The Pi-Rate Ratings

November 26, 2012

PiRate Ratings For College Football: November 29-December 1 (+12/8), 2012

All Eyes on MAC Championship Game

Can a team that lost to Kentucky by 33 points end up in the Orange Bowl?  Yes, it is not just possible, there is almost a 50-50 chance that it will happen.  Kent State fell to the weakest team in the SEC by a score of 47-14, but that was the Golden Flashes only loss of the season.  KSU rebounded to run the table in the MAC plus added a win over then undefeated Rutgers in New Jersey.

The current BCS rankings list Kent State at number 17, one spot short of what would be an automatic entry into a BCS Bowl.  If Kent State beats Northern Illinois this week, and Stanford beats UCLA again, then Kent State will definitely gain admission to the Orange Bowl.

The BCS rules state that if a non-automatic qualifying member of an FBS conference finishes in the top 16 of the BCS standings and finishes ahead of any automatic qualifying team, then that non-automatic qualifying team automatically earns a BCS Bowl invitation (in the case where more than one non-automatic qualifying team finishes in the top 16, then only the higher/highest-ranked team earns this invitation.

The Big East Champion will not finish in the top 16 and may not even finish in the top 25.  If Georgia Tech or Wisconsin win their championship games this week, it will be a moot point, because neither will generate even one BCS vote.

If Kent State ends up qualifying for the BCS, then the Golden Flashes will be the last team chosen, and that selection this year goes to the Orange Bowl.  The Big East Champion will then move up to the Sugar Bowl.  This creates two boring mismatches for these prestigious bowls.

Oklahoma stands to lose in this equation.  The Sooners would be a lock for the Sugar Bowl if Kent State loses or UCLA wins this week.  They will fall to the Cotton Bowl if Kent State wins and UCLA loses.

The bowl picture still has some cloudiness, but things are starting to fall in line.  Here is our conference-by-conference look for this week.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Florida State and Georgia Tech face off in the conference title game in Charlotte this week, and the Seminoles are a prohibitive favorite.  A Georgia Tech drops the Yellow Jackets to 6-7, which would necessitate a waiver to play in a bowl game.  There will be 70 bowl-eligible teams without Tech, but UCLA set a precedent last year under similar circumstances.  Because Tech finished third in the Coastal Division, they would not normally be playing FSU this week, so they should be looked at as a 6-6 team.  They will receive that waiver at 6-7 and fall to the Sun Bowl, which is the farthest the ACC Championship Game loser can fall.

North Carolina State fired Tom O’Brien Sunday, so the Wolfpack will fall in the bowl pecking order.  Virginia Tech won to become bowl eligible, and the Hokies will pass NCSU.  Duke will stay close to home, while Clemson heads to Atlanta in what could be one fantastic renewal of a former rivalry.

BOWLS

1. BCS (Orange): Florida State

2. Chick-fil-A: Clemson

3. Russell Athletic: Virginia Tech

4. Sun: Georgia Tech

5. Belk: Duke:

6. Music City: North Carolina St.

 

Big East Conference

This league has now fallen below 100 in the PiRate Ratings averages, and it is a travesty that the conference champion will earn a BCS Bowl bid.  Not a single team in the Big East could defeat any of the top five SEC or Big 12 teams, and the probably champion lost at home to Kent State.

Rutgers will win the conference with a win at home over ailing Louisville Thursday night.  If UL wins, then the race is up for grabs.  At least three teams and possibly four will finished tied 1t 5-2.  Cincinnati can get a piece of the title with a win at Connecticut. The tiebreaker rules basically make the winner of the UL-RU game the winner of the BCS Bowl bid.

Pittsburgh and Connecticut are both 5-6.  If the Panthers win at South Florida, they will become bowl eligible.  UConn needs to upset Cincinnati to become bowl eligible.  Our ratings believe Pitt will win, and the Huskies will lose.

The Panthers have played in the BBVA Compass bowl two consecutive seasons, so we believe the conference will work with the bowls to keep Pitt out of Birmingham.

