The Pi-Rate Ratings

December 12, 2011

2011-12 NCAA Simulated Football Playoffs–Opening Round

The Road To Simper Bowl V

The opening round of the PiRate Ratings Computer Simulated College Football Playoffs was simulated Friday, December 9, and the results and statistics are listed below.

 

For those of you new to this experiment, here is how the PiRates conduct this simulated National Championship playoff:

 

The champions of the ACC, Big East, Big Ten, Big 12, Pac-12, and SEC receive automatic bids.

 

Any other conference champion that finishes in the top 12 of the BCS rankings also receives an automatic bid.

 

After these two rules have been applied, at-large invitations are extended to the number of teams needed to complete a 12-team tournament, based on BCS ranking.

 

Our 12-team tournament gives the top four BCS-ranked teams a bye, while teams seeded 5-12 play in the opening round. 

 

The Dandy Dozen For This Season Are:

Automatic Bids

ACC Champion: Clemson 10-3  BCS #15

Big East Champion: West Virginia 9-3   BCS #23

Big Ten Champion: Wisconsin 11-2   BCS # 10

Big 12 Champion: Oklahoma State 11-1   BCS #3

Pac-12 Champion: Oregon 11-2   BCS #5

SEC Champion: L S U 13-0   BCS #1

 

Other Qualifying Conference Champions

No other conference champions finished in the BCS top 12.

 

At-large Bids (6)

BCS #2: Alabama 11-1

BCS #4: Stanford 11-1

BCS #6: Arkansas 10-2

BCS #7: Boise State 11-1

BCS #8: Kansas State 10-2

BCS #9: South Carolina 10-2

 

Here Is This Year’s Bracket

Opening Round  12/10/11 Quarterfinals  12/24/11 Semifinals 12/31/11 Championship 1/7/12 Legitimate Champion
         
#9 South Carolina 10-2        
  |      
  |      
  | |    
@ #8 Kansas St. 10-2 | |    
    | |  
  @ #1 L S U 13-0 | |  
      |  
      |  
      |  
#12 West Virginia 9-3     | |
  |   | |
  |   | |
  | | | |
@ #5 Oregon 11-2 | | | |
    |   |
  @ #4 Stanford 11-1 |   |
        |
        |
      @ L.A. Coliseum |
#10 Wisconsin 11-2       |
  |     |
  |     |
  | |   |
@ #7 Boise St. 11-1 | |   |
    | | |
  @ #2 Alabama 11-1 | | |
      | |
      | |
      | |
# 11 Clemson 10-3     |  
  |   |  
  |   |  
  | | |  
@ #6 Arkansas 10-2 | | |  
    |    
  @ #3 Oklahoma St. 11-1 |    

 

 

Opening Round Results

#9 South Carolina 10-2 at #8 Kansas St. 10-2

Final Score: Kansas State 30  South Carolina 20

 

Kan St

Team

S Car

 

 

 

21

FD

16

 

 

 

48-196

Rush

38-148

 

 

 

175

Passing

142

 

 

 

12-21-0

Passes

13-25-1

 

 

 

69

Plays

63

 

 

 

371

Tot Yds

290

 

 

 

3-138

KR

5-106

 

 

 

3-27

PR

2-8

 

 

 

1-12

Int Ret

0-0

 

 

 

1-0

Fum-Lst

1-0

 

 

 

7-56

Pen

6-50

 

 

 

5-42.4

Punt

7-41.7

 

 

 

31:47

Time

28:13

 

 

 

2-12

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

Final

Kan St

6

14

10

0

30

S Car

0

7

7

6

20

Scoring

 KS:1st Qtr–9:42: Cantele 39 yd FG

KS: 1st Qtr–3:11: Cantele 42 yd FG

SC: 2nd Qtr– 10:26: Shaw 1 yd. run, Wooten Kick

KS: 2nd Qtr–10:09: Lockett 98 yd. Kick Return, Cantele Kick

KS: 2nd Qtr–0:48 Harper 39 yd. pass from Klein, Cantele Kick

SC: 3rd Qtr–11:51 Wilds 8 yd. run, Wooten Kick

KS: 3rd Qtr–6:08: Cantele 37 yd FG

KS: 3rd Qtr–1:19: Hubert 4 yd. run, Cantele Kick

SC: 4th Qtr–5:37: Jeffrey 41 yd. pass from Shaw, 2-pt try failed

 

