The Pi-Rate Ratings

March 29, 2012

NCAA Tournament–Final Four Preview

Welcome back to the PiRate Ratings’ Bracketnomics.  A quick tutorial about Bracketnomics:  We have studied numerous statistical factors of all Final Four Teams from the 1950’s until 2011.  We isolated the statistical similarities of those teams and found certain shared statistical characteristics.  For the last eight years, we have been applying it to the NCAA teams trying to discover which ones shared these same statistics as the Final Four teams of yesteryear.  In five of the last seven years, we were pretty spot on with our selections.  For instance, in 2009, whenKentucky,Kansas, andOhioStatewere listed as the heavy tri-favorites, our system showed Duke to be the top-rated team.  We went with Duke even though the Blue Devils were not being highly considered.  Now admittedly, we did not seeButlercoming through to the Finals that year, or last year either, but we did rateButleras one to watch to get to the Elite 8.

If you want all the details behind our PiRate Criteria Score, please refer to our Bracketnomics 505, 2012 edition at: https://piratings.wordpress.com/2012/03/10/bracketnomics-505-2012-edition/

 

2012 PiRate Ratings Final Four Preview—Semifinal Round

Saturday, March 31, 2012

The Superdome—New Orleans

CBS Television—Announcers: Jim Nantz, Clark Kellogg, and Steve Kerr

 

Game 1: Kentucky vs. Louisville – 6:09 PM EDT

Game 2: Kansas vs. Ohio State – Approximately 8:49 PM EDT

 

Game Previews

 

#1S Kentucky (36-2) vs. #4W Louisville (30-9)

 

Kentucky Wildcats

 

No.

Name

Pos.

Ht.

Wt.

Yr.

Hometown (Last School)

1

Darius Miller

G

6-08

235

SR

Maysville,Ky.(MasonCounty)

3

Terrence Jones

F

6-09

252

SO

Portland,Ore.(Jefferson)

4

Jon Hood

G

6-07

215

JR

Madisonville,Ky.(North Hopkins)

5

Jarrod Polson

G

6-02

185

SO

Nicholasville,Ky.(West Jessamine)

10

Twany Beckham

G

6-05

205

JR

Louisville,Ky.(MississippiState)

12

Ryan Harrow

G

6-02

175

SO

Marietta, Ga. (N.C. State)

13

Sam Malone

G

5-11

190

FR

Scituate,Mass.(Scituate)

14

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist

F

6-07

232

FR

Somerdale,N.J.(St. Patrick)

20

Doron Lamb

G

6-04

210

SO

Queens,N.Y.(OakHillAcademy)

23

Anthony Davis

F

6-10

220

FR

Chicago,Ill.(Perspectives Charter)

25

Marquis Teague

G

6-02

189

FR

Indianapolis,Ind.(Pike)

30

Eloy Vargas

F

6-11

244

SR

Moca,Dominican Republic(Miami-Dade CC)

32

Brian Long

G

5-09

150

FR

Dumont,N.J.(River Dell)

33

Kyle Wiltjer

F

6-09

239

FR

Portland,Ore.(Jesuit)
 

Coaches and Staff

 

 
 

John Calipari – Head Coach

 

 

Orlando Antigua- Assistant Coach

 

Kenny Payne – Assistant Coach

 

John Robic – Assistant Coach

 

 

Results

 

Opponent

UK

Opp

Marist

108

58

(n)Kansas

75

65

(n)Penn State

85

47

(n) Old Dominion

62

52

Radford

88

40

Portland

87

63

St. John’s

81

59

North Carolina

73

72

at Indiana

72

73

Chattanooga

87

62

Samford

82

50

Loyola (Md.)

