The Pi-Rate Ratings

November 7, 2011

PiRate Ratings: College Football for November 8-12, 2011

The Conference Races & The Bowls

The Search For 70 Bowl Eligible Teams

 

With 35 bowls, the Football Bowl Subdivision needs 70 bowl-eligible teams to fill those spots.  Remember, we cannot include Southern Cal in that list, because they are ineligible for a bowl game this year.  Since there are only 120 total FBS schools, it requires a lot of teams to get to six wins by virtue of defeating a team from the Football Championship Subdivision, formerly known as I-AA.  There are only four more FBS versus FCS games this year, all involving teams from the SEC.  Three of those SEC teams are already bowl eligible, so only the Florida-Furman game can help an FBS team become bowl eligible. 

 

If there are fewer than 70 bowl eligible teams, the NCAA supposedly will allow teams with a losing record to earn bowl bids.  The last team with a losing record to earn a bowl bid was North Texas in 2001, but the Mean Green earned their bid by winning the Sunbelt Conference championship.  William and Mary won the Southern Conference title and earned the automatic bid to the Tangerine Bowl, even though they were just 5-6 overall.  SMU, at 4-6, was invited to the Sun Bowl in 1963.  Will it happen again in 2011?  Let’s look at the conference breakdown and count who we think will make it.

 

ACC

Atlantic

Clemson leads Florida State and Wake Forest by one full game.  The Tigers have already defeated the Seminoles, and if they defeat Wake Forest this weekend, they will wrap up a spot in the ACC Championship Game.  If the Demon Deacons win, then all three teams will be alive having gone 1-1 against each other.

 

Coastal

Virginia Tech leads Georgia Tech by a half-game and Virginia by a full game, and the Hokies must play both teams.  They face Georgia Tech in Atlanta on Thursday. 

 

Bowl Eligible (6)

Florida St., Clemson, Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, North Carolina, and Virginia

 

Bowl Probable (3)

North Carolina St., Wake Forest, and Miami need each need one more win and each have two winnable games left.

 

Big East

All eight teams are still in contention to be bowl eligible.  Cincinnati leads with a 3-0 conference record, while Louisville is a half game back at 3-1, losing to the Bearcats in October.  West Virginia, Pittsburgh, Rutgers, and Connecticut have two conference losses.

 

This race is a mess, and we believe that five of the eight teams will end up bowl eligible.  Throw in Notre Dame, since the Irish will not earn a BCS Bowl Bid, and you have six bowl eligibles.

 

Bowl Eligible (4)

Cincinnati, Notre Dame, West Virginia, and Rutgers

 

Bowl Probable (2)

Louisville and Syracuse

 

The Cardinals and the Orangemen both have five wins.  UL can win all three of their remaining games, so it should be a slam dunk for Coach Charlie Strong’s club.  Syracuse and South Florida square off at the Carrier Dome Friday night, and the loser will probably be eliminated.

 

We believe Pittsburgh and Connecticut will both fall a game short, but both still have legitimate shots at getting to six wins.  As for South Florida, the Bulls must win at Syracuse this week, or we believe they are out of the picture.

 

Big Ten

The first year of the 12-team Big Ten has been a disappointment as no teams are in contention for the big prize, and the Rose Bowl participant will more than likely have two or even three losses.

 

Bowl Eligible (8)

Wisconsin, Ohio St., Penn St., Illinois, Michigan St., Nebraska, Michigan, and Iowa

 

Bowl Probable (1)

Northwestern

 

Northwestern has four wins, but their next two games are at home against Rice and Minnesota.  We believe they will win both to become bowl eligible.

 

Purdue is 4-5.  They must upset either Ohio State or Iowa and then beat Indiana to become bowl eligible.  We do not see the Boilermakers becoming Spoilermakers this year.

 

Big 12

Oklahoma State has moved up to number two in the BCS Ratings, as they passed Alabama. We here at the PiRate Ratings still have Oklahoma rated a bit higher than Oklahoma State, but the Sooners’ have lost a key piece to their offense.  The big game OU-OSU game comes on December 3 in Stillwater at Boone Pickens Stadium.  Tickets for that game may be more expensive than a dozen barrels of oil.  The Cowboys get an extra week to prepare for the game, so all factors are on their side.  We think it will be a great game, but losing Ryan Broyles for the season will be a major blow for OU.  We call this game a tossup as of today.

