The Pi-Rate Ratings

September 26, 2012

PiRate Ratings For College Football: September 26-29, 2012

End of September Look at the Conferences

 

ACC

Florida State has defeated its principle Atlantic Division opponent, but the Seminoles do not necessarily have an easy route to an undefeated season.  Road games against North Carolina State, Miami, and Virginia Tech will be rough, even though FSU will be favored over all three.  The season finale against Florida will be the toughest game.

 

No other ACC team has a chance to get to the National Championship Game.  In the Coastal Division, the winner of the Virginia Tech and Miami game in Miami on Thursday, November 1 will almost assuredly decide which team faces the Seminoles in the conference title game.

 

The other interesting fact here is that Duke has a fighting chance to become bowl eligible.  The Blue Devils are 3-1. They need three more wins and have a chance against Wake Forest, Virginia, North Carolina, and possibly Georgia Tech or Miami.

 

Big East

Rutgers, Louisville, and Cincinnati are still undefeated, but none of these three will earn the National Championship Game bid at 12-0.  The combined record of the seven FBS teams this undefeated trio has faced is 9-18.

 

Pittsburgh began the season losing to Youngstown State and Cincinnati.  First-year coach Paul Chryst rallied his Panthers to pull off the one strong win for this league, when Pitt upset Virginia Tech at Heinz Field.  After a blowout win over Gardner-Webb, the Panthers have a week off before playing four winnable games leading up to a trip to Notre Dame in November.  It isn’t beyond reason to see the Panthers contending for the Big East title after the horrendous start.

 

South Florida is a big disappointment to this point of the season.  The Bulls were a leading contender to win the league title, until they lost at home to Rutgers.  They followed up that loss with a loss at Ball State last week.  Hosting Florida State should send USF’s record to 2-3 with one of the wins coming against Chattanooga.  Another losing record could put Coach Skip Holtz on the hot seat in Tampa.

 

Big Ten

Alas, poor Big Ten, we knew you well.  We have come here to bury this conference, not praise it.

 

Fake eulogies aside, the Big Ten would like to press the reset button and start the season again.  With Michigan losing to Alabama and Notre Dame, Michigan State and Purdue also losing to Notre Dame, and Nebraska losing to UCLA, there are no power teams that can get in the National Championship picture.  Ohio State is not eligible for the postseason, so it leaves Legends Division teams Northwestern and Minnesota as the only remaining bowl eligible undefeated teams.

 

The Leaders Division representative in the Big Ten Championship will be the winner of the Purdue-Wisconsin game, but that team could carry as many as four losses into the big game.

 

Iowa and Illinois will have to come up with some upsets to earn bowl eligibility.  Look for the Big Ten to fall short in its bowl responsibilities.

 

Big 12

At this point in the season, the Big 12 overall is a little stronger than the SEC.  Nine of the 10 league schools could be bowl eligible, and four or five could win double digit games in the regular season.  The problem is that there is too much parity.  We don’t see how any team will run the table in league play, and there could be multiple teams finishing tied for first at 7-2.

 

Texas has the best defense in the league, but their offense is not as strong as others in this league.  The win over Ole Miss may have been a forewarning that the Longhorn offense has improved enough to make UT the team to beat in the league.

 

West Virginia has the best offense in the league, but the Mountaineers are not as talented as Texas defensively. 

 

Oklahoma, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, TCU, and even Texas Tech are good enough to win this league’s crown, while Baylor and Iowa State are good enough to upset any of these teams on a given Saturday. 

 

Kansas could go 0-9 in the league and finish three games behind the number nine team.

 

Conference USA

Tulsa lost to Iowa State, and Central Florida lost to Ohio State.  With Houston finding the going rough without Case Keenum and Coach Kevin Sumlin, and with SMU looking more like the Mustangs of the 1990’s, this league has no chance of sneaking a team into a BCS Bowl.  Still, there could be two quite interesting races in the divisions.  Marshall and East Carolina could give UCF a run in the East, while UTEP could give Tulsa some competition in the West.  Houston and SMU are still not down for the count, because neither has played a conference game yet. 

 

Independents

Can Notre Dame win 10 games this year?  Yes, they can, and they could even run the table.  The Irish defense is good enough to stop Stanford, Oklahoma, and Southern Cal, but we don’t see it happening.  Notre Dame’s wins have come against Navy, Purdue, Michigan State, and Michigan.  The Big Ten is only marginally stronger than the ACC this year, so those four wins have not yet proved that the Irish are back.  Still, at 10-2, Notre Dame could earn a BCS Bowl bid.