BOWLS

1. BCS (Sugar): Rutgers

2. Russell Athletic: Louisville

3. Belk: Cincinnati

4. Pinstripe: Pittsburgh

5. BBVA Compass: Syracuse

6. Beef O’Brady’s: None Available (Connecticut if victorious over Cinti)

 

Big Ten Conference

This race became much clearer this weekend.  Nebraska and Wisconsin face off in Indianapolis for the Rose Bowl bid.  For now, we will go with the Cornhuskers to win that game.  Purdue and Michigan State became bowl eligible this past weekend, but the Boliermakers fired Danny Hope, which moves them to the bottom of the pecking order.

BOWLS

1. BCS (Rose): Nebraska

2. Capital One: Michigan

3. Outback: Northwestern

4. Gator: Wisconsin

5. Buffalo Wild Wings: Michigan St.

6. Meineke Car Care of Texas: Minnesota

7. Heart of Dallas: Purdue

8. Little Caesar’s: None Available

 

Big 12 Conference

Either Kansas State or Oklahoma will win the league’s automatic bid to the Fiesta Bowl.  If Kent State does sneak into the BCS, then two teams could be in the BCS.  If both KSU and Oklahoma lose this week, then Clemson might steal the extra spot back even though the Tigers lost to South Carolina.

Kansas State hosts Texas, and the Longhorns do not look strong enough to pull off the upset.  This could be the end for Mack Brown, and if the Texas job comes open, the folks in Austin can put together a package to lure anybody to UT.

Oklahoma has a tough game at TCU.  The Horned Frogs could be playing their last game under Coach Gary Patterson, who is being mentioned in several other job openings.

Iowa State is a team on the bubble.  The Cyclones could find themselves on the outside looking in if Kent State earns the BCS Bowl.  The Big 12 has eight bowl tie-ins and nine bowl eligible teams.  Should the league only get one team into a BCS Bowl, ISU will not have a guaranteed spot in a league bowl.  At 6-6, they would lose out to any MAC or Sunbelt team with a winning record.  Iowa State would need for both Pitt and Connecticut to lose to be assured of a bowl, because there are six MAC schools and five Sunbelt schools with winning records with just five bowl tie-ins (six if Kent State sneaks into the Orange Bowl).

BOWLS

1. BCS (Fiesta): Kansas St.

2. Cotton: Oklahoma

3. Alamo: Texas

4. Buffalo Wild Wings: Oklahoma St.

5. Holiday: T C U

6. Meineke Car Care of Texas: Texas Tech

7. Pinstripe: West Virginia

8. Heart of Dallas: Baylor

Iowa St: Biting their nails and hoping Kent State loses or both Pitt and UConn lose.

 

Conference USA

Central Florida and Tulsa hook up in the title game in Tulsa this week, where the two teams faced off two weeks ago.  This time, we believe UCF will get the better of the Hurricane.

Rice and SMU became bowl eligible this past weekend, so the league will fill its bowl allotments.  The Owls are actually the hottest team in this league.  Coach David Bailiff was on the hot seat five weeks ago, but now he is being mentioned in other job openings.  This was to be a rebuilding season in Houston.

BOWLS

1. Liberty: Central Florida

2. Hawaii: Tulsa

3. Armed Forces: S M U

4. Beef O’Brady’s: East Carolina

5. New Orleans: Rice

 

Independents

Notre Dame secured a spot in the National Championship Game with the win at Southern Cal.  BYU and Navy have already accepted bids to the bowls tied in with the two schools.  Army must relinquish its Military Bowl bid to an at-large entry.

BOWLS

1. BCS (National Championship Game): Notre Dame

2. Poinsettia: Brigham Young (accepted this bid)

3. Kraft Fight Hunger: Navy (accepted this bid)

4. Military: None Available

 

Mid-American Conference

To this point, we have not really mentioned Northern Illinois.  The Huskies are 11-1, just like Kent State, and this is a tossup game that will be played in Detroit.  NIU does not have a big signature win against a BCS team, having lost to Iowa in Chicago in week one before running off 11 wins in a row.  However, second year coach Dave Doeren has done a great job in Dekalb, keeping this program among the tops at the non-AQ level.  Doeren could be poised to move up to a BCS conference job.

