The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 31, 2011

PiRate Ratings: College Football for November 1-5, 2011

Filed under: Uncategorized — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:57 am

1 vs. 2

Are you ready for the newest Game of the Century?  Here is a breakdown of this special game.

 

L S U (5-0 SEC  8-0 Overall #1 in nation) vs. Alabama (5-0 SEC  8-0 Overall #2 in Nation)

 

Site: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL  Capacity: 101,820

 

Television: Saturday, November 5, 2011 CBS 8:00 PM EDT

 

L S U

Oregon (N)                 40-27

Northwestern St.       49-  3

@ Mississippi St.        19-  6

@ West Virginia        47-21

Kentucky                    35-  7

Florida                        41-11

@ Tennessee              38-  7

Auburn                      45-10

 

Stat Box

Stat                             LSU                Opp

Pts                               39.3                 11.5

FD                               20.8                 14.5

Rushing                      189.0               76.6

Rush Avg.                  4.3                   2.5

Real Rush *               194.1               92.3

Real Rush Avg. *      4.5                   3.3

Passing Yds.               183.1               174.8

Pass Yds/Att.             8.3                   5.4

Real Passing Yds. *   178.0               159.1

QB Sacks Allowed     7-41                 19-125

Interception %          0.6                   4.3

Total Offense             372.1               251.4

Punts                          43.9/Net 41.1 

PAT                            38-40

FG                               10-12 (44 LG)

Kick Return               23.8                 19.8

Punt Return               8.0                   0.6

TO Margin                 +15

Red Zone total           39                    16

RZ TD                        31                      9

RZ FG                          7                      6

 

* Using NFL rules where sacks count against passing yardage

Alabama

Kent St.                      48-  7

@ Penn St.                 27-11

North Texas               41-  0

Arkansas                    38-14

@ Florida                   38-10

Vanderbilt                  34-  0

@ Ole Miss                 52-  7

Tennessee                   37-  6

 

Stat Box

Stat                             Ala                  Opp

Pts                               39.4                   6.9

FD                               21.9                   9.9

Rushing                      229.3               44.9

Rush Avg.                  5.8                   1.7

Real Rush *               238.3               59.8

Real Rush Avg. *      6.3                   2.4

Passing Yds.               228.4               135.6

Pass Yds/Att.             8.0                   4.5

Real Passing Yds. *   219.4               120.8

QB Sacks Allowed     12-72               17-119

Interception %          2.2                   3.7

Total Offense             457.6               180.5

Punts                          39.0/36.4 Net 

PAT                            39-40

FG                               12-16 (45 LG)

Kick Return               23.5

Punt Return               12.7

TO Margin                 +6

Red Zone total           41                    9

RZ TD                        24                    5

RZ FG                        11                    1

 

* Using NFL rules where sacks count against passing yardage

 

 

PiRate Ratings

Alabama                     138.1  #1

L S U                          136.1  #2

 

Alabama Home-field Advantage for this game: 3 pts

 

PiRate Spread           Alabama 5.0

PiRate Score              Alabama 21  L S U 16

 

100 Computer Simulations

Wins: Alabama 54  L S U 46

Avg. Score: Alabama 18.76  L S U 16.36

Outlier A: Alabama 31  L S U 10

Outlier B: L S U 24  Alabama 10

Average Spread: 7.48 points

Spread Deviation: 4.64

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#

Team

PiRate

1

Alabama

138.1

2

L S U

136.1

3

Stanford

134.0

4

Oklahoma

132.0

5

Oklahoma St.

130.6

6

Oregon

128.1

7

Boise St.

126.9

8

Southern Cal

122.4

9

Florida St.

122.4

10

Notre Dame

122.1

11

Wisconsin

121.8

12

TexasA&M

120.8

13

Arizona St.

119.1

14

Missouri

118.6

15

Nebraska

118.5

16

Michigan

117.1

17

S. Carolina

116.9

18

Arkansas

116.5

19

Michigan St.

116.3

20

Clemson

115.7

21

Texas

114.3

22

Georgia 

113.9

23

Ohio St.