 

This is not your father’s BYU team,  The Cougars are having troubles passing the ball or scoring.  Look for BYU to recuperate some this week with a home game against Hawaii.

 

As for Army and Navy, their two bowl tie-ins will go to at-large teams this year.  Defenses have caught up with their offenses.

 

M A C

Ohio U has a chance to run the table.  The Bobcats last did that in 1968, but they lost in the Tangerine Bowl that year.

 

In the MAC East, there is no clear-cut number two team yet.  Miami of Ohio was supposed to be a contender, but the Redhawks have been disappointing so far.  Bowling Green looked good against Florida, but the Falcons are 1-3.  Keep an eye on Kent State.  The Golden Flashes have not been to a bowl for 40 years (Nick Saban played on that team), but Coach Darrell Hazell has KSU at 2-1 with a chance to win seven or eight games.

 

The MAC West should be an exciting race.  Western Michigan, Northern Illinois, Toledo, Central Michigan, and Ball State all have a shot at the division flag.

 

Mountain West

Boise State and Nevada lost early to take away all the luster in this league.  Fresno State is the clear-cut third best team, while San Diego State is the only other team worthy of playing in a bowl.  Air Force and Wyoming are not living up to their credentials, while Hawaii, Colorado State, New Mexico, and UNLV will vie for fifth place in a weak MWC.

 

Pac-12

Stanford showed the nation that they are not going to go away quietly after the loss of Andrew Luck, Griff Whalen, and Coby Fleener.  Just like the 1971 team surprised the nation by repeating as Pac-8 champs after losing Jim Plunkett and Randy Vataha, the Cardinal defeated USC when no so-called experts gave them a chance.

 

That 1971 Stanford team only had a halfway decent Washington team to get by to return to the Rose Bowl.  This team still has Oregon in its path.  SU has given up 237 points to the Ducks in the last five years.

 

Oregon State is 2-0 after having a lot of preparation time.  Now, the Beavers face 11 games in 11 weeks, with a makeup game to come in December if they do not win the Pac-12 North.  Their game at Arizona should be quite interesting this week.

 

Arizona State and Arizona could challenge USC in the South, while UCLA will have something to say in the race.

 

Southeastern Conference

Alabama is now more than five points better than the number two team in our regular PiRate Ratings.  The last time a PiRate Champion finished the season more than five points ahead of the number two team was 2001, when Miami of Florida finished 5.6 points ahead of Oregon.

 

LSU fell a few points following the tough win over Auburn.  The Tigers have a tough game at Florida in two weeks, and if the Bayou Bengals can get by the Gators, the two behemoths will face off in Baton Rouge for their third epic game in a year.

 

In the East, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina may finish 1-1 against each other, but should one of these three go 8-0 in the league, Alabama or LSU will have a tough opponent in the SEC Championship Game.

 

Missouri and Texas A&M have discovered just how hard it is to win in this league.  Both new teams should taste conference victory for the first time in their next conference game.  A&M hosts Arkansas this week, while Missouri hosts Vanderbilt in two weeks.

 

As for Arkansas, the coaching search has already begun.  Ditto that for Kentucky.  If Tennessee doesn’t win eight games this year, Derek Dooley could be on his way out.  Gene Chizik could be on shaky ground in Auburn just two years after winning a National Championship.  Mississippi State’s Dan Mullen and Vanderbilt’s James Franklin could be on short lists at several other schools, so there could be a lot of new coaches in the SEC in 2013.

 

Sunbelt

This league has made major strides forward.  As of this week, the SBC is rated ahead of the MAC and is no longer the weakest conference in FBS football.  Four teams in this league, Western Kentucky, Louisiana-Lafayette, Louisiana-Monroe, and Arkansas State have the talent to win eight or nine games this year.  Troy, Middle Tennessee, and Florida International could sneak into bowl eligibility.

 

W A C

This lame duck league will not go away quietly.  Louisiana Tech actually has a small chance at sneaking into the BCS Bowl talk.  The Bulldogs clobbered Houston, Rice, and Illinois to begin 3-0.  A road game at Virginia this week and a neutral game against Texas A&M on October 13 gives LT a chance to get into the talk if they win both and continue winning.

