The Pi-Rate Ratings

December 27, 2011

2011-12 NCAA Simulated Football Playoffs–Quarterfinal Round

The Road To Simper Bowl V

The quarterfinal round of the PiRate Ratings Computer Simulated College Football Playoffs was simulated Friday, December 23, and the results and statistics are listed below.

 

For those of you new to this experiment, here is how the PiRates conduct this simulated National Championship playoff:

 

The champions of the ACC, Big East, Big Ten, Big 12, Pac-12, and SEC receive automatic bids.

 

Any other conference champion that finishes in the top 12 of the BCS rankings also receives an automatic bid.

 

After these two rules have been applied, at-large invitations are extended to the number of teams needed to complete a 12-team tournament, based on BCS ranking.

 

Our 12-team tournament gives the top four BCS-ranked teams a bye, while teams seeded 5-12 play in the opening round. 

 

The Dandy Dozen For This Season Are:

Automatic Bids

ACC Champion: Clemson 10-3  BCS #15

Big East Champion: West Virginia 9-3   BCS #23

Big Ten Champion: Wisconsin 11-2   BCS # 10

Big 12 Champion: Oklahoma State 11-1   BCS #3

Pac-12 Champion: Oregon 11-2   BCS #5

SEC Champion: L S U 13-0   BCS #1

 

Other Qualifying Conference Champions

No other conference champions finished in the BCS top 12.

 

At-large Bids (6)

BCS #2: Alabama 11-1

BCS #4: Stanford 11-1

BCS #6: Arkansas 10-2

BCS #7: Boise State 11-1

BCS #8: Kansas State 10-2

BCS #9: South Carolina 10-2

 

The Opening Round Results

Kansas State 30  South Carolina 20

Oregon 41  West Virginia 17

Wisconsin 38  Boise State 26

Clemson 50  Arkansas 44 3ot

Today’s Elite 8 Matchups

#8 Kansas State 11-2 at #1 L S U 13-0

#5 Oregon 12-2 at #4 Stanford 11-1

#10 Wisconsin 12-2 at #2 Alabama 11-1

#11 Clemson 11-3 at #3 Oklahoma State 11-1

 

Results

L S U  44  Kansas State  16

 

LSU

Team

KSU

 

 

 

21

FD

12

 

 

 

44-251

Rush

29-83

 

 

 

153

Passing

235

 

 

 

11-19-0

Passes

18-42-2

 

 

 

63

Plays

71

 

 

 

404

Tot Yds

318

 

 

 

1-42

KR

6-118

 

 

 

5-42

PR

2-1

 

 

 

2-34

Int Ret

0-0

 

 

 

0-0

Fum-Lst

1-0

 

 

 

6-38

Pen

7-50

 

 

 

3-42.3

Punt

7-41.6

 

 

 

30:34

Time

29:26

 

 

 

3-19

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

Final

LSU

3

24

14

3

44

KSU

0

0

0

16

16

Summary

LSU broke open a tight game in the second quarter starting with
a 31 yard interception return for touchdown by Tyrann Mathieu.
 
Following a three-and-out by Kansas State, the Tigers ensuing drive was a nine-play, 68-yard touchdown march culminated by QB Jordan Jefferson’s six yard scamper around left end.
 
Kansas State did not get on the scoreboard until they trailed 41-0
with 9:32 left to play in the game.

 

Oregon 38  Stanford 27

 

Stan

Team

Ore

 

 

 

23

FD

28

 

 

 

26-99

Rush

42-213

 

 

 

311

Passing

223

 

 

 

26-45-2

Passes

18-26-1

 

 

 

71

Plays

68

 

 

 

410

Tot Yds

436

 

 

 

4-87

KR

4-102

 

 

 

2-11

PR

0-0

 

 

 

1-11

Int Ret

2-31

 

 

 

1-0

Fum-Lst

2-0

 

 

 

7-52

Pen

6-43

 

 

 

4-39.8

Punt

2-41.0

 

 

 

27:51

Time

32:09

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

2-13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

Final

Stan

10

10

0

7

27

Ore

7

14

10

7

38

Summary

Oregon broke open a tight game in the 3rd qtr with a 12-play,
80-yard drive that consumed over seven minutes off the clock.
Darron Thomas completed a 12-yard pass to Lavasier Tuinei for
the touchdown.
 