87

63

Lamar

86

64

Louisville

69

62

(n) Arkansas-Little Rock

73

51

South Carolina

79

64

at Auburn

68

53

at Tennessee

65

62

Arkansas

86

63

Alabama

77

71

at Georgia

57

44

at L S U

74

50

Tennessee

69

44

at South Carolina

86

52

Florida

78

58

at Vanderbilt

69

63

Ole Miss

77

62

at Mississippi State

73

64

Vanderbilt

83

74

Georgia

79

49

at Florida

74

59

(n) L S U

60

51

(n) Florida

74

71

(n) Vanderbilt

64

71

ncaa Western Kentucky

81

66

ncaa Iowa State

87

71

ncaa Indiana

102

90

ncaa Baylor

82

70

 

Statistics

Player

G-GS

Min

Avg

FG-Att

Fg%

3 FG-Att

3Pt %

Ft-Att

Ft%

Anthony Davis

38-38

1206

31.7

202-319

.633

3-20

.150

136-191

.712

Doron Lamb

38-33

1179

31.0

164-348

.471

73-155

.471

116-140

.829

Terrence Jones

36-32

1052

29.2

170-339

.501

16-48

.333

98-153

.641

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist

38-37

1187

31.2

152-313

.486

13-50

.260

139-184

.755

Marquis Teague

38-38

1236

32.5

136-330

.412

24-77

.312

83-116

.716

Darius Miller

38-11

989

26.0

137-290

.472

54-143

.378

51-65

.785

Kyle Wiltjer

38-0

451

11.9

69-158

.437

34-79

.430

22-27

.815

Sam Malone

6-0

13

2.2

3-6

.500

0-0

.000

0-0

.000

Eloy Vargas

31-1

195

6.3

12-36

.333

0-1

.000

4-13

.308

Brian Long

12-0

17

1.4

0-1

.000

0-0

.000

2-4

.500

Jarrod Polson

11-0

31

2.8

0-2

.000

0-1

.000

1-4

.250

Twany Beckham

16-0

44

2.8

0-1

.000

0-0

.000

0-0

.000

 

 

               
Kentucky

38

7600

200.0

1045-2143

.488

217-574

.378

652-897

.727

Opponents

38

7600

200.0

843-2248

.375

210-667

.315

407-586

.695

 

 

               
Player

Reb O

Reb D

Tot

F-DQ

Ast

TO

Blk

Stl

Pts

Anthony Davis

113

272

385

74-1

43

35

175

50

543

Doron Lamb

14

91

105

69-0

56

39

2

19

517

Terrence Jones

93

165

258

85-3

51

60

64

46

454

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist

101

186

287

92-5

73

82

36

39

456

Marquis Teague

16

81

97

85-1

183

105

11

36

379

Darius Miller

35

66

101

83-0

82

55

11

31

379

Kyle Wiltjer

25

44

69

44-0

16

27

17

4

194

Sam Malone

0

2

2

0-0

1

4

0

0

6

Eloy Vargas

20

36

56

25-0

2

6

10

3

28

Brian Long

1

1

2

0-0

0

0

0

0

2

Jarrod Polson

0

4

4

4-0

1

5

0

2

1

Twany Beckham

2

6

8

0-0

2

1

0

1

0

Team

49

57

106

9

         
Kentucky

469

1011

1480

564-10

510

428

326

231

2959

Opponents

457

754

1211

718-x

404

445

124

207

2303

 

 

               
Player

Scoring

Rebounding

         
Anthony Davis

14.3

10.1

         
Doron Lamb

13.6

2.8

         
Terrence Jones

12.6

7.2

         
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist

12.0

7.6

         
Marquis Teague

10.0

2.6

         
Darius Miller

10.0

2.7

         
Kyle Wiltjer

5.1

1.8

         
Sam Malone

1.0

0.3

         
Eloy Vargas

0.9

1.8

         
Brian Long

0.2

0.2

         
Jarrod Polson

0.1

0.4

         
Twany Beckham

0.0

0.5

         
Team    

2.8

         
Kentucky

77.9

38.9

         
Opponents

60.6

31.9

         

 

Louisville Cardinals

#

NAME

POS

HT

WT

Yr

HOMETOWN (PREVIOUS SCHOOL)

1

Angel Nunez

F

6-07

190

Fr

Washington Heights,N.Y.(Notre Dame Prep)

2

Russ Smith

G

6-00

160

So

Brooklyn,N.Y.(Archbishop Molloy/South Kent)

3

Peyton Siva

G

6-00

180

Jr

Seattle,Wash.(Franklin)