 

Bowl Eligible (4)

Oklahoma St., Oklahoma, Kansas St., and Texas

 

Bowl Probable (3)

Texas A&M, Missouri, and Baylor

 

Texas A&M and Baylor need one more win, as does Iowa State and Texas Tech.  Missouri needs two more wins.

 

A&M has been a major disappointment, but the Aggies still have a home game with Kansas and should easily win that one to become bowl eligible.

 

Baylor plays at Kansas this week and faces Texas Tech at Cowboys Stadium on November 26.  The Bears will be in a bowl.

 

Missouri, just officially announced as the SEC’s 14th team beginning next season, has a home game with Texas Tech and a season-ender with Kansas at Arrowhead Stadium.

 

Texas Tech fell apart after upsetting Oklahoma.  The Red Raiders finish with Oklahoma State, Missouri, and Baylor, and unless they pull off another big upset, they will stay home in December.

 

Iowa State needs one more win, but the Cyclones finish with Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, and Kansas State.  The next big win in Ames may be won by Herman Cain, Mitt Romney, Ron Paul, or Newt Gingrich at the Iowa Caucuses.

 

Conference USA

Houston has a very slim chance to get to a BCS Bowl, if the Cougars go 13-0 in the regular season.  They need Boise State to lose a game so they can be the highest-rated non automatic qualifying champion in the BCS Rankings.  They need Tulsa to be 8-3 and Southern Miss to be 11-1 when they face and beat them to end the regular season and win the conference championship game.  Then, they will still need for a couple top 10 teams to drop into the second 10.  It’s possible, but not probable, because it is going to be hard for anybody to knock off Boise State.

 

Bowl Eligible (4)

Houston, Southern Mississippi, Tulsa, and SMU

 

Bowl Probable (1)

Marshall

 

There are four teams with four wins, needing two more to become bowl eligible. However, with their schedules, we only believe one will get to six victories.

 

UTEP closes with East Carolina, Tulsa, and Central Florida.  The Miners’ easiest game prior to last week was against Rice, and the lost to the Owls.

 

Central Florida closes with Southern Miss, East Carolina, and UTEP.  Only the UTEP game is at home, and we cannot see UCF winning either road game.

 

East Carolina has a decent chance with games against UTEP, UCF, and Marshall, but only the UCF game is in Greenville.

 

Marshall should lose at Tulsa this weekend, but the Thundering Herd benefits from playing Memphis the following week before hosting East Carolina the week after.  They have the best chance at emerging with six wins.

 

Independents

We have already included Notre Dame in the Big East list because the Irish do not appear to be headed to a BCS Bowl.  They would have to win at Stanford and still need a lot of help.

 

Bowl Eligible (1)

Brigham Young

 

Bowl Probable (0)

This will open the door for two at-large bowl berths. Neither Army nor Navy appear to be headed to bowl eligibility.  Both are 3-6, so one is guaranteed to lose a seventh game when they face off on December 10.

 

Navy has tough games at SMU and San Jose State before taking on Army.  The Midshipmen have beaten Army 11 straight times, and it could be Army’s year to end that streak.

 

Army closes with Rutgers and Temple before taking on Navy.

 

Mid-American

Here is another muddled conference where 10 different teams have a chance to make it to the championship game.

 

In the East, Miami of Ohio has won three games in a row after a 1-5 start to move into a tie for first with Ohio.  Temple is a half game back, while Bowling Green and Kent State are one game back.

 

In the West, Northern Illinois and Toledo are tied at 4-1 in league play, but the Huskies own the tiebreak over the Rockets after winning their epic match 63-60.  Ball State, Western Michigan, and even Eastern Michigan are still mathematically alive.

 

Bowl Eligible (3)

Ohio, Northern Illinois, and Ball State

 

Bowl Probable (5)

Toledo, Temple, Western Michigan, Eastern Michigan, and Bowling Green

 

As many as three of these probable teams could be 6-6 and would serve as the last line of teams available for at-large bids.

 

Mountain West

Boise State is number five in the BCS rankings, and the Broncos will need help from several other teams to make it to the National Championship Game.  Oklahoma State and Stanford must lose, and Alabama may have to lose again or LSU may have to lose.

