The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 28, 2011

PiRate Picks For College And Pro Football–October 29-31, 2011

A Big Ouch

‘Nuf Ced, McGreevey.  In other words, the final word has been spoken about last week’s results—a big ouch.

 

It’s time to get off the carpet, dust ourselves off and start a new winning streak.  We’re going back to our long-time trusted friend, the 13-point teaser.  We’ll go with seven different parlays this week, four college teasers and three NFL teasers.

 

1. 13-point Teaser

Purdue +26 ½ Michigan

Syracuse +16 Louisville

Missouri +23 ½ vs. Texas A&M

U C L A +18 vs. California

 

Purdue is on a roll and has enough offense and defense to keep it close against Michigan at the Big House.  The Boilermakers should keep this game close and even have a chance to win it.  Michigan has to prove it can throw the ball and stop the pass before they can blow out a decent opponent like Purdue.  We’ll call this a 31-21 game.

 

Syracuse is due for a big letdown this week, but we cannot see Louisville beating them by 16.  This game will be competitive and could go down to the final horn and we cannot fathom the Cardinals winning by 16 points.

 

Texas A&M is just not clicking on all cylinders this year.  Their defense cannot play four quality quarters, and their offense suffers when their defense cannot get off the field.  Missouri is plodding through a year where they are going to earn a minor bowl bid and consider it a success after losing an all-time great quarterback to the NFL.  In this pre-SEC contest between these schools, we believe MU will challenge for the upset, and even if they come up short, they will not lose by 20+ points.

 

UCLA is behind the eight-ball, and Rick Neuheisel is on a hot seat in Westwood.  After the debacle at Arizona, the Bruins will play their best game of the year against a second-rate Cal team.  Look for the Bruins to have a chance to win this game in the fourth quarter, as Cal cannot win by more than two touchdowns.

 

2. 13-point Teaser

Washington +8 ½ vs. Arizona

Arkansas +3 vs. Vanderbilt

Penn St. +8 vs. Illinois

Iowa -3 vs. Minnesota

 

Arizona’s big win over UCLA does not mean the Wildcats are ready to go on the road to Seattle and beat a good Washington team by more than a touchdown.

 

Arkansas may be overlooking Vanderbilt this week, but the Razorbacks’ defense will shut down the Commodores and find a way to win the game.  It is hard to beat a top 25 team when you complete less than 40% of your passes and average less per pass attempt than you average running the ball.

 

Penn State and Illinois should be a fun game to watch if you like old-school football.  These two teams will have a tough time scoring points, and it would not surprise us if the game ends 14-10 in either teams’ favor.  We like getting Joe Pa’s troops and more than a touchdown.  Remember, the Nittany Lions are leading the Leaders Division.

 

Iowa should control the pigskin and retain the bronzed pig known as “Floyd of Rosedale.”  Minnesota has a long way to go to become competitive in the Big Ten.  The Gophers are suffering through the same fate New Mexico is experiencing.  Both schools fired a coach that consistently produced minor bowl seasons.  The schools expected more and got less from their new coaches and have both hired another coach after the previous one took their programs in the wrong direction.  Jerry Kill is a good coach and has a good shot at turning the Gophers around in two more years, if his health will allow him to stay on the job.  This week, his squad does not have the horses to stick with the Hawkeyes for 60 minutes.  They could make it a game for a half, but Iowa will take control at some point and win by double digits.

 

3. 13-point Teaser

Virginia Tech -2 vs. Duke

Bowling Green +9 ½ vs. Kent St.

Florida +16 vs. Georgia

San Jose St. +20 ½ vs. Louisiana Tech

 

Duke will have to wait until basketball season to have something to cheer about.  The Blue Devils lack the needed depth to pull out wins at the end of conference games.  Virginia Tech is more than likely headed to the ACC Championship Game.  We look for the Huskies to win by 10 or more in this one.

 

Bowling Green cannot afford to slip against a 1-6 Kent State team and have a chance to earn an at-large bowl bid.  Coach Dave Clawson’s Falcons have a chance to win out and earn a 13th game in December.

 

John Brantley returns for Florida, and even if he is at 75% healthy, the Gators should keep this game against Georgia close and even have a chance to win.  Georgia will try to get to him with a lot of blitzes, and they might be burned by a couple of quick running plays.

 

San Jose State and Louisiana Tech are playing what is basically a bowl elimination game.  The winner will move to 4-4, while the loser will have virtually no chance of rebounding to bowl eligibility.  We see this being one of the better non-BCS automatic qualifying conference games of the week and a very close game indeed.

 

4. 13-point Teaser

Oklahoma – ½ vs. Kansas St.

Oklahoma St. -1 vs. Baylor

Ohio St. +20 vs. Wisconsin

Arkansas St. -4 vs. North Texas

 

When has Oklahoma lost two Big 12 games in a row?  It was 1998, when John Blake was running the program into the ground.  Under Bob Stoops, the Sooners have only lost games in back-to-back weeks one time, and that was to Notre Dame and Texas in his first season.  What we are saying here is that we do not see OU losing to Kansas State.  The Wildcats are good and deserving of a Insight or Alamo Bowl bid.  We look for OU to win by 10-14 points.

 

Oklahoma State should top 45 points against Baylor, and we do not see the Bears topping 35 against the Cowboys.  ‘Nuf ced.

 

Ohio State has a score to settle with Wisconsin, and even though we will not call for the upset in this game, we believe the Buckeyes will play inspired ball at the Horseshoe and make this a close game.

 

Arkansas State has a conference championship in their sights, and Coach Hugh Freeze could emerge as a candidate for a bigger school.  The Red Wolves can win out and finish 10-2, becoming the first SBC team to win 10 in the regular season.

 

N F L Games

5. 13-point Teaser

Indianapolis +21 ½ vs. Tennessee

Buffalo +7 vs. Washington

Pittsburgh +16 vs. New England

San Francisco +4 ½ vs. Cleveland

 

6. 13-point Teaser

Seattle +16 vs. Cincinnati

Kansas City +16 ½ vs. San Diego

Jacksonville +22 ½ vs. Houston

Carolina +9 ½ vs. Minnesota

 

7. 13-point Teaser

New Orleans – ½ vs. St. Louis

Baltimore Pk. Arizona

New York Giants +3 vs. Miami

Philadelphia +9 ½ vs. Dallas

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