4

Rakeem Buckles

F

6-07

215

Jr

Miami,Fla.(Monsignor Pace)

5

Chris Smith

G

6-02

195

 Sr

Millstone, N.J. (Manhattan)

10

Gorgui Dieng

C

6-11

235

So

Kebemer,Senegal(Covenant/Huntington Prep)

11

Luke Hancock

F

6-06

200

Jr

Roanoke,Va.(George Mason)

12

Zach Price

C

6-10

235

Fr

Louisville,Ky.(Jeffersontown)

14

Kyle Kuric

G/F

6-04

195

Sr

Evansville,Ind.(Memorial)

15

Tim Henderson

G

6-02

185

So

Louisville,Ky.(ChristianAcademy)

21

Jared Swopshire

F

6-08

200

Jr

St. Louis,Mo.(IMGAcademy)

22

Elisha Justice

G

5-10

175

So

Dorton,Ky.(ShelbyValley)

23

Kevin Ware

G

6-04

185

Fr

Conyers,Ga.(RockdaleCounty)

24

Chane Behanan

F

6-06

245

Fr

Cincinnati,Ohio(Bowling Green)
 

 

 25

Wayne Blackshear

G/F

6-05

225

Fr

Chicago,Ill.(Morgan Park)
 

 33

Mike Marra

G

6-05

200

Jr

Smithfield,R.I.(NorthfieldMt.HermonSchool)

44

Stephan Van Treese

F

6-08

235

Jr

Indianapolis,Ind.(LawrenceNorth)

 

Coaches

 

 

 

Rick Pitino – Head Coach

 

 

 

Richard Pitino – Associate Coach

 

 

Wyking Jones – Assistant Coach

 

 

 

Kevin Keatts – Assistant Coach

 

 

Results

Opponent

UL

Opp

UT MARTIN  

83

48

LAMAR  

68

48

at BUTLER 

69

53

ARKANSAS STATE 

54

27

OHIO 

59

54

LONG BEACH STATE 

79

66

VANDERBILT  

62

60

IUPUI  

90

60

FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 

80

58

MEMPHIS 

95

87

COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON 

69

62

WESTERN KENTUCKY 

70

60

GEORGETOWN  

68

71

at KENTUCKY  

62

69

at ST. JOHN’S  

73

58

NOTRE DAME  

65

67

at Providence College  

59

90

DEPAUL  

76

59

at MARQUETTE  

63

74

at PITT  

73

62

VILLANOVA  

84

74

at SETON HALL  

60

51

RUTGERS 

78

66

CONNECTICUT 

80

59

at WEST VIRGINIA 

77

74

SYRACUSE  

51

52

at DEPAUL  

90

82

at CINCINNATI  

56

60

PITTSBURGH 

57

54

SOUTH FLORIDA  

51

58

at SYRACUSE  

49

58

(n) SETON HALL  

61

55

(n) MARQUETTE 

84

71

(n) NOTRE DAME  

64

50

(n) CINCINNATI 

50

44

ncaa DAVIDSON  

69

62

ncaa NEW MEXICO 

59

56

ncaa MICHIGAN STATE 

57

44

ncaa FLORIDA 

72

68

 

Statistics

Player 

GP 

Min.

Avg 

FG-Att

Pct 

3FG-Att

Pct.

FT-Att

Pct.