Central Michigan became bowl eligible with a win over Massachusetts, but it now looks highly unlikely that the 6-6 Chippewas will get an at-large bid.  However, Toledo, Ball State, Bowling Green, and Ohio U should all garner bids as well as the two championship game combatants.

BOWLS

1. BCS (Orange): Kent St.

2. Little Caesars: Northern Illinois

3. GoDaddy.com: Toledo

4. Famous Idaho Potato: Bowling Green

5. Military (at-large): Ohio U

6. Liberty (at-large): Ball St.

 

Mountain West Conference

Boise State is now out of luck and cannot possibly sneak into the BCS Bowl picture.  Both Kent State and Northern Illinois are ahead of the Broncos in the BCS standings.  A Bronco win over Nevada this week will see the conference end in a three-way tie for first.  Boise’s fans travel well, so the Broncos should be first in line in the bowl pecking order.

Two teams have already accepted bowl invitations.  Air Force is headed to the Armed Forces Bowl, while Nevada just accepted a bid to the New Mexico Bowl.

BOWLS

1. MAACO: Boise St.

2. Poinsettia: San Diego St.

3. Hawaii: Fresno St.

4. Armed Forces: Air Force (accepted this bid)

5. New Mexico: Nevada (accepted this bid)

 

Pac-12 Conference

Stanford hosts UCLA for the Rose Bowl bid, just six days after clobbering the Bruins at the Rose Bowl.  A Cardinal win Friday night could be the coup de grace for the Big 12 getting a second BCS Bowl invitation.

Oregon is almost a shoo-in for the Fiesta Bowl, as the Fiesta Bowl will get the second choice from among the at-large invitations.  The Sugar Bowl selects ahead of the Fiesta, but we believe an SEC team will be their selection.  It might be interesting to see Oregon face Kent State in the Sugar Bowl to see if the Ducks could go for 100 points.

BOWLS

1. BCS (Rose): Stanford

2. BCS (Fiesta): Oregon

3. Alamo: U C L A

4. Holiday: Oregon St.

5. Sun: Arizona St.

6. MAACO: Southern Cal

7. Kraft Fight Hunger: Washington

8. New Mexico: Arizona

 

Southeastern Conference

The Alabama-Georgia game in Atlanta this weekend serves as a semifinal game for the national championship.  Because Florida will almost assuredly finish third in the BCS rankings, the loser of the SEC Championship Game will drop possibly as far as the fifth bowl in the pecking order, especially if Georgia loses.

Ole Miss became bowl eligible with their Egg Bowl win over Mississippi State, but the SEC will fall two teams short in bowl obligations.  That means the Liberty and Independence Bowls will have to find at-large participants.

Texas A&M quarterback Johnny Manziel may have a new nickname.  Instead of Johnny Football, he could soon be known as Johnny Heisman.  He and Notre Dame’s Manti Te’o are the only two legitimate contenders for the Heisman Trophy.

BOWLS

1. BCS (National Championship Game): Alabama

2. BCS (Sugar): Florida

3. Capital One: L S U

4. Outback: South Carolina

5. Cotton: Texas A&M

6. Chick-fil-A: Georgia

7. Gator: Mississippi St.

8. Music City: Vanderbilt

9. BBVA Compass: Ole Miss

10. Liberty: None Available

11. Independence: None Available

 

Sunbelt Conference

The conference championship will be decided this weekend when Middle Tennessee goes to Jonesboro to play Arkansas State.  The winner will earn a trip to the GoDaddy.com bowl, while the loser may have to head to Detroit as an at-large team.

UL-Lafayette accepted a bid to the New Orleans Bowl over the weekend.  UL-Monroe and Western Kentucky should also see bowl invitations extended.

BOWLS

1. GoDaddy.com: Arkansas St.

2. New Orleans: UL-Lafayette (accepted this bid)

3. Little Caesar’s (at-large): Middle Tennessee

4. Independence (at-large): UL-Monroe

5. Beef  O’Brady’s (at-large): Western Kentucky

 

Western Athletic Conference

Too bad this league will no longer compete in football as most of the teams vacate to other conferences next year.  Truth be told, the top three in the WAC might be better than the top three in the Big East and close to the equal of the top three in the ACC.

