The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 10, 2012

PiRate Ratings For College Football: October 11-13, 2012

The Bowl Conundrum

It is not yet a certainty, and it is still just a probability somewhere between slim and halfway decent, but big conference mediocrity combined with probation is rearing its ugly head this year.  What this means is that as many as nine bowl spots could need to be filled by at-large teams from smaller conferences.  Let’s take a look at some of these possibilities.

 

Atlantic Coast

Florida State has more than likely played itself out of the championship picture.  The Seminoles now are in danger of falling to second or even third place in the Atlantic Division.  With road games against Miami, Virginia Tech, and Maryland, if the ‘Noles lose just one of these three, Clemson could win out in conference play with a much easier remaining conference schedule.

 

In the Coastal, North Carolina is ineligible, and the Tar Heels could easily win the division, meaning the number two team would advance to the ACC Championship Game.  There are no really strong teams in this division.  Miami leads at 3-0, and Duke is second at 2-0, while Virginia Tech is 1-1.  One of these three will play in the conference title game, while the other two will be bowl eligible.

 

Besides FSU and Clemson, North Carolina State is the only other sure thing for bowl eligibility out of the Atlantic Division.  We give Maryland a 60% chance of winning six games, while Wake Forest and Boston College have little or no chance.

 

This leaves seven bowl eligible teams for eight bowl bids.  Let’s keep a running count of at-large teams needed to fill bowl spots.  This makes one.

 

Big East

Everybody is eligible, but two of the teams expected to compete for the conference championship have basically already played themselves out of the race and appear to be headed to losing records.  That eliminates South Florida and Pittsburgh. 

 

Rutgers, Cincinnati, and Louisville are still undefeated.  However, these three are the only teams with winning records so far.  Connecticut and Temple are both .500 teams with too many tough games remaining on their schedules.  Syracuse is 2-3, and the Orangemen are in the same boat as the UConn and Temple.  We do not see any of these three making it to six wins.  Temple only plays 11 games, so it is even tougher for the Owls.

 

We really only see the three current undefeated teams making it to bowl eligibility.  The Big East needs six bowl-eligible teams to fill their allotment of bowls, and we say they will fall three short.  This brings our at-large casting call to four.

 

Big Ten

Once again, this conference is greatly affected by having teams ineligible for bowls.  Ohio State could be in the national championship picture if they were eligible.  The Buckeyes could still claim the Associated Press title if they emerge at 12-0 at the end of November.  Penn State has won four straight games by impressive scores, and the Nittany Lions will continue to peg losses on conference teams.

 

There is a possibility that the third best Leaders Division team could make it to the Big Ten Championship Game.  At best, it will be the runner up.  This week’s Wisconsin-Purdue game in West Lafayette will probably decide whether that team is the Badgers or the Boilermakers.  For you Badger fans making the trip, be sure to stop at XXX just off campus to sample their great root beer, but get their early or you will wait a long time.

 

Neither Indiana nor Illinois figure to threaten the six-win mark, so only two teams from the Leaders will go bowling.  It isn’t impossible that Purdue could lose this week and not make it to 6-6.  We’re giving Coach Danny Hope the benefit of the doubt here.

 

The Legends division is too balanced to believe any team will beat all the other teams in the division.  Michigan may have the best shot, but the Wolverines have to visit Nebraska, and it won’t be easy winning the Little Brown Jug at Minnesota.  Due to the parity, there is a chance that all six in the Legends could finish bowl eligible.  We have to be lenient somewhere or there will not be 70 total bowl eligible teams.  So we will say that the Big Ten will produce eight bowl eligible teams and fill its allotment with no BCS at-large candidates to mess up the deal.  Our at-large requirement stays at four.

 

Big 12

Kansas State and West Virginia remain in the hunt for the National Championship Game, but we do not see either team running the table.  We believe both will lose at least one time.  West Virginia is going to arrive with a waiting ambush in Lubbock this weekend, and while we will not call for Texas Tech to pull the big upset, it wouldn’t surprise us if it happened.  Having to play back-to-back road games in the Lonestar State is not an easy task.  The Mountaineers host Kansas State the following week.  With games at Oklahoma State and at home against Oklahoma, we believe at least one conference team will outscore the Mountaineers.

 

Kansas State must play at West Virginia and still hosts Oklahoma State and Texas.  They better watch out this week, because Iowa State can pull off a big upset over a top ten team when hosting them at Jack Trice Stadium.  Ask Mike Gundy about that.