Kyle Kuric

37-35

1341 

36.2 

162-383

.423 

75-229

.328 

72-90

.800 

Russ Smith

38-7

811 

21.3 

145-404

.359 

41-133

.308 

109-142

.768 

Chris Smith

39-37

1076 

27.6 

119-291

.409 

66-166

.398 

74-100

.740 

Chane Behanan   

39-36

1005 

25.8 

142-277

.513 

6-34

.176 

80-136

.588 

Gorgui Dieng  

39-39

1272 

32.6 

142-266

.534 

1-2

.500 

72-107

.673 

Peyton Siva

37-37

1172 

31.7 

117-290

.403 

16-67

.239 

86-117

.735 

Mike Marra

2-0

25 

12.5 

5-8

.625 

1-4

.250 

1-2

.500 

Rakeem Buckles

11-1

149 

13.5 

16-37

.432 

2-5

.400 

10-18

.556 

Jared Swopshire

38-2

505 

13.3 

45-115

.391 

5-24

.208 

33-48

.688 

Wayne Blackshear   

14-1

91 

6.5 

9-36

.250 

5-18

.278 

5-9

.556 

Angel Nunez

12-0

55 

4.6 

8-21

.381 

6-16

.375 

2-4

.500 

Mark Jackson

3-0

12 

4.0 

2-4

.500 

1-1

1.000 

0-0

.000 

Stephan Van Treese   

3-0

20 

6.7 

1-3

.333 

0-0

.000 

2-4

.500 

Tim Henderson

11-0

57 

5.2 

4-11

.364 

3-7

.429 

3-6

.500 

Kevin Ware

20-0

105 

5.3 

8-27

.296 

0-5

.000 

4-12

.333 

Elisha Justice

24-0

122 

5.1 

10-26

.385 

1-11

.091 

2-3

.667 

Zach Price

19-0

82 

4.3 

4-13

.308 

0-0

.000 

4-15

.267 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total………. 

39 

7900 

202.6

939-2212

.425 

229-722

.317 

559-813

.688 

Opponents…… 

39 

7900 

202.6

829-2184

.380 

216-713

.303 

497-746

.666 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Player 

Reb O

Reb D

Reb Tot

Fl-DQ

Ast

TO

Blk

Stl

Pts

Kyle Kuric

41 

113 

154 

78-0

45 

38 

19 

46 

471 

Russ Smith

26 

69 

95 

108-3

75 

87 

85 

440 

Chris Smith

40 

102 

142 

56-0

75 

43 

34 

378 

Chane Behanan   

115 

174 

289 

75-2

32 

70 

18 

32 

370 

Gorgui Dieng  

130 

221 

351 

130-5

40 

77 

124 

45 

357 

Peyton Siva

19 

99 

118 

112-5

208 

128 

64 

336 

Mike Marra

0-0

12 

Rakeem Buckles

18 

24 

42 

20-0

15 

44 

Jared Swopshire

30 

79 

109 

41-0

17 

22 

13 

128 

Wayne Blackshear   

11 

17 

8-0

28 

Angel Nunez

1-0

24 

Mark Jackson

1-0

Stephan Van Treese   

5-0

Tim Henderson

7-0

14 

Kevin Ware

10 

14 

12-0

21 

20 

Elisha Justice

15-0

12 

23 

Zach Price

15 

18-1

12 

 

53 

33 

86 

 

10 

 

 

 

Total………. 

499 

973 

1472 

690-16

525 

550 

189 

348 

2666 

Opponents…… 

503 

908 

1411 

731-x

444 

607 

137 

277 

2371 

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Player 

Scoring

Rebounding

 

 

 

 

 

Kyle Kuric

12.7 

4.2 

 

 

 

 

 

Russ Smith

11.6 

2.5 

 

 

 

 

 

Chris Smith

9.7 

3.6 

 

 

 

 

 

Chane Behanan   

9.5 

7.4 

 

 

 

 

 

Gorgui Dieng  

9.2 

9.0 

 

 

 

 

 

Peyton Siva

9.1 

3.2 

 

 

 

 

 

Mike Marra

6.0 

2.5 

 

 

 

 

 

Rakeem Buckles

4.0 

3.8 

 

 

 

 

 

Jared Swopshire

3.4 

2.9 

 

 

 

 

 

Wayne Blackshear   

2.0 

1.2 

 

 

 

 

 

Angel Nunez

2.0 

0.7 

 

 

 

 

 

Mark Jackson

1.7 

1.0 

 

 

 

 

 

Stephan Van Treese   

1.3 

2.0 

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Henderson

1.3 

0.8 

 

 

 

 

 

Kevin Ware

1.0 

0.7 

 

 

 

 

 

Elisha Justice

1.0 

0.4 

 

 

 

 

 

Zach Price

0.6 

0.8 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total………. 