 

Utah State and San Jose State are good enough to win this league in most years.  The Aggies beat Utah and almost beat Wisconsin, while the Spartans lost a close game to Stanford and won their next three.

 

Larry Coker’s return to FBS coaching has been a smashing success so far.  Texas-San Antonio is off to a 4-0 start and could win eight of nine games in their first season among the big boys.  His career coaching record is now 64-15 for 81%.

 

This Week’s PiRate and PiRate Vintage Ratings

We get this request almost every week from either a new reader or someone that has not taken the time to explore our site. 

 

Q: How can you have X rated higher than Y when Y beat them by 10 points last month?

 

A: Our ratings are predictive and not retrodictive (to be quite honest, it is not totally black and white, but we consider them to be about 95% predictive).  The ratings you see below are only valid for this Week’s games.  So if Y beat X three weeks ago by a score of 24-14, our ratings may show X to be 2.3 points better, which would state that we believe X would beat Y by 2.3 points if they played again this week.  Look at Alabama and LSU last year.  LSU beat Alabama during the regular season, yet many predictive ratings available to the public showed Alabama to be the favorite in the National Championship Game. 

 

Q2: We got this one three times in the last 10 days.  If your ratings show team X to be 12 points better than team Y, and the Las Vegas Line says team X is a 2 ½ point favorite, does that mean more than if your ratings showed team X to be only 4 points better than team Y?

 

A2: No.  We sure wish that we could correlate this statement, but past history shows that for the most part, our success against the spread has fluctuated very little when the difference in our spread and the Vegas Line increases.  Of all possible data-mining, we have only found one significant benefit when comparing our spread to the Vegas Line, and that exists in our NFL ratings.  When the PiRate, PiRate Mean, and PiRate Bias all agree that the underdog should beat the spread, the winning percentage jumps 2 or 3% from the norm.  In some years, it has not been so, while in others, the difference has been more than 5%.  However, in order to use this information, you would have to play every game in which this was so.  There have been weeks where our ratings agreed on taking the underdog in all 16 NFL games, so it would be difficult to use it to your advantage.

 

The PiRate Ratings

#

Team

PiRate

1

Alabama

134.3

2

L S U  

128.7

3

Florida St.

126.1

4

Oklahoma

125.7

5

Oregon  

124.7

6

Texas

123.7

7

U S C

123.6

8

Kansas St.

123.3

9

Georgia

123.3

10

Oklahoma St.  

123.1

11

South Carolina

122.4

12

Florida

122.2

13

Notre Dame

121.4

14

Stanford

119.1

15

Nebraska

116.9

16

Texas A&M

116.6

17

Texas Tech

116.5

18

Clemson  

115.3

19

West Virginia

115.0

20

Michigan

114.9

21

Baylor

113.1

22

U C L A

113.0

23

T C U

112.4

24

Oregon St.

111.7

25

Missouri

111.2

26

Ohio St.

110.7

27

Michigan St.

110.6

28

B Y U

109.7

29

Wisconsin  

109.6

30

Tennessee

109.4

31

Georgia Tech

109.3

32

Auburn

109.0

33

North Carolina

108.8

34

Arizona St.

108.8

35

Purdue

108.6

36

Virginia Tech

108.4

37

Mississippi St.

108.1

38

Iowa St.

107.8

39

Louisiana Tech  

107.8

40

Rutgers

107.7

41

Arizona

107.7

42

California

106.8

43

Utah

106.6

44

Louisville

105.6

45

Boise St.

105.3

46

Vanderbilt

104.7

47

Washington

104.2

48

Tulsa

103.9

49

Nevada

103.4

50

South Florida

103.3

51

Central Florida

102.8

52

Northwestern

102.7

53

Arkansas

102.3

54

Pittsburgh

101.7

55

Cincinnati

101.6

56

North Carolina St.

101.5

57

BostonCollege

101.4

58

Ole Miss

101.3

59

Miami-FL

101.0

60

Minnesota

100.0

61

Connecticut

99.5

62

Fresno St.

99.0

63

Utah St.

98.9

64

Illinois

98.3

65

Ohio U

98.1

66

Iowa

98.0

67

Western Kentucky

98.0

68

Syracuse

97.8

69

San Jose St.

97.2

70

Virginia

97.1

71

Western Michigan

97.1

72

Maryland

96.8

73

Duke

96.7

74

Penn St.