 

The funny thing about the Broncos this year is that we feel this is their weakest team in the last four years!  Their run defense is not as forceful as it has been the last five years, and Boise will have a tough time winning out with TCU, San Diego State, and Wyoming still to play.

 

Bowl Eligible (2)

Boise State and TCU

 

Bowl Probable (3)

San Diego State, Wyoming, and Air Force

 

All three teams need just one more win for bowl eligibility, and all three have two patsies on their schedules.  So, all three should have at least seven wins, and one team should get to eight.

 

However, with Boise State likely headed to a BCS Bowl (not the National Championship Game), the MWC will need six bowl eligible teams and will come up one short.

 

Pac-12

Stanford still has national title aspirations, and they will need to beat Oregon handily this week and then close with convincing wins over Cal and Notre Dame.  If the Cardinal can beat the Ducks by two touchdowns, it will at least establish a comparison with LSU.  LSU beat Oregon by 13 in the season opener.  Remember, Stanford has been hit hard by injuries to their receiving corps, while Oregon is coming into their Saturday game near full strength.

 

Bowl Eligible (4)

Stanford, Oregon, Washington, and Arizona State

 

Bowl Probable (3)

Utah, UCLA, and California

 

These three teams each need one more win to get to six and all three have really good shots at doing so.

 

Utah’s schedule gives them a chance to win out.  The Utes host UCLA, then go to fast-falling Washington State, before closing at home against Colorado.

 

UCLA has a home game with Colorado, and that alone will get them to six victories.  Road games at Utah and USC do not look promising, but if they win both, they will play in the inaugural Pac-12 Championship Game.

 

California should become bowl eligible this weekend when they host Oregon State.

 

Southeastern

11 of the 12 teams are still alive in the bowl eligibility race, and at least nine teams will get there.  The big news is that Alabama stayed in second place in the BCS rankings.  If they win out, they will be in the National Championship Game.

 

LSU has a tough home game with Arkansas, but the Tigers should run the table and meet Alabama in New Orleans for the National Championship.

 

Bowl Eligible (6)

LSU, Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Georgia, and South Carolina

 

Bowl Probable (3)

Florida, Mississippi State, and Tennessee

 

Florida needs one more win and has a game with Furman, so the Gators are in.

 

Mississippi State needs one more win and should get it in the Egg Bowl against Ole Miss.

 

Tennessee, Kentucky, and Vanderbilt are 4-5 and need two more wins.  All three must play the other two and all three will probably lose their other game, which in all three cases come on the road against teams with winning records.  Because Tennessee has a long history of beating the other two, we will go with the Volunteers to beat Vanderbilt and Kentucky and become the ninth bowl eligible SEC team.

 

If both LSU and Alabama advance to the title game, the SEC will need 11 bowl eligible teams, so there could be two and even three at-large spots available for other teams.  If Oklahoma beats Oklahoma State, then the Tide and Tigers could play again.

 

Sunbelt

No SBC team has won 10 regular season games, but it could happen this year.  If Arkansas State defeats Louisiana (UL-Lafayette for those that do not realize the Ragin’ Cajuns call themselves “the University of Louisiana” these days), the Red Wolves will win out and go 10-2.

 

This league has benefitted from the at-large bowl bid in recent years, and it should be another season of getting at least one extra team in a bowl.

 

Bowl Eligible (2)

Arkansas State and U. of Louisiana

 

Bowl Probable (2)

Florida International and Western Kentucky

 

After starting 0-4, Western Kentucky has reeled off five straight wins, but that streak will come to a crashing halt this week.  The Hilltoppers play at LSU.

 

WAC

Two thirds through the season, no WAC team has become bowl eligible as of yet.  This league has four bowl allotments, and only three teams have five wins (no other team has even four yet).  To make matters worse, some teams will need seven wins to become eligible, because they play 13 regular season games.

 

Bowl Eligible (0)

 

Bowl Probable (4)

Nevada, Hawaii, Louisiana Tech, and Utah State

 

Nevada and Louisiana Tech face off in Reno on November 19, and the winner of that game will be the conference champion, while the loser will still become bowl eligible.

 

Hawaii has home games with an subpar Fresno State team and an inept Tulane team, so the Warriors will get their needed seven wins.