68.4 

37.7 

 

 

 

 

 

Opponents…… 

60.8 

36.2 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Criteria

UK

Pts

UL

Pts

Scoring Margin

17.3

8.7

7.6

3.8

Field Goal % Margin

11.3

5.7

4.5

2.3

Rebounding Margin

7.0

4.2

1.5

0.9

Turnover Margin

0.4

0.2

1.5

0.8

Steals

6.1

 

8.9

 

R + T *

8.70

3.5

5.08

2.0

Strength of Schedule ^

.5716

2.2

.5880

3.8

Road W-L #

90.0

4.5

73.7

2.5

TOTAL

UK:

29.0

UL:

16.1

 

Prediction: Kentucky 73  Louisville 66

Kentucky will take advantage of the size difference and force Louisville to take too many shots outside of their comfort zone.  The Wildcats will hold Louisville under 40% from the field, and they will control the boards to keep the Cardinals from getting many second chance shots.

 

Louisville must try to force Kentucky to turn the ball over, and the Cardinals will have to apply pressure while at the same time trying to force the ball out of the paint.  While the Cats may turn the ball over a little more than they normally do, Kentucky will get some easy stuff shots and close-in crips to counter.

 

 

#2MW Kansas (31-6) vs. #2E Ohio State (31-7)

 

Kansas Jayhawks

 

No.       Player                           Pos      Ht         Wt        Yr        HomeTown(Last Team)

 

0          Thomas Robinson          F          6-10      237       JR       Washington, D.C./Brewster [N.H.] Academy

 

1          Naadir Tharpe                G          5-11      170       FR       Worcester, Mass./Brewster [N.H.] Academy

 

2          Conner Teahan              G          6-06      212       SR       Leawood, Kan./Rockhurst HS

 

4          Justin Wesley                F          6-09      220       SO      Fort Worth,Texas/North CrowleyHS/Lamar

 

5          Jeff Withey                    C          7-00      235       JR       San Diego, Calif./Horizon HS

 

10         Tyshawn Taylor             G          6-03      185       SR      Hoboken, N.J./St. Anthony HS

 

15         Elijah Johnson               G          6-04      195       JR       Las Vegas,Nev./CheyenneHS

 

20         Niko Roberts                 G          5-11      175       SO       Huntington, N.Y./Saint Anthony’s HS

 

21         Christian Garrett            G          6-03      170       FR       Los Angeles,Calif./IMGAcademy

 

22         Merv Lindsay                 G          6-07      195       FR       MorenoValley,Calif./CanyonSpringsHigh School

 

23         Ben McLemore              G         6-05      185       FR        St. Louis,Mo./ChristianLifeCenter[Texas]

 

24         Travis Releford              G          6-06      207       JR       Kansas City,Mo./Bishop Miege HS

 

25         Jordan Juenemann         G          6-03      195       SR       Hays, Kan./Hays HS

 

31         Jamari Traylor               F          6-08      215       FR       Chicago,Ill./IMGAcademy[Fla.]

 

40         Kevin Young                  F          6-08      185       JR       Perris,Calif./Perris High School/Loyola Marymount

 

 

 

 

 

Coaches

 

 

 

Bill Self – Head Coach

 

Joe Dooley – Assistant Coach

 

Kurtis Townsend – Assistant Coach

 

Danny Manning – Assistant Coach

Results

Opponent

KU

Att.

Towson

100

54

(n) Kentucky

65

75

(n) Georgetown

67

63

(n) UCLA

72

56

(n) Duke

61

68

Florida Atlantic

77

54

South Florida

70

42

Long Beach St.