96.7

75

Kansas

96.7

76

WakeForest

96.5

77

Toledo

96.2

78

Northern Illinois  

96.1

79

Louisiana-Monroe

95.8

80

East Carolina

94.9

81

San Diego St.

94.4

82

Houston

94.2

83

Ball St.

94.2

84

Washington St.

94.2

85

S M U

93.9

86

Kentucky

93.7

87

Indiana

93.3

88

U T E P

93.3

89

Marshall

91.8

90

UL-Lafayette

91.3

91

Southern Mississippi  

91.2

92

Bowling Green

90.0

93

Arkansas St.  

89.8

94

Rice

89.7

95

North Texas

89.5

96

Central Michigan

89.4

97

Wyoming

89.0

98

Florida International

89.0

99

Kent St.

88.9

100

Troy

88.6

101

Army

88.4

102

Temple

88.0

103

Miami (O)

87.6

104

Navy

87.0

105

Colorado St.

86.0

106

Air Force

85.8

107

Hawaii

84.0

108

Colorado

83.4

109

Eastern Michigan

83.0

110

U A B

82.8

111

Idaho

82.7

112

New Mexico

82.2

113

Buffalo

81.9

114

UNLV

80.2

115

Tulane

77.2

116

Middle Tennessee

76.8

117

New Mexico St.

76.8

118

U T S A

76.0

119

Texas St.

75.7

120

FloridaAtlantic

74.1

121

Akron

73.5

122

Memphis

72.2

123

South Alabama

71.9

124

Massachusetts

67.4

 

The PiRate Vintage Rankings

#

Team

Vintage

1

Alabama

126.0

2

Oregon

123.5

3

L S U

123.0

4

Florida St.

122.5

5

Florida 

121.0

6

Stanford

120.0

7

Texas

119.5

8

Georgia 

119.0

9

Notre Dame

118.5

10

Kansas St.

118.5

11

West Virginia

118.0

12

S. Carolina

117.5

13

U S C

117.0

14

Oklahoma

117.0

15

Va. Tech

114.5

16

Nebraska

114.5

17

Miss. St.

114.0

18

Ohio St.

114.0

19

Oklahoma St.

114.0

20

Oregon St.

113.5

21

Clemson

113.0

22

Texas Tech

113.0

23

Michigan St.

112.5

24

Georgia Tech

112.0

25

T C U

111.5

26

Texas A&M

110.5

27

Arizona St.

110.0

28

Tennessee

110.0

29

Michigan

110.0

30

Purdue

109.0

31

Miami

108.5

32

Northwestern

108.5

33

La. Tech

108.5

34

Arizona

108.5

35

Rutgers

108.0

36

Wisconsin

108.0

37

U C L A

108.0

38

Louisville

107.0

39

Auburn

107.0

40

S. J. St.

106.5

41

N.C. St.

106.0

42

Missouri

105.5

43

Cincinnati

105.0

44

Tulsa

105.0

45

Baylor

105.0

46

Minnesota

104.0

47

Nevada

104.0

48

N. Carolina

104.0

49

Utah St.

103.5

50

Iowa St.

103.0

51

Utah

103.0

52

Penn St.

103.0

53

Pittsburgh

102.5

54

Boise St.

101.5

55

Washington

101.5

56

U C F

101.5

57

Maryland

101.5

58

Illinois

101.5

59

B Y U

101.0

60

Duke

101.0

61

Virginia

100.5

62

S. Florida

100.0

63

Iowa

100.0

64

Fresno St.

100.0

65

WesternKy.

99.5

66

Ole Miss

99.5

67

California

99.5

68

Ohio U

99.0

69

U L L

99.0

70

Arkansas

99.0

71

U L M

98.5

72

N I U

98.0

73

S. D. St.

98.0

74

E C U

98.0

75

Connecticut

97.5

76

Vanderbilt

97.5

77

W M U

97.0

78

U T E P

97.0

79

Syracuse

96.5

80

Ark. St.

96.5

81

WakeForest

96.0

82

Boston Coll.

95.0

83

Toledo

95.0

84

S M U

94.0

85

F I U

94.0

86

Indiana

94.0

87

Ball St.

93.5

88

Kentucky

93.5

89

C M U

93.0

90

Kent St.

93.0

91

Temple

93.0

92

Houston

93.0

93

Kansas

92.5

94

Marshall

92.0

95

Navy

91.5

96

MTSU

91.5

97

Sou. Miss.