 

Utah State is a stretch, but we believe the Aggies have what it takes to win out including pulling off an upset over Nevada in Logan a week after the Wolf Pack beats Louisiana Tech.

 

Total Bowl Eligible as of November 7, 2011—44

 

Total Bowl Probable as of November 7, 2011—30

 

As of today, we see about 74 bowl eligible teams fighting for 70 bowl spots.  See our bowl possibilities at the end of this post.

 

Here is this week’s list of teams ranked from 1 to 120.

 

#

Team

PiRate

1

L S U

137.3

2

Alabama

136.9

3

Stanford

133.7

4

Oklahoma

131.5

5

Oregon

128.7

6

Oklahoma St.

127.4

7

Wisconsin

124.6

8

Florida St.

124.0

9

Boise St.

123.8

10

Southern Cal

122.2

11

TexasA&M

121.3

12

Notre Dame

119.4

13

Arkansas

118.1

14

Texas

117.1

15

Arizona St.

116.8

16

Missouri

115.8

17

Clemson

115.7

18

Georgia 

115.2

19

Nebraska

115.0

20

S. Carolina

114.6

21

Michigan

114.5

22

Michigan St.

114.1

23

Florida 

112.6

24

Washington

112.5

25

Houston

112.4

26

T C U

111.9

27

Utah

111.7

28

Virginia Tech

111.6

29

Miami(FL)

111.1

30

Kansas St.

110.3

31

Mississippi St.

110.0

32

Cincinnati

109.7

33

Ohio St.

109.6

34

Baylor

108.3

35

California

108.2

36

Southern Miss.

107.8

37

Georgia Tech

107.4

38

Auburn

107.4

39

Penn St.

107.0

40

U C L A

106.8

41

Vanderbilt

106.5

42

Iowa

106.0

43

W. Virginia

106.0

44

Arizona

106.0

45

Nevada

105.9

46

Tulsa

105.8

47

B Y U

105.5

48

Tennessee

104.4

49

Pittsburgh

103.8

50

Oregon St.

103.4

51

TexasTech

103.2

52

Northwestern

103.2

53

N. Carolina

103.2

54

Virginia

103.0

55

N. Carolina St.

102.5

56

Illinois

102.4

57

WakeForest

101.8

58

S. Florida

101.2

59

Air Force

100.8

60

Louisville

100.7

61

Utah St.

99.9

62

Washington St.

99.8

63

LouisianaTech

99.6

64

Toledo

99.0

65

Rutgers

98.9

66

San Diego St.

98.7

67

Iowa St.

98.2

68

BostonColl.

98.1

69

Temple

98.0

70

Purdue

97.5

71

Hawaii

96.9

72

S M U

96.5

73

Duke

96.3

74

Central Florida

96.1

75

Connecticut

95.3

76

Northern Illinois

95.0

77

Navy

94.4

78

Ole Miss

93.9

79

Minnesota

93.8

80

Maryland

93.6

81

Arkansas St.

93.0

82

Syracuse

93.0

83

Kentucky

92.8

84

Western Michigan

92.3

85

Wyoming

92.2

86

Colorado

92.0

87

East Carolina

91.7

88

Fresno St.

91.0

89

San Jose St.

90.9

90

Miami(O)

90.4

91

Marshall

88.3

92

OhioU

88.2

93

Kansas

88.0

94

U T E P

86.7

95

Idaho

86.7

96

Army

85.9

97

FloridaInt’l

85.8

98

UL-Lafayette

84.9

99

Bowling Green

84.7

100

WesternKy.

84.5

101

New Mexico St.

84.2

102

Rice

84.2

103

UL-Monroe

83.6

104

Indiana

83.2

105

Colorado St.

82.9

106

Ball St.

82.2

107

U N L V

82.2

108

Eastern Michigan

80.2

109

North Texas

79.6

110

Central Michigan

78.4

111

U A B

78.4

112

Kent St.