 

We see two teams currently with winning records failing to make it to six wins out of this league.  TCU is 4-1, but they have lost their quarterback for the season.  We believe the Horned Frogs are going to make a habit of losing and finish at 5-7.  Baylor is 3-1, but the Bears have a brutal schedule from here on out.  Road games at Texas, Iowa State, and Oklahoma combine with a neutral game against Texas Tech, and the home games against Kansas State and Oklahoma State are tough.  We can see Baylor dropping to 5-7 as well.

 

Even if Baylor wins a sixth game, it is likely to come at the expense of Texas Tech or Iowa State, and that could knock one of those teams to 5-7.  This looks like a seven bowl-bid league this year.  The Big 12 has seven bowl allotments, but we see a second team getting a BCS Bowl bid, so that leaves this league one team short.  This brings the at-large requirement to five.

 

Conference USA
This league is down this season.  Southern Mississippi is 0-5.  UTEP and Rice are 1-5.  Memphis, Tulane, and UAB are no better than UTEP and Rice.  Marshall is a disappointing 2-4 with at least three more losses looming ahead.  Houston and SMU are 2-3, and East Carolina is 3-3.  Only 5-1 Tulsa and 3-2 Central Florida look like locks to make it to seven wins.  We believe ECU, Houston, and SMU will recover by beating up on the seven weak-sisters to become bowl eligible.  That gives this league five teams to fill six bowl allotments.  Our at-large field grows to six.

 

Independents

Ironically, the teams not in conferences all have places to go if they win six or more games.  Notre Dame can steal from the Big East if they are bowl eligible, while Army, BYU, and Navy all have predetermined destinations if they are bowl eligible. 

 

At the moment, Notre Dame looks like a cinch to get to 10-2 or better, and that would place the Irish in a BCS Bowl.  BYU will definitely win at least eight games, so the Cougars have a reservation for December.  At the moment, we believe Army and Navy will fail to achieve six wins.  Navy could be 5-6 heading into the big season finale in Philadelphia, but it just may be Army’s year to end the losing streak in this rivalry.

 

We’ll say that both Army and Navy will fail to earn bowl bids, so that brings our at-large field requirement to eight.

 

Mid-American

Finally, we get to a league that will produce a surplus of bowl-eligible teams.  The MAC already has its first bowl-eligible team.  Ohio U is 6-0, but the Bobcats will not upset the apple cart and sneak into the BCS Bowl picture for two reasons.  Number one, their schedule just isn’t strong enough to move them high enough in the BCS standings, and number two, we do not believe Ohio can run the table.  If they get to 11-0, that final regular season game is at Kent State, and the Golden Flashes just may be a little bit too much to handle at Dix Stadium on a Friday night.  For Kent State, this looks like the year they finally get back to a bowl.  Their only other postseason game came 40 years ago.

 

Add Bowling Green to the East Division block of bowl-eligible teams.  The Falcons are currently 3-3, but with a relatively easy second half schedule, BGU should win five of their final six games to finish 8-4.  Miami of Ohio is 3-3 and looks to be headed to 6-6.  At 6-6, they will be out of the bowl picture as we see it.

 

In the West, Toledo, Northern Illinois, and Western Michigan could beat each other and finish in a three-way tie at 7-1.  Central Michigan is 2-3, but the Chippewas are in a similar boat as Bowling Green.  We see CMU winning five of their last seven to get to 7-5.  This brings the MAC to seven bowl eligible teams with seven or more wins.  This league only has three bowl allotments, so there could be as many as four at-large teams available for the nine expected at-large requirements.  We’ll expound on this later.

 

Mountain West

Here is another conference that figures to pick up more bowl games than they have been allotted.  Currently, Nevada and Fresno State are tied at the top with 2-0 league marks.  Boise State is 1/2-game back at 1-0.  Technically, UNLV is tied with Boise at 1-0, but they are 1-5 overall and headed to eight or nine losses.

 

San Diego State is 3-3 after playing a tough first half schedule.  The Aztecs should win four of their final six to get to seven wins.

 

Air Force has already lost to UNLV and a weaker than usual Navy team.  The Falcons are 2-3.  This week’s game at Wyoming is a must-win for the Academy, as is the following week’s contest at home against New Mexico.  Assuming they can win both games, they would then need to win at Army and beat Hawaii later in the season to get to 6-6.  It is a 50-50 probability.  If they cannot finish 6-6, then there will be room for one 6-6 at-large team.

 

New Mexico is the real surprise.  Bob Davie deserves the National Coach of the Year award if he can get the Lobos to a bowl after New Mexico has endured all the struggles of the last three years (3-33 overall with average score of 15-41).  Because the Lobos play 13 games this year, they have a decent shot of finishing 7-6.  They must beat Hawaii, UNLV, Wyoming, and Colorado State, to get there, or upset Air Force and win three of those others.

