The Pi-Rate Ratings

November 14, 2012

PiRate Ratings For College Football: November 14-17, 2012

Conference-by-Conference Look

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Florida State wraps up the Atlantic Division with a win at hapless Maryland this week.  The Terps actually were in line for a bowl until they went through quarterbacks like Liz Taylor went through husbands.  Taking a backup freshman linebacker and making him starting quarterback doesn’t cut it in the ACC.

 

Clemson can earn an at-large BCS Bowl bid by winning out, which would include a victory over South Carolina.

 

North Carolina State needs one win to become bowl eligible.  The Wolfpack finish at Clemson and home versus Boston College, so a 6-6 finish is likely.

 

Wake Forest is 5-5, but the Demon Deacons face two tough teams to close.  There is no chance that Wake will win at Notre Dame this weekend, and there is only a small chance they will beat Vanderbilt in their home finale.

 

The Coastal Division is a muddled mess.  North Carolina is ineligible, so cross the Tar Heels off the list.  Duke, Georgia Tech, and Miami have three conference losses each.  Virginia and Virginia Tech have four conference losses and are eliminated from the race, because the remaining schedule guarantees that one of the three loss teams will finish 5-3.

 

Duke closes with Georgia Tech on the road and Miami at home.  They control their own destiny and will earn the division championship with two wins.  Miami also controls its own destiny.  A win over Duke gives the Hurricanes the Coastal flag.  Georgia Tech can only win if they beat Duke and Duke beats Miami.

 

All three contenders are bowl eligible.  As for the two teams from the Commonwealth, both are 4-6 overall.  Virginia hosts North Carolina Thursday night, while Virginia Tech travels to Boston College Saturday.  The two rivals face off in Blacksburg a week later.  Virginia is the hottest team in the division with back-to-back wins over North Carolina State and Miami.

 

BOWLS

Orange: Florida State

Chick-fil-A: Miami

Russell Athletic: North Carolina St.

Sun: Virginia Tech

Belk: Georgia Tech

Music City: Duke

Independence: None Available

Military: None Available

 

Big East Conference

Louisville’s loss means the league champion will be the last team selected by the BCS Bowls (The Orange Bowl this year).

 

Rutgers currently leads the league with a 4-0 mark, but they lost to Kent State at homecoming three weeks ago.  Kent State is 9-1, but it isn’t the same as losing to Georgia.  The Scarlet Knights finish with Cincinnati and Pittsburgh on the road and Louisville at home, so this race is far from over.

 

Louisville, fresh off a loss to Syracuse, hosts Connecticut on the 24th and finishes at Rutgers.  The Cardinals beat Cincinnati earlier in the year, so they hold the tiebreaker over the Bearcats in a two-way tie.

 

Cincinnati hosts Rutgers and South Florida before finishing at Connecticut.

 

If the three contenders finish tied at 6-1, the BCS representative would be the team ranked highest in the BCS rankings, which would almost assuredly be Louisville.

 

Syracuse could still finish in a multiple team tie at 5-2, but there is no way the Orangemen can take the BCS bowl bid.  The ‘Cuse needs one more win to become bowl eligible, and they have two chances to get it—at Missouri this week and at Temple on Black Friday.

 

The other four league teams, Connecticut, Pittsburgh, South Florida, and Temple, all have six losses.  If any win out, they would be bowl eligible, but we don’t see it happening.

 

BOWLS

BCS (Orange Bowl): Cincinnati

Russell Athletic: Louisville

Belk: Rutgers

Pinstripe: Syracuse

BBVA Compass: No Available Team

Beef O’Brady’s: No Available Team

 

Big Ten Conference

Wisconsin has already clinched the Leader’s Division spot in the Big Ten title game, but the Badgers could still finish third in the division with a 4-4/7-5 record.  UW hosts undefeated Ohio State this week and goes to Penn State the following week.

 

Ohio State can still claim the Associated Press National Championship if they beat Wisconsin and Michigan to finish 12-0, and if Kansas State, Oregon, Notre Dame, and Alabama lose.  It has happened before where a team on probation won the AP national title.  Oklahoma did it in 1974.  Auburn did it in 1957.

 

Purdue and Indiana are still in the hunt for bowl eligibility at 4-6.  The Hoosiers would have to close out with wins at Penn State and Purdue, so we say “no way.”  Purdue has a decent chance with a road game against Illinois and a home finale with the Hoosiers.

 

The Legends Division has not yet been decided.  Nebraska and Michigan are tied at 5-1 in league play with the Cornhuskers holding the tiebreaker over the Maize and Blue.  Nebraska finishes with Minnesota at home and Iowa on the road, which looks like two wins.  Michigan hosts Iowa and finishes at Ohio State.