113.4

24

Washington

113.1

25

Florida 

112.9

26

T C U

112.1

27

Virginia Tech

111.6

28

Houston

109.6

29

Cincinnati

109.5

30

Mississippi St.

109.5

31

W. Virginia

109.3

32

Utah

109.2

33

Miami(FL)

108.9

34

Arizona

108.3

35

Southern Miss.

107.5

36

Auburn

107.4

37

Georgia Tech

107.4

38

Penn St.

107.0

39

Kansas St.

106.8

40

TexasTech

106.3

41

Nevada

105.9

42

Vanderbilt

105.9

43

N. Carolina

105.8

44

Tulsa

105.7

45

Baylor

105.5

46

B Y U

105.5

47

California

105.4

48

Tennessee

105.1

49

U C L A

104.2

50

Pittsburgh

104.0

51

Iowa

103.7

52

Oregon St.

103.1

53

Air Force

102.6

54

Illinois

102.4

55

Washington St.

102.3

56

S. Florida

101.3

57

Iowa St.

101.0

58

Purdue

100.6

59

Toledo

100.6

60

Temple

100.3

61

Northwestern

100.0

62

BostonColl.

99.7

63

Virginia

99.5

64

WakeForest

99.4

65

N. Carolina St.

99.4

66

San Diego St.

99.3

67

Rutgers

98.8

68

Duke

98.7

69

Utah St.

98.7

70

Hawaii

98.4

71

Louisville

97.7

72

S M U

97.5

73

Ole Miss

97.0

74

Maryland

96.8

75

LouisianaTech

96.4

76

Central Florida

96.2

77

Syracuse

94.3

78

Connecticut

94.3

79

Arkansas St.

93.8

80

Fresno St.

93.7

81

Northern Illinois

93.4

82

San Jose St.

93.4

83

Western Michigan

92.3

84

Wyoming

92.0

85

East Carolina

92.0

86

Navy

91.8

87

Colorado

91.8

88

Minnesota

90.1

89

Kentucky

90.0

90

Miami(O)

89.3

91

Marshall

88.3

92

U T E P

87.5

93

FloridaInt’l

86.0

94

OhioU

85.9

95

New Mexico St.

85.5

96

UL-Lafayette

85.2

97

Kansas

85.2

98

Bowling Green

84.7

99

Army

84.6

100

WesternKy.

84.3

101

Idaho

84.2

102

Rice

83.4

103

UL-Monroe

83.3

104

Colorado St.

82.9

105

Ball St.

81.5

106

U A B

81.2

107

Eastern Michigan

80.9

108

Indiana

80.4

109

North Texas

79.6

110

U N L V

79.4

111

Troy

78.9

112

Central Michigan

78.7

113

Kent St.

78.0

114

MiddleTennessee

75.5

115

Buffalo

73.5

116

Tulane

69.2

117

Akron

68.8

118

Memphis

66.9

119

New Mexico

66.8

120

FloridaAtlantic

64.8

 

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

FloridaState

3-2

5-3

122.4

Clemson

5-1

8-1

115.7

BostonCollege

1-4

2-6

99.7

WakeForest

4-2

5-3

99.4

North CarolinaState

1-3

4-4

99.4

Maryland

1-4

2-6

96.8

       
Coastal Division

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Virginia Tech

4-1

8-1

111.6

Miami-FL

2-3

4-4

108.9

Georgia Tech

4-2

7-2

107.4

North Carolina

2-3

6-3

105.8

Virginia

2-2

5-3

99.5

Duke

1-3

3-5

98.7

 

Big East Conference

 

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Cincinnati

2-0

6-1

109.5

West Virginia

2-1

6-2

109.3

Pittsburgh

2-1

4-4

104.0

South Florida

0-3

4-3

101.3

Rutgers

2-2

5-3

98.8

Louisville

2-1

4-4

97.7

Syracuse

1-2

5-3

94.3

Connecticut

1-2

3-5

94.3

 

