The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 10, 2012

PiRate Ratings: NFL For Divisional Playoff Round–January 14-15, 2012

NFL Playoffs: Divisional Round

Current NFL Standings For Remaining Playoff Teams

 

Team                                 PiRate  Mean    Biased HFA

New York Giants                  105.2      103.8      104.2      2.0

Green Bay Packers             111.5      111.0      110.8      3.5

New Orleans Saints            113.8      111.5      106.7      5.0

San Francisco 49ers          105.9      105.9      104.9      3.5

New England Patriots        110.5      109.7      108.5      2.0

Baltimore Ravens               105.4     105.6       107.0     4.0

Houston Texans                  100.8     100.9       103.3     1.5

Denver Broncos                     95.0     94.7        98.3       1.5

 

PiRate, Mean, and Bias Spreads

Home Team in CAPS

 

 

 

 

 

Divisional Playoff Round:

 

 

 

 

 

Vegas Line as of Tuesday, January 10, 2012 @ 12 Noon EST

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Favorite Underdog

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Vegas

Totals

New Orleans SAN FRANCISCO

4.4

2.1

-1.7

3 1/2

47 1/2

NEW ENGLAND Denver

17.5

17.0

12.2

13 1/2

50 1/2

BALTIMORE Houston

8.6

8.7

7.7

7 1/2

35 1/2

GREEN BAY New York Giants

9.8

10.7

10.1

7 1/2

52 1/2

 

 

100 Simulations of Each Game

New Orleans at San Francisco

 

Simulation Wins

New Orleans 62

San Francisco 38

 

Average Sim Score

New Orleans 25.6

San Francisco 22.7

 

Beat Spread (NO -3 ½)

New Orleans 31

San Francisco 69

 

Biggest Win

New Orleans 29 (42-13)

San Francisco 16 (37-21)

 

 

Denver at New England

Simulation Wins

New England 97

Denver 3

 

Average Sim Score

New England 30.3

Denver 11.4

 

Beat Spread (NE -13 ½)

New England 48

Denver 52

 

Biggest Win

New England 41 (51-10)

Denver 6 (20-14)

 

 

Houston at Baltimore

Simulation Wins

Baltimore 58

Houston 42

 

Average Sim Score

Baltimore 23.7

Houston 19.4

 

Beat Spread (Bal -7 ½)

Baltimore 33

Houston 67

 

Biggest Win

Baltimore 25 (35-10)

Houston 19 (26-7)

 

 

New York Giants at Green Bay

Simulation Wins

Green Bay 83

New York Giants 17

 

Average Sim Score

Green Bay 34.9

New York Giants 26.2

 

Beat Spread (GB -7 ½)

Green Bay 52

New York Giants 48

 

Biggest Win

Green Bay 23 (41-18)

New York Giants 11 (38-27)

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