Utah State, San Jose State, and Louisiana Tech will earn bowl bids.  UT-San Antonio finished 8-4, but the Roadrunners are not eligible to compete in a bowl due to being in transition to the FBS.

The one sad point is that the top three teams may all lose their coaches to bigger programs.  Gary Andersen, Mike MacIntyre, and Sonny Dykes are sizzling hot commodities.

BOWLS

1. Famous Idaho Potato: Utah St. (accepted this bid)

2. Independence (at-large): Louisiana Tech

3. Military (at-large): San Jose St.

 

Bowl Projections

Bowl Conference Team Conference Team
New Mexico MWC # 4/5 Nevada Pac12 #7 / WAC Arizona
Famous Idaho Pot. MAC #3 Bowling Green WAC #1/2 Utah St.
Poinsettia MWC #2 San Diego St. BYU/WAC B Y U √
Beef O’Brady’s Big East #6 (Western Ky.) C-USA #2-5 (4) East Carolina
New Orleans Sunbelt #1 UL-Lafayette √ C-USA #2-5 (5) Rice
MAACO MWC #1 Boise St. Pac 12 #5 Southern Cal
Hawaii MWC #3/Hawaii Fresno St. C-USA #2-5 (2) Tulsa
Little Caesar’s
Big 10 #8 (Middle Tenn.) MAC #1 Northern Illinois
Military ACC #8 (Ohio U) Army/CUSA (San Jose St.)
Belk ACC #5 Duke Big East #3 Cincinnati
Holiday Pac 12 #3 Oregon St. Big 12 #5 T C U
Independence ACC #6/7 (7) (Louisiana Tech) SEC #10 (UL-Monroe)
Russell Athletic Big East #2 Louisville ACC #3 Virginia Tech
Meineke Car Care Big 12 #6 Texas Tech Big 10 #6 Minnesota
Armed Forces C-USA #3 S M U MWC #4-5 Air Force √
Kraft Fight Hunger Pac 12 #6 Washington Navy/ACC Navy √
Pinstripe Big East #4 Pittsburgh Big 12 #7 West Va.
Alamo Big 12 #3 Texas Pac 12 #2 U C L A
Buffalo Wild Wings Big 12 #4 Oklahoma St. Big 10 #4 or 5 Michigan St.
Music City SEC # 7 Vanderbilt ACC #6 North Carolina St.
Sun ACC #4 Georgia Tech Pac 12 #4 Arizona St.
Liberty SEC#8-9/BigEast (Ball St.) C-USA #1 Central Florida
Chick-fil-A SEC #5 Georgia ACC #2 Clemson
Heart of Dallas Big 10 #7 Purdue Big 12 #8 Baylor
Gator Big 10 #4 or 5 Wisconsin SEC #6 Mississippi St.
Capital One Big 10 #2 Michigan SEC #2 L S U
Outback SEC #3 or 4 South Carolina Big 10 #3 Northwestern
Rose BCS Pac12 Stanford BCS Big 10 Nebraska
Orange BCS ACC Florida St. BCS At-Large Kent St.
Sugar BCS SEC Florida BCS At-Large Rutgers
Fiesta BCS Big 12 Kansas St. BCS At-Large Oregon
Cotton Big 12 #2 Oklahoma SEC #3 or 4 Texas A&M
BBVA Compass Big East#5/CUSA Syracuse SEC #8 or 9 Ole Miss
GoDaddy.com Sunbelt # 2 Arkansas St. MAC #2 Toledo
Nat’l Championship *** BCS #1 *** Notre Dame *** BCS #2 *** Alabama
√ = Team has already accepted this bowl bid

