PiRate Ratings For College Football: November 20-24, 2012

Will There Be 70?

Sunday, the University of Miami self-imposed a bowl ban, and with that the Hurricanes will not be eligible for the ACC Championship Game.

 

That brings to four the number of bowl eligible teams that will not be in bowls this year—Ohio State, Penn State, North Carolina, and Miami.

 

This presents a problem for the bowls.  With 35 bowls, 70 bowl-eligible teams are required.  As of today, only 63 teams are bowl eligible.  Additionally, Georgia Tech could now be looking at a 6-7 record if they lose to Georgia this week and Florida State in the ACC Championship Game next week.  The Yellow Jackets would be allowed to go bowling, just like UCLA last year.

 

Let’s take a look at the conference-by-conference bowl outlook.

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Florida State is virtually assured of going to the Orange Bowl.  The Seminoles wrapped up the Atlantic Division title with a win over Maryland, who has started as many quarterbacks as they have jersey combinations.  FSU can play spoiler this week when they host rival Florida.  A win over the Gators could keep Florida out of a possible National Championship Game (Georgia would have to lose to Georgia Tech and beat Alabama, or Alabama would have to lose to Auburn and beat Georgia).

 

Clemson appeared to be a lock for a BCS at-large bowl bid if they beat South Carolina, but now that is not so certain.  In fact, it is unlikely, unless Oklahoma loses another game.  The Tigers must root for UCLA to pull off another upset and beat Stanford this week and then lose to Oregon in the Pac-12 Championship Game.  If Oregon isn’t in the Rose Bowl, they will be in another BCS Bowl, and that will not leave a bid for an 11-1 Clemson team.  Of course, CU has to beat South Carolina, and that is not a given.

 

North Carolina State is the only other bowl eligible team from the Atlantic Division.  Wake Forest is 5-6, and the Deacons must win at home against 7-4 Vanderbilt this week to become bowl eligible.  Vandy beat Wake last year 41-7.

 

With Miami and North Carolina both out of the picture, the ACC faces the same dilemma as the Big Ten.  The Coastal Division will send the number three team to the title game.  Georgia Tech will probably be 6-6 and playing in that game.

 

Duke is bowl eligible, and the Blue Devils are staring at a 6-6 record and four consecutive losses to end the regular season.  Virginia Tech is 5-6 and defeat Virginia this weekend to make it to a bowl.

 

If the Hokies and Deacons fail to win this week, and if Clemson sneaks into a BCS Bowl game, the ACC is going to fall four teams short in its bowl responsibilities.  That would force the Belk, Music City, Independence, and Military bowls to find at-large entries.  We think VT will win this week, while Wake Forest loses.  We are going to be generous to the ACC bowl tie-ins and say that Clemson will not receive a BCS at-large bowl bid.  That leaves the league just two bowls short this year.

 

Thanks to Under Armor, it looks like Maryland could be leaving the ACC for the Big Ten.  Will the Terps continue their trend of multiplicity?

 

BOWLS

1. BCS (Orange): Florida State

2. Chick-fil-A: Clemson

3. Russell Athletic: North Carolina St.

4. Sun: Georgia Tech

5. Belk: Virginia Tech

6. Music City: Duke

7. Independence: None Available

8. Military: None Available

 

Big East Conference

There are four bowl eligible teams for six bowl tie-ins, but at least the Big East still has a chance to fill the fifth and sixth bowls (we believe they will not fill those slots).

 

Rutgers and Louisville are the two contenders for the automatic BCS Bowl bid, and the winner of their November 29 game will become the last team chosen in the BCS Bowl pecking order (The Orange Bowl).  By the way, if Maryland leaves the ACC for the Big Ten, it looks like Rutgers will leave the Big East and join the Terps.

 

Cincinnati and Syracuse are the other two bowl eligible teams.  Syracuse is almost a lock to play in the Pinstripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium.  Connecticut, Pittsburgh, and Temple can still get to 6-6 and become bowl eligible, but we cannot see any of this trio winning out.  UConn finishes at Louisville and at home with Cincinnati.  Pitt hosts Rutgers and closes at South Florida.  Temple has the best chance, but the Owls have to upset Syracuse Friday and then hope they can get a waiver at 5-6 because they did not get to schedule a 12^th game.  Their proposed hastily-scheduled game against Hawaii was called off.

 

BOWLS

1. BCS (Orange): Rutgers

2. Russell Athletic: Louisville

3. Belk: Cincinnati

4. Pinstripe: Syracuse

5. BBVA Compass: None Available

6. Beef O’Brady’s: None Available

 

Big Ten Conference

Ohio State could still earn part of a national championship.  If the Buckeyes thrash Michigan this weekend, and then Notre Dame loses (and probably Alabama loses in the SEC Championship Game), Ohio State could earn the Associated Press National Championship.