 

Northwestern and Minnesota are both bowl eligible, while Michigan State needs one more win.  The Spartans finish with Northwestern and Minnesota.  Attendance at Spartan Stadium has been off this year, and Coach Mark Dantonio could find his seat beginning to heat up just one year removed from the Legends Division title.

 

BOWLS

Rose: Nebraska

Capital One: Michigan

Outback: Wisconsin

Buffalo Wild Wings: Michigan St.

Gator: Northwestern

Meineke Car Care of Texas: Minnesota

Heart of Dallas: Purdue

Little Caesar’s: None Available

 

Big 12 Conference

Kansas State’s path to the National Championship Game is not as easy as one might think.  They do not have to win a conference championship game, but the Wildcats still have two tricky games left on their schedule.  They play at Baylor this week, and the Bears have an offense capable of scoring 40 on just about anybody.  After a week off, KSU closes at home with Texas.  The Longhorns are a much better team in November than they were in October.  It could also be Mack Brown’s final regular season game if the powers that be decide it is time for him to retire (especially if they believe they can still lure Will Muchamp back to Austin).

 

Oklahoma will get a BCS bowl bid if they beat West Virginia, Oklahoma State, and TCU to finish 10-2.  Texas could sneak into a BCS Bowl if Oklahoma loses a game, and the Longhorns upset Kansas State.

 

Eight teams should finish bowl eligible in what the computer ratings say is the top league in college football this year.  Iowa State needs a win against Kansas this week to become the seventh bowl-eligible team, while West Virginia needs one more win and has Oklahoma, Iowa State, and Kansas remaining.

 

BOWLS

National Championship Game: Kansas State

Fiesta: Oklahoma

Cotton: Texas

Alamo: Texas Tech

Buffalo Wild Wings: Oklahoma St.

Holiday: West Virginia

Meineke Car Care of Texas: Iowa St.

Pinstripe: T C U

Heart of Dallas: None Available

 

Conference USA

This league is way down this year.  Houston, SMU, Southern Mississippi, Marshall, and UTEP are bringing this league down with terrible seasons.  Tulsa and Central Florida are the only quality teams, and the two division leaders square off at Chapman Stadium in Tulsa.

 

East Carolina is the only other bowl eligible team as of today, and the Pirates are anything but a strong team (they have been outscored against mediocre opposition).

 

SMU is 5-5, while Rice is 4-6.  One of these two should get to 6-6 and become the fourth bowl-eligible team.  These two hook up this week in Houston.  Rice finishes at UTEP, while SMU hosts Tulsa.

 

BOWLS

Liberty: Tulsa

Hawaii: Central Florida

Armed Forces: S M U

Beef O’Brady’s: East Carolina

New Orleans: None Available

 

Independents

Three of the four Independents are headed to bowls.  Notre Dame is in the national title race, but we think the Irish will be the odd team out if three finish undefeated.  Oregon would have additional wins over Stanford, Oregon State, and Southern Cal if they win out, while Notre Dame would have wins over Wake Forest and Southern Cal.

 

Brigham Young and Navy have earned bowl bids to their respective tie-in bowls for 2012.  Army has been eliminated.  Their bowl comes December 8 against Navy, who they have not beaten since 2001.

 

BOWLS

Rose: Notre Dame

Poinsettia: B Y U

Kraft Fight Hunger: Navy

Military: None Available (Army not bowl eligible)

 

Mid-American Conference

The MAC is one of two conference that will benefit from other conferences not having enough bowl eligible teams this year.  It is our opinion that if either Kent State or Northern Illinois finish 12-1, they should be in the equation for a BCS Bowl.  If Kent State wins out and Rutgers takes the Big East, the Golden Flashes will own a win over a BCS Bowl team.

 

Bowling Green still has a shot in the East, and Toledo has a shot in the West, while Ball State and Ohio give this conference six very good teams headed to bowls.

 

BOWLS

Little  Caesar’s: Kent State

GoDaddy.com: Toledo

Famous Idaho Potato: Northern Illinois

At-Large Bowl Teams: Bowling Green (Heart of Dallas), Ohio U (Military), and Ball St. (BBVA Compass)

 

Mountain West

This league was supposed to be the top non-AQ league in the land, but the Mountain West is barely stronger than the WAC this year.

 

Boise State has lost twice, so the Broncos are out of the BCS picture.  The Broncos may not even win the conference.  San Diego State and Fresno State are there equal this season.

 

Nevada and Air Force should give this league five bowl eligible teams, but both the Wolf Pack and Falcons are having disappointing seasons.

 

BOWLS

MAACO: Boise St.

Poinsettia: Fresno St.

Hawaii: San Diego St.