88

80

Ohio State

78

67

(n) Davidson

74

80

at Southern Cal

63

47

Howard

89

34

North Dakota

84

58

Kansas State

67

49

at Oklahoma

72

61

at Texas Tech

81

46

Iowa State

82

73

Baylor

92

74

at Texas

69

66

Texas A&M

64

54

at Iowa State

64

72

Oklahoma

84

62

at Missouri

71

74

at Baylor

68

54

Oklahoma State

81

66

at Kansas State

59

53

Texas Tech

83

50

at Texas A&M

66

58

Missouri

87

86

at Oklahoma State

70

58

Texas

73

63

vs.Texas A&M

83

66

vs. Baylor

72

81

ncaaDetroit

65

50

ncaa Purdue

63

60

ncaa North Carolina State

60

57

ncaa North Carolina

80

67

 

Statistics

Player

gp-gs

min

avg

fg-fga

fg%

3fg-fga

3fg%

ft-fta

ft%

Thomas Robinson

37-37

1169

31.6

247-482

.512

7-14

.500

154-226

.681

Tyshawn Taylor

37-36

1230

33.2

215-446

.482

57-148

.385

131-192

.682

Elijah Johnson

37-36

1190

32.2

137-322

.425

65-194

.335

32-46

.696

Jeff Withey

37-37

902

24.4

109-199

.548

0-0

.000

123-155

.794

Travis Releford

37-36

1138

30.8

113-226

.500

24-77

.312

63-98

.643

Conner Teahan

37-2

784

21.2

67-181

.370

50-147

.340

26-31

.839

Kevin Young

36-0

410

11.4

47-96

.490

3-9

.333

33-49

.673

Jordan Juenemann

15-1

47

3.1

8-18

.444

1-6

.167

2-6

.333

Justin Wesley

37-0

324

8.8

17-30

.567

0-0

.000

11-26

.423

Merv Lindsay

12-0

26

2.2

5-9

.556

1-3

.333

0-1

.000

Naadir Tharpe

32-0

175

5.5

11-38

.289

6-22

.273

1-2

.500

Niko Roberts

7-0

14

2.0

0-4

.000

0-1

.000

0-2

.000

Christian Garrett

7-0

15

2.1

0-0

.000

0-0

.000

0-0

.000

Anthony West

1-0

1

1.0

0-0

.000

0-0

.000

0-0

.000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total……….

37

7425

200.7

976-2051

.476

214-621

.345

576-834

.691

Opponents……

37

7425

200.7

783-2061

.380

222-658

.337

490-685

.715

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Player

Reb-O

Reb-D

Reb-Tot

Fl-DQ

a

to

blk

stl

pts

Thomas Robinson

105

333

438

104-2

71

101

34

41

655

Tyshawn Taylor

7

77

84

75-0

174

128

6

50

618

Elijah Johnson

14

100

114

87-2

134

65

2

54

371

Jeff Withey

77

153

230

93-1

28

44

129

22

341

Travis Releford

60

97

157

77-0

67

37

7

43

313

Conner Teahan

24

55

79

62-1

38

36

1

27

210

Kevin Young

48

58

106

57-0

23

27

14

20

130

Jordan Juenemann

1

7

8

4-0

2

2

1

1

19

Justin Wesley

26

33

59

69-1

1

11

14

6

45

Merv Lindsay

0

3

3

3-0

1

0

1

1

11

Naadir Tharpe

3

7

10

12-0

21

22

0

7

29

Niko Roberts

0

2

2

4-0

3

2

0

2

0

Christian Garrett

1

1

2

0-0

1

1

0

0

0

Anthony West

0

0

0

0-0

0

0

0

0

0

Team

60

40

100

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total……….

426

966

1392

647-7

564

480

209

274

2744

Opponents……

397

786

1183

686-x

413

510

119

242

2278

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Player

Scoring

Rebounding

 

 

 

 

 

Thomas Robinson

17.7

11.8

 

 

 

 

 

Tyshawn Taylor

16.7

2.3

 

 

 

 

 

Elijah Johnson

10.0

3.1

 

 

 

 

 

Jeff Withey

9.2

6.2

 

 

 

 

 

Travis Releford

8.5

4.2

 

 

 

 

 

Conner Teahan

5.7

2.1

 

 

 

 

 

Kevin Young

3.6

2.9

 

 

 

 

 

Jordan Juenemann

1.3

0.5

 

 

 

 

 

Justin Wesley

1.2

1.6

 

 

 

 

 

Merv Lindsay

0.9

0.3

 

 

 

 

 

Naadir Tharpe

0.9

0.3

 

 

 

 

 

Niko Roberts

0.0

0.3

 

 

 

 

 

Christian Garrett

0.0

0.3

 

 

 

 

 

Anthony West

0.0

0.0

 

 

 

 

 

Team

 

2.7

 

 

 

 

 

Total……….