Here are this week’s PiRate Ratings

P i R a t e
# Team PiRate
1 Alabama 133.4
2 Oregon   131.7
3 Texas A&M 128.3
4 Kansas St. 127.5
5 Oklahoma 127.1
6 Oklahoma St. 125.3
7 Notre Dame 125.2
8 Georgia 124.9
9 L S U   123.2
10 South Carolina 123.0
11 Florida St. 121.4
12 Stanford 120.8
13 Florida 120.5
14 Clemson   119.3
15 U S C 117.9
16 Texas 117.5
17 Oregon St. 115.4
18 Baylor 115.1
19 Ohio St. 114.8
20 Nebraska 114.6
21 U C L A 114.6
22 Michigan 114.4
23 T C U 114.0
24 Wisconsin   113.6
25 Vanderbilt 113.0
26 B Y U 112.3
27 West Virginia 111.9
28 Arizona St. 110.3
29 Michigan St. 110.1
30 Mississippi St. 109.8
31 Arizona 109.7
32 Penn St. 109.6
33 Iowa St. 109.5
34 Texas Tech 109.3
35 Washington 109.2
36 Northwestern 108.8
37 Ole Miss 108.4
38 North Carolina 107.9
39 Tennessee 107.3
40 Missouri 107.1
41 Boise St. 106.8
42 Northern Illinois   106.1
43 Syracuse 105.9
44 Fresno St. 105.7
45 Georgia Tech 105.5
46 Utah 105.5
47 Rutgers 105.4
48 Central Florida 105.4
49 Utah St. 105.2
50 Miami-FL 104.2
51 Tulsa 103.9
52 North Carolina St. 103.8
53 Virginia Tech 103.3
54 Cincinnati 103.3
55 Pittsburgh 103.2
56 Louisiana Tech   103.1
57 San Jose St. 102.7
58 Arkansas 102.4
59 Louisville 100.8
60 San Diego St. 100.6
61 Purdue 100.3
62 Ball St. 99.7
63 California 99.6
64 Kent St. 99.4
65 Auburn 98.2
66 Arkansas St. 97.7
67 Iowa 97.4
68 South Florida 97.2
69 Kansas 97.2
70 Connecticut 96.9
71 Duke 96.7
72 Toledo 96.7
73 Virginia 96.3
74 Minnesota 96.1
75 S M U 96.0
76 Bowling Green 95.9
77 Boston College 95.4
78 Maryland 95.1
79 UL-Lafayette 95.0
80 Nevada 94.9
81 Louisiana-Monroe 94.6
82 Washington St. 93.8
83 East Carolina 93.4
84 Rice 92.5
85 Navy 92.1
86 Indiana 91.8
87 Western Kentucky 91.5
88 Houston 90.1
89 Western Michigan 89.7
90 Wake Forest 89.4
91 Ohio U 89.2
92 Kentucky 89.2
93 Temple 89.1
94 Marshall 88.9
95 Troy 88.9
96 Illinois 88.5
97 U T E P 87.6
98 Wyoming 87.5
99 Air Force 87.1
100 Middle Tennessee 86.7
101 North Texas 85.9
102 Central Michigan 85.7
103 Buffalo 85.2
104 Florida International 85.2
105 Army 84.3
106 Miami (O) 84.3
107 Colorado St. 83.5
108 U A B 83.0
109 New Mexico 82.6
110 Memphis 82.0
111 Southern Mississippi   80.8
112 Colorado 80.1
113 Florida Atlantic 79.9
114 Eastern Michigan 79.7
115 Texas St. 79.5
116 Hawaii 79.1
117 UNLV 78.8
118 U T S A 77.7
119 Tulane 75.3
120 South Alabama 74.9
121 Akron 74.3
122 Idaho 73.2
123 New Mexico St. 72.1
124 Massachusetts 68.1

 