Big Ten

       
Leaders Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Wisconsin

2-2

6-2

121.8

OhioState

2-2

5-3

113.4

PennState

5-0

8-1

107.0

Illinois

2-3

6-3

102.4

Purdue

2-2

4-4

100.6

Indiana

0-5

1-8

80.4

       
Legends Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Nebraska

3-1

7-1

118.5

Michigan

3-1

7-1

117.1

MichiganState

3-1

6-2

116.3

Iowa

2-2

5-3

103.7

Northwestern

1-4

3-5

100.0

Minnesota

1-3

2-6

90.1

 

Big 12

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Oklahoma

4-1

7-1

132.0

OklahomaState

5-0

8-0

130.6

TexasA&M

3-2

5-3

120.8

Missouri

2-3

4-4

118.6

Texas

2-2

5-2

114.3

KansasState

4-1

7-1

106.8

TexasTech

2-3

5-3

106.3

Baylor

1-3

4-3

105.5

IowaState

1-4

4-4

101.0

Kansas

0-5

2-6

85.2

 

Conference USA

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Southern Mississippi

3-1

7-1

107.5

Central Florida

2-2

4-4

96.2

East Carolina

3-1

4-4

92.0

Marshall

3-2

4-5

88.3

U A B

1-4

1-7

81.2

Memphis

1-3

2-7

66.9

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Houston

4-0

8-0

109.6

Tulsa

4-0

5-3

105.7

S M U

3-2

5-3

97.5

U T E P

1-3

4-4

87.5

Rice

1-4

2-6

83.4

Tulane

1-4

2-7

69.2

 

Independents

       
Team

 

Overall

Rating

Notre Dame  

5-3

122.1

B Y U  

6-3

105.5

Navy  

2-6

91.8

Army  

3-5

84.6

 

Mid American Conference

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Temple

3-2

5-3

100.3

Miami(O)

2-2

3-5

89.3

OhioU

2-2

5-3

85.9

Bowling Green

2-3

4-5

84.7

Kent St.

1-3

2-6

78.0

Buffalo

1-4

2-7

73.5

Akron

0-4

1-7

68.8

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Toledo

4-0

5-3

100.6

Northern Illinois

3-1

5-3

93.4

Western Michigan

3-2

5-4

92.3

BallState

3-2

5-4

81.5

Eastern Michigan

3-1

5-3

80.9

Central Michigan

2-3

3-6

78.7

 

Mountain West Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

BoiseState

2-0

7-0

126.9

T C U

3-0

6-2

112.1

Air Force

1-3

4-4

102.6

San DiegoState

1-2

4-3

99.3

Wyoming

2-0

5-2

92.0

ColoradoState

1-2

3-5

82.9

UNLV

1-1

2-5

79.4

New Mexico

0-3

0-8

66.8

 

Pac-12 Conference

       
North Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Stanford

6-0

8-0

134.0

Oregon

5-0

7-1

128.1

Washington

4-1

6-2

113.1

California

1-4

4-4

105.4

OregonState

2-3

2-6

103.1

WashingtonState

1-4

3-5

102.3

       
South Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

U S C

3-2

6-2

122.4

ArizonaState

4-1

6-2

119.1

Utah

1-4

4-4

109.2

Arizona

1-4

2-6

108.3

U C L A

3-2

4-4

104.2

Colorado

0-5

1-8

91.8

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

South Carolina

5-1

7-1

116.9

Georgia

5-1

6-2

113.9

Florida

2-4

4-4

112.9

Vanderbilt

1-4

4-4

105.9

Tennessee

0-5

3-5

105.1

Kentucky

0-4

3-5

90.0

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Alabama

5-0

8-0

138.1

L S U

5-0

8-0

136.1

Arkansas

3-1

7-1

116.5

MississippiState

1-4

4-4

109.5

Auburn

4-2

6-3

107.4

Ole Miss

0-5

2-6

97.0

 

Sunbelt Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

ArkansasState

4-0

6-2

93.8

FloridaInternational

2-2

5-3

86.0

U.ofLouisiana

5-1

7-2

85.2

Western Kentucky

4-1

4-4

84.3

Louisiana-Monroe

1-3

2-6

83.3

North Texas

2-3

3-6

79.6

Troy

1-3

2-5

78.9

MiddleTennessee

1-3

2-5

75.5

FloridaAtlantic

0-4

0-7

64.8

 