78.3

113

Troy

76.3

114

MiddleTennessee

76.2

115

Buffalo

73.5

116

Tulane

69.7

117

Akron

67.7

118

New Mexico

67.4

119

Memphis

66.9

120

FloridaAtlantic

65.6

 

The PiRate Ratings By Conference

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

FloridaState

4-2

6-3

124.0

Clemson

5-1

8-1

115.7

North CarolinaState

2-3

5-4

102.5

WakeForest

4-2

5-4

101.8

BostonCollege

1-5

2-7

98.1

Maryland

1-5

2-7

93.6

       
Coastal Division

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Virginia Tech

4-1

8-1

111.6

Miami-FL

3-3

5-4

111.1

Georgia Tech

4-2

7-2

107.4

North Carolina

2-4

6-4

103.2

Virginia

3-2

6-3

103.0

Duke

1-4

3-6

96.3

 

 

Big East Conference

 

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Cincinnati

3-0

7-1

109.7

West Virginia

2-2

6-3

106.0

Pittsburgh

2-2

4-5

103.8

South Florida

0-4

4-4

101.2

Louisville

3-1

5-4

100.7

Rutgers

3-2

6-3

98.9

Connecticut

2-2

4-5

95.3

Syracuse

1-3

5-4

93.0

 

 

Big Ten

       
Leaders Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Wisconsin

3-2

7-2

124.6

OhioState

3-2

6-3

109.6

PennState

5-0

8-1

107.0

Illinois

2-3

6-3

102.4

Purdue

2-3

4-5

97.5

Indiana

0-6

1-9

83.2

       
Legends Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Nebraska

3-2

7-2

115.0

Michigan

3-2

7-2

114.5

MichiganState

4-1

7-2

114.1

Iowa

3-2

6-3

106.0

Northwestern

2-4

4-5

103.2

Minnesota

1-4

2-7

93.8

 

 

Big 12

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Oklahoma

5-1

8-1

131.5

OklahomaState

6-0

9-0

127.4

TexasA&M

3-3

5-4

121.3

Texas

3-2

6-2

117.1

Missouri

2-4

4-5

115.8

KansasState

4-2

7-2

110.3

Baylor

2-3

5-3

108.3

TexasTech

2-4

5-4

103.2

IowaState

2-4

5-4

98.2

Kansas

0-6

2-7

88.0

 

 

Conference USA

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Southern Mississippi

4-1

8-1

107.8

Central Florida

2-3

4-5

96.1

East Carolina

3-2

4-5

91.7

Marshall

3-2

4-5

88.3

U A B

1-5

1-8

78.4

Memphis

1-3

2-7

66.9

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Houston

5-0

9-0

112.4

Tulsa

5-0

6-3

105.8

S M U

4-2

6-3

96.5

U T E P

1-4

4-5

86.7

Rice

2-4

3-6

84.2

Tulane

1-5

2-8

69.7

 

 

Independents

       
Team

 

Overall

Rating

Notre Dame  

6-3

119.4

B Y U  

6-3

105.5

Navy  

3-6

94.4

Army  

3-6

85.9

 

 

Mid American Conference

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Temple

3-3

5-4

98.0

Miami(O)

3-2

4-5

90.4

OhioU

3-2

6-3

88.2

Bowling Green

2-3

4-5

84.7

Kent St.

2-3

3-6

78.3

Buffalo

1-4

2-7

73.5

Akron

0-5

1-8

67.7

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Toledo

4-1

5-4

99.0

Northern Illinois

4-1

6-3

95.0

Western Michigan

3-2

5-4

92.3

BallState

4-2

6-4

82.2

Eastern Michigan

3-2

5-4

80.2

Central Michigan

2-4

3-7

78.4

 

 

Mountain West Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

BoiseState

3-0

8-0

123.8

T C U

4-0

7-2

111.9

Air Force

1-3

5-4

100.8

San DiegoState

2-2

5-3

98.7

Wyoming

2-1

5-3

92.2

ColoradoState

1-2

3-5

82.9

UNLV

1-2

2-6

82.2

New Mexico

0-4

0-9

67.4

 

 

Pac-12 Conference

       
North Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Stanford

7-0

9-0

133.7

Oregon

6-0

8-1

128.7

Washington

4-2

6-3

112.5

California

2-4

5-4

108.2

OregonState

2-4

2-7

103.4

WashingtonState

1-5

3-6

99.8

       
South Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

U S C

4-2

7-2

122.2

ArizonaState

4-2

6-3

116.8

Utah

2-4

5-4

111.7

U C L A

4-2

5-4

106.8

Arizona

1-5

2-7

106.0

Colorado

0-6

1-9

92.0

 