 

The Rose Bowl will be just another game this year, because the best team will not be there.  At best, an 11-2 Nebraska team will represent the league.  At worst, an 8-5 Wisconsin team will sneak into Pasadena.

 

Along with the Cornhuskers and Badgers, Michigan, Northwestern, and Minnesota are bowl eligible.  Michigan State must win at Minnesota this week to become bowl eligible, and this is an iffy proposition.  Purdue must beat Indiana, and this is also an iffy proposition.  If both teams lose, then there is virtually no chance there will be 70 teams with 6-6 records or better.

 

BOWLS

1. BCS (Rose): Nebraska

2. Capital One: Michigan

3. Outback: Northwestern

4. Buffalo Wild Wings: Wisconsin

5. Gator: Michigan St.

6. Meineke Car Care of Texas: Minnesota

7. Heart of Dallas: Purdue

8. Little Caesar’s: None Available

 

Big 12 Conference

Ouch!  Kansas State was so close, and now they can only hope for a Fiesta Bowl bid.  The Wildcats must still beat Texas, and the Longhorns’ defense has improved a lot since the Oklahoma game.

 

Oklahoma will steal an at-large bid away from any non-SEC 11-1 teams if the Sooners beat Oklahoma State and TCU to finish 10-2.

 

With Baylor’s big upset, it looks like nine of the ten members will become bowl eligible.  However, it has not yet happened.  West Virginia has lost five games in a row after starting 5-0.  The Mountaineers still have games at Iowa State and at home against Kansas, and losing to the Jayhawks would be an astronomical upset.  Baylor plays Texas Tech at Cowboys Stadium and finishes at home against Oklahoma State.  We think the Bears will get that sixth win this weekend at the Jerry Dome.

 

BOWLS

1. BCS (Fiesta): Kansas St.

2. BCS At-Large (Sugar): Oklahoma

3. Cotton: Texas

4. Alamo: Oklahoma St.

5. Buffalo Wild Wings: Texas Tech

6. Holiday: T C U

7. Meineke Car Care of Texas: Baylor

8. Pinstripe: West Virginia

9. Heart of Dallas: Iowa St.

 

Conference USA

Tulsa beat Central Florida Saturday by two points, and it looks like the two teams will do it again in the CUSA Championship Game.  If UCF loses at home to UAB this week, and East Carolina beats Marshall, then ECU would win the East, but we give that about a 2% chance of happening.

 

Tulsa, UCF, and ECU are the only bowl eligible teams, but there are three 5-6 teams with a chance to become bowl eligible.  Marshall would have to win at ECU.  SMU would have to upset Tulsa.  Neither one of those scenarios looks all that promising.  However, the third team, Rice, has a legitimate shot to get their sixth win this week.  The Owls were given up for dead at 1-5 after losing to Memphis.  It was almost a given that Rice would be looking to make a coaching change.  Then, the Owls got hot.  They beat a decent UTSA team by 20 in a non-conference match, and then they gave Tulsa a real scare, losing late.  Since that loss, Rice has won three straight games, while averaging 43 points per game.  If the Owls beat UTEP this week, they are going bowling.

 

BOWLS

1. Liberty: Central Florida (beats Tulsa in a rematch)

2. Hawaii: Tulsa

3. Armed Forces: Rice

4. Beef O’Brady’s: East Carolina

5. New Orleans: None Available

 

Independents

Notre Dame could not ask for a better setup.  The Irish are one win away from going to the National Championship Game, and they face a Southern Cal team that will not have Matt Barkley available.

 

Brigham Young and Navy are already set in their games.  Army is not bowl eligible this year, so there will be one more bowl looking for an at-large team.

 

BOWLS

1. BCS (National Championship Game): Notre Dame

2. Poinsettia: Brigham Young (has already accepted this bid)

3. Kraft Fight Hunger: Navy (has already accepted this bid)

4. Military: None Available

 

Mid-American Conference

With Miami of Florida dropping out of the bowl picture, the MAC could now send an unheard of seven teams to bowls.  Six are already bowl eligible, and a seventh should become so this week.

 

Kent State and Northern Illinois have already clinched spots in the MAC Championship Game, and if Kent State wins, there is an outside shot that the Golden Flashes could sneak into the BCS Bowl picture.  Wisconsin or Georgia Tech would have to win a conference championship game, and then Kent State would have to move up to number 16 in the BCS rankings.  Kent State has games with Ohio U and Northern Illinois remaining and could move up a couple spots with wins in those games.  However, that would still leave them short.  The Flashes are number 23 in the BCS poll and would need losses from multiple teams including Boise State, Oklahoma State, Louisville, Michigan, Rutgers, UCLA, and Texas.

 

Outside of the top two in the MAC, Toledo, Bowling Green, Ohio U, and Ball State can pretty much make plans to play after December 20.  If Central Michigan upends UMass this week (which they should), the Chippewas could be the beneficiary of the seventh MAC bowl bid and become the only 6-6 at-large team available.