Armed Forces: Air Force

New Mexico: Nevada

 

Pac-12 Conference

Oregon reminds us in a way of Oklahoma in the early 1970’s.  The 1971 Sooners had the most unstoppable offense in college football since the Army teams during World War II (Those Army teams were all-star teams during the war years).

 

In 1971, Oklahoma rushed for almost 500 yards per game and gained better than 12 yards per pass attempt.  In the epic game against Nebraska, OU gained close to 200 yards passing on about six completions.  The great Cornhusker team gave up six points per game to the other 12 teams on their schedule (including just six to 11-0 Alabama), but Oklahoma scored 28 points on NU and gained closed to 500 yards.

 

Oregon is much in the same boat.  The Ducks can hang 40 on any team in the country.  They can hang 60 on bowl eligible teams.  However, the Ducks can also give up 50 points against said bowl eligible teams.

 

Oregon has had Stanford’s number in recent years, so the Ducks could begin the big game this week thinking they cannot lose to the Cardinal.  Stanford can do the one thing that can upset the Ducks.  It is the same thing that Nebraska used to beat Oklahoma in the greatest college game ever played.  The ‘Huskers held onto the ball for more than 70 plays, and Stanford can do the same to Oregon.  Oregon’s offense cannot score if Stanford holds onto it.  If the Cardinal finish with 75 plays, they have a chance to reduce the undefeated ranks by 25%.

 

Oregon still has the tough Civil War game with Oregon State in Corvallis and has to win the Pac-12 Championship Game against Southern Cal or UCLA.

 

The South Division is very much up for grabs this week.  Southern Cal heads north up the Pasadena Freeway to play UCLA at the Rose Bowl.  The winner clinches the South Division.

 

Arizona is bowl eligible in Rich Rodriguez’s first season in Tucson.  Arizona State and Utah are still alive.  The Sun Devils need one more win and should get it this week when they host Washington State.  Utah must win out against Arizona and Colorado.

 

BOWLS

National Championship Game: Oregon

Alamo: Stanford

Holiday: Washington

Sun: Southern Cal

MAACO: UCLA

Kraft Fight Hunger: Oregon St.

New Mexico: Arizona

At-Large Bowl Teams: Arizona St. (Military), Utah (Heart of Dallas)

 

Southeastern Conference

Alabama still has a shot at the National Championship Game, but the Tide needs too much to happen to make it back.  We don’t see two of the three undefeated teams losing.  The Tide still has to beat Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, and as of today, the game would be a 50-50 contest.

 

The big question is which team will be the second BCS Bowl participant?  LSU could be in the equation if the Sugar Bowl wants a home team.  Texas A&M could be the second team if the Fiesta bowl wants Johnny Football.  Georgia and Florida could also be the chosen team.  Of course, if Georgia beats Alabama, it is a moot point.  However, would LSU, Texas A&M, or Florida have a chance at shutting out Alabama from the BCS at-large equation?

 

South Carolina is the clear number six team in the league, and the Gamecocks could finish 11-2!  That shows just how tough the top half of the league is this year.

 

Four more teams should finish bowl eligible.  Vanderbilt and Mississippi State are already bowl eligible, and the two teams are competing against each other in the pecking order for the number seven team.  Missouri is one win away from bowl eligibility and host Syracuse this week.  The Tigers have a 60% chance of winning that one.  Ole Miss needs an upset over Mississippi State (or LSU) to get to six wins.

 

BOWLS

Sugar: Alabama

Fiesta: Georgia

Capital One: L S U

Outback: Florida

Cotton: Texas A&M

Chick-fil-A: South Carolina

Gator: Mississippi St.

Music City: Vanderbilt

Liberty: Missouri

BBVA Compass: Ole Miss

Independence: None Available

 

Sunbelt Conference

The SBC should produce an all-time high with five bowl invitations this year.  The race is still up for grabs between four teams (Arkansas St., UL-Lafayette, UL-Monroe, and Middle Tennessee), while Western Kentucky should also get a bowl bid.

 

Troy is 5-5 with games remaining against Arkansas State and Middle Tennessee.  If the Trojans win both games, then they will get a bowl bid, possibly at Utah’s expense.

 

BOWLS

New Orleans: Arkansas St.

GoDaddy.com: UL-Monroe

At-Large Bowl Teams: Western Kentucky (Little Caesar’s), UL-Lafayette (Beef O’Brady’s), Middle Tennessee (Independence)

 

Western Athletic Conference

In the league’s final year as a football conference, three teams are emerging as legitimate bowl-worthy squads.  Louisiana Tech is still in the hunt for qualification as an at-large BCS Bowl Team.  The Bulldogs must win out and then they need Wisconsin to lose one more game and then win the Big Ten Championship Game to earn the Big Ten’s automatic bid or Cincinnati to win the Big East.