 

We will call for Air Force to win six and New Mexico to win seven, giving the MWC six bowl-eligible teams for four guaranteed bowl spots.  That brings the number of at-large available teams to six for the nine possible availabilities.

 

Pac-12

Oregon looks strong enough to run the table for the second time in three years.  We’ll give the Ducks a 12-0 record and send them to Miami to play for the title.  We also believe that at least one other team from among Southern Cal, Stanford, Oregon State, or Arizona State will finish with 10 wins and garner a BCS at-large bowl bid.  The others in this group will definitely finish with seven or more wins to head to a bowl.

 

Add to this group UCLA and Washington, which we feel will both finish 7-5.  Toss in Arizona and Utah to finish at 6-6.  That brings the total of bowl-eligible teams to nine including an extra bid to a BCS Bowl.  The Pac-12 only needs eight bowl teams including that extra bid, so one of the 6-6 teams could be on the outside looking in.  We’ll call Utah to be that unlucky team, but should Air Force not get to six wins, the Utes will get the nod over Miami of Ohio for the one available bid to an at-large six win team.

 

This keeps the number of at-large bowl bids needed at eight.

 

Southeastern

The League of Champions now has 10 bowl contracts, and because there is always a second BCS bowl bid from the SEC, there really are 11 spots available to SEC teams.

 

We are being generous today and will call for Alabama to run the table to face Oregon for the national title.  The Crimson Tide could most definitely lose a game along the way, because the rest of the schedule has some tough games.  They should have no problem at Missouri this week, but Tennessee is waiting in Knoxville the following week and may need to pull a big upset to keep the orange natives off Derek Dooley’s back.  A road game at LSU will not be easy, while home games against Mississippi State and Texas A&M will be no walks in the park.  Even if they go 12-0, the SEC Championship Game could come against another 12-0 team.

 

It will be quite interesting to see how South Carolina fares at LSU this week.  Should the Gamecocks win, that would set up a big battle of unbeatens the following week when they play at Florida.  The winner of that game would stand a very strong chance of running the table to 12-0.

 

There are so many quality teams in the middle of the pack.  LSU and Georgia are now looking at finishing somewhere in the second wave, while Mississippi State and Texas A&M are waiting to pull off one big upset and get into the New Year’s Day equation.  Tennessee has a brutal stretch in October, but once November arrives, the Vols should win four consecutive games to finish bowl eligible.

 

There is a group of four teams still in the hunt for six wins.  We believe two of the four will make it.  Ole Miss and Missouri are 3-3; Vanderbilt is 2-3, and Arkansas is 2-4.  At the moment, Ole Miss will need one upset to win six, and it would not surprise us to see the Rebels pull the upset at home over Mississippi State in the Egg Bowl. 

 

Missouri must still play Alabama at home and Tennessee, Florida, and Texas A&M on the road.  We don’t see the Tigers getting there this year.

 

Arkansas was supposed to be a national title contender prior to Bobby Petrino’s motorcycle accident.  Now, the Razorbacks face a huge uphill climb to get from 2-4 to 6-6.  The finishing schedule finds Arkansas playing Kentucky, Ole Miss, Tulsa, South Carolina, Mississippi State, and LSU.  Only Kentucky is a guaranteed win, and the Hogs need four wins.  We don’t see it happening.

 

That leaves Vanderbilt, long the whipping boy of the league.  The Commodores surprised folks at 6-6 last year and began this season 1-3 with the lone win coming against Presbyterian.  Winning at Missouri last week makes the Auburn game in two weeks the pivotal contest.  Should Vandy knock off the hapless War Eagles, they have winnable games remaining against Massachusetts, Kentucky, and Wake Forest.  6-6 would be possible again.

 

We will call for the SEC to produce 10 teams with six or more wins.  However, they need 11, and that moves the at-large bowl requirement to nine teams.

 

Sunbelt

This league is starting to make strides among the non automatic qualifying conferences.  Last year, three teams went to bowl, and a fourth bowl-eligible team failed to get an invite.  This year, we believe four teams will have seven or more wins again with two extras finishing 6-6.  Unlike 2011, we see all four 7+ win teams getting invites.

 

Louisiana-Monroe, Louisiana-Lafayette, and Western Kentucky are strong enough to compete against the 7-5 teams from the power conferences.  All three should win at least nine games this year.  Throw in a rejuvenated Troy team that should get to 7-5, and you have four worthy bowl teams for just two bowl allotments.  Because the SBC has secondary bowl agreements, expect four to bowl this year.

