The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 25, 2011

PiRate Ratings: NFL For Week 8–October 30-31, 2011

The PiRate Ratings For All League Champions Since 1960

The PiRate Ratings were not born until 1969, and then they only rated college football teams.  We began rating college basketball teams in the mid-1970’s and quit rating them after our founder stopped writing for newspaper publication in 1982.

 

In 1979, we began compiling NFL football ratings, but we have reversed engineered our formulas beginning with the 1960 season when the American Football League began.  At some point in the future, we may go back farther to the earlier days of the NFL and even the AAFC, but we do not have access to the necessary data as of yet.

 

Here is a list of the league champions from 1960 to 2010. 

 

Note: The PiRate Ratings were adjusted after the 2011 Super Bowl, and the ratings shown are the adjusted ratings in order to compare current teams to the historic ratings.  Remember, the PiRate Ratings are based on 100 being average.  A rating of 110 means the team is 10 points better than the average team (what would be considered an 8-8 team that scores 22.5 points per game and gives up 22.5 points per game to an average schedule of like 8-8 teams {6-6 in 12-game schedule and 7-7 in 14-game schedule}).

 

Year NFL/NFC

Rating

AFL/AFC

Rating

1960 Philadelphia

108.2

Houston

96.7

1961 Green Bay

111.1

Houston

101.4

1962 Green Bay

113.8

Dallas

100.6

1963 Chicago

106.1

San Diego

104.4

1964 Cleveland

107.5

Buffalo

103.1

1965 Green Bay

109.0

Buffalo

100.7

1966 Green Bay

112.6

Kansas City

102.1

1967 Green Bay

110.3

Oakland

105.2

1968 Baltimore

111.1

New York Jets

104.6

1969 Minnesota

110.8

Kansas City

101.6

1970 Dallas

105.4

Baltimore

105.8

1971 Dallas

109.7

Miami

104.3

1972 Washington

108.5

Miami

109.5

1973 Minnesota

107.2

Miami

112.0

1974 Minnesota

107.1

Pittsburgh

109.3

1975 Dallas

108.2

Pittsburgh

110.1

1976 Minnesota

109.4

Oakland

111.6

1977 Dallas

110.3

Denver

106.1

1978 Dallas

109.7

Pittsburgh

109.9

1979 Los Angeles

103.8

Pittsburgh

110.1

1980 Philadelphia

107.8

Oakland

108.9

1981 San Francisco

110.2

Cincinnati

106.9

1982 Washington

109.4

Miami

107.8

1983 Washington

112.1

Los Angeles

110.5

1984 San Francisco

114.5

Miami

111.6

1985 Chicago

116.2

New England

105.6

1986 New York Giants

112.3

Denver

106.2

1987 Washington

105.2

Denver

104.5

1988 San Francisco

104.7

Cincinnati

105.8

1989 San Francisco

113.9

Denver

103.6

1990 New York Giants

108.7

Buffalo

108.6

1991 Washington

112.6

Buffalo

109.8

1992 Dallas

111.7

Buffalo

105.3

1993 Dallas

109.8

Buffalo

108.3

1994 San Francisco

110.1

San Diego

106.2

1995 Dallas

107.8

Pittsburgh

105.8

1996 Green Bay

110.5

New England

104.4

1997 Green Bay

109.6

Denver

109.2

1998 Atlanta

111.1

Denver

113.5

1999 St. Louis

110.4

Tennessee

108.6

2000 New York Giants

108.6

Baltimore

109.1

2001 St. Louis

110.6

New England

106.3

2002 Tampa Bay

108.2

Oakland

106.0

2003 Carolina

105.9

New England

112.4

2004 Philadelphia

108.5

New England

112.6

2005 Seattle

108.7

Pittsburgh

107.9

2006 Chicago

109.1

Indianapolis

108.7

2007 New York Giants

107.3

New England

115.7

2008 Arizona

103.1

Pittsburgh

110.1

2009 New Orleans

109.6

Indianapolis

110.1

2010 Green Bay

105.7

Pittsburgh

109.1

 

 

Back To The Present

Here are this week’s PiRate Ratings.