 

BOWLS

1. Little Caesar’s: Kent St.

2. GoDaddy.com: Toledo (gets bid over NIU which went there last year)

3. Famous Idaho Potato: Northern Illinois

4. BBVA Compass (at-large): Ball St.

5. Beef O’Brady’s (at-large): Ohio U

6. Military (at-large): Bowling Green

7. Independence (at-large): Central Michigan

 

Mountain West Conference

The MWC has five bowl tie-ins and five available teams.  Unfortunately, there will be no BCS at-large bowl bids available (although Boise State still has a remote chance).

 

We are more than likely looking at a three-way tie for the conference championship, so the MAACO Bowl can choose from among three teams.

 

BOWLS

1. MAACO: Boise St.

2. Poinsettia: Fresno St.

3. Hawaii: San Diego St.

4. Armed Forces: Air Force (has already accepted this bid)

5. New Mexico: Nevada

 

Pac-12 Conference

Oregon’s loss may be bittersweet for this league.  While the Ducks are almost assured of missing out of the national title game and possibly eliminated from the conference title game, they will get an at-large BCS Bowl bid.

 

If Stanford beats UCLA this week, they will play them again the following week for the Pac-12 title.  The winner of that game would earn the Rose Bowl, and Oregon would almost be a guarantee for the Fiesta Bowl.

 

Five other teams are bowl eligible.  Oregon State is looking at a 9-3 season, while Arizona and Washington could both be 8-4.  All three teams would move ahead of USC, which should finish 7-5.  Arizona State is the eighth Pac-12 bowl team.

 

BOWLS

1. BCS (Rose): Stanford

2. BCS At-large (Fiesta): Oregon

3. Alamo: UCLA

4. Holiday: Oregon St.

5. Sun: Arizona

6: MAACO: Washington

7. Kraft Fight Hunger: Southern Cal

8. New Mexico: Arizona St.

 

Southeastern Conference

It sounds like a horror movie, where you think the beast has been killed, but it always comes back for the sequel.  Yes, the winner of the Alabama-Georgia game is almost a lock to play in the National Championship Game.  And if the unthinkable happens and Notre Dame loses to Southern Cal, a Florida win over Florida State would put the Gators in the National Championship Game against the SEC Championship Game winner.  Can you imagine a Florida-Georgia title game?  It would be like Major League Baseball finding a way to put the Yankees and Red Sox in the World Series when both teams won 100 games.

 

The big question here is who gets the second BCS Bowl bid if Florida loses to Florida State and the Gators, LSU, and Texas A&M all have two losses?  Throw in South Carolina if the Gamecocks upend Clemson.

 

With Arkansas and Tennessee losing this past weekend, the SEC will not furnish enough teams to its allocated bowls.  Missouri and Ole Miss lost as well, and we don’t see both teams winning this week to become bowl eligible.  At best, just Ole Miss will get to 6-6 in an upset at home against Mississippi State.  If the Rebels lose, then we believe there will not be 70 bowl eligible teams when all is said and done.

 

BOWLS

1. BCS (National Championship Game): Alabama

2. BCS (Sugar): Texas A&M (If FSU beats UF, Johnny Football wins out)

3. Capital One: Georgia

4. Outback: Florida

5. Cotton: L S U

6. Chick-fil-A: South Carolina

7. Gator: Mississippi St.

8. Music City: Vanderbilt

9: Liberty: Ole Miss

10. BBVA Compass: None Available

11. Independence: None Available

 

Sunbelt Conference

It is now almost a given that this league will send five teams to bowls.  They have two automatic bowl tie-ins and two more supplemental bowl tie-ins, but in order to fit all 70 teams into bowls and not force teams from the same conference to play in a bowl, we think that one of those supplemental bowl tie-ins will defer to a tertiary bowl agreement and send an SBC team to another bowl altogether.  It sounds complicated, but here goes.

 

The champion goes to the New Orleans Bowl, and a second team goes to the GoDaddy.com Bowl.  The league has secondary bowl agreements with the Little Caesar’s and Beef O’Brady’s Bowls.  However, the MAC has a tertiary agreement with the Beef O’Brady’s Bowl, and in order to avoid two MAC teams from playing each other in a bowl, BOB Bowl will need to invite a MAC team over an SBC team.

 

Troy still has a chance to become bowl eligible at 6-6, if the Trojans can win at Middle Tennessee this week.  The Blue Raiders are still in contention for the SBC Championship; they face Arkansas State in Jonesboro in two weeks.

 

BOWLS

1. New Orleans: Arkansas St.

2. GoDaddy.com: UL-Monroe

3. Little Caesar’s (at-large): Middle Tennessee

4. Independence (at-large): UL-Lafayette

5. BBVA Compass (at-large): Western Kentucky

 

Western Athletic Conference

Louisiana Tech’s loss to Utah State removes the Bulldogs from any BCS at-large bowl talk as well as the conference championship bowl bid to the field of blue.  Utah State now gets the invitation to Boise.