 

We aren’t confident that LT can win out.  They finish with the other top two teams in the WAC—Utah State and San Jose State.  They may beat the Aggies at home, but the finale against the Spartans on the coast is a big trap game.

 

UTSA is ineligible for a bowl in their first season in FBS football, but the Roadrunners will secure a winning season with a win over lowly Idaho this week, and they could finish 8-4 if they knock off Texas State the week after.  Larry Coker may have put himself back in the hunt for a bigger coaching job.

 

This league could send three other coaches to bigger schools.  LT’s Sonny Dykes is high on the list at many vacancies.  USU’s Gary Andersen will be contacted, and SJSU’s Mike MacIntyre will get a better offer as well.

 

BOWLS

Famous Idaho Potato *: Utah St.

At-Large Bowl Teams: Louisiana Tech (Independence *), San Jose St. (New Orleans)

 

* We still project Louisiana Tech to win the WAC, but we believe a deal will be struck that allows the Bulldogs to stay close to home and send Utah State to Boise.

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

P i R a t e
# Team PiRate
1 Oregon   133.0
2 Alabama 132.0
3 Kansas St. 131.2
4 Oklahoma 128.3
5 Texas A&M 127.0
6 L S U   125.6
7 Florida St. 123.4
8 Georgia 123.4
9 Notre Dame 123.3
10 Oklahoma St. 123.1
11 South Carolina 122.5
12 Clemson   121.7
13 U S C 120.5
14 Texas 119.1
15 Florida 118.8
16 Stanford 117.5
17 Nebraska 115.6
18 Wisconsin   115.1
19 B Y U 114.3
20 Michigan 114.1
21 U C L A 113.7
22 Oregon St. 113.6
23 Ohio St. 113.5
24 T C U 112.4
25 Baylor 111.6
26 Texas Tech 110.8
27 Michigan St. 110.3
28 Washington 110.0
29 West Virginia 109.8
30 Missouri 109.7
31 Vanderbilt 109.6
32 Arizona 109.0
33 Tennessee 109.0
34 Utah 108.8
35 Iowa St. 108.7
36 Penn St. 108.6
37 Mississippi St. 108.3
38 North Carolina 107.1
39 Arizona St. 107.1
40 Boise St. 106.5
41 Georgia Tech 106.2
42 Ole Miss 106.2
43 Central Florida 106.1
44 Rutgers 105.8
45 Northwestern 105.8
46 Tulsa 105.0
47 Louisiana Tech   104.6
48 Syracuse 104.1
49 Cincinnati 104.0
50 Northern Illinois   104.0
51 Fresno St. 104.0
52 Utah St. 104.0
53 Virginia Tech 103.9
54 Arkansas 103.4
55 North Carolina St. 102.7
56 California 102.2
57 Louisville 101.9
58 Pittsburgh 101.2
59 Miami-FL 100.9
60 South Florida 100.8
61 San Diego St. 100.2
62 San Jose St. 99.8
63 Purdue 99.3
64 Kansas 98.8
65 Ball St. 98.6
66 Toledo 98.3
67 Auburn 98.3
68 Duke 97.8
69 Kent St. 97.8
70 Minnesota 97.7
71 Arkansas St. 97.4
72 Virginia 97.3
73 Iowa 97.0
74 S M U 97.0
75 Bowling Green 96.3
76 Connecticut 95.8
77 Boston College 95.6
78 Maryland 95.3
79 UL-Lafayette 95.1
80 East Carolina 94.8
81 Nevada 94.8
82 Washington St. 94.2
83 Louisiana-Monroe 94.1
84 Indiana 93.5
85 Western Kentucky 92.5
86 Wake Forest 92.4
87 Navy 92.4
88 Ohio U 91.6
89 Western Michigan 91.4
90 Illinois 90.1
91 Houston 89.6
92 Troy 89.3
93 Rice 89.0
94 U T E P 88.8
95 Air Force 88.6
96 Kentucky 88.6
97 Marshall 88.1
98 Wyoming 87.6
99 Army 87.3
100 Temple 86.6
101 U A B 86.5
102 Middle Tennessee 86.5
103 North Texas 86.2
104 Buffalo 85.7
105 Miami (O) 84.8
106 Central Michigan 84.2
107 Colorado St. 83.7
108 Florida International 83.5
109 New Mexico 82.8
110 UNLV 82.6
111 Southern Mississippi   82.4
112 Florida Atlantic 80.9
113 Eastern Michigan 80.0
114 Texas St. 79.8
115 Colorado 79.5
116 Memphis 76.4
117 Hawaii 76.1
118 U T S A 76.1
119 Tulane 75.2
120 South Alabama 74.8
121 Idaho 74.7
122 Akron 72.8
123 New Mexico St. 72.2
124 Massachusetts 68.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Vintage Ratings

V i n t a g e
# Team Vintage
1 Oregon 129.5
2 Kansas St. 128.0
3 Georgia  127.0
4 Alabama 126.5
5 L S U 124.5
6 Notre Dame 123.5
7 Texas A&M 123.5
8 Florida St. 122.0
9 Florida  122.0
10 Ohio State 122.0
11 S. Carolina 121.5
12 Oklahoma 120.5
13 Clemson 120.0
14 Stanford 120.0
15 Nebraska 117.5
16 Oklahoma St. 116.5
17 Michigan 115.5
18 Southern Cal 115.5
19 Texas 114.0
20 B Y U 113.5
21 Oregon St. 112.5
22 Washington 112.5
23 U C L A 112.5
24 Vanderbilt 112.0
25 Penn St. 111.5
26 Michigan St. 111.5
27 Wisconsin 111.0
28 San Diego St. 110.5
29 Mississippi St. 110.0
30 Boise St. 109.5
31 T C U 109.0
32 Ole Miss 108.5
33 Northwestern 108.5
34 Texas Tech 108.5
35 Rutgers 108.0
36 Louisville 107.5
37 Fresno St. 107.5
38 Cincinnati 107.0
39 North Carolina St. 106.5
40 Missouri 106.5
41 West Virginia 106.0
42 Arizona 106.0
43 Virginia Tech 105.5
44 Louisiana Tech 105.5
45 Utah 105.5
46 Central Florida 104.5
47 Tulsa 104.5
48 Kent St. 104.5
49 Utah St. 104.5
50 Arkansas 104.0
51 Northern Illinois 104.0
52 Iowa St. 104.0
53 Baylor 103.5
54 Georgia Tech 103.0
55 Miami–FL 103.0
56 Arizona St. 103.0
57 Syracuse 102.5
58 North Carolina 102.5
59 Virginia 102.5
60 Tennessee 102.5
61 San Jose St. 101.5
62 Minnesota 100.5
63 Bowling Green 100.0
64 Duke 99.5
65 Nevada 99.0
66 Arkansas St. 98.5
67 Ball St. 97.5
68 California 97.5
69 Boston College 97.0
70 Purdue 97.0
71 Ohio U 96.5
72 Wake Forest 96.0
73 Auburn 96.0
74 Toledo 96.0
75 Navy 95.5
76 Kansas 95.5
77 S M U 95.0
78 Pittsburgh 94.5
79 Indiana 94.5
80 South Florida 94.0
81 Maryland 94.0
82 East Carolina 93.5
83 Iowa 93.0
84 UL-Lafayette 92.5
85 Illinois 92.0
86 Kentucky 91.5
87 UL-Monroe 91.5
88 Middle Tennessee 91.5
89 Connecticut 91.0
90 Air Force 91.0
91 Temple 90.5
92 Army 90.0
93 Western Kentucky 90.0
94 Washington St. 89.5
95 Colorado St. 88.5
96 Colorado 88.5
97 Buffalo 88.0
98 Central Michigan 88.0
99 Western Michigan 88.0
100 Rice 87.5
101 Troy 87.5
102 Miami (O) 87.5
103 U N L V 87.5
104 Wyoming 86.5
105 U A B 86.0
106 New Mexico 86.0
107 Marshall 85.0
108 U T E P 85.0
109 U T S A 85.0
110 Houston 84.5
111 Texas St. 84.5
112 Florida Int’l 82.0
113 Eastern Michigan 81.0
114 Memphis 80.0
115 Florida Atlantic 79.5
116 North Texas 79.5
117 Hawaii 79.0
118 Massachusetts 77.0
119 Southern Miss. 76.5
120 Tulane 76.0
121 Idaho 76.0
122 Akron 75.5
123 South Alabama 75.0
124 New Mexico St. 70.5

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Florida St. 6-1 9-1 123.4 122.0
Clemson   6-1 9-1 121.7 120.0
North Carolina St. 3-3 6-4 102.7 106.5
Boston College 1-5 2-8 95.6 97.0
Maryland 2-4 4-6 95.3 94.0
Wake Forest 3-5 5-5 92.4 96.0
         
Coastal Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
North Carolina 3-3 6-4 107.1 102.5
Georgia Tech 4-3 5-5 106.2 103.0
Virginia Tech 2-4 4-6 103.9 105.5
Miami-FL 4-3 6-4 100.9 103.0
Duke 3-3 6-4 97.8 99.5
Virginia 2-4 4-6 97.3 102.5
         