 

NFC East

PiRate

Mean

Biased

HFA

Won

 

Lost

 

Tied

Pts

Opp

Dallas Cowboys

103.3

103.0

102.6

0.5

3

3

0

149

128

New York Giants

102.5

100.3

103.1

1.5

4

2

0

154

147

Philadelphia Eagles

101.7

101.3

101.6

2

2

4

0

145

145

Washington Redskins

93.7

95.5

95.0

3.5

3

3

0

116

116

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFC North

PiRate

Mean

Biased

HFA

Won

 

Lost

 

Tied

Pts

Opp

Green Bay Packers

110.5

110.4

108.8

2.5

7

0

0

230

141

Chicago Bears

103.9

103.3

104.7

3

4

3

0

170

150

Detroit Lions

101.2

103.4

104.3

2

5

2

0

194

137

Minnesota Vikings

96.5

96.9

95.5

4

1

6

0

148

178

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFC South

PiRate

Mean

Biased

HFA

Won

 

Lost

 

Tied

Pts

Opp

New Orleans Saints

109.8

107.1

106.1

3.5

5

2

0

239

158

Atlanta Falcons

103.9

102.6

104.7

2.5

4

3

0

158

163

Tampa Bay Bucaneers

98.5

99.0

99.4

3.5

4

3

0

131

169

Carolina Panthers

95.9

95.0

97.8

2.5

2

5

0

166

183

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFC West

PiRate

Mean

Biased

HFA

Won

 

Lost

 

Tied

Pts

Opp

San Francisco 49ers

104.4

106.3

104.8

3

5

1

0

167

97

Seattle Seahawks

94.1

94.9

93.4

2

2

4

0

97

128

Arizona Cardinals

91.7

91.9

94.0

2.5

1

5

0

116

153

St. Louis Rams

90.1

87.8

87.6

1.5

0

6

0

56

171

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC East

PiRate

Mean

Biased

HFA

Won

 

Lost

 

Tied

Pts

Opp

New England Patriots

107.6

108.9

105.7

3.5

5

1

0

185

135

New York Jets

104.3

104.3

104.9

3

4

3

0

172

152

Buffalo Bills

100.1

102.1

104.2

2.5

4

2

0

188

147

Miami Dolphins

95.0

93.8

93.5

3

0

6

0

90

146

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC North

PiRate

Mean

Biased

HFA

Won

 

Lost

 

Tied

Pts

Opp

Baltimore Ravens

106.9

107.4

106.3

3.5

4

2

0

155

83

Pittsburgh Steelers

105.6

104.4

104.0

2.5

5

2

0

151

122

Cincinnati Bengals

97.9

100.6

100.8

1

4

2

0

137

111

Cleveland Browns

94.1

95.0

96.9

3

3

3

0

97

120

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC South

PiRate

Mean

Biased

HFA

Won

 

Lost

 

Tied

Pts

Opp

Houston Texans

106.7

105.3

104.0

2

4

3

0

182

131

Jacksonville Jaguars

98.5

96.5

96.1

2

2

5

0

84

139

Tennessee Titans

97.1

97.0

96.0

1.5

3

3

0

112

135

Indianapolis Colts

91.7

91.4

88.1

3.5

0

7

0

111

225

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC West

PiRate

Mean

Biased

HFA

Won

 

Lost

 

Tied

Pts

Opp

San Diego Chargers

103.0

102.3

101.1

2.5

4

2

0

141

136

Kansas City Chiefs

99.4

97.8

98.7

1

3

3

0

105

150

Oakland Raiders

97.5

99.7

99.6

2

4

3

0

160

178

Denver Broncos

93.7

95.1

96.8

1

2

4

0

123

155

 

And here are the PiRate Ratings for this week’s games.

 

(N) denotes Neutral Site

Vegas Line and Totals as of Tuesday, October 25, 2011  4:30 PM EDT

Favorite Underdog

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Vegas

Totals

TENNESSEE Indianapolis

8.9

9.1

11.4

9   

43 1/2

HOUSTON Jacksonville

10.2

10.8

9.9

9 1/2

40 1/2

CAROLINA Minnesota

1.9

0.6

4.8

3 1/2

47 1/2

New Orleans ST. LOUIS

17.7

17.3

16.5

15 1/2

47 1/2

BALTIMORE Arizona

18.7

19.0

15.8

13   

44   

NEW YORK GIANTS Miami

9.0

8.0

11.1

10   

43   

Buffalo (N) (Toronto) Washington

6.4

6.6

9.2

6   

46   

Detroit DENVER

5.0

5.8

5.0

3 1/2

44   

PITTSBURGH New England

1.0

-1.5

1.3

-3   

51   

SAN FRANCISCO Cleveland

12.8

13.8

10.4

9 1/2

38 1/2

Cincinnati SEATTLE

2.3

4.2

5.9

3   

38   

PHILADELPHIA Dallas

0.4

0.3

1.0

3 1/2

50 1/2

San Diego KANSAS CITY

2.6

3.5

1.4

3 1/2

44   

 

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