Following a LaMichael James 46-yard run to the Cardinal 11 yard
line, Alejandro Maldonado kicked a 26-yard field goal to put the
Ducks up by 11 points.  Both teams scored a TD in the final quarter.
 
Andrew Luck completed a 41-yard pass for a score to Coby
Fleener, while James sprinted 16 yards for the game-clincher.
James led all players with 176 yards rushing.

 

Wisconsin 24  Alabama 19

Ala

Team

Wis

 

 

 

14

FD

19

 

 

 

38-134

Rush

52-213

 

 

 

187

Passing

171

 

 

 

19-32-1

Passes

15-22-0

 

 

 

70

Plays

74

 

 

 

321

Tot Yds

384

 

 

 

3-62

KR

2-41

 

 

 

5-19

PR

2-17

 

 

 

0-0

Int Ret

1-0

 

 

 

3-2

Fum-Lst

1-0

 

 

 

9-62

Pen

5-35

 

 

 

7-39.4

Punt

6-41.5

 

 

 

26:48

Time

33:12

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

2-13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

Final

Ala

0

6

6

7

19

Wis

7

3

7

7

24

Summary

The Badgers pulled off the first major upset of the tournament, and they did so by playing old-style football better than the favored Crimson Tide.
 
On the first possession of the game, UW drove 77 yards on 14 plays, using almost eight minutes of the clock.  The Badgers ran the ball 12 times for 58 yards and passed twice for 19 to gain a lead they kept for the duration of the game.
 
Montee Ball rushed for 152 yards on 31 carries, many times gaining a first down in crucial moments.  In the fourth quarter, with UW leading 17-12, the Badgers were backed up at their own 10 yard line facing a 3rd and 6.  Ball broke two tackles to pick up
the first down, and UW drove to midfield before punting to the ‘Bama 7.  The defense forced the Tide to punt from the 3, and it gave UW excellent field possession at the Tide 38.  Russell Wilson completed a TD pass to Nick Toon to sew up the victory.

 

Oklahoma State 44  Clemson 20

OSU

Team

Clem

 

 

 

31

FD

16

 

 

 

31-156

Rush

31-119

 

 

 

433

Passing

104

 

 

 

29-43-0

Passes

11-26-1

 

 

 

74

Plays

57

 

 

 

589

Tot Yds

223

 

 

 

2-39

KR

7-229

 

 

 

5-44

PR

0-0

 

 

 

1-(-2)

Int Ret

0-0

 

 

 

1-0

Fum-Lst

2-1

 

 

 

4-25

Pen

7-55

 

 

 

1-46.0

Punt

6-40.3

 

 

 

36:19

Time

23:41

 

 

 

3-20

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

Final

OSU

23

14

7

0

44

Clem

0

14

0

6

20

Summary

This game was never in doubt, starting with the first play from
scrimmage.  Cowboy QB Brandon Weeden tossed a quick screen
pass to Joseph Randle, who ran 74 yards for a touchdown.
Moment later, a Clemson punt attempt was blocked through the
end zone for a safety, and after the ensuing free kick, Oklahoma
State drove 62 yards for their second touchdown, culminated by
Weeden’s 23 yard pass to Justin Blackmon to give OSU a 16-0 lead just five minutes into the game.
 
Clemson did not score until they trailed 30-0, when Sammy Watkins returned a kick 97 yards for a touchdown.
 
Randle led all rushers with 128 yards on 18 carries.  The
Cowboys held Andre Ellington to 67 rushing yards.

 

The Final Four Is Set

Oregon ventures to Baton Rouge to face L S U for the second time this season, while Wisconsin travels to Stillwater to take on Oklahoma State in the other semifinal game.  The winners of these games will advance to the Simper Bowl at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.

 

Check back New Year’s Eve for the results of those two simulations.

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