 

San Jose State is the third bowl eligible team in the WAC’s final year as a football conference.  UT-San Antonio is deserving of a bowl if they defeat Texas State to finish 8-4.  There is a bylaw in the bowl rules that would allow UTSA to become bowl eligible as a first-year FBS member.  The Roadrunners would be ahead of any 5-7 teams if not enough teams win six games.  They would not take precedence over a 6-7 team, and the rules have not established how to handle a 5-6 Temple team.

 

BOWLS

1. Famous Idaho Potato: Utah St.

2. New Orleans (at-large): Louisiana Tech

3. Military (at-large): San Jose St.

 

Here are this week’s complete bowl projections.

 

Bowl	Conference	Team	Conference	Team
New Mexico	MWC # 4/5	Nevada	Pac12 #7 / WAC	Arizona St.
Famous Idaho Potato	MAC #3	Northern Illinois	WAC #1/2	Utah St.
Poinsettia	MWC #2	Fresno St.	BYU/WAC	B Y U √
Beef O’Brady’s	Big East #6	(Ohio U)	C-USA #2-5 (4)	East Carolina
New Orleans	Sunbelt #1	Arkansas St.	C-USA #2-5 (5)	(Louisiana Tech)
MAACO	MWC #1	Boise St.	Pac 12 #5	Washington
Hawaii	MWC #3/Hawaii	San Diego St.	C-USA #2-5 (2)	Tulsa
Little Caesar’s Pizza	Big 10 #8	(Middle Tenn.)	MAC #1	Kent St.
Military	ACC #8	(Bowling Green)	Army/CUSA	(San Jose St.)
Belk	ACC #5	Virginia Tech	Big East #3	Cincinnati
Holiday	Pac 12 #3	Oregon St.	Big 12 #5	T C U
Independence	ACC #6/7 (7)	(Central Michigan)	SEC #10	(UL-Lafayette)
Russell Athletic	Big East #2	Louisville	ACC #3	North Carolina St.
Meineke Car Care	Big 12 #6	Baylor	Big 10 #6	Minnesota
Armed Forces	C-USA #3	Rice	MWC #4-5	Air Force-√
Kraft Fight Hunger	Pac 12 #6	Southern Cal	Navy/ACC	Navy √
Pinstripe	Big East #4	Syracuse	Big 12 #7	West Va.
Alamo	Big 12 #3	Oklahoma St.	Pac 12 #2	U C L A
Buffalo Wild Wings	Big 12 #4	Texas Tech	Big 10 #4 or 5	Wisconsin
Music City	SEC # 7	Vanderbilt	ACC #6	Duke
Sun	ACC #4	Georgia Tech	Pac 12 #4	Arizona
Liberty	SEC#8-9/BigEast	Ole Miss	C-USA #1	Central Florida
Chick-fil-A	SEC #5	South Carolina	ACC #2	Clemson
Heart of Dallas	Big 10 #7	Purdue	Big 12 #8	Iowa St.
Gator	Big 10 #4 or 5	Michigan St.	SEC #6	Mississippi St.
Capital One	Big 10 #2	Michigan	SEC #2	Georgia
Outback	SEC #3 or 4	Florida	Big 10 #3	Northwestern
Rose	BCS Pac12	Stanford	BCS Big 10	Nebraska
Orange	BCS ACC	Florida St.	BCS At-Large	Rutgers
Sugar	BCS SEC	Texas A&M	BCS At-Large	Oklahoma
Fiesta	BCS Big 12	Kansas St.	BCS At-Large	Oregon
Cotton	Big 12 #2	Texas	SEC #3 or 4	L S U
BBVA Compass	Big East#5/CUSA	(Ball St.)	SEC #8 or 9	(Western Ky.)
GoDaddy.com	Sunbelt # 2	UL-Monroe	MAC #2	Toledo
National Championship	*** BCS #1 ***	Notre Dame	*** BCS #2 ***	Alabama
√ = Team has already accepted bowl invitation

 

Here are this week’s PiRate Ratings

 