#12 West Virginia at #5 Oregon

Final Score: Oregon 41  West Virginia 17

 

Ore

Team

WVU

 

 

 

24

FD

17

 

 

 

45-234

Rush

21-69

 

 

 

254

Passing

237

 

 

 

19-27-0

Passes

22-43-2

 

 

 

72

Plays

64

 

 

 

488

Tot Yds

306

 

 

 

3-67

KR

5-93

 

 

 

3-29

PR

0-0

 

 

 

2-16

Int Ret

0-0

 

 

 

1-0

Fum-Lst

2-1

 

 

 

6-42

Pen

7-50

 

 

 

2-42.5

Punt

7-39.4

 

 

 

33:08

Time

26:52

 

 

 

4-32

Sacks

1-4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

Final

Ore

22

9

3

7

41

WVU

0

7

10

0

17

Scoring

Ore: 1st Qtr–10:39: Barner 7 yd. run, James run for 2

Ore: 1st Qtr–7:28: James 21 yd. run, Maldonado Kick

Ore: 1st Qtr–2:19: Tuinei 14 yd. pass from Thomas, Maldonado Kick

Ore: 2nd Qtr–13:32: WVU holding in end zone

Ore: 2nd Qtr–5:51: Thomas 2 yd. run, Maldonato Kick

WVU: 2nd Qtr–1:04: Bailey 7 yd. pass from Smith, Bitancurt Kick

WVU: 3rd Qtr–12:06: Alstun 3 yd. run, Bitancurt Kick

WVU: 3rd Qtr–6:42: Bitancurt 40 yd. FG

Ore: 3rd Qtr–2:23: Maldonado 38 yd. FG

Ore: 4th Qtr–7:04: Tuinei 23 yd. pass from Thomas, Maldonado Kick

 

#10 Wisconsin at #7 Boise State

Final Score: Wisconsin 38  Boise State 26

 

BSU

Team

Wis

 

 

 

21

FD

26

 

 

 

29-98

Rush

49-256

 

 

 

257

Passing

194

 

 

 

19-35-1

Passes

15-22-0

 

 

 

64

Plays

71

 

 

 

355

Tot Yds

450

 

 

 

6-128

KR

5-117

 

 

 

2-17

PR

3-61

 

 

 

0-0

Int Ret

1-0

 

 

 

1-0

Fum-Lst

1-0

 

 

 

7-54

Pen

6-35

 

 

 

4-39.8

Punt

5-42.6

 

 

 

26:41

Time

33:19

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

3-19

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

Final

BSU

7

6

3

10

26

Wis

10

0

21

7

38

Scoring

BSU: 1st Qtr–11:27: Martin 2 yd. run, Frisina Kick

Wis: 1st Qtr–6:12 Welch 38 yd. FG

Wis: 1st Qtr–2:31: Abbrederis 24 yd. pass from Wilson, Welch Kick

BSU: 2nd Qtr–7:31: Frisina 42 yd. FG

BSU: 2nd Qtr–0:00: Frisina 41 yd. FG

Wis: 3rd Qtr–12:52: Ball 19 yd. run, Welch Kick

Wis: 3rd Qtr–6:29: Ball 4 yd. run, Welch Kick

BSU: 3rd Qtr–4:11: Frisina 37 yd. FG

Wis: Ball 5 yd. run, Welch Kick

BSU: 4th Qtr–10:55: Shoemaker 20 yd. pass from Moore, Frisina Kick

BSU: 4th Qtr–5:48: Frisina 35 yd. FG

Wis: 4th Qtr–3:26: White 8 yd. run, Welch Kick

 

#11 Clemson at #6 Arkansas

Final Score: Clemson 50  Arkansas 44 3ot

 

