The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 11, 2011

The PiRate Ratings’ NFL Playoffs Edition–Divisional Round

NFL Playoffs—Divisional Round

Saturday, January 15, 2011 

4:30 PM EST on CBS-TV

Baltimore Ravens (13-4-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4-0)

 

Vegas:        Pit by 3

Totals:       37 

PiRate:       Pit by 1.4

Mean:         Pit by 3.8

Bias:           Pit by 4.7 

100 Simulations:         Pit 57  Bal 43

Avg. Sim Score             Pit 19.3  Bal 16.7

Outlier A:                     Pit 31  Bal 7

Outlier B:                     Bal 24  Pit 6

 

5 PiRates Pick vs. Spread:   Pit 4  Bal 1

5 PiRates Pick vs. Totals:    Ovr-3         Und—2

 

8:00 PM EST on Fox-TV

Green Bay Packers (11-6-0) at Atlanta Falcons (13-3-0) 

Vegas:        Atl by 2

Totals:       45 ½

 

PiRate:       GB by 2.2

Mean:         GB by 0.2

Bias:           GB by 0.7 

100 Simulations:         GB 61  Atl 39

Avg. Sim Score             GB 27.2  Atl 20.3

Outlier A:                     GB 33  Atl 14

Outlier B:                     Atl 30  GB 13 

5 PiRates Pick vs. Spread:   GB—4                    Atl—1

5 PiRates Pick vs. Totals:    Und—3       Ovr—2       

 

Sunday, January 16, 2011

 

1:00 PM EST on Fox-TV

Seattle Seahawks (8-9-0) at Chicago Bears (11-5-0) 

Vegas:        Chi by 10

Totals:       40 

PiRate:       Chi by 11.3

Mean:         Chi by 11.7

Bias:           Chi by 9.0 

100 Simulations:         Chi 91  Sea 9

Avg. Sim Score             Chi 26.6  Sea 11.8

Outlier A:                     Chi 38  Sea 0

Outlier B:                     Sea 17  Chi 12

 

5 PiRates Pick vs. Spread:   Chi—4        Sea—1       

5 PiRates Pick vs. Totals:    Und—3       Ovr—2       

 

4:30 PM EST on CBS-TV

New York Jets (12-5-0) at New England Patriots (14-2-0) 

Vegas:        NE by 8 ½

Totals:       45 ½  

PiRate:       NE by 14.8

Mean:         NE by 11.1

Bias:           NE by 2.2 

100 Simulations:         NE 82  NYJ 18

Avg. Sim Score             NE 26.7  NYJ 16.6

Outlier A:                     NE 34  NYJ 10

Outlier B:                     NYJ 24  NE 16 

5 PiRates Pick vs. Spread:   NE—3          NYJ—2       

5 PiRates Pick vs. Totals:    Und—4       Ovr—1       

 

We do not have official picks during the Playoffs, but here is our Unofficial–Recommended 13-point Teaser Parlays   

Parlay-1

Green Bay & Atlanta OVER 32 ½

Chicago & Seattle UNDER 53

Pittsburgh & Baltimore OVER 24

New England & New York Jets UNDER 58 ½

 

Parlay-2

Green Bay +15 vs. Atlanta

Chicago +3 vs. Seattle

Pittsburgh +10 vs. Baltimore

New England +4 ½ vs. New York Jets

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