PiRate Regular

P i R a t e
#	Team	PiRate
1	Alabama	132.0
2	Oregon	130.9
3	Kansas St.	127.5
4	Oklahoma	127.3
5	Texas A&M	127.0
6	Oklahoma St.	125.1
7	Notre Dame	124.4
8	L S U	124.4
9	Florida St.	124.1
10	Georgia	123.4
11	South Carolina	121.5
12	Clemson	121.1
13	Stanford	119.6
14	Texas	119.1
15	U S C	118.7
16	Florida	117.8
17	Oregon St.	116.2
18	Nebraska	115.9
19	U C L A	115.5
20	Baylor	115.3
21	Michigan	114.7
22	Ohio St.	114.5
23	Wisconsin	114.1
24	T C U	112.4
25	B Y U	112.2
26	Vanderbilt	111.4
27	Washington	111.0
28	West Virginia	110.8
29	Arizona	110.7
30	Mississippi St.	110.5
31	Iowa St.	110.3
32	Arizona St.	109.3
33	Penn St.	109.1
34	Michigan St.	109.1
35	Texas Tech	108.8
36	North Carolina	108.4
37	Missouri	108.4
38	Ole Miss	107.4
39	Tennessee	107.2
40	Rutgers	107.1
41	Utah	107.1
42	Northwestern	107.0
43	Georgia Tech	107.0
44	Boise St.	106.8
45	Central Florida	105.7
46	Tulsa	105.4
47	Syracuse	105.4
48	Utah St.	104.7
49	Northern Illinois	104.1
50	Fresno St.	104.0
51	Miami-FL	103.9
52	Louisiana Tech	103.9
53	Virginia Tech	103.6
54	North Carolina St.	103.3
55	Cincinnati	102.7
56	Louisville	101.9
57	San Jose St.	101.9
58	Pittsburgh	101.2
59	Arkansas	101.2
60	San Diego St.	100.2
61	Ball St.	100.0
62	California	99.6
63	Auburn	99.3
64	Purdue	99.1
65	Kent St.	98.4
66	Toledo	98.2
67	South Florida	97.8
68	Arkansas St.	97.7
69	Minnesota	97.4
70	Kansas	97.2
71	Duke	97.0
72	Iowa	96.4
73	Virginia	96.0
74	Boston College	95.9
75	Connecticut	95.8
76	Bowling Green	95.7
77	Louisiana-Monroe	95.3
78	UL-Lafayette	95.2
79	Nevada	94.9
80	S M U	94.8
81	Maryland	94.6
82	East Carolina	94.1
83	Indiana	93.0
84	Western Kentucky	92.4
85	Navy	92.1
86	Washington St.	92.0
87	Wake Forest	91.3
88	Rice	91.2
89	Illinois	90.3
90	Ohio U	90.2
91	Western Michigan	89.7
92	Temple	89.6
93	Kentucky	89.6
94	Houston	89.5
95	Troy	89.0
96	Air Force	88.8
97	U T E P	88.6
98	Marshall	88.2
99	Wyoming	87.9
100	Middle Tennessee	86.6
101	Buffalo	85.4
102	Central Michigan	85.0
103	North Texas	85.0
104	Florida International	84.5
105	Army	84.3
106	Miami (O)	84.0
107	Colorado St.	83.4
108	U A B	83.0
109	New Mexico	82.7
110	Southern Mississippi	82.6
111	UNLV	82.3
112	Eastern Michigan	81.7
113	Texas St.	80.1
114	Memphis	79.9
115	Florida Atlantic	79.9
116	Colorado	78.5
117	U T S A	77.1
118	Tulane	75.9
119	Hawaii	75.9
120	South Alabama	74.7
121	Idaho	73.7
122	Akron	72.8
123	New Mexico St.	72.2
124	Massachusetts	68.8

 