 

Western Athletic

This league will go out with a bang and not a whimper.  There are three very talented teams in this league (five if you count UTSA and Texas State which are not bowl eligible), and one team has an outside shot at sneaking into the BCS Bowl equation.

 

Louisiana Tech is 5-0 with wins over Houston, Illinois, and Virginia.  They face Texas A&M this week in Shreveport, and if the Bulldogs win, they have a chance to go 12-0.  At 12-0, they could move high enough into the BCS standings to steal a bid to the Orange Bowl.  For our sake of argument, we will call for LT to lose and finish 11-1 or even 10-2.

 

San Jose State was 1-12 two years ago, but the Spartans could go 9-3 or even 10-2 this year.  Utah State is 4-2 with enough winnable games remaining to finish 8-4.  The WAC has just two bowl agreements with three quality teams able to go bowling.

 

What It Means

With nine bowl spots failing to be filled by conference teams affiliated with those bowls, there will need to be nine at-large teams to fill those spots.

 

The Military Bowl and the Pinstripe Bowl will need to find two at-large teams each.  The other five bowls needing one at-large team will be the BBVA Compass, the Beef O’Brady’s the New Orleans, the Kraft Fight Hunger, and the Independence Bowls.

 

Here is how we see the nine at-large bowl spots distributed.

 

Military: Western Michigan and the lone 6-6 at-large selection (Air Force, Utah, Miami of Ohio, Arkansas State, or Middle Tennessee) 

 

Pinstripe: Utah State and Kent State (Utah State once played in the Gotham Bowl at the old Polo Grounds in New York.)

 

BBVA Compass: Central Michigan

 

Beef O’Brady’s: Troy

 

New Orleans: Bowling Green

 

Kraft Fight Hunger: San Diego St.

 

Independence: Louisiana-Lafayette

 

Here then is our first look at speculating the bowls for the 2012-13 season:

 

Bowl

Team 1

Team 2

New Mexico

New Mexico

Arizona

Famous Idaho Potato

Toledo

Louisiana Tech

Poinsettia

B Y U

Fresno St.

Beef O’Brady’s

(Troy) *

East Carolina

New Orleans

(Bowling Green) *

Western Kentucky

MAACO

Nevada

Washington

Hawaii

Houston

San Jose St.

Little Caesar’s Pizza

Northwestern

Ohio U

Military

(Western Michigan) *

(Air Force) *

Belk

Miami (Fl)

Rutgers

Holiday

Texas Tech

Oregon St.

Independence

Maryland

(Louisiana-Lafayette) *

Russell Athletic

North Carolina St.

Louisville

Meineke Car Care of Texas

Purdue

Iowa St.

Armed Forces

S M U

Boise St.

Kraft Fight Hunger

(San Diego St.) *

U C L A

Pinstripe

(Utah St.) *

(Kent St.) *

Alamo

Texas

Stanford

Buffalo Wild Wings

Wisconsin

Oklahoma St.

Music City

Duke

Tennessee

Sun

Virginia Tech

Arizona St.

Liberty

Central Florida

Ole Miss

Chick-fil-A

Clemson

Mississippi St.

TicketCity

Minnesota

Tulsa

Gator

Iowa

Texas A&M

Capital One

Michigan St.

South Carolina

Outback

Nebraska

Georgia

Rose

Michigan

Southern Cal

Orange

Florida St.

Cincinnati

Sugar

Kansas St.

Notre Dame

Fiesta

West Virginia

Florida

Cotton

Oklahoma

L S U

BBVA Compass

(Central Michigan) *

Vanderbilt

GoDaddy.com

Northern Illinois

Louisiana-Monroe

National Championship

Alabama

Oregon

 

Here are this week’s PiRate and PiRate Vintage Ratings

 

PiRate

#

Team

PiRate

1

Alabama

131.8

2

Oklahoma

127.7

3

Oregon  

126.7

4

South Carolina

126.3

5

Kansas St.

125.4

6

Notre Dame

124.9

7

L S U  

124.5

8

Oklahoma St.

123.1

9

Florida

123.0

10

U S C

122.4

11

Florida St.

122.0

12

Texas

121.5

13

Georgia

120.1

14

Texas A&M

119.0

15

West Virginia

118.5

16

Michigan

117.9

17

Clemson  

115.9

18

Stanford

115.1

19

Ohio St.

114.4

20

Texas Tech

114.2

21

Nebraska

113.6

22

Baylor

113.1

23

North Carolina

112.0

24

B Y U

111.3

25

Oregon St.

111.3

26

Arizona St.

110.6

27

Tennessee

110.4

28

Wisconsin  

110.1

29

T C U

110.1

30

U C L A

109.8

31

Iowa St.