Ark

Team

Clem

 

 

 

 

 

 

33

FD

26

 

 

 

 

 

 

40-168

Rush

36-165

 

 

 

 

 

 

316

Passing

307

 

 

 

 

 

 

28-48-2

Passes

19-34-0

 

 

 

 

 

 

88

Plays

70

 

 

 

 

 

 

484

Tot Yds

472

 

 

 

 

 

 

4-78

KR

6-149

 

 

 

 

 

 

0-0

PR

3-41

 

 

 

 

 

 

0-0

Int Ret

2-77

 

 

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum-Lst

2-1

 

 

 

 

 

 

9-73

Pen

6-44

 

 

 

 

 

 

2-41.0

Punt

3-40.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

35:11

Time

24:49

 

 

 

 

 

 

1-6

Sacks

3-19

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

OT

OT

Final

Ark

14

7

10

3

7

3

0

44

Clem

7

21

3

3

7

3

6

50

Scoring

Ark: 1st Qtr–10:44: Wright 11 yd. pass from Wilson, Hocker Kick

Ark: 1st Qtr–5:56: Wright 9 yd. pass from Wilson, Hocker Kick

Clem: 1st Qtr–1:12: Ellington 7 yd. run, Catanzaro Kick

Ark: 2nd Qtr–11:32: Green 1 yd. run, Hocker Kick

Clem: 2nd Qtr–8:44: Ellington 6 yd. run, Catanzaro Kick

Clem: 2nd Qtr–6:29: Christian 48 yd. Int. Return, Catanzaro Kick

Clem: 2nd Qtr–1:14: Watkins 48 yd. pass from Boyd, Catanzaro Kick

Ark: 3rd Qtr–9:13: Mitchell 1 yd. run, Hocker Kick

Clem: 3rd Qtr–5:44: Catanzaro 44 yd. Field Goal

Ark: 3rd Qtr–0:06: Hocker 39 yd. Field Goal

Clem: 4th Qtr–4:59: Catanzaro 40 yd. Field Goal

Ark: 4th Qtr–0:08 Hocker 48 yd. Field Goal

Ark: 1st OT: Green 2 yd. run, Hocker Kick

Clem: 1st OT: Ellington 14 yd. run, Catanzaro Kick

Clem: 2nd OT: Catanzaro 35 yd. Field Goal

Ark: 2nd OT: Hocker 42 yd. Field Goal

Clem: 3rd OT: Ellington 9 yd. run, no PAT attempted

 

The Updated Bracket

 

Opening Round  12/10/11 Quarterfinals  12/24/11 Semifinals 12/31/11 Championship 1/7/12 Legitimate Champion
         
#9 South Carolina 10-2        
  |      
  | Kansas State 30-20      
  | |    
@ #8 Kansas St. 10-2 | |    
    | |  
  @ #1 L S U 13-0 | |  
      |  
      |  
      |  
#12 West Virginia 9-3     | |
  |   | |
  | Oregon 41-17   | |
  | | | |
@ #5 Oregon 11-2 | | | |
    |   |
  @ #4 Stanford 11-1 |   |
        |
        |
      @ L.A. Coliseum |
#10 Wisconsin 11-2       |
  |     |
  | Wisconsin 38-26     |
  | |   |
@ #7 Boise St. 11-1 | |   |
    | | |
  @ #2 Alabama 11-1 | | |
      | |
      | |
      | |
# 11 Clemson 10-3     |  
  |   |  
  | Clemson 50-44 3ot   |  
  | | |  
@ #6 Arkansas 10-2 | | |  
    |    
  @ #3 Oklahoma St. 11-1 |    
         

Elite 8 Matchups

#8 Kansas State 11-2 at #1 L S U 13-0

#5 Oregon 12-2 at #4 Stanford 11-1

#10 Wisconsin 12-2 at #2 Alabama 11-1

#11 Clemson 11-3 at #3 Oklahoma State 11-1

 

Happy Holidays to All and to All A Good Playoff Sim.

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