PiRate Vintage

V i n t a g e
#	Team	Vintage
1	Alabama	127.5
2	Georgia	127.0
3	Oregon	125.5
4	Notre Dame	125.0
5	Ohio St.	124.5
6	Stanford	124.5
7	Texas A&M	124.0
8	L S U	123.5
9	Florida St.	123.0
10	Florida	122.0
11	Kansas St.	121.5
12	Clemson	120.0
13	South Carolina	120.0
14	Nebraska	120.0
15	Oklahoma	120.0
16	Michigan	118.0
17	Oklahoma St.	117.0
18	Oregon St.	116.5
19	U C L A	116.5
20	Washington	114.5
21	Texas	114.0
22	Vanderbilt	113.5
23	Southern Cal	113.0
24	Penn St.	112.0
25	Northwestern	112.0
26	Mississippi St.	111.5
27	Wisconsin	111.5
28	B Y U	111.0
29	San Diego St.	110.5
30	Boise St.	109.5
31	T C U	109.0
32	Michigan St.	109.0
33	Rutgers	108.5
34	Arizona	108.5
35	Ole Miss	108.5
36	Baylor	108.0
37	Louisville	107.5
38	Fresno St.	107.5
39	North Carolina St.	107.5
40	Utah St.	107.0
41	West Virginia	106.0
42	Kent St.	105.5
43	Cincinnati	105.5
44	Miami	105.5
45	Arizona St.	105.5
46	Texas Tech	105.5
47	North Carolina	105.0
48	Georgia Tech	105.0
49	Virginia Tech	105.0
50	Missouri	105.0
51	Northern Illinois	104.5
52	Utah	104.5
53	Iowa St.	104.0
54	Syracuse	103.5
55	Louisiana Tech	103.5
56	San Jose St.	103.5
57	Tulsa	102.5
58	Central Florida	102.5
59	Arkansas	102.0
60	Minnesota	100.0
61	Nevada	100.0
62	Virginia	100.0
63	Arkansas St.	99.5
64	Bowling Green	99.0
65	Ball St.	99.0
66	Duke	98.5
67	Tennessee	98.5
68	Boston College	98.0
69	Purdue	97.5
70	Auburn	96.5
71	California	96.0
72	Toledo	95.5
73	Kansas	95.5
74	Navy	95.0
75	East Carolina	95.0
76	Pittsburgh	94.5
77	Wake Forest	94.5
78	Ohio U	94.0
79	Indiana	94.0
80	Temple	93.5
81	Maryland	93.5
82	UL-Lafayette	93.0
83	Middle Tennessee	93.0
84	UL-Monroe	92.5
85	Iowa	92.5
86	Illinois	92.5
87	Rice	92.0
88	Air Force	92.0
89	South Florida	92.0
90	Kentucky	92.0
91	Connecticut	91.0
92	S M U	90.0
93	Western Kentucky	89.5
94	Buffalo	88.5
95	Central Michigan	88.5
96	Troy	88.0
97	Wyoming	88.0
98	Colorado	88.0
99	Colorado St.	87.5
100	Marshall	87.0
101	Army	87.0
102	Washington St.	87.0
103	U T S A	86.5
104	U N L V	86.5
105	New Mexico	85.5
106	Miami (O)	85.5
107	Memphis	85.0
108	Texas St.	85.0
109	Houston	83.5
110	Western Michigan	83.5
111	U A B	83.0
112	U T E P	83.0
113	Eastern Michigan	82.0
114	Florida Int’l	81.5
115	Florida Atlantic	80.0
116	North Texas	78.0
117	Hawaii	78.0
118	Tulane	76.5
119	Massachusetts	76.5
120	South Alabama	75.5
121	Akron	75.5
122	Idaho	75.5
123	Southern Miss.	75.0
124	New Mexico St.	70.5

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	Conf.	Overall	Rating	Vintage
Florida St.	7-1	10-1	124.1	123.0
Clemson	7-1	10-1	121.1	120.0
North Carolina St.	3-4	6-5	103.3	107.5
Boston College	1-6	2-9	95.9	98.0
Maryland	2-5	4-7	94.6	93.5
Wake Forest	3-5	5-6	91.3	94.5
Coastal Division
Team	Conf.	Overall	Rating	Vintage
North Carolina	4-3	7-4	108.4	105.0
Georgia Tech	5-3	6-5	107.0	105.0
Miami-FL	4-3	7-4	103.9	105.5
Virginia Tech	3-4	5-6	103.6	105.0
Duke	3-4	6-5	97.0	98.5
Virginia	2-5	4-7	96.0	100.0
Conference Means	104.24		103.85	104.6

 

Big East Conference
Team	Conf.	Overall	Rating	Vintage
Rutgers	5-0	9-1	107.1	108.5
Syracuse	4-2	6-5	105.4	103.5
Cincinnati	3-2	7-3	102.7	105.5
Louisville	4-1	9-1	101.9	107.5
Pittsburgh	1-4	4-6	101.2	94.5
South Florida	1-4	3-7	97.8	92.0
Connecticut	1-4	4-6	95.8	91.0
Temple	2-4	4-6	89.6	93.5
Conference Means	99.8438		100.19	99.5

 

Big Ten
Leaders Division
Team	Conf.	Overall	Rating	Vintage
Ohio St.	7-0	11-0	114.5	124.5
Wisconsin	4-3	7-4	114.1	111.5
Penn St.	5-2	7-4	109.1	112.0
Purdue	2-5	5-6	99.1	97.5
Indiana	2-5	4-7	93.0	94.0
Illinois	0-7	2-9	90.3	92.5
Legends Division
Team	Conf.	Overall	Rating	Vintage
Nebraska	6-1	9-2	115.9	120.0
Michigan	6-1	8-3	114.7	118.0
Michigan St.	2-5	5-6	109.1	109.0
Northwestern	4-3	8-3	107.0	112.0
Minnesota	2-5	6-5	97.4	100.0
Iowa	2-5	4-7	96.4	92.5
Conference Means	106.004		105.05	107.0

 

Big 12
Team	Conf.	Overall	Rating	Vintage
Kansas St.	7-1	10-1	127.5	121.5
Oklahoma	6-1	8-2	127.3	120.0
Oklahoma St.	5-2	7-3	125.1	117.0
Texas	5-2	8-2	119.1	114.0
Baylor	2-5	5-5	115.3	108.0
T C U	3-4	6-4	112.4	109.0
West Virginia	2-5	5-5	110.8	106.0
Iowa St.	3-5	6-5	110.3	104.0
Texas Tech	4-4	7-4	108.8	105.5
Kansas	0-8	1-10	97.2	95.5
Conference Means	112.715		115.38	110.1