V i n t a g e
# Team Vintage
1 Alabama 127.5
2 Georgia  127.5
3 Notre Dame 126.0
4 Texas A&M 125.5
5 Stanford 125.0
6 Oregon 125.0
7 L S U 124.5
8 Ohio St. 124.5
9 Florida  123.5
10 South Carolina 121.5
11 Kansas St. 121.5
12 Oklahoma 120.5
13 Nebraska 119.0
14 Michigan 118.0
15 Oklahoma St. 117.5
16 Florida St. 116.5
17 Vanderbilt 114.5
18 Clemson 114.0
19 U C L A 114.0
20 Oregon St. 113.5
21 Penn St. 113.5
22 Northwestern 112.5
23 Southern Cal 112.0
24 B Y U 111.5
25 T C U 111.0
26 Ole Miss 110.5
27 Wisconsin 110.5
28 Fresno St. 109.5
29 Boise St. 109.5
30 San Diego St. 109.5
31 Texas 109.5
32 Michigan St. 109.5
33 Mississippi St. 109.0
34 Utah St. 108.5
35 Baylor 108.5
36 Arizona St. 108.0
37 Arizona 107.5
38 North Carolina St. 107.5
39 Washington 107.0
40 North Carolina 106.5
41 Kent St. 106.0
42 Cincinnati 106.0
43 West Virginia 106.0
44 Northern Illinois 105.5
45 Miami 105.0
46 Virginia Tech 105.0
47 Texas Tech 105.0
48 Syracuse 104.5
49 San Jose St. 104.5
50 Utah 104.0
51 Central Florida 103.5
52 Iowa St. 103.5
53 Georgia Tech 103.0
54 Missouri 103.0
55 Arkansas 103.0
56 Louisiana Tech 102.5
57 Louisville 101.5
58 Rutgers 101.5
59 Tulsa 100.5
60 Nevada 100.0
61 Virginia 100.0
62 Purdue 99.5
63 Arkansas St. 99.5
64 Ball St. 99.5
65 Bowling Green 99.5
66 Tennessee 99.0
67 Duke 98.5
68 Pittsburgh 98.0
69 Minnesota 98.0
70 Boston College 97.5
71 Toledo 96.5
72 California 96.0
73 Kansas 95.5
74 East Carolina 95.0
75 Navy 95.0
76 Connecticut 94.5
77 Rice 94.0
78 UL-Lafayette 94.0
79 Indiana 94.0
80 Iowa 93.5
81 Middle Tennessee 93.0
82 Ohio U 93.0
83 Temple 93.0
84 S M U 92.5
85 Auburn 92.5
86 Wake Forest 92.5
87 UL-Monroe 92.0
88 Maryland 91.5
89 Kentucky 91.0
90 Air Force 90.0
91 South Florida 90.0
92 Washington St. 90.0
93 Central Michigan 89.5
94 Illinois 89.5
95 Western Kentucky 89.0
96 Troy 88.5
97 Colorado 88.5
98 Wyoming 88.0
99 Marshall 88.0
100 Colorado St. 88.0
101 U T S A 87.5
102 Buffalo 87.5
103 Army 87.0
104 Memphis 86.0
105 Miami (O) 85.0
106 Houston 84.5
107 New Mexico 84.5
108 Texas St. 84.5
109 U A B 83.5
110 Western Michigan 83.5
111 Florida Int’l 83.0
112 U N L V 82.5
113 U T E P 82.0
114 Eastern Michigan 80.5
115 Florida Atlantic 80.0
116 Hawaii 79.5
117 North Texas 79.0
118 Akron 78.5
119 Tulane 76.0
120 Massachusetts 75.5
121 South Alabama 75.0
122 Southern Miss. 74.5
123 Idaho 74.5
124 New Mexico St. 69.0

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Florida St. 7-1 10-2 121.4 116.5
Clemson   7-1 10-2 119.3 114.0
North Carolina St. 4-4 7-5 103.8 107.5
Boston College 1-7 2-10 95.4 97.5
Maryland 2-6 4-8 95.1 91.5
Wake Forest 3-5 5-7 89.4 92.5
         
Coastal Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
North Carolina 5-3 8-4 107.9 106.5
Georgia Tech 5-3 6-6 105.5 103.0
Miami-FL 5-3 8-4 104.2 105.0
Virginia Tech 4-4 6-6 103.3 105.0
Duke 3-5 6-6 96.7 98.5
Virginia 2-6 4-8 96.3 100.0
         
         
Conference Means 103.16   103.19 103.1

 

 

Big East Conference
         
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Syracuse 5-2 7-5 105.9 104.5
Rutgers 5-1 9-2 105.4 101.5
Cincinnati 4-2 8-3 103.3 106.0
Pittsburgh 2-4 5-6 103.2 98.0
Louisville 4-2 9-2 100.8 101.5
South Florida 1-5 3-8 97.2 90.0
Connecticut 2-4 5-6 96.9 94.5
Temple 2-5 4-7 89.1 93.0
         
         
Conference Means 99.425   100.23 98.6

 

