The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 18, 2012

PiRate Ratings: NFL For Conference Championship Round–January 22, 2012

This preview comes out a day late this week due to the unavailability of access to the simulator until Wednesday at lunchtime.  Better late than never.

 

Conference Championship Previews

 

This Week’s PiRate, Mean, and Biased Spreads

 

Home Team in CAPS

 

 

 

 

 

Conference Championships:

 

 

 

 

 

Vegas Line as of Wednesday, January 18, 2012  @ 5:00 PM EST

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Favorite Underdog

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Vegas

Totals

NEW ENGLAND Baltimore

10.1

9.9

6.5

7   

50 1/2

SAN FRANCISCO New York Giants

1.7

4.1

0.2

2 1/2

42    

 

 

Computer Simulations

 

Sunday, January 22, 2012

3PM EST

Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots

 

100 Simulations: New England 63  Baltimore 37

Avg. Sim Score: New England 26.5  Baltimore 19.7  (46.2 total points)

Vs. Spread: New England 48  Baltimore 47  Push 5

Outlier Score A: New England 38  Baltimore 13

Outlier Score B: Baltimore 24  New England 12

 

6:30 PM EST

New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers

 

100 Simulations: New York Giants 53  San Francisco 47

Avg. Sim Score: New York Giants 23.6  San Francisco 20.9 (44.5 points)

Vs. Spread: New York Giants 82  San Francisco 18

Outlier Score A: New York Giants 37  San Francisco 14

Outlier Score B: San Francisco 27  New York Giants 9

 Note: The PiRate Ratings will begin its NCAA Basketball coverage next week.

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