Western Athletic Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Nevada

3-0

5-3

105.9

UtahState

0-2

2-5

98.7

Hawaii

3-1

5-3

98.4

LouisianaTech

3-1

4-4

96.4

FresnoState

2-1

3-5

93.7

San JoseState

2-2

3-5

93.4

New MexicoState

1-3

3-5

85.5

Idaho

0-4

1-7

84.2

 

 

This Week’s PiRate Spreads

This Week’s Games–PiRate Ratings

   

 

 

 

Tuesday, November 1  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

TOLEDO Northern Illinois

10.2

38-28

7   

   

 

 

 

Wednesday, November 2  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

Temple OHIOU

11.4

28-17

5   

   

 

 

 

Thursday, November 3  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

MIAMI(O) Akron

23.0

35-12

16 1/2

Florida St. BOSTONCOLLEGE

19.7

34-14

14 1/2

Tulsa CENTRAL FLORIDA

6.5

34-27

-3   

   

 

 

 

Friday, November 4  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

KENT ST. Central Michigan

1.8

23-21

-1   

Southern Cal COLORADO

27.6

41-13

22   

   

 

 

 

Saturday, November 5  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

WEST VIRGINIA Louisville

14.6

35-20

14   

EASTERN MICHIGAN Ball St.

1.9

26-24

-3 1/2

Ole Miss KENTUCKY

4.0

24-20

2 1/2

GEORGIA New Mexico St.

32.9

47-14

37   

RUTGERS South Florida

0.5

28-27

-1   

Virginia MARYLAND

0.2

26-26 to ot

-2 1/2

CONNECTICUT Syracuse

2.5

24-21

3 1/2

MIAMI(FL) Duke

13.2

30-17

16 1/2

MICHIGAN ST. Minnesota

29.2

42-13

28   

WISCONSIN Purdue

24.2

41-17

26 1/2

OHIO ST. Indiana

36.0

42-6

29   

FLORIDA Vanderbilt

10.5

27-16

11   

IOWA ST. Kansas

18.8

35-16

13 1/2

NEBRASKA Northwestern

22.5

44-21

19   

T c u WYOMING

17.1

38-21

20   

S M U Tulane

31.3

41-10

25   

AIR FORCE Army

21.0

42-21

14 1/2

Michigan IOWA

9.9

31-21

3 1/2

TEXAS TexasTech

11.0

31-20

10   

OKLAHOMA TexasA&M

14.7

41-26

16 1/2

ARKANSAS South Carolina

2.6

27-24

4 1/2

North Carolina NORTH CAROLINA ST.

3.9

27-23

3 1/2

ALABAMA L s u

5.0

21-16

4 1/2

Oregon WASHINGTON

12.0

40-28

16 1/2

Arizona St. U C L A

11.9

35-23

13 1/2

CALIFORNIA Washington St.

6.1

34-28

9 1/2

Notre Dame WAKEFOREST

20.2

37-17

14   

Southern Miss. EAST CAROLINA

12.5

41-28

9 1/2

SAN JOSE ST. Idaho

12.2

35-23

6   

ARIZONA Utah

2.1

24-22

1 1/2

Stanford OREGON ST.

27.9

49-21

21   

OKLAHOMA ST. Kansas St.

27.3

44-17

21 1/2

Missouri BAYLOR

10.1

38-28

1   

Houston U A B

25.9

50-24

24   

Cincinnati PITTSBURGH

2.5

24-21

3   

SAN DIEGO ST. New Mexico

35.5

49-13

37   

U t e p RICE

1.6

28-26

1 1/2

FRESNO ST. LouisianaTech

1.3

28-27

4   

Boise St. U N L V

44.5

59-14

41   

HAWAII Utah St.

3.7

31-27

9   

NAVY Troy

15.9

42-26

5   

UL-LAFAYETTE UL-Monroe

4.4

28-24

3 1/2

WESTERN KENTUCKY FloridaInternational

0.8

28-27

-3   

TENNESSEE MiddleTennessee

32.6

42-9

18   

Arkansas St. FLORIDAATLANTIC

26.5

37-10

16   

 

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