91.0

98

Rice

91.0

99

Army

90.0

100

Troy

89.5

101

Colorado

89.5

102

Miami (O)

88.0

103

Washington St.

87.0

104

UTSA

86.5

105

N. Texas

85.5

106

U A B

85.0

107

B G U

84.0

108

Hawaii

82.5

109

Air Force

82.0

110

Texas St.

82.0

111

UNLV

81.5

112

New Mexico

81.5

113

Colo. St.

81.0

114

Tulane

80.5

115

Memphis

79.0

116

Buffalo

78.5

117

Wyoming

78.5

118

Idaho

78.5

119

E M U

77.0

120

N. Mex. St.

77.0

121

Akron

76.0

122

F A U

76.0

123

S. Alabama

74.0

124

U. Mass.

69.0

 

The PiRate Ratings By Conference

For the first time in two years plus, we have a new clear-cut leader for top conference.  The Big 12 has edged ahead of the SEC.  Also, the non-Automatic BCS Bowl conferences are within a couple points of each other.  The Sunbelt and WAC are outperforming expectations, while CUSA and the Mountain West are underperforming.   The MAC has seen some of its teams pull off big wins against the Big Ten, but the Big Ten has fallen so much that it has not elevated the MAC enough.  With the addition of U Mass to a league that also has Akron, Eastern Michigan, and Buffalo, the MAC has actually fallen behind the Sunbelt.

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

 

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Florida State

2-0

4-0

126.1

122.5

Clemson  

0-1

3-1

115.3

113.0

North Carolina State

0-0

3-1

101.5

106.0

Boston College

0-1

1-2

101.4

95.0

Maryland

0-0

2-2

96.8

101.5

Wake Forest

1-1

3-1

96.5

96.0

       

 

Coastal Division

 

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Georgia Tech

1-2

2-2

109.3

112.0

North Carolina

0-1

2-2

108.8

104.0

Virginia Tech

1-0

3-1

108.4

114.5

Miami-FL

2-0

3-1

101.0

109.0

Virginia

0-1

2-2

97.1

100.5

Duke

0-0

3-1

96.7

101.0

       

 

       

 

Conference Means

105.58

 

104.91

106.3

 

 

Big East Conference

 

 

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Rutgers

1-0

4-0

107.7

108.0

Louisville

0-0

4-0

105.6

107.0

South Florida

0-1

2-2

103.3

100.0

Pittsburgh

0-1

2-2

101.7

102.5

Cincinnati

1-0

2-0

101.6

105.0

Connecticut

0-0

2-2

99.5

97.5

Syracuse

0-0

1-3

97.8

96.5

Temple

0-0

1-2

88.0

93.0

 

 

 

   
 

 

 

   
Conference Means

100.919

 

100.65

101.2

 

 

Big Ten

         
Leaders Division      

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Ohio State

0-0

4-0

110.7

114.0

Wisconsin  

0-0

3-1

109.6

108.0

Purdue

0-0

2-1

108.6

109.0

Illinois

0-0

2-2

98.3

101.5

Penn State

0-0

2-2

96.7

103.0

Indiana

0-0

2-1

93.3

94.0

         
Legends Division        
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Nebraska

0-0

3-1

116.9

114.5

Michigan

0-0

2-2

114.9

110.0

Michigan State

0-0

3-1

110.6

112.5

Northwestern

0-0

4-0

102.7

108.5

Minnesota

0-0

4-0

100.0

104.0

Iowa

0-0

2-2

98.0

100.0

         
Conference Means

105.804

 

105.03

106.6

 

 

Big 12

         
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Oklahoma

0-1

2-1

125.7

117.0

Texas

0-0

3-0

123.7

119.5

Kansas State

1-0

4-0

123.3

118.5

Oklahoma State  

0-0

2-1

123.1

114.0

Texas Tech

0-0

3-0

116.5

113.0

West Virginia

0-0

3-0

115.0

118.0

Baylor

0-0

3-0

113.1

105.0

T C U

1-0

3-0

112.4

111.5

Iowa State

0-0

3-0

107.8

103.0

Kansas

0-1

1-3

96.7

92.5

         
 

 

 

   
Conference Means

113.465

 

115.73

111.2

 

 

Conference USA

East Division        
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Central Florida