74.2

37.6

 

 

 

 

 

Opponents……

61.6

32.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ohio State Buckeyes

NO

NAME

POS

HT

WT

CLASS

HOMETOWN

0

Jared Sullinger

F

6-9

265

SO

Columbus,OH

1

Deshaun Thomas

F

6-7

225

SO

Fort Wayne,IN

2

Jordan Sibert

G

6-4

185

SO

Cincinnati,OH

3

Shannon Scott

G

6-1

180

FR

Alpharetta,GA

4

Aaron Craft

G

6-2

190

SO

Findlay,OH

10

LaQuinton Ross

F

6-8

225

FR

Jackson,MS

12

Sam Thompson

F

6-7

190

FR

Chicago,IL

14

Alex Rogers

G

6-2

195

JR

Cincinnati,OH

15

J.D. Weatherspoon

F

6-6

215

SO

Columbus,OH

23

Amir Williams

C

6-11

220

FR

Birmingham,MI

30

Evan Ravenel

F

6-8

260

JR

Tampa,FL

32

Lenzelle Smith, Jr.

G

6-4

205

SO

Zion,IL

44

William Buford

G

6-6

220

SR

Toledo,OH

55

Trey McDonald

C

6-8

225

FR

Battle Creek,MI

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Coaches  
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Thad Matta – Head Coach  
 

Dave Dickerson – Associate Head Coach

 

 
Jeff Boals – Assistant Coach  
Chris Jent – Assistant Coach  
                       

 

Results

Date

OSU

Opp

Wright State

73

42

Florida

81

74

Jackson State

85

41

North Florida

85

50

VMI

107

74

Valparaiso

80

47

Duke

85

63

Texas-Pan American

64

35

at Kansas

67

78

USC-Upstate

82

58

at South Carolina

74

66

Lamar

70

50

Miami (O)

69

40

Northwestern

87

54

at Indiana

70

74

Nebraska

71

40

at Iowa

76

47

at Illinois

74

79

Indiana

80

63

at Nebraska

79

45

Penn State

78

54

Michigan

64

49

at Wisconsin

58

52

Purdue

87

84

Michigan State

48

58

at Minnesota

78

68

at Michigan

51

56

Illinois

83

67

Wisconsin

60

63

at Northwestern

75

73

at Michigan State

72

70

Purdue

88

71

(n) Michigan

77

55

(n) Michigan State

64

68

ncaa Loyola (Md.)

78

59

ncaa Gonzaga

73

66

ncaa Cincinnati

81

66

ncaa Syracuse

77

70

 

Statistics

Player

gp-gs

min

avg

fg-fga

fg%

3fg-fga

3fg%

ft-fta

ft%

Jared Sullinger

36-35

1084

30.1

223-420

.531

16-38

.421

172-224

.768

Deshaun Thomas

38-38

1201

31.6

240-453

.530

49-138

.355

81-109

.743

William Buford

38-38

1285

33.8

199-479

.415

59-168

.351

90-109

.826

Aaron Craft

38-38

1215

32.0

111-219

.507

21-61

.344

91-128

.711

Lenzelle Smith, Jr

38-38

958

25.2

86-181

.470

29-77

.377

53-87

.609

Evan Ravenel

38-3

383

10.1

46-85

.541

0-0

.000

41-59

.695

J.D. Weatherspoon

25-0

157

6.3

29-47

.617

0-2

.000

18-31

.581

Jordan Sibert

24-0

273

11.4

24-79

.304

13-50

.260

10-18

.556

Sam Thompson

38-0

401

10.6

34-69

.493

1-14

.071

12-22

.545

LaQuinton Ross

9-0

35

3.9

5-15

.333

2-8

.250

6-7

.857

Amir Williams

28-0

188

6.7

19-36

.528

0-0

.000

10-28

.357

Shannon Scott

36-0

382

10.6

20-71

.282

1-18

.056

2-9

.222

Trey McDonald

13-0

38

2.9

1-6

.167

0-0

.000

0-0

.000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total……….