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Georgia

5-1

7-2

115.2

South Carolina

5-2

7-2

114.6

Florida

3-4

5-4

112.6

Vanderbilt

1-5

4-5

106.5

Tennessee

0-5

4-5

104.4

Kentucky

1-4

4-5

92.8

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

L S U

6-0

9-0

137.3

Alabama

5-1

8-1

136.9

Arkansas

4-1

8-1

118.1

MississippiState

1-4

5-4

110.0

Auburn

4-2

6-3

107.4

Ole Miss

0-6

2-7

93.9

 

 

Sunbelt Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

ArkansasState

5-0

7-2

93.0

FloridaInternational

2-3

5-4

85.8

U.ofLouisiana

6-1

8-2

84.9

Western Kentucky

5-1

5-4

84.5

Louisiana-Monroe

1-4

2-7

83.6

North Texas

2-3

3-6

79.6

Troy

1-3

2-6

76.3

MiddleTennessee

1-3

2-6

76.2

FloridaAtlantic

0-5

0-8

65.6

 

 

Western Athletic Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Nevada

3-0

5-3

105.9

UtahState

1-2

3-5

99.9

LouisianaTech

4-1

5-4

99.6

Hawaii

3-2

5-4

96.9

FresnoState

2-2

3-6

91.0

San JoseState

2-3

3-6

90.9

New MexicoState

1-3

3-6

84.2

Idaho

1-4

2-7

86.7

 

 

Here are the PiRate spreads for this week’s games.

 

This Week’s Games–PiRate Ratings

   

 

 

 

Tuesday, November 1  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

TOLEDO Western Michigan

9.7

38-28

10   

Northern Illinois BOWLING GREEN

7.3

35-28

7   

   

 

 

 

Wednesday, November 2  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

TEMPLE Miami (O)

10.1

27-17

13   

   

 

 

 

Thursday, November 3  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

Ohio U CENTRAL MICHIGAN

7.3

27-20

5   

Houston TULANE

40.2

50-10

33   

Virginia Tech GEORGIA TECH

1.2

26-25

-1   

   

 

 

 

Friday, November 4  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

South Florida SYRACUSE

4.7

28-23

4   

   

 

 

 

Saturday, November 5  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

Pittsburgh LOUISVILLE

0.1

27-27 to ot

-3   

Ohio St. PURDUE

9.1

35-26

8   

Michigan ILLINOIS

9.1

30-21

3   

NORTHWESTERN Rice

22.0

45-23

15 1/2

VANDERBILT Kentucky

16.2

35-19

13   

CLEMSON Wake Forest

16.9

34-17

19 1/2

VIRGINIA Duke

9.7

34-24

8 1/2

North Carolina St. BOSTON COLLEGE

1.4

17-16

2   

EASTERN MICHIGAN Buffalo

9.2

33-24

2 1/2

Texas A&M KANSAS ST.

8.0

42-34

3   

Kent St. AKRON

8.1

28-20

6 1/2

Baylor KANSAS

17.3

38-21

17 1/2

AIR FORCE Wyoming

11.6

33-21

14   

B Y U Idaho

22.3

38-16

19 1/2

S M U Navy

5.1

35-30

6 1/2

UTAH ST. San Jose St.

12.0

38-26

11   

TULSA Marshall

20.5

38-17

16   

BOISE ST. T c u

14.9

38-23

15 1/2

FLORIDA ST. Miami (Fla)

15.4

31-16

10   

CINCINNATI West Virginia

6.7

31-24

3 1/2

Rutgers  (n) Army

13.0

27-12

8 1/2

MISSOURI Texas

1.7

38-36

-1 1/2

Nebraska PENN ST.

4.5

26-21

3   

Oklahoma St. TEXAS TECH

21.2

49-28

18   

Michigan St. IOWA

5.1

21-16

3   

ARKANSAS Tennessee

16.7

27-10

NL

SOUTH CAROLINA Florida

5.0

24-19

NL

SOUTHERN CAL Washington

13.2

34-21

13 1/2

GEORGIA Auburn

10.3

31-21

12 1/2

CALIFORNIA Oregon St.

7.8

28-20

9 1/2

STANFORD Oregon

8.0

38-30

3   

NEVADA Hawaii

12.5

34-21

10   

U a b MEMPHIS

9.0

23-14

7 1/2

San Diego St. COLORADO ST.