 

Big Ten
         
Leaders Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Ohio St. 8-0 12-0 114.8 124.5
Wisconsin   4-4 7-5 113.6 110.5
Penn St. 6-2 8-4 109.6 113.5
Purdue 3-5 6-6 100.3 99.5
Indiana 2-6 4-8 91.8 94.0
Illinois 0-8 2-10 88.5 89.5
         
Legends Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Nebraska 7-1 10-2 114.6 119.0
Michigan 6-2 8-4 114.4 118.0
Michigan St. 3-5 6-6 110.1 109.5
Northwestern 5-3 9-3 108.8 112.5
Iowa 2-6 4-8 97.4 93.5
Minnesota 2-6 6-6 96.1 98.0
         
Conference Means 105.917   105.00 106.8

 

 

Big 12
         
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Kansas St. 7-1 10-1 127.5 121.5
Oklahoma 7-1 9-2 127.1 120.5
Oklahoma St. 5-3 7-4 125.3 117.5
Texas 5-3 8-3 117.5 109.5
Baylor 3-5 6-5 115.1 108.5
T C U 4-4 7-4 114.0 111.0
West Virginia 3-5 6-5 111.9 106.0
Iowa St. 3-6 6-6 109.5 103.5
Texas Tech 4-5 7-5 109.3 105.0
Kansas 0-8 1-10 97.2 95.5
         
         
Conference Means 112.645   115.44 109.9

 

 

Conference USA
East Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Central Florida 7-1 9-3 105.4 103.5
East Carolina 7-1 8-4 93.4 95.0
Marshall 4-4 5-7 88.9 88.0
U A B 2-6 3-9 83.0 83.5
Memphis 4-4 4-8 82.0 86.0
Southern Mississippi   0-8 0-12 80.8 74.5
         
West Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Tulsa 7-1 9-3 103.9 100.5
S M U 5-3 6-6 96.0 92.5
Rice 4-4 6-6 92.5 94.0
Houston 4-4 5-7 90.1 84.5
U T E P 2-6 3-9 87.6 82.0
Tulane 2-6 2-10 75.3 76.0
         
         
Conference Means 89.1208   89.91 88.3

 

 

Independents
         
Team   Overall Rating Vintage
Notre Dame   12-0 125.2 126.0
B Y U   7-5 112.3 111.5
Navy   7-4 92.1 95.0
Army   2-9 84.3 87.0
         
         
Conference Means 104.175   103.48 104.9

 

 

Mid American Conference
East Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Kent St. 8-0 11-1 99.4 106.0
Bowling Green 6-2 8-4 95.9 99.5
Ohio U 4-4 8-4 89.2 93.0
Buffalo 3-5 4-8 85.2 87.5
Miami (O) 3-5 4-8 84.3 85.0
Akron 0-8 1-11 74.3 78.5
Massachusetts 1-7 1-11 68.1 75.5
         
West Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Northern Illinois   8-0 11-1 106.1 105.5
Ball St. 6-2 9-3 99.7 99.5
Toledo 6-2 9-3 96.7 96.5
Western Michigan 2-6 4-8 89.7 83.5
Central Michigan 4-4 6-6 85.7 89.5
Eastern Michigan 1-7 2-10 79.7 80.5
         
         
Conference Means 89.7692   88.77 90.8

 

 

Mountain West Conference
         
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Boise St. 6-1 9-2 106.8 109.5
Fresno St. 7-1 9-3 105.7 109.5
San Diego St. 7-1 9-3 100.6 109.5
Nevada 4-3 7-4 94.9 100.0
Wyoming 3-5 4-8 87.5 88.0
Air Force 5-3 6-6 87.1 90.0
Colorado St. 3-5 4-8 83.5 88.0
New Mexico 1-7 4-9 82.6 84.5
Hawaii 1-7 2-9 79.1 79.5
UNLV 2-6 2-11 78.8 82.5
         
         
Conference Means 92.38   90.66 94.1

 

 

Pac-12 Conference
North Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Oregon   8-1 11-1 131.7 125.0
Stanford 8-1 10-2 120.8 125.0
Oregon St. 6-3 8-3 115.4 113.5
Washington 5-4 7-5 109.2 107.0
California 2-7 3-9 99.6 96.0
Washington St. 1-8 3-9 93.8 90.0
         
South Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
U S C 5-4 7-5 117.9 112.0
U C L A 6-3 9-3 114.6 114.0
Arizona St. 5-4 7-5 110.3 108.0
Arizona 4-5 7-5 109.7 107.5
Utah 3-6 5-7 105.5 104.0
Colorado 1-8 1-11 80.1 88.5
         
         
Conference Means 108.296   109.05 107.5

 

 

Southeastern Conference
East Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Georgia 7-1 11-1 124.9 127.5
South Carolina 6-2 10-2 123.0 121.5
Florida 7-1 11-1 120.5 123.5
Vanderbilt 5-3 8-4 113.0 114.5
Tennessee 1-7 5-7 107.3 99.0
Missouri 2-6 5-7 107.1 103.0
Kentucky 0-8 2-10 89.2 91.0
         
West Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Alabama 7-1 11-1 133.4 127.5
Texas A&M 6-2 10-2 128.3 125.5
L S U   6-2 10-2 123.2 124.5
Mississippi St. 4-4 8-4 109.8 109.0
Ole Miss 3-5 6-6 108.4 110.5
Arkansas 2-6 4-8 102.4 103.0
Auburn 0-8 3-9 98.2 92.5
         
         
Conference Means 112.9   113.48 112.3

 

 

Sunbelt Conference
         
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Arkansas St. 6-1 8-3 97.7 99.5
UL-Lafayette 5-2 7-4 95.0 94.0
Louisiana-Monroe 6-2 8-4 94.6 92.0
Western Kentucky 4-4 7-5 91.5 89.0
Troy 3-5 5-7 88.9 88.5
Middle Tennessee 6-1 8-3 86.7 93.0
North Texas 3-5 4-8 85.9 79.0
Florida International 2-6 3-9 85.2 83.0
Florida Atlantic 2-5 3-8 79.9 80.0
South Alabama 1-7 2-10 74.9 75.5
         
         
Conference Means 87.69   88.03 87.4

 

 

Western Athletic Conference
         
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Utah St. 6-0 10-2 105.2 108.5
Louisiana Tech   4-2 9-3 103.1 102.5
San Jose St. 5-1 10-2 102.7 104.5
Texas St. 1-4 3-8 79.5 84.5
U T S A 3-3 8-4 77.7 87.5
Idaho 1-5 1-11 73.2 74.5
New Mexico St. 0-5 1-10 72.1 69.0
         
         
Conference Means 88.8929   87.64 90.1

 

 

This Week’s PiRate Spreads

This Week’s Games
Favorite Underdog PiRate Vintage Line
Thursday, November 29      
RUTGERS Louisville 7.6 3.0 3   
       
Friday, November 23      
Northern Illinois (Detroit) Kent St. 6.7 -0.5 5   
STANFORD U c l a 9.2 14.0 9   
         
Saturday, November 24      
Cincinnati CONNECTICUT 3.4 8.5 5 1/2
Pittsburgh SOUTH FLORIDA 3.0 5.0 6   
Oklahoma T C U 10.1 6.5 6 1/2
KANSAS ST. Texas 13.0 15.0 12   
Oklahoma St. BAYLOR 7.2 6.0 4 1/2
Boise St. NEVADA 8.9 6.5 9   
WEST VIRGINIA Kansas 17.7 13.5 20   
TEXAS ST. New Mexico St. 9.4 17.5 13   
ARKANSAS ST. Middle Tennessee 14.0 9.5 10   
UL-Lafayette FLORIDA ATLANTIC 13.1 12.0 9 1/2
HAWAII South Alabama 8.2 8.0 4 1/2
TULSA Central Florida 1.5 0.0 Pk
Alabama (Atlanta) Georgia 7.0 -1.5 7 1/2
Florida St. (Charlotte) Georgia Tech 15.9 13.5 14   
Nebraska (Indianapolis) Wisconsin 1.0 8.5 2 1/2

 

Saturday, December 8, 2012

Favorite Underdog PiRate Vintage Line
Navy (Philadelphia) Army 7.8 8.0 NL

 

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