109.6

32

Missouri

109.5

33

Michigan St.

109.1

34

Mississippi St.

108.8

35

California

108.7

36

Arizona

108.6

37

Rutgers

108.1

38

Utah

107.5

39

Louisiana Tech  

107.4

40

Vanderbilt

106.5

41

Washington

105.9

42

Auburn

105.8

43

Ole Miss

105.3

44

Boise St.

105.2

45

Virginia Tech

104.9

46

Louisville

104.9

47

Purdue

104.5

48

Cincinnati

104.1

49

North Carolina St.

103.8

50

Georgia Tech

103.7

51

Central Florida

103.7

52

Tulsa

103.4

53

Penn St.

102.6

54

Northwestern

101.6

55

Pittsburgh

101.2

56

Fresno St.

101.2

57

Duke

100.8

58

South Florida

100.5

59

Louisiana-Monroe

100.4

60

Iowa

100.3

61

Nevada

100.2

62

Arkansas

100.1

63

Utah St.

99.9

64

Toledo

99.5

65

Miami-FL

98.8

66

Western Kentucky

98.8

67

Syracuse

98.3

68

San Jose St.

98.3

69

BostonCollege

98.2

70

Northern Illinois  

98.2

71

Connecticut

97.7

72

Houston

97.6

73

Maryland

97.3

74

Minnesota

97.3

75

S M U

97.1

76

San Diego St.

96.3

77

Western Michigan

96.1

78

Washington St.

95.9

79

WakeForest

95.0

80

Ball St.

95.0

81

Kansas

94.9

82

Illinois

94.7

83

East Carolina

94.7

84

UL-Lafayette

94.7

85

Virginia

94.5

86

Indiana

93.9

87

Ohio U

93.9

88

Kentucky

92.8

89

Kent St.

92.5

90

Marshall

92.3

91

Bowling Green

92.0

92

Arkansas St.

91.2

93

Temple

90.5

94

Southern Mississippi  

90.2

95

Wyoming

90.2

96

U T E P

90.0

97

Troy

89.6

98

Air Force

88.0

99

North Texas

87.4

100

Army

87.2

101

Navy

86.8

102

Central Michigan

86.8

103

New Mexico

86.5

104

U A B

86.3

105

Miami (O)

85.6

106

Rice

84.5

107

Buffalo

84.3

108

Florida International

84.0

109

Middle Tennessee

83.6

110

Colorado

83.1

111

Colorado St.

81.3

112

UNLV

79.9

113

Eastern Michigan

79.7

114

Idaho

79.7

115

Hawaii

78.8

116

U T S A

78.8

117

Texas St.

75.1

118

Memphis

74.8

119

FloridaAtlantic

74.7

120

Akron

74.3

121

New Mexico St.

74.2

122

South Alabama

71.2

123

Tulane

70.2

124

Massachusetts

68.2

 

PiRate Vintage

#

Team

Vintage

1

Alabama

128.0

2

Oregon

125.5

3

Florida 

125.5

4

Notre Dame

125.0

5

S. Carolina

125.0

6

West Virginia

124.0

7

Kansas St.

123.5

8

L S U

121.0

9

Oklahoma

121.0

10

OhioState

120.0

11

Georgia 

119.5

12

U S C

118.5

13

Florida St.

118.0

14

Texas

118.0

15

Oklahoma St.

117.5

16

Michigan

117.0

17

Baylor

116.5

18

Texas A&M

115.0

19

Clemson

114.5

20

Miss.State

114.5

21

Nebraska

113.0

22

Arizona St.

113.0

23

Stanford

112.5

24

PennState

112.5

25

Cincinnati

112.0

26

N.C.State

111.5

27

B Y U

111.5

28

Michigan St.

111.5

29

Tennessee

111.0

30

Oregon St.

110.5

31

Rutgers

110.0

32

N. Carolina

109.0

33

Ole Miss

109.0

34

Texas Tech

109.0

35

Wisconsin

108.5

36

Louisville

108.0

37

Arizona

107.5

38

IowaState

107.0

39

Miami

107.0

40

Arkansas

107.0

41

La. Tech

106.0

42

Iowa

106.0

43

Vanderbilt

106.0

44

Boise St.

105.5

45

Duke

105.0

46

Fresno St.

105.0

47

Northwestern

105.0

48

Va. Tech

104.5

49

Purdue

104.5

50

Washington

104.5

51

Tulsa

104.0

52

T C U

104.0

53

U C L A

104.0

54

Minnesota

104.0

55

Missouri

104.0

56

Utah

103.5

57

S.J.State

103.0

58

California

102.5

59

Nevada

102.0

60

WesternKy.