         
Conference Means 103.99   103.69 104.3

 

 

Big East Conference
         
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Rutgers 4-0 8-1 105.8 108.0
Syracuse 4-2 5-5 104.1 102.5
Cincinnati 3-1 7-2 104.0 107.0
Louisville 4-1 9-1 101.9 107.5
Pittsburgh 1-4 4-6 101.2 94.5
South Florida 1-4 3-6 100.8 94.0
Connecticut 1-4 4-6 95.8 91.0
Temple 2-4 3-6 86.6 90.5
         
         
Conference Means 99.7   100.03 99.4

 

 

Big Ten
         
Leaders Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Wisconsin   4-2 7-3 115.1 111.0
Ohio St. 6-0 10-0 113.5 122.0
Penn St. 4-2 6-4 108.6 111.5
Purdue 1-5 4-6 99.3 97.0
Indiana 2-4 4-6 93.5 94.5
Illinois 0-6 2-8 90.1 92.0
         
Legends Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Nebraska 5-1 8-2 115.6 117.5
Michigan 5-1 7-3 114.1 115.5
Michigan St. 2-4 5-5 110.3 111.5
Northwestern 3-3 7-3 105.8 108.5
Minnesota 2-4 6-4 97.7 100.5
Iowa 2-4 4-6 97.0 93.0
         
Conference Means 105.629   105.05 106.2

 

 

Big 12
         
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Kansas St. 7-0 10-0 131.2 128.0
Oklahoma 5-1 7-2 128.3 120.5
Oklahoma St. 4-2 6-3 123.1 116.5
Texas 5-2 8-2 119.1 114.0
T C U 3-4 6-4 112.4 109.0
Baylor 1-5 4-5 111.6 103.5
Texas Tech 4-3 7-3 110.8 108.5
West Virginia 2-4 5-4 109.8 106.0
Iowa St. 2-5 5-5 108.7 104.0
Kansas 0-7 1-9 98.8 95.5
         
         
Conference Means 112.965   115.38 110.6

 

 

Conference USA
East Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Central Florida 6-0 8-2 106.1 104.5
East Carolina 5-1 6-4 94.8 93.5
Marshall 3-3 4-6 88.1 85.0
U A B 2-4 3-7 86.5 86.0
Southern Mississippi   0-6 0-10 82.4 76.5
Memphis 2-4 2-8 76.4 80.0
         
West Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Tulsa 6-0 8-2 105.0 104.5
S M U 4-2 5-5 97.0 95.0
Houston 3-3 4-6 89.6 84.5
Rice 2-4 4-6 89.0 87.5
U T E P 1-5 2-8 88.8 85.0
Tulane 2-4 2-8 75.2 76.0
         
         
Conference Means 89.0375   89.91 88.2

 

 

Independents
         
Team   Overall Rating Vintage
Notre Dame   10-0 123.3 123.5
B Y U   6-4 114.3 113.5
Navy   6-4 92.4 95.5
Army   2-8 87.3 90.0
         
         
Conference Means 104.975   104.33 105.6

 

 

Mid American Conference
East Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Kent St. 6-0 9-1 97.8 104.5
Bowling Green 5-1 7-3 96.3 100.0
Ohio U 4-2 8-2 91.6 96.5
Buffalo 2-4 3-7 85.7 88.0
Miami (O) 3-3 4-6 84.8 87.5
Akron 0-7 1-10 72.8 75.5
Massachusetts 1-5 1-9 68.5 77.0
         
West Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Northern Illinois   6-0 9-1 104.0 104.0
Ball St. 4-2 7-3 98.6 97.5
Toledo 5-1 8-2 98.3 96.0
Western Michigan 2-5 4-7 91.4 88.0
Central Michigan 2-4 4-6 84.2 88.0
Eastern Michigan 0-6 1-9 80.0 81.0
         
         
Conference Means 89.9038   88.77 91.0

 

 

Mountain West Conference
         
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Boise St. 5-1 8-2 106.5 109.5
Fresno St. 6-1 8-3 104.0 107.5
San Diego St. 6-1 8-3 100.2 110.5
Nevada 3-3 6-4 94.8 99.0
Air Force 4-2 5-5 88.6 91.0
Wyoming 2-4 3-7 87.6 86.5
Colorado St. 2-4 3-7 83.7 88.5
New Mexico 1-5 4-7 82.8 86.0
UNLV 2-4 2-9 82.6 87.5
Hawaii 0-6 1-8 76.1 79.0
         
         
Conference Means 92.595   90.69 94.5

 

 

Pac-12 Conference
North Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Oregon   7-0 10-0 133.0 129.5
Stanford 6-1 8-2 117.5 120.0
Oregon St. 5-2 7-2 113.6 112.5
Washington 4-3 6-4 110.0 112.5
California 2-6 3-8 102.2 97.5
Washington St. 0-7 2-8 94.2 89.5
         
South Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
U S C 5-3 7-3 120.5 115.5
U C L A 5-2 8-2 113.7 112.5
Arizona 3-4 6-4 109.0 106.0
Utah 2-5 4-6 108.8 105.5
Arizona St. 3-4 5-5 107.1 103.0
Colorado 1-6 1-9 79.5 88.5
         
         
Conference Means 108.4   109.09 107.7

 

 

Southeastern Conference
East Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Georgia 7-1 9-1 123.4 127.0
South Carolina 6-2 8-2 122.5 121.5
Florida 7-1 9-1 118.8 122.0
Missouri 2-5 5-5 109.7 106.5
Vanderbilt 4-3 6-4 109.6 112.0
Tennessee 0-6 4-6 109.0 102.5
Kentucky 0-7 1-9 88.6 91.5
         
West Division        
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Alabama 6-1 9-1 132.0 126.5
Texas A&M 5-2 8-2 127.0 123.5
L S U   4-2 8-2 125.6 124.5
Mississippi St. 3-3 7-3 108.3 110.0
Ole Miss 2-4 5-5 106.2 108.5
Arkansas 2-4 4-6 103.4 104.0
Auburn 0-7 2-8 98.3 96.0
         
         
Conference Means 112.8   113.03 112.6

 

 

Sunbelt Conference
         
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Arkansas St. 5-1 7-3 97.4 98.5
UL-Lafayette 3-2 5-4 95.1 92.5
Louisiana-Monroe 4-2 6-4 94.1 91.5
Western Kentucky 3-3 6-4 92.5 90.0
Troy 3-3 5-5 89.3 87.5
Middle Tennessee 4-1 6-3 86.5 91.5
North Texas 3-3 4-6 86.2 79.5
Florida International 1-5 2-8 83.5 82.0
Florida Atlantic 2-4 3-7 80.9 79.5
South Alabama 1-5 2-8 74.8 75.0
         
         
Conference Means 87.39   88.03 86.8

 

 

Western Athletic Conference
         
Team Conf. Overall Rating Vintage
Louisiana Tech   4-0 9-1 104.6 105.5
Utah St. 4-0 8-2 104.0 104.5
San Jose St. 4-1 8-2 99.8 101.5
Texas St. 1-3 3-6 79.8 84.5
U T S A 1-3 6-4 76.1 85.0
Idaho 1-3 1-9 74.7 76.0
New Mexico St. 0-5 1-9 72.2 70.5
         
         
Conference Means 88.4786   87.31 89.6

 

 

This Week’s PiRate Spreads

This Week’s Games
         
Favorite Underdog PiRate Vintage Line
Wednesday, November 14      
BALL ST. Ohio U 10.0 4.0 6 1/2
NORTHERN ILLINOIS Toledo 8.7 11.0 10   
         
Thursday, November 15      
North Carolina VIRGINIA 6.8 -3.0 3 1/2
         
Friday, November 16      
AIR FORCE Hawaii 16.5 16.0 23   
Florida Int’l FLORIDA ATLANTIC 0.6 0.5 -1 1/2
         
