The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 3, 2013

PiRate Ratings and Spreads For NFL Wildcard Round: January 5-6, 2013

Final Regular Season PiRate Ratings

 

NFC East

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Vintage

HFA

New York Giants

106.6

105.8

105.2

104.5

3.5

Washington Redskins

102.7

103.8

104.6

105.5

2.5

Dallas Cowboys

99.2

99.3

99.4

99.5

1

Philadelphia Eagles

91.7

90.8

90.2

89.5

3

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFC North

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Vintage

HFA

Green Bay Packers

106.5

106.5

106.5

106.5

3

Chicago Bears

104.7

103.2

102.2

101.0

2

Minnesota Vikings

101.6

102.2

102.6

103.0

2.5

Detroit Lions

96.1

95.1

94.3

93.5

3

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFC South

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Vintage

HFA

Atlanta Falcons

104.7

105.6

106.3

107.0

2.5

New Orleans Saints

100.7

100.2

99.9

99.5

3.5

Carolina Panthers

99.7

100.0

101.4

102.5

1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

98.6

97.6

96.8

96.0

3

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFC West

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Vintage

HFA

Seattle Seahawks

112.2

110.7

109.7

108.5

5

San Francisco 49ers

108.4

107.9

107.5

107.0

2.5

St. Louis Rams

98.6

98.6

98.5

98.5

1.5

Arizona Cardinals

95.0

94.6

94.3

94.0

3.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC East

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Vintage

HFA

New England Patriots

112.7

111.2

110.2

109.0

1.5

Miami Dolphins

98.8

98.9

98.9

99.0

2.5

New York Jets

95.0

94.0

93.3

92.5

2

Buffalo Bills

94.6

94.2

93.9

93.5

3

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC North

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Vintage

HFA

Cincinnati Bengals

103.5

103.7

103.8

104.0

2.5

Baltimore Ravens

102.5

102.9

103.2

103.5

5

Pittsburgh Steelers

100.0

100.8

101.4

102.0

2.5

Cleveland Browns

95.0

95.4

95.7

96.0

2.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC South

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Vintage

HFA

Houston Texans

102.9

103.6

104.0

104.5

2.5

Indianapolis Colts

97.0

99.6

101.4

103.5

3.5

Tennessee Titans

92.6

93.2

93.6

94.0

3.5

Jacksonville Jaguars

90.5

90.5

90.5

90.5

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC West

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Vintage

HFA

Denver Broncos

111.0

110.6

110.3

110.0

3

San Diego Chargers

98.4

99.1

99.5

100.0

1.5

Oakland Raiders

90.9

92.2

93.0

94.0

3.5

Kansas City Chiefs

87.6

87.8

87.9

88.0

3.5

 

 

Wildcard Playoff Round

 

Saturday, January 5, 2013

 

Cincinnati Bengals (10-6-0) at Houston Texans (12-4-0)

Time: 4:30 PM EST

TV: NBC

Reliant Stadium Forecast: With rain in the forecast, the dome will be closed

 

PiRate: Houston by 1.9

PiRate Mean: Houston by 2.4

PiRate Bias: Houston by 2.7

PiRate Vintage: Houston by 3.0

 

Vegas Line: Houston by 4 ½

Totals: 43 ½

Money Line:  Houston -220  Cincinnati +180

 

100 Computer Simulations: Houston 56  Cincinnati 44

Average Score: Houston 24.2  Cincinnati 16.6

Standard Deviation: 7.7

Outlier Home: Houston 45  Cincinnati 14

Outlier Visitor: Cincinnati 26  Houston 10

Outlier High: 62 points

Outlier Low: 27 points

 

PiRate Captain Says: Houston -4 ½  and  Under 43 ½  and Houston -220

 

 

Minnesota Vikings (10-6-0) at Green Bay Packers (11-5-0)

Time: 8:00 PM EST

TV: NBC

Lambeau Field Forecast: Cloudy, Temperature holding steady around 22 degrees

 

PiRate: Green Bay by 7.9

PiRate Mean: Green Bay by 7.3

PiRate Bias: Green Bay by 6.9

PiRate Vintage: Green Bay by 6.5

 

Vegas Line:  Green Bay by 7 ½

Totals: 46

Money Line:  Green Bay -400  Minnesota +330

 

100 Computer Simulations: Green Bay 78  Minnesota 22

Average Score: Green Bay 29.0  Minnesota 18.1

Standard Deviation: 8.0

Outlier Home: Green Bay 44 Minnesota 17

Outlier Visitor: Minnesota 27  Green Bay 17

Outlier High: 65 points

Outlier Low: 23 points

 

PiRate Captain Says: No Sides or Totals selections look good

Condition of Chris Ponder’s throwing elbow can affect this game too much

See Money Line Parlay below in following game

 

Sunday, Janurary 6, 2013

 

Indianapolis Colts (11-5-0) at Baltimore Ravens (10-6-0)

Time: 1:00 PM EST

TV: CBS

M&T Bank Stadium Forecast: Partly Sunny, Temperature in low 40’s

 

PiRate: Baltimore by 9.5

PiRate Mean: Baltimore by 7.3

PiRate Bias: Baltimore by 5.8

PiRate Vintage: Baltimore by 4.0

 

Vegas Line: Baltimore by 7

Totals: 47

Money Line:  Baltimore -320  Indianapolis +260

 

100 Computer Simulations: Baltimore 81  Indianapolis 19

Average Score: Baltimore 24.1  Cincinnati 15.6

Standard Deviation: 9.1

Outlier Home: Baltimore 35  Indianapolis 7

Outlier Visitor: Indianapolis 23  Baltimore 13

Outlier High: 59 points

Outlier Low: 23 points

 

PiRate Captain Says: Under 47 and Baltimore with Green Bay in Money Line parlay at -156

 

 

Seattle Seahawks (11-5-0) at Washington Redskins (10-6-0)

Time: 4:30 PM EST

TV: Fox

Fedex Field Forecast: Partly Cloudy, Temperature in low 40’s falling to the upper 30’s

 

PiRate: Seattle by 6.5

PiRate Mean: Seattle by 3.9

PiRate Bias: Seattle by 2.1

PiRate Vintage: Even

 

Vegas Line: Seattle by 3

Totals: 46

Money Line:  Seattle -150  Washington +130

 

100 Computer Simulations: Seattle 53  Washington 47

Average Score: Seattle 29.5  Washington 23.4

Standard Deviation: 14.5

Outlier Home: Washington 41  Seattle 21

Outlier Visitor:  Seattle 51  Washington 17

Outlier High: 79 points

Outlier Low: 39 points

 

PiRate Captain Says: Over 46 (Weather will be no factor, and this game should be an exciting offensive showcase for the two rookie phenoms)

 

10- point Teaser for Wildcard Round

Cincinnati +14 ½

Baltimore + 3

Seattle +7

 

13-point Teaser for Wildcard Round

Houston & Cincinnati Over 30 ½

Minnesota +20 ½ vs. Green Bay

Minnesota & Green Bay Over 33

Seattle & Washington Over 33

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