101.5

61

Pittsburgh

101.5

62

U C F

101.5

63

U L M

101.0

64

U L L

100.5

65

Auburn

100.5

66

Toledo

99.5

67

Utah St.

99.5

68

Syracuse

99.5

69

Maryland

98.5

70

Temple

98.0

71

N I U

98.0

72

S.D.State

97.0

73

S M U

97.0

74

Indiana

97.0

75

Georgia Tech

97.0

76

Ohio U

96.5

77

Virginia

96.5

78

W M U

96.0

79

Connecticut

95.5

80

Houston

95.0

81

Kansas

95.0

82

UTSA

95.0

83

S. Florida

94.5

84

Colorado

94.5

85

Navy

94.0

86

Kentucky

94.0

87

Illinois

94.0

88

WakeForest

93.0

89

Washington St.

92.5

90

E C U

91.5

91

Ark.State

91.0

92

Kent St.

90.0

93

Marshall

90.0

94

MTSU

89.5

95

Texas St.

89.5

96

Boston Coll.

89.5

97

Troy

89.0

98

Miami (O)

89.0

99

B G U

88.5

100

Army

88.5

101

New Mexico

87.5

102

U T E P

87.0

103

Ball St.

86.5

104

Air Force

86.5

105

Sou. Miss.

86.5

106

F I U

84.5

107

C M U

84.0

108

U A B

84.0

109

Wyoming

83.5

110

UNLV

81.5

111

Hawaii

79.0

112

Memphis

78.5

113

Akron

78.5

114

Idaho

78.5

115

N. Texas

78.0

116

Colo.State

78.0

117

Rice

77.0

118

Buffalo

77.0

119

Tulane

75.5

120

F A U

75.5

121

E M U

75.5

122

N. Mex.State

74.5

123

S. Alabama

73.0

124

U. Mass.

73.0

 

Ratings by Conference

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

 

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Florida St.

2-1

5-1

122.0

118.0

Clemson  

2-1

5-1

115.9

114.5

North Carolina St.

1-1

4-2

103.8

111.5

Boston College

0-2

1-4

98.2

89.5

Maryland

1-0

3-2

97.3

98.5

Wake Forest

1-3

3-3

95.0

93.0

       

 

Coastal Division

 

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

North Carolina

1-1

4-2

112.0

109.0

Virginia Tech

1-1

3-3

104.9

104.5

Georgia Tech

1-3

2-4

103.7

97.0

Duke

2-0

5-1

100.8

105.0

Miami-FL

3-0

4-2

98.8

107.0

Virginia

0-2

2-4

94.5

96.5

       

 

       

 

Conference Means

103.79

 

103.91

103.7

 

 

Big East Conference

 

 

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Rutgers

2-0

5-0

108.1

110.0

Louisville

0-0

5-0

104.9

108.0

Cincinnati

1-0

4-0

104.1

112.0

Pittsburgh

0-2

2-3

101.2

101.5

South Florida

0-2

2-4

100.5

94.5

Syracuse

1-0

2-3

98.3

99.5

Connecticut

0-1

3-3

97.7

95.5

Temple

1-0

2-2

90.5

98.0

 

 

 

   
 

 

 

   
Conference Means

101.519

 

100.66

102.4

 

 

Big Ten

         
Leaders Division      

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Ohio St.

2-0

6-0

114.4

120.0

Wisconsin  

1-1

4-2

110.1

108.5

Purdue

0-1

3-2

104.5

104.5

Penn St.

2-0

4-2

102.6

112.5

Illinois

0-2

2-4

94.7

94.0

Indiana

0-2

2-3

93.9

97.0

         
Legends Division        
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Michigan

1-0

3-2

117.9

117.0

Nebraska

1-1

4-2

113.6

113.0

Michigan St.

1-1

4-2

109.1

111.5

Northwestern

1-1

5-1

101.6

105.0

Iowa

1-0

3-2

100.3

106.0

Minnesota

0-1

4-1

97.3

104.0

         
Conference Means

106.375

 

105.00

107.8

 

 

Big 12

         
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Oklahoma

1-1

3-1

127.7

121.0

Kansas St.

2-0

5-0

125.4

123.5

Oklahoma St.

0-1

2-2

123.1

117.5

Texas

1-1

4-1

121.5

118.0

West Virginia

2-0

5-0

118.5

124.0

Texas Tech

1-1

4-1

114.2

109.0

Baylor

0-1

3-1

113.1

116.5

T C U

1-1

4-1

110.1

104.0

Iowa St.