 

Conference USA
East Division
Team	Conf.	Overall	Rating	Vintage
Central Florida	6-1	8-3	105.7	102.5
East Carolina	6-1	7-4	94.1	95.0
Marshall	4-3	5-6	88.2	87.0
U A B	2-5	3-8	83.0	83.0
Southern Mississippi	0-7	0-11	82.6	75.0
Memphis	3-4	3-8	79.9	85.0
West Division
Team	Conf.	Overall	Rating	Vintage
Tulsa	7-0	9-2	105.4	102.5
S M U	4-3	5-6	94.8	90.0
Rice	3-4	5-6	91.2	92.0
Houston	3-4	4-7	89.5	83.5
U T E P	2-5	3-8	88.6	83.0
Tulane	2-5	2-9	75.9	76.5
Conference Means	88.9125		89.91	87.9

 

Independents
Team		Overall	Rating	Vintage
Notre Dame		11-0	124.4	125.0
B Y U		6-5	112.2	111.0
Navy		7-4	92.1	95.0
Army		2-9	84.3	87.0
Conference Means	103.875		103.25	104.5

 

Mid American Conference
East Division
Team	Conf.	Overall	Rating	Vintage
Kent St.	7-0	10-1	98.4	105.5
Bowling Green	5-2	7-4	95.7	99.0
Ohio U	4-3	8-3	90.2	94.0
Buffalo	3-4	4-7	85.4	88.5
Miami (O)	3-4	4-7	84.0	85.5
Akron	0-7	1-10	72.8	75.5
Massachusetts	1-6	1-10	68.8	76.5
West Division
Team	Conf.	Overall	Rating	Vintage
Northern Illinois	7-0	10-1	104.1	104.5
Ball St.	5-2	8-3	100.0	99.0
Toledo	5-2	8-3	98.2	95.5
Western Michigan	2-6	4-8	89.7	83.5
Central Michigan	3-4	5-6	85.0	88.5
Eastern Michigan	1-6	2-9	81.7	82.0
Conference Means	89.6731		88.77	90.6

 

Mountain West Conference
Team	Conf.	Overall	Rating	Vintage
Boise St.	6-1	9-2	106.8	109.5
Fresno St.	6-1	8-3	104.0	107.5
San Diego St.	6-1	8-3	100.2	110.5
Nevada	4-3	7-4	94.9	100.0
Air Force	5-2	6-5	88.8	92.0
Wyoming	3-4	4-7	87.9	88.0
Colorado St.	2-5	3-8	83.4	87.5
New Mexico	1-6	4-8	82.7	85.5
UNLV	2-5	2-10	82.3	86.5
Hawaii	0-7	1-9	75.9	78.0
Conference Means	92.595		90.69	94.5

 

Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	Conf.	Overall	Rating	Vintage
Oregon	7-1	10-1	130.9	125.5
Stanford	7-1	9-2	119.6	124.5
Oregon St.	6-2	8-2	116.2	116.5
Washington	5-3	7-4	111.0	114.5
California	2-7	3-9	99.6	96.0
Washington St.	0-8	2-9	92.0	87.0
South Division
Team	Conf.	Overall	Rating	Vintage
U S C	5-4	7-4	118.7	113.0
U C L A	6-2	9-2	115.5	116.5
Arizona	4-4	7-4	110.7	108.5
Arizona St.	4-4	6-5	109.3	105.5
Utah	2-6	4-7	107.1	104.5
Colorado	1-7	1-10	78.5	88.0
Conference Means	108.713		109.09	108.3

 

Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	Conf.	Overall	Rating	Vintage
Georgia	7-1	10-1	123.4	127.0
South Carolina	6-2	9-2	121.5	120.0
Florida	7-1	10-1	117.8	122.0
Vanderbilt	5-3	7-4	111.4	113.5
Missouri	2-5	5-6	108.4	105.0
Tennessee	0-7	4-7	107.2	98.5
Kentucky	0-7	2-9	89.6	92.0
West Division
Team	Conf.	Overall	Rating	Vintage
Alabama	6-1	10-1	132.0	127.5
Texas A&M	5-2	9-2	127.0	124.0
L S U	5-2	9-2	124.4	123.5
Mississippi St.	4-3	8-3	110.5	111.5
Ole Miss	2-5	5-6	107.4	108.5
Arkansas	2-5	4-7	101.2	102.0
Auburn	0-7	3-8	99.3	96.5
Conference Means	112.593		112.94	112.3

 