0-0

2-1

102.8

101.5

East Carolina

1-0

2-2

94.9

98.0

Marshall

1-0

2-2

91.8

92.0

Southern Mississippi  

0-1

0-3

91.2

91.0

U A B

0-0

0-3

82.8

85.0

Memphis

0-0

0-4

72.2

79.0

         
West Division        
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Tulsa

1-0

3-1

103.9

105.0

Houston

0-0

0-3

94.2

93.0

S M U

0-0

1-2

93.9

94.0

U T E P

0-0

1-3

93.3

97.0

Rice

0-1

1-3

89.7

91.0

Tulane

0-1

0-3

77.2

80.5

         
         
Conference Means

91.4542

 

90.66

92.3

 

 

Independents

         
Team

 

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Notre Dame  

4-0

121.4

118.5

B Y U  

2-2

109.7

101.0

Army  

0-3

88.4

90.0

Navy  

1-2

87.0

91.5

         
         
Conference Means

100.938

 

101.63

100.3

 

 

Mid American Conference

East Division        
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Ohio U

0-0

4-0

98.1

99.0

Bowling Green

0-1

1-3

90.0

84.0

Kent St.

1-0

2-1

88.9

93.0

Miami (O)

1-0

2-2

87.6

88.0

Buffalo

0-1

1-2

81.9

78.5

Akron

0-0

1-3

73.5

76.0

Massachusetts

0-1

0-4

67.4

69.0

         
West Division        
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Western Michigan

0-0

2-2

97.1

97.0

Toledo

1-0

3-1

96.2

95.0

Northern Illinois  

0-0

3-1

96.1

98.0

Ball State

1-0

3-1

94.2

93.5

Central Michigan

0-0

2-1

89.4

93.0

Eastern Michigan

0-1

0-4

83.0

77.0

         
         
Conference Means

87.8615

 

87.95

87.8

 

 

Mountain West Conference

         
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Boise State

0-0

2-1

105.3

101.5

Nevada

1-0

3-1

103.4

104.0

Fresno State

0-0

2-2

99.0

100.0

San Diego State

0-0

2-2

94.4

98.0

Wyoming

0-0

1-3

89.0

78.5

Colorado State

0-0

1-3

86.0

81.0

Air Force

0-1

1-2

85.8

82.0

Hawaii

0-1

1-2

84.0

82.5

New Mexico

0-0

2-2

82.2

81.5

UNLV

1-0

1-3

80.2

81.5

 

 

 

   
Conference Means

89.99

 

90.93

89.1

 

 

Pac-12 Conference

North Division        
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Oregon  

1-0

4-0

124.7

123.5

Stanford

1-0

3-0

119.1

120.0

Oregon State

1-0

2-0

111.7

113.5

California

0-1

1-3

106.8

99.5

Washington

0-0

2-1

104.2

101.5

Washington State

0-1

2-2

94.2

87.0

         
South Division        
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

U S C

1-1

3-1

123.6

117.0

U C L A

0-1

3-1

113.0

108.0

Arizona State

1-0

3-1

108.8

110.0

Arizona

0-1

3-1

107.7

108.5

Utah

0-1

2-2

106.6

103.0

Colorado

1-0

1-3

83.4

89.5

         
         
Conference Means

107.7

 

108.65

106.8

 

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division        
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Georgia

2-0

4-0

123.3

119.0

South Carolina

2-0

4-0

122.4

117.5

Florida

3-0

4-0

122.2

121.0

Missouri

0-2

2-2

111.2

105.5

Tennessee

0-1

3-1

109.4

110.0

Vanderbilt

0-2

1-3

104.7

97.5

Kentucky

0-1

1-3

93.7

93.5

         
West Division        
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Alabama

1-0

4-0

134.3

126.0

L S U  

1-0

4-0

128.7

123.0

Texas A&M

0-1

2-1

116.6

110.5

Auburn

0-2

1-3

109.0

107.0

Mississippi State

1-0

4-0

108.1

114.0

Arkansas

0-1

1-3

102.3

99.0

Ole Miss

0-0

3-1

101.3

99.5

         
         
Conference Means

111.793

 

113.37

110.2

 

 

Sunbelt Conference

         
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Western Kentucky

0-0

3-1

98.0

99.5

Louisiana-Monroe

0-0

1-2

95.8

98.5

UL-Lafayette

1-0

2-1

91.3

99.0

Arkansas State  

0-0

2-2

89.8

96.5

North Texas

0-1

1-3

89.5

85.5

Florida International

0-0

1-3

89.0

94.0

Troy

1-1

2-2

88.6

89.5

Middle Tennessee

1-0

2-1

76.8

91.5

Florida Atlantic

0-1

1-3

74.1

76.0

South Alabama

0-0

1-3

71.9

74.0

         
         