1-1

4-1

109.6

107.0

Kansas

0-2

1-4

94.9

95.0

         
 

 

 

   
Conference Means

114.68

 

115.81

113.6

 

 

Conference USA

East Division        
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Central Florida

1-0

3-2

103.7

101.5

East Carolina

2-1

3-3

94.7

91.5

Marshall

1-1

2-4

92.3

90.0

Southern Mississippi  

0-1

0-5

90.2

86.5

U A B

0-1

1-4

86.3

84.0

Memphis

1-0

1-4

74.8

78.5

         
West Division        
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Tulsa

3-0

5-1

103.4

104.0

Houston

1-0

2-3

97.6

95.0

S M U

1-0

2-3

97.1

97.0

U T E P

0-2

1-5

90.0

87.0

Rice

0-3

1-5

84.5

77.0

Tulane

0-1

0-5

70.2

75.5

         
         
Conference Means

89.6792

 

90.40

89.0

 

 

Independents

         
Team

 

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Notre Dame  

5-0

124.9

125.0

B Y U  

4-2

111.3

111.5

Army  

1-4

87.2

88.5

Navy  

2-3

86.8

94.0

         
         
Conference Means

103.65

 

102.55

104.8

 

 

Mid American Conference

East Division        
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Ohio U

2-0

6-0

93.9

96.5

Kent St.

3-0

4-1

92.5

90.0

Bowling Green

1-1

3-3

92.0

88.5

Miami (O)

2-0

3-3

85.6

89.0

Buffalo

0-2

1-4

84.3

77.0

Akron

0-2

1-5

74.3

78.5

Massachusetts

0-3

0-6

68.2

73.0

         
West Division        
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Toledo

3-0

5-1

99.5

99.5

Northern Illinois  

2-0

5-1

98.2

98.0

Western Michigan

1-1

3-3

96.1

96.0

Ball St.

1-2

3-3

95.0

86.5

Central Michigan

0-2

2-3

86.8

84.0

Eastern Michigan

0-2

0-5

79.7

75.5

         
         
Conference Means

87.6192

 

88.16

87.1

 

 

Mountain West Conference

         
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Boise St.

1-0

4-1

105.2

105.5

Fresno St.

2-0

4-2

101.2

105.0

Nevada

2-0

5-1

100.2

102.0

San Diego St.

1-1

3-3

96.3

97.0

Wyoming

0-1

1-4

90.2

83.5

Air Force

1-1

2-3

88.0

86.5

New Mexico

0-1

3-3

86.5

87.5

Colorado St.

0-2

1-5

81.3

78.0

UNLV

1-0

1-5

79.9

81.5

Hawaii

0-2

1-4

78.8

79.0

 

 

 

   
         
Conference Means

90.655

 

90.76

90.6

 

 

Pac-12 Conference

North Division        
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Oregon  

3-0

6-0

126.7

125.5

Stanford

2-1

4-1

115.1

112.5

Oregon St.

3-0

4-0

111.3

110.5

California

1-2

2-4

108.7

102.5

Washington

1-1

3-2

105.9

104.5

Washington St.

0-3

2-4

95.9

92.5

         
South Division        
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

U S C

2-1

4-1

122.4

118.5

Arizona St.

2-0

4-1

110.6

113.0

U C L A

1-2

4-2

109.8

104.0

Arizona

0-3

3-3

108.6

107.5

Utah

0-2

2-3

107.5

103.5

Colorado

1-1

1-4

83.1

94.5

         
         
Conference Means

108.108

 

108.80

107.4

 

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division        
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

South Carolina

4-0

6-0

126.3

125.0

Florida

4-0

5-0

123.0

125.5

Georgia

3-1

5-1

120.1

119.5

Tennessee

0-2

3-2

110.4

111.0

Missouri

0-3

3-3

109.5

104.0

Vanderbilt

1-2

2-3

106.5

106.0

Kentucky

0-3

1-5

92.8

94.0

         
West Division        
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Alabama

2-0

5-0

131.8

128.0

L S U  

1-1

5-1

124.5

121.0

Texas A&M

2-1

4-1

119.0

115.0

Mississippi St.

2-0

5-0

108.8

114.5

Auburn

0-3

1-4

105.8

100.5

Ole Miss

0-2

3-3

105.3

109.0

Arkansas

1-2

2-4

100.1

107.0

         
         
Conference Means

112.996

 

113.14

112.9

 

 

Sunbelt Conference

         
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Louisiana-Monroe

1-0

3-2

100.4

101.0

Western Kentucky

1-0

4-1

98.8

101.5

UL-Lafayette

2-0

4-1

94.7

100.5

Arkansas St.

