The Pi-Rate Ratings

September 12, 2012

PiRate Ratings and Spreads For NFL Week 2: September 13-16, 2012

Filed under: Pro Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 11:39 am

Very few surprises dotted the week one schedule in the NFL.  Washington began the RG3 era with a high-powered upset of the New Orleans Saints, but a lot of folks worried the Saints would have trouble this year.  The two New York teams made headlines; the Giants lost at home to the Cowboys, while the Jets looked more like they were playing Savannah State than the Buffalo Bills.  After scoring one TD in the second half of one preseason game, they bombed the Bills with 48 points.

 

After one week, the Harbaugh brothers look like they could be on a collision course.  San Francisco won at Green Bay and looked even stronger than last season.  Baltimore looked like a co-favorite with New England after manhandling the Bengals.

 

We see a handful of games that look exciting this week.  New Orleans and Carolina face off in Charlotte with the loser headed to a 0-2 start.  Look for A-games from both teams after the Saints’ defense and Panthers’ offense failed to get the job done last week.

 

Minnesota could be 2-0 on Sunday afternoon; the Vikings face Indianapolis, and with Green Bay possibly losing to Chicago and Detroit possibly losing to San Francisco, the Vikings could be all alone in first place in the old black and blue division.

 

Our two favorite games this week are Baltimore at Philadelphia, and the Jets at Pittsburgh.  The Eagles looked pedestrian in their win over the Browns, while the Steelers’ defense looked lost at time against Peyton Manning and the Broncos.  If the Ravens win and the Steelers lose, Baltimore will already be in the driver’s seat in the AFC North.

 

Here are this week’s four ratings

NFC East

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Vintage

HFA

Philadelphia Eagles

104.1

105.6

106.3

107.0

2

Dallas Cowboys

103.1

102.2

101.7

101.5

2.5

New York Giants

101.6

106.2

103.8

103.0

2.5

Washington Redskins

98.0

94.1

96.5

97.5

2.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFC North

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Vintage

HFA

Green Bay Packers

105.6

107.6

104.0

103.0

2

Chicago Bears

105.1

99.8

103.3

103.0

2

Detroit Lions

102.0

102.8

102.6

102.0

2.5

Minnesota Vikings

93.0

94.2

93.9

94.0

2.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFC South

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Vintage

HFA

Atlanta Falcons

103.9

102.3

101.5

100.5

3

New Orleans Saints

101.4

105.6

100.5

100.5

2

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

95.5

92.6

95.9

97.0

2.5

Carolina Panthers

95.2

97.8

99.2

98.5

2.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFC West

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Vintage

HFA

San Francisco 49ers

108.1

105.5

103.7

104.5

3

Arizona Cardinals

99.0

99.7

99.7

98.0

2.5

Seattle Seahawks

98.1

99.0

98.9

99.0

2.5

St. Louis Rams

94.6

93.0

94.6

95.5

2.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC East

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Vintage

HFA

New England Patriots

108.5

108.7

104.9

106.5

3.5

New York Jets

104.1

101.2

101.9

103.5

2.5

Buffalo Bills

95.9

96.5

99.8

98.5

3

Miami Dolphins

95.2

98.9

97.6

95.5

3

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC North

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Vintage

HFA

Baltimore Ravens

107.8

104.8

104.8

104.5

3

Pittsburgh Steelers

103.8

105.4

102.9

105.0

2

Cincinnati Bengals

97.1

98.8

101.3

100.5

2

Cleveland Browns

94.3

95.1

96.6

96.0

2.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC South

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Vintage

HFA

Houston Texans

107.3

103.3

105.3

105.5

2

Tennessee Titans

96.1

98.7

97.6

97.0

2.5

Jacksonville Jaguars

94.8

95.0

93.8

93.0

2.5

Indianapolis Colts

90.2

92.2

91.3

91.0

2.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC West

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Vintage

HFA

Denver Broncos

103.7

98.9

100.1

100.0

3

San Diego Chargers

101.7

101.9

100.4

99.5

3.5

Kansas City Chiefs

96.4

97.9

99.0

99.5

2

Oakland Raiders

94.5

96.5

96.9

97.5

2

 

Here are the spreads for this week’s games

Home Team in all CAPS

Vegas line as of 12:00PM EDT on Wednesday, September 12, 2012

Favorite Underdog

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Vintage

Vegas

Totals

GREEN BAY Chicago

2.5

3.4

-0.2

-1.0

6   

51   

N. Y. GIANTS Tampa Bay

8.6

7.6

6.9

6.0

9   

44 1/2

New Orleans CAROLINA

3.7

2.1

1.6

5.5

2 1/2

51   

NEW ENGLAND Arizona

13.0

14.6

8.5

12.5

13 1/2

48   

Minnesota INDIANAPOLIS

0.3

0.9

0.6

0.5

1   

44 1/2

Baltimore PHILADELPHIA

1.7

-0.6

2.0

3.0

-1   

46 1/2

BUFFALO Kansas City

2.5

2.0

0.6

-4.0

3   

45   

MIAMI Oakland

3.7

2.8

-0.5

-6.0

-2 1/2

37 1/2

CINCINNATI Cleveland

4.8

3.2

5.7

5.5

7   

38   

Houston JACKSONVILLE

10.0

8.7

8.9

8.5

7 1/2

41 1/2

Dallas SEATTLE

2.5

1.9

4.2

5.5

3   

41 1/2

Washington ST. LOUIS

0.9

4.0

2.8

3.0

3   

45   

PITTSBURGH N. Y. Jets

1.7

1.7

1.0

1.0

6   

41 1/2

SAN DIEGO Tennessee

9.1

9.4

11.0

11.5

7   

42 1/2

SAN FRANCISCO Detroit

9.1

8.0

7.6

11.0

7   

47   

ATLANTA Denver

3.2

5.7

2.8

2.0

3   

51   

 

Check back Thursday Afternoon for this week’s PiRate Picks for college and pro football.

 

Coming Friday: Our first look at the 2012 Presidential and Congressional races.  Yes, we have PiRate Ratings for the polls too!

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