 point for a #16-seed.  Any team that does not appear on a particular bracketology ranking receives no points.

 

3. We then add the total points for each team and divide by 30, rounding to two digits.  Thus is a team appears as a number 6 seed on 24 bracketology lists and as a number 7 seed on the other 6, it gets 25 points times 24 plus 24 points times 6 which equals 744.  Divide 744 by 30, and the answer is 24.8 points.

 

4. The four teams with the highest point total are our #1-seeds.  The next four are our #2-seeds, and so forth.  The last four at-large teams are placed as #12-seeds, even if mid-major conference champions with automatic bids score higher in points.  These last four are the opening round (play-in) teams and will be #12 seeds.

 

5. In the league where there will be just one bid awarded, we take the team that scores the most points.  If a second team has a higher point total than one of our at-large teams, they do not jump ahead.

 

6. If a possible mid-major has a chance to become an at-large team if they do not win their conference championship, this will be noted in the conference breakdown, but for our purposes, we do not predict any upsets and go with the top-rated team to represent the one-bid leagues.

 

Here is a look at this week’s 30-bracketology ratings:

 

#

Team Conf.

Out of 30

Pts

1

Indiana Big Ten

30

30.00

1

Duke ACC

30

30.00

1

Kansas Big 12

30

29.87

1

Gonzaga West Coast

30

29.63

2

Miami (FLA.) ACC

30

29.13

2

Georgetown Big East

30

29.13

2

Louisville Big East

30

28.60

2

Florida SEC

30

28.53

3

Michigan Big Ten

30

28.43

3

New Mexico Mountain West

30

28.37

3

Michigan State Big Ten

30

28.17

3

Marquette Big East

30

27.40

4

Kansas State Big 12

30

27.33

4

Arizona Pacific-12

30

26.93

4

Syracuse Big East

30

26.70

4

Oklahoma State Big 12

30

26.53

5

Ohio State Big Ten

30

26.47

5

Wisconsin Big Ten

30

25.87

5

Saint Louis Atlantic 10

30

25.57

5

UNLV Mountain West

30

25.47

6

Pittsburgh Big East

30

25.37

6

UCLA Pacific-12

30

25.10

6

Minnesota Big Ten

30

24.77

6

Butler Atlantic 10

30

24.10

7

Oregon Pacific-12

30

23.90

7

Notre Dame Big East

30

23.83

7

Colorado State Mountain West

30

23.80

7

Virginia Commonwealth Atlantic 10

30

23.63

8

North Carolina State ACC

30

23.30

8

Illinois Big Ten

30

23.23

8

Memphis CUSA

30

22.83

8

North Carolina ACC

30

22.70

9

Missouri SEC

30

22.43

9

San Diego State Mountain West

30

22.30

9

Oklahoma Big 12

30

22.17

9

California Pacific-12

30

21.90

10

Colorado Pacific-12

30

21.70

10

Cincinnati Big East

30

21.47

10

Creighton Missouri Valley

30

21.33

10

Wichita State Missouri Valley

30

20.40

11

St. Mary’s (CA) West Coast

30

19.80

11

La Salle Atlantic 10

30

19.80

11

Temple Atlantic 10

29

19.33

11

Middle Tennessee Sun Belt

30

19.33

12

Belmont Ohio Valley

30

19.27

12

Bucknell Patriot

30

18.00

12

Iowa State * Big 12

26

16.80

12

Villanova * Big East

26

16.70

12

Virginia * ACC

25

16.40

12

Kentucky * SEC

24

15.23

13

Akron MAC

29

17.80

13

Stephen F. Austin Southland

30

17.70

13

Louisiana Tech WAC

29

17.60

13

Davidson Southern

30

17.13

14

Boise State Mountain West

26

16.93

14

Stony Brook America East

30

16.50

14

Valparaiso Horizon

28

15.97

14

Robert Morris Northeast

30

15.33

15

Northeastern Colonial

30

15.30

15

Long Beach State Big West

28

14.77

15

South Dakota State Summit

26

14.70

15

Mercer Atlantic Sun

27

13.73

16

Montana Big Sky

25

13.53

16

Norfolk State Mid-Eastern

26

13.03

16

Princeton Ivy

24

12.97

16

Niagara Metro Atlantic

24

12.33

16

Southern SWAC

24

12.00

16

Charleston Southern Big South

24

12.00

Note: * = Last 4 In

 

Last 8 Out

Team Conf.

Out of 30

Pts

Tennessee SEC

11

7.00

Massachusetts Atlantic 10

3

1.90

Southern Miss CUSA

3

1.80

Mississippi SEC

2

1.30

Alabama SEC

1

0.63

Baylor Big 12

1

0.60

Maryland ACC

1

0.60

Ohio MAC

1

0.60

 

Conference Breakdown

Conference

Teams

Atlantic Coast

5

America East

1

Atlantic 10

5

Atlantic Sun

1

Big 12

5

Big East

8

Big Sky

1

Big South

1

Big Ten

7

Big West

1

Colonial

1

Conference USA

1

Horizon

1

Ivy

1

Mid-American

1

Metro Atlantic

1

Mideastern Athletic

1

Missouri Valley

2

Mountain West

5

Northeast

1

Ohio Valley

1

Pac-12

5

Patriot

1

Southeastern

3

Southern

1

Southland

1

Summit

1

Sun Belt

1

Southwestern Athletic

1

Western Athletic

1

West Coast

2

 

Three Mid-Majors That Could Sneak In As At-Large Teams

Team League

RPI #

Middle Tennessee Sun Belt

24

Belmont Ohio Valley

25

Louisiana Tech Western Athletic

50

 

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