Saturday, November 17      
GEORGIA TECH Duke 11.4 6.5 13   
ARMY Temple 3.2 2.0 3 1/2
BOWLING GREEN Kent St. 0.5 -2.0 2 1/2
Virginia Tech BOSTON COLLEGE 5.3 5.5 10   
NEBRASKA Minnesota 20.9 20.0 20   
MISSISSIPPI ST. Arkansas 7.9 9.0 6 1/2
MIAMI-FLA South Florida 2.1 11.0 7   
Purdue ILLINOIS 6.2 2.0 7   
Iowa St. KANSAS 6.9 5.5 6   
MARSHALL Houston 1.5 3.5 3 1/2
Florida St. MARYLAND 25.1 25.0 31   
Buffalo MASSACHUSETTS 15.2 9.0 11   
MICHIGAN ST. Northwestern 7.5 6.0 6 1/2
CLEMSON North Carolina St. 22.0 16.5 17   
CINCINNATI Rutgers 1.2 2.0 6 1/2
PENN ST. Indiana 18.1 20.0 18 1/2
VANDERBILT Tennessee 2.6 11.5 4   
CENTRAL MICHIGAN Miami (O) 1.9 3.0 3 1/2
U A B Memphis 12.6 8.5 10   
WESTERN MICHIGAN Eastern Michigan 13.4 9.0 13   
Oklahoma WEST VIRGINIA 15.5 11.5 11   
Southern Cal U C L A 4.8 1.0 4   
BOISE ST. Colorado St. 25.8 24.0 28   
NAVY Texas St. 15.6 14.0 13   
Kansas St. BAYLOR 16.6 21.5 12   
Nevada NEW MEXICO 9.0 10.0 10   
NOTRE DAME Wake Forest 33.9 30.5 24   
OREGON Stanford 18.5 12.5 20 1/2
OREGON ST. California 14.4 18.0 NL
S m u RICE 5.5 5.0 3 1/2
East Carolina TULANE 17.1 15.0 9 1/2
TULSA Central Florida 1.9 3.0 3   
MICHIGAN Iowa 20.1 25.5 20   
Washington COLORADO 27.5 21.0 20 1/2
B y u SAN JOSE ST. 11.5 9.0 3   
Wyoming U N L V 2.5 -3.5 NL
IDAHO U t s a 1.1 -6.5 -6 1/2
UTAH Arizona 2.8 2.5 NL
MISSOURI Syracuse 8.6 7.0 4 1/2
OKLAHOMA ST. Texas Tech 15.3 11.0 10 1/2
LOUISIANA TECH Utah St. 3.6 4.0 -3   
WISCONSIN Ohio St. 4.6 -8.0 3   
L S U Ole Miss 22.4 19.0 18 1/2
U t e p SOUTHERN MISS. 3.9 6.0 4   
ARIZONA ST. Washington St. 15.9 16.5 22   
Arkansas St. TROY 5.1 8.0 3   
UL-MONROE North Texas 10.9 15.0 10   
Middle Tennessee SOUTH ALABAMA 9.2 14.0 9   
UL-LAFAYETTE Western Kentucky 5.6 5.5 4   

 

Bowl Projections

Bowl Conference Team Conference Team
New Mexico MWC # 4/5 Nevada Pac12 #7 / WAC Arizona
Famous Idaho Potato MAC #3 Northern Illinois WAC #1/2 Utah St.
Poinsettia MWC #2 Fresno St. BYU/WAC B Y U
Beef O’Brady’s Big East #6 (UL-Lafayette) C-USA #2-5 (4) East Carolina
New Orleans Sunbelt #1 Arkansas St. C-USA #2-5 (5) (San Jose St.)
MAACO MWC #1 Boise St. Pac 12 #5 U C L A
Hawaii MWC #3/Hawaii San Diego St. C-USA #2-5 (2) Central Florida
Little Caesar’s Pizza Big 10 #8 (Western Ky.) MAC #1 Kent St.
Military ACC #8 (Ohio U) Army/CUSA (Arizona St.)
Belk ACC #5 Georgia Tech Big East #3 Rutgers
Holiday Pac 12 #3 Washington Big 12 #5 West Virginia
Independence ACC #6/7 (7) (Middle Tenn.) SEC #10 (La. Tech)
Russell Athletic Big East #2 Louisville ACC #3 North Carolina St.
Meineke Car Care Big 12 #6 Iowa St. Big 10 #6 Minnesota
Armed Forces C-USA #3 S M U MWC #4-5 Air Force
Kraft Fight Hunger Pac 12 #6 Oregon St. Navy/ACC Navy
Pinstripe Big East #4 Syracuse Big 12 #7 T C U
Alamo Big 12 #3 Texas Tech Pac 12 #2 Stanford
Buffalo Wild Wings Big 12 #4 Oklahoma St. Big 10 #4 or 5 Michigan St.
Music City SEC # 7 Vanderbilt ACC #6 Duke
Sun ACC #4 Virginia Tech Pac 12 #4 Southern Cal
Liberty SEC#8-9/BigEast Missouri C-USA #1 Tulsa
Chick-fil-A SEC #5 South Carolina ACC #2 Miami-Fla
Heart of Dallas Big 10 #7 (Bowling Green) Big 12 #8 (Utah)
Gator Big 10 #4 or 5 Northwestern SEC #6 Mississippi St.
Capital One Big 10 #2 Michigan SEC #2 L S U
Outback SEC #3 or 4 Florida Big 10 #3 Wisconsin
Rose BCS Pac12 Notre Dame BCS Big 10 Nebraska
Orange BCS ACC Florida St. BCS At-Large Cincinnati
Sugar BCS SEC Alabama BCS At-Large Clemson
Fiesta BCS Big 12 Oklahoma BCS At-Large Georgia
Cotton Big 12 #2 Texas SEC #3 or 4 Texas A&M
BBVA Compass Big East#5/CUSA (Ball St.) SEC #8 or 9 Ole Miss
GoDaddy.com Sunbelt # 2 UL-Monroe MAC #2 Toledo
National Championship *** BCS #1 *** Kansas St. *** BCS #2 *** Oregon

 

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