The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 7, 2011

PiRate Picks For College And Pro Football–October 8-10, 2011

Last week’s selections went 9-5-1 for 64.3%, but remember this:  until this year, we were a five and sometimes six-person committee spending too many hours looking into these games and consistently beating the spread 64-67% of the time.  Now, it is just two of us, and we have to take our Geritol to get our brains working.  So, in other words, don’t be foolish and rely on these picks to save your house from the mortgage company.

 

Straight Selections

 

1. Texas + 10 ½ vs. Oklahoma

The annual Red River Rivalry in Dallas should be a closer game than expected.  Texas may not be all the way back yet, but we are not 100% sold on Oklahoma as one of the nation’s elite.  The Sooners have played two good teams so far, and they won them both by 10 points.  Texas is a good team, and we believe the Longhorns are not being given their due.  Thus, this line appears to us to be off by about five points.  We won’t call for Texas to win outright, but we believe they will cover.  Call it a 34-27 win for the Sooners.

 

2. Notre Dame -14 vs. Air Force

The Irish are back on track, and they should cover this spread with relative ease.  Notre Dame crushed Michigan State by 18 points, and Air Force would not beat the Spartans one time in 10.  The Falcons lost at home to a rebuilding TCU by more than two touchdowns, and we can see them yielding 40 points in this game.  We see the Irish winning 45-24.

 

3. Michigan -7 vs. Northwestern

The national public has not yet jumped on the Wolverines’ bandwagon.  They remember a maize and blue defense that could not stop any conference foe last year.  So far under Coach Brady Hoke, UM is giving up just 10.2 points per game, while they are scoring 37.2 points per game.  Northwestern quarterback Dan Persa is expected to start, but after suffering a minor setback in his return last week, we feel he may be a little gun shy this week.  We believe Michigan will win this one 35-17.

 

4. Wyoming +12 ½ vs. Utah State

The Aggies have lost three games in ways other schools might not experience in a decade.  Their lone win came against Weber State.  Wyoming is off to a 3-1 start, and they had an extra week to prepare for this game.  We feel like the Cowboys actually have a decent chance of pulling off the upset, but even if they fall short, Wyoming should cover this spread and lose by single digits.  Look for a 28-24 game that either team could win.

 

College 13-point Teasers

Our college 13-point teasers have been less than stellar so far, going just 4-5 in the first five weeks.  Nevertheless, we are selecting three parlays this week.

 

5. 13-point Teaser

Mississippi State -6 vs. Alabama-Birmingham

Iowa +17 vs. Penn State

North Carolina – ½ vs. Louisville

Toledo -8 vs. Eastern Michigan

 

6. 13-point Teaser

Georgia Tech -1 ½ vs. Maryland

Stanford -16 vs. Colorado

Tennessee +14 ½ vs. Georgia

Notre Dame -1 vs. Air Force

 

7. 13-point Teaser

Michigan +6 vs. Northwestern

South Carolina -8 vs. Kentucky

Kansas State +16 ½ vs. Missouri

L S U  Pk vs. Florida

 

College Football Moneylines

Our moneyline parlays have done quite well for us so far at 9-4.  As a reminder for those that have not followed our service this year, we are only playing parlays that offer odds better than a 13-point teaser (better than -130).  We’re going with three selections here this week.

 

8. Moneyline Parlay (5 teams @ -117)

West Virginia over Connecticut

Mississippi State over Alabama-Birmingham

Georgia Tech over Maryland

Notre Dame over Air Force

South Carolina over Kentucky

 

9. Moneyline Parlay (3 teams @ -127)

North Carolina over Louisville

Houston over East Carolina

L S U over Florida

 

10. Moneyline Parlay (5 teams @ -126)

Toledo over Eastern Michigan

Alabama over Vanderbilt

Stanford over Colorado

Illinois over Indiana

Michigan over Northwestern

 

N F L 13-point Teasers

Our NFL 13-point teasers have gone 8-5 thus far, and we have isolated three more selections here.  With byes beginning this week, it becomes a little more difficult to find value, but we are confident in these three selections.

 

11. 13-point Teaser

Kansas City +14 vs. Indianapolis

Arizona +15 ½ vs. Minnesota

Houston +7 vs. Oakland

New Orleans + 6 ½ vs. Carolina

 

12. 13-point Teaser

Cincinnati +14 vs. Jacksonville

New York Giants +3 ½ vs. Seattle

San Francisco + 10 ½ vs. Tampa Bay

Chicago +18 vs. Detroit

 

13. 13-point Teaser

San Diego +9 vs. Denver

New England +4 vs. New York Jets

Atlanta +19 vs. Green Bay

Pittsburgh +10 vs. Tennessee

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