38

7600

200.0

1037-2160

.480

191-574

.333

586-831

.705

Opponents……

38

7600

200.0

815-2006

.406

231-710

.325

408-585

.697

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Player

Reb-O

Reb-D

Reb-Tot

Fl-DQ

a

to

blk

stl

pts

Jared Sullinger

110

219

329

106-1

44

69

36

42

634

Deshaun Thomas

98

107

205

61-0

34

46

9

15

610

William Buford

33

154

187

68-0

103

81

9

32

547

Aaron Craft

22

104

126

94-2

178

82

7

95

334

Lenzelle Smith, Jr

51

125

176

74-0

76

46

5

34

254

Evan Ravenel

31

51

82

69-1

9

28

8

10

133

J.D. Weatherspoon

16

11

27

8-0

4

8

4

6

76

Jordan Sibert

5

28

33

21-0

18

14

1

11

71

Sam Thompson

10

30

40

34-0

27

19

14

7

81

LaQuinton Ross

0

4

4

5-0

1

3

0

0

18

Amir Williams

27

35

62

23-0

2

8

23

4

48

Shannon Scott

4

34

38

47-0

60

36

2

18

43

Trey McDonald

3

3

6

3-0

1

4

0

0

2

Team

45

50

95

3

 

3

 

 

 

Total……….

455

955

1410

613-4

557

447

118

274

2851

Opponents……

315

802

1117

717-16

383

562

109

187

2269

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Player

Scoring

Rebounding

 

 

 

 

 

Jared Sullinger

17.6

9.1

 

 

 

 

 

Deshaun Thomas

16.1

5.4

 

 

 

 

 

William Buford

14.4

4.9

 

 

 

 

 

Aaron Craft

8.8

3.3

 

 

 

 

 

Lenzelle Smith, Jr

6.7

4.6

 

 

 

 

 

Evan Ravenel

3.5

2.2

 

 

 

 

 

J.D. Weatherspoon

3.0

1.1

 

 

 

 

 

Jordan Sibert

3.0

1.4

 

 

 

 

 

Sam Thompson

2.1

1.1

 

 

 

 

 

LaQuinton Ross

2.0

0.4

 

 

 

 

 

Amir Williams

1.7

2.2

 

 

 

 

 

Shannon Scott

1.2

1.1

 

 

 

 

 

Trey McDonald

0.2

0.5

 

 

 

 

 

Team

 

2.5

 

 

 

 

 

Total……….

75.0

37.1

 

 

 

 

 

Opponents……

59.7

29.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Criteria Scores

PiRate Criteria

KU

Pts

OSU

Pts

Scoring Margin

12.6

6.3

15.3

7.7

Field Goal % Margin

9.6

4.8

7.4

3.7

Rebounding Margin

5.6

3.4

7.7

4.6

Turnover Margin

0.8

0.4

3.0

1.5

Steals

7.4

 

7.2

 

R + T *

8.04

3.2

12.74

5.1

Strength of Schedule ^

.5858

3.6

.5890

3.9

Road W-L #

71.4

2.0

72.2

2.0

TOTAL

KU:

23.7

OSU:

28.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

Prediction: Ohio State 75  Kansas 69

We expect this game to stay close for most of the 40 minutes.  These teams are evenly matched, and Ohio State enjoys only subtle advantages in this game.  The Buckeyes are a tad better at rebounding and turnover margin, and we show OSU with about five extra scoring opportunities in this game

 

 

 

* R+T is the PiRate Ratings’ estimate of the margin of extra scoring opportunities per game for each team.  The formula is: (Rebounding Margin) + (0.2 *  Avg. Steals Per Game) + (1.2 * Turnover Margin).  The result shows how many more scoring opportunities the team gets than its opponents.  If the R+T is 10, that means a team averages 10 more scoring opportunities per game over its opponents.

 

^ Strength of Schedule is taken from the RPI ratings from CBS Sports.

 

# Road W-L% includes true road games and neutral site games.

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