Sunbelt Conference
Team	Conf.	Overall	Rating	Vintage
Arkansas St.	6-1	8-3	97.7	99.5
Louisiana-Monroe	5-2	7-4	95.3	92.5
UL-Lafayette	4-2	6-4	95.2	93.0
Western Kentucky	3-4	6-5	92.4	89.5
Troy	3-4	5-6	89.0	88.0
Middle Tennessee	5-1	7-3	86.6	93.0
North Texas	3-4	4-7	85.0	78.0
Florida International	2-5	3-8	84.5	81.5
Florida Atlantic	2-5	3-8	79.9	80.0
South Alabama	1-6	2-9	74.7	75.5
Conference Means	87.54		88.03	87.1

 

Western Athletic Conference
Team	Conf.	Overall	Rating	Vintage
Utah St.	5-0	9-2	104.7	107.0
Louisiana Tech	4-1	9-2	103.9	103.5
San Jose St.	4-1	9-2	101.9	103.5
Texas St.	1-3	3-7	80.1	85.0
U T S A	2-3	7-4	77.1	86.5
Idaho	1-4	1-10	73.7	75.5
New Mexico St.	0-5	1-9	72.2	70.5
Conference Means	88.9357		87.66	90.2

 

This Week’s PiRate Spreads

This Week’s Games
Favorite	Underdog	PiRate	Vintage	Line
Tuesday, November 20
TOLEDO	Akron	33.8	22.5	19
Thursday, November 22
TEXAS	T  c u	9.7	8	8
Friday, November 23
Nebraska	IOWA	16.5	24.5	14 1/2
BOWLING GREEN	Buffalo	12.8	13.0	9
Central Michigan	MASSACHUSETTS	14.2	10.0	10
Ball St.	MIAMI (O)	13.5	11.0	NL
Syracuse	TEMPLE	13.3	7.5	9 1/2
Northern Illinois	EASTERN MICHIGAN	20.4	20.5	20
CINCINNATI	South Florida	7.9	16.5	13
EAST CAROLINA	Marshall	8.9	11.0	4 1/2
KENT ST.	Ohio U	10.7	14.0	10 1/2
L s u	ARKANSAS	20.2	18.5	12
Utah	COLORADO	25.6	13.5	23
IOWA ST.	West Virginia	2.5	1.0	-1
Washington	WASHINGTON ST.	17.0	25.5	11 1/2
ARIZONA	Arizona St.	3.4	5.0	2 1/2
Saturday, November 24
OHIO ST.	Michigan	2.8	9.5	4 1/2
Vanderbilt	WAKE FOREST	17.1	16.0	12 1/2
LOUISVILLE	Connecticut	9.1	19.5	13
GEORGIA	Georgia Tech	18.4	24.0	13
NORTH CAROLINA	Maryland	16.8	14.5	24 1/2
VIRGINIA TECH	Virginia	9.6	7.0	10 1/2
Michigan St.	MINNESOTA	8.7	6.0	8
Miami (Fla)	DUKE	3.9	4.0	5 1/2
NORTHWESTERN	Illinois	19.2	22.0	19
NORTH CAROLINA ST.	Boston College	10.4	12.5	14
TENNESSEE	Kentucky	20.6	9.5	14
Wisconsin	PENN ST.	2.0	-3.5	-3
Rutgers	PITTSBURGH	2.9	11.0	-2
PURDUE	Indiana	8.1	5.5	5 1/2
Texas St.	U T S A	1.0	-3.5	1 1/2
UTAH ST.	Idaho	34.0	34.5	39 1/2
San Diego St.	WYOMING	9.3	19.5	7
BAYLOR (@ Arlington)	Texas Tech	6.5	2.5	2
ALABAMA	Auburn	35.2	33.5	31 1/2
Mississippi St.	OLE MISS	0.6	0.5	-1 1/2
Stanford	U C L A	1.1	5.0	1
B y u	NEW MEXICO ST.	37.5	38.0	28 1/2
FRESNO ST.	Air Force	18.2	18.5	16 1/2
OKLAHOMA	Oklahoma St.	4.7	5.5	8
TEXAS A&M	Missouri	21.6	22.0	22
Oregon	OREGON ST.	12.2	6.5	10
Tulsa	S M U	7.6	9.5	5
FLORIDA ST.	Florida	8.8	3.5	NL
SAN JOSE ST.	Louisiana Tech	1.5	3.5	5
Southern Miss.	MEMPHIS	0.2	-12.5	-5
HOUSTON	Tulane	16.6	10.0	12 1/2
COLORADO ST.	New Mexico	3.9	5.0	3
U T E P	Rice	0.4	-6.0	2 1/2
CLEMSON	South Carolina	2.1	2.5	4
CENTRAL FLORIDA	U a b	25.7	22.5	22
Notre Dame	SOUTHERN CAL	2.2	8.5	NL
U n l v	HAWAII	2.4	4.5	NL
WESTERN KENTUCKY	North Texas	10.4	14.5	11 1/2
MIDDLE TENNESSEE	Troy	0.6	8.0	3
UL-LAFAYETTE	South Alabama	23.5	20.5	18 1/2
UL-Monroe	FLORIDA INT’L	7.8	8.0	6