1-1

3-3

91.2

91.0

Troy

2-1

3-2

89.6

89.0

North Texas

1-1

2-4

87.4

78.0

Florida International

0-2

1-5

84.0

84.5

Middle Tennessee

1-1

3-2

83.6

89.5

Florida Atlantic

0-2

1-4

74.7

75.5

South Alabama

0-1

1-4

71.2

73.0

         
         
Conference Means

87.955

 

87.56

88.4

 

 

Western Athletic Conference

         
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Louisiana Tech  

0-0

5-0

107.4

106.0

Utah St.

0-0

4-2

99.9

99.5

San Jose St.

0-0

4-1

98.3

103.0

Idaho

1-0

1-5

79.7

78.5

U T S A

1-0

5-0

78.8

95.0

Texas St.

0-0

2-3

75.1

89.5

New Mexico St.

0-2

1-5

74.2

74.5

         
         
Conference Means

89.9571

 

87.63

92.3

 

 

This Week’s Games

This Week’s Games
         
Favorite Underdog PiRate Vintage Line
Thursday, October 11      
Arizona St. COLORADO 24.5 15.5 23   
TULSA U t e p 16.4 20.0 17   
Western Kentucky TROY 5.7 9.0 2 1/2
         
Friday, October 12      
CENTRAL MICHIGAN Navy 2.5 -7.5 1 1/2
         
Saturday, October 13      
Oklahoma (n) Texas 6.2 3.0 3 1/2
MICHIGAN ST. Iowa 11.8 8.5 10   
North Carolina MIAMI (FL) 10.2 -1.0 7   
BOWLING GREEN Miami (O) 8.9 2.0 7 1/2
Kent St. ARMY 2.3 4.5 1 1/2
OHIO U Akron 22.1 20.5 20 1/2
Toledo EASTERN MICHIGAN 17.8 22.0 13   
Maryland VIRGINIA 0.3 -0.5 -2   
VIRGINIA TECH Duke 7.1 2.5 10   
Wisconsin PURDUE 2.6 1.0 -2 1/2
Northwestern MINNESOTA 1.3 -2.0 3 1/2
RUTGERS Syracuse 12.3 13.0 7   
FLORIDA ST. Boston College 27.3 32.0 28   
CONNECTICUT Temple 10.2 0.5 5   
Louisville PITTSBURGH 0.7 3.5 3   
EAST CAROLINA Memphis 22.9 16.0 17 1/2
Florida VANDERBILT 13.5 16.5 8 1/2
WYOMING Air Force 4.7 -0.5 -2 1/2
BALL ST. Western Michigan 1.4 -7.0 3   
NORTHERN ILLINOIS Buffalo 16.9 24.0 12   
Idaho TEXAS ST. 2.1 -12.5 -2 1/2
Kansas St. IOWA ST. 12.8 13.5 7   
OLE MISS Auburn 2.5 11.5 6   
HOUSTON U a b 14.3 14.0 14   
MICHIGAN Illinois 26.2 26.0 23 1/2
BOISE ST. Fresno St. 7.0 3.5 7 1/2
Southern Cal WASHINGTON 13.5 11.0 11 1/2
B Y U Oregon St. 3.0 4.0 6   
Alabama MISSOURI 19.3 21.0 21 1/2
NOTRE DAME Stanford 13.3 16.0 8   
SAN JOSE ST. Utah St. 1.4 6.5 3 1/2
ARKANSAS Kentucky 10.3 16.0 17   
MISSISSIPPI ST. Tennessee 1.4 6.5 3   
L S U South Carolina 1.2 -1.0 2 1/2
California WASHINGTON ST. 9.8 7.0 7 1/2
West Virginia TEXAS TECH 0.8 12.0 3 1/2
BAYLOR T c u 5.5 15.0 8   
CENTRAL FLORIDA Southern Miss. 16.5 18.0 17   
Oklahoma St. KANSAS 25.2 19.5 24   
Ohio St. INDIANA 17.5 20.0 17   
S m u TULANE 24.4 19.0 15   
RICE U t s a 8.0 -16.0 3   
Nevada U N L V 18.3 18.5 NL
SAN DIEGO ST. Colorado St. 18.0 22.0 20 1/2
U C L A Utah 5.3 3.5 8   
New Mexico HAWAII 3.7 4.5 3 1/2
UL-MONROE Florida Atlantic 28.7 28.5 24   
ARKANSAS ST. South Alabama 23.0 21.0 21   
FLORIDA INT’L Middle Tennessee 3.4 -2.0 -3   
Texas A&M (n) Louisiana Tech 9.1 6.5 8   
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