Conference Means

88.44

 

86.48

90.4

 

 

Western Athletic Conference

         
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Vintage

Louisiana Tech  

0-0

3-0

107.8

108.5

Utah State

0-0

3-1

98.9

103.5

San Jose State

0-0

3-1

97.2

106.5

Idaho

0-0

0-4

82.7

78.5

New Mexico State

0-0

1-3

76.8

77.0

U T S A

0-0

4-0

76.0

86.5

Texas State

0-0

2-1

75.7

82.0

         
         
Conference Means

89.8286

 

87.87

91.8

 

 

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Home Team in All CAPS

(n) = neutral site

Favorite Underdog PiRate Vintage Line
Thursday, September 27      
Stanford WASHINGTON 11.9 15.5 6 1/2
         
Friday, September 28      
B Y U Hawaii 29.2 22.0 27 1/2
         
Saturday, September 29      
VIRGINIA TECH Cincinnati 9.8 12.5 7   
CONNECTICUT Buffalo 20.1 21.5 16   
ILLINOIS Penn State 4.6 1.5 1 1/2
IOWA Minnesota 1.0 -1.0 7   
Texas Tech IOWA STATE 5.7 7.0 2 1/2
Clemson BOSTON COLLEGE 10.4 14.5 9 1/2
Louisiana Tech VIRGINIA 7.7 5.0 2 1/2
Ohio U MASSACHUSETTS 28.7 28.0 24   
Ball State KENT STATE 2.8 -2.0 1   
NORTH CAROLINA Idaho 30.1 29.5 24 1/2
NORTHWESTERN Indiana 12.4 17.5 11   
PURDUE Marshall 19.8 20.0 16 1/2
WAKE FOREST Duke 2.3 -2.5 3   
South Carolina KENTUCKY 25.7 21.0 20 1/2
AIR FORCE Colorado State 2.3 3.5 15   
T c u S M U 16.5 15.5 16   
NORTHERN ILLINOIS Central Michigan 9.7 8.0 11   
U c l a COLORADO 26.6 15.5 20 1/2
San Jose State NAVY 6.2 11.0 2 1/2
Oregon WASHINGTON STATE 27.5 33.5 29   
OKLAHOMA STATE Texas 2.4 -2.5 -2 1/2
TEXAS A&M Arkansas 17.3 14.5 13 1/2
WEST VIRGINIA Baylor 5.4 16.5 12 1/2
MICHIGAN STATE Ohio State 2.9 1.5 3   
GEORGIA Tennessee 16.9 12.0 13 1/2
CALIFORNIA Arizona State 1.0 -7.5 2 1/2
Oregon State ARIZONA 1.0 2.0 -3   
ALABAMA Ole Miss 36.0 29.5 31   
Miami (O) AKRON 11.6 9.5 4   
Missouri CENTRAL FLORIDA 5.4 1.0 -2 1/2
EAST CAROLINA U t e p 4.6 4.0 4 1/2
MIAMI (FL) North Carolina State 2.5 6.0 2 1/2
Florida State SOUTH FLORIDA 20.3 20.0 17   
WESTERN MICHIGAN Toledo 3.4 4.5 Pk
Nevada TEXAS STATE 25.2 19.5 20   
Louisville SOUTHERN MISS. 11.4 13.0 10   
NEW MEXICO STATE U t s a 3.3 -7.0 3   
NEBRASKA Wisconsin 10.8 10.0 12 1/2
Tulsa U A B 18.6 17.5 13 1/2
UTAH STATE U n l v 21.7 25.0 18   
Houston (n) Rice 4.5 2.0 5   
Boise State NEW MEXICO 20.6 17.5 26   
FRESNO STATE San Diego State 7.6 5.0 7   
Western Kentucky ARKANSAS STATE 5.2 0.0 2 1/2
Troy SOUTH ALABAMA 14.7 13.5 9 1/2
LOUISIANA LAFAYETTE Florida Int’l 5.3 8.0 6 1/2
North Texas FLORIDA ATLANTIC 12.9 7.0 6 1/2
GEORGIA TECH Middle Tennessee 35.5 23.5 27 1/2
Louisiana Monroe TULANE 16.6 16.0 18   

 

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5 Comments »

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