13.3

30-17

14 1/2

Alabama MISSISSIPPI ST.

23.9

34-10

18 1/2

Arizona St. WASHINGTON ST.

14.0

35-21

12 1/2

Louisiana Tech OLE MISS

2.7

27-24

-1   

Wisconsin MINNESOTA

27.8

49-21

28 1/2

Notre Dame  (n) Maryland

24.8

38-13

19   

Fresno St. NEW MEXICO ST.

4.3

31-27

NL

UTAH U c l a

7.9

27-19

7 1/2

SOUTHERN MISS. Central Florida

14.7

35-20

10   

East Carolina U T E P

2.5

31-28

-3 1/2

Arizona COLORADO

11.0

28-17

13 1/2

U n l v NEW MEXICO

12.3

28-16

8 1/2

ARKANSAS ST. Louisiana-Lafayette

11.1

38-27

9 1/2

North Texas TROY

0.8

27-26

NL

LOUISIANA-MONROE Middle Tennessee

11.2

28-17

5 1/2

FLORIDA INT’L Florida Atlantic

22.7

33-10

18 1/2

L S U Western Kentucky

56.3

56-0

41   

 

 

Bowl Speculation

(Team) means at-large selection.  The MAC and Sunbelt Get Them All!

 

Bowl

Conference

Conference

Team

Team

New Mexico

MWC # 5

Pac12 #7 / WAC

(Toledo)

Louisiana Tech

Famous Idaho Potato

MWC #2 or 4

WAC

Wyoming

Nevada

New Orleans

Sunbelt #1

C-USA

Arkansas St.

(Ball St.)

Beef O’Brady’s

Big East #6

C-USA

Syracuse

Marshall

Poinsettia

MWC #2 or 4

WAC

San Diego St.

Utah St.

MAACO

MWC #1

Pac 12 #5

T C U

U C L A

Hawaii

WAC

C-USA

Hawaii

Southern Miss.

Independence

ACC #7

MWC #3

Miami (Fl)

Air Force

Little Caesar’s Pizza

Big 10 #8

MAC #2

Illinois

Ohio U

Belk

ACC #5

Big East #3

North Carolina

West Virginia

Military

ACC #8

Navy

Virginia

(Temple)

Holiday

Pac 12 #3

Big 12 #5

Utah

Missouri

Champs Sports

Big East #2

ACC #3

Notre Dame

Clemson

Alamo

Big 12 #3

Pac 10 #2

Kansas St.

Arizona St.

Armed Forces

C-USA #3

B Y U

Tulsa

B Y U

Pinstripe

Big East #4

Big 12 #7

Rutgers

(Florida Int’l)

Music City

SEC # 7

ACC #6

Tennessee

North Carolina St.

Insight

Big 12 #4

Big 10 #4 or 5

Texas A&M

Ohio St.

Meineke Car Care of Texas

Big 12 #6

Big 10 #6

Baylor

Michigan

Sun

ACC #4

Pac 12 #4

Virginia Tech

Washington

Kraft Fight Hunger

Pac 10 #6

Army/ACC

California

Wake Forest

Liberty

SEC#8-9/BigEast

C-USA #1

Mississippi St.

Houston

Chick-fil-A

SEC #5

ACC #2

Auburn

Florida State

TicketCity

Big 10 #7

C-USA

Iowa

S M U

Capital One

Big 10 #2

SEC #2

Wisconsin

Georgia

Gator

Big 10 #4 or 5

SEC #6

Nebraska

Florida

Outback

SEC #3 or 4

Big 10 #3

South Carolina

Michigan St.

Rose

BCS Pac12

BCS Big 10

Stanford

Penn St.

Fiesta

BCS Big 12

BCS At-Large

Oklahoma

Oregon

Sugar

BCS SEC

BCS At-Large

Alabama

Boise St.

Orange

BCS ACC

BCS At-Large

Georgia Tech

Cincinnati

Cotton

Big 12 #2

SEC #3 or 4

Texas

Arkansas

BBVA Compass

Big East#5/CUSA

SEC #8 or 9

Louisville

(Western Ky.)

GoDaddy.com

Sunbelt # 2

MAC #1

Louisiana-Laf.

Northern Illinois

National Championship

*** BCS #1 ***

*** BCS #2 ***

L S U

Oklahoma St.

 

 

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