Hottest Team In The League?
Quick question. Three NFL teams have not lost a game since week six. One of those three has outscored its opponents by 26 points per game in that time. One has given up just one touchdown in their last two games. The other has averaged over 30 points per game in their three-game winning streak. Can you name these three teams?
It is no surprise that Green Bay has fared strongly in their current three-game winning streak. The Packers were supposed to win their division and were supposed to be a top contender for the NFC representative in the Super Bowl thanks to a powerful offense. But, the Packers have done it with defense as of late, holding the Jets scoreless and giving up just seven to Dallas.
Atlanta has been a contender in the NFC South ever since Matt Ryan arrived. The Falcons have scored 92 points in their three-game winning streak.
Ah, but who is this most dominating team of the trio–the one outscoring opponents by 38-12? It’s the Oakland Raiders who all of a sudden find themselved in first place in the AFC West. The Raiders visit Pittsburgh, and if they can beat the Steelers, they are officially back.
The Great Switch
Four games into this season, it appeared that offense was on the decline and half the league might give up less than 17 points per game. As of late, offense has ruled. Now half of the league could top 350 points. This is just another part of this fascinating season in which no team appears to be dominant. Look for 20 teams to challenge for the 12 playoff spots. It would not surprise us to see three or more spots up for grabs in week 17.
| Current NFL Standings, PiRate, Mean, and Biased Ratings | ||||||||||||
| (listed alphabetically by division) | ||||||||||||
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Won | Lost | Tied | Pts | Opp | PiRate | Mean | Biased | HFA | |||
| Philadelphia | 6 | – | 3 | – | 0 | 257 | 209 | 106.2 | 104.8 | 105.0 | 2 | |
| NY Giants | 6 | – | 3 | – | 0 | 236 | 193 | 104.8 | 102.8 | 104.3 | 2 | |
| Washington | 4 | – | 5 | – | 0 | 183 | 229 | 95.6 | 97.2 | 93.5 | 3 | |
| Dallas | 2 | – | 7 | – | 0 | 194 | 252 | 93.6 | 97.5 | 98.0 | 2 | |
| NFC North | Won | Lost | Tied | Pts | Opp | PiRate | Mean | Biased | HFA | |||
| Green Bay | 6 | – | 3 | – | 0 | 221 | 143 | 108.1 | 106.5 | 104.5 | 3 | |
| Chicago | 6 | – | 3 | – | 0 | 175 | 146 | 99.4 | 99.6 | 100.8 | 4 | |
| Detroit | 2 | – | 7 | – | 0 | 215 | 202 | 98.9 | 99.4 | 97.0 | 4 | |
| Minnesota | 3 | – | 6 | – | 0 | 169 | 195 | 98.4 | 100.0 | 97.6 | 3 | |
| NFC South | Won | Lost | Tied | Pts | Opp | PiRate | Mean | Biased | HFA | |||
| New Orleans | 6 | – | 3 | – | 0 | 201 | 151 | 105.8 | 103.1 | 103.9 | 2 | |
| Atlanta | 7 | – | 2 | – | 0 | 222 | 175 | 104.0 | 103.6 | 104.9 | 4 | |
| Tampa Bay | 6 | – | 3 | – | 0 | 188 | 206 | 96.0 | 96.9 | 98.9 | 2 | |
| Carolina | 1 | – | 8 | – | 0 | 104 | 215 | 92.9 | 90.9 | 90.5 | 2 | |
| NFC West | Won | Lost | Tied | Pts | Opp | PiRate | Mean | Biased | HFA | |||
| San Francisco | 3 | – | 6 | – | 0 | 160 | 198 | 96.5 | 96.4 | 98.3 | 4 | |
| St. Louis | 4 | – | 5 | – | 0 | 160 | 164 | 96.3 | 96.3 | 97.1 | 4 | |
| Seattle | 5 | – | 4 | – | 0 | 166 | 199 | 95.9 | 95.8 | 98.1 | 3 | |
| Arizona | 3 | – | 6 | – | 0 | 175 | 261 | 91.8 | 93.5 | 92.6 | 4 | |
| AFC East | Won | Lost | Tied | Pts | Opp | PiRate | Mean | Biased | HFA | |||
| NY Jets | 7 | – | 2 | – | 0 | 208 | 150 | 107.1 | 106.0 | 106.6 | 2 | |
| New England | 7 | – | 2 | – | 0 | 258 | 214 | 106.3 | 105.0 | 106.8 | 3 | |
| Miami | 5 | – | 4 | – | 0 | 172 | 192 | 102.8 | 102.2 | 102.0 | 3 | |
| Buffalo | 1 | – | 8 | – | 0 | 164 | 245 | 95.0 | 94.7 | 92.9 | 2 | |
| AFC North | Won | Lost | Tied | Pts | Opp | PiRate | Mean | Biased | HFA | |||
| Baltimore | 6 | – | 3 | – | 0 | 196 | 165 | 106.8 | 104.8 | 105.1 | 4 | |
| Pittsburgh | 6 | – | 3 | – | 0 | 200 | 162 | 103.2 | 104.1 | 104.2 | 2 | |
| Cleveland | 3 | – | 6 | – | 0 | 172 | 182 | 101.6 | 100.3 | 100.7 | 4 | |
| Cincinnati | 2 | – | 7 | – | 0 | 184 | 213 | 98.0 | 98.8 | 96.7 | 3 | |
| AFC South | Won | Lost | Tied | Pts | Opp | PiRate | Mean | Biased | HFA | |||
| Indianapolis | 6 | – | 3 | – | 0 | 240 | 185 | 105.4 | 104.1 | 104.7 | 4 | |
| Tennessee | 5 | – | 4 | – | 0 | 241 | 179 | 102.1 | 104.2 | 101.6 | 4 | |
| Houston | 4 | – | 5 | – | 0 | 217 | 257 | 97.3 | 97.0 | 97.4 | 2 | |
| Jacksonville | 5 | – | 4 | – | 0 | 196 | 250 | 94.0 | 95.9 | 98.3 | 3 | |
| AFC West | Won | Lost | Tied | Pts | Opp | PiRate | Mean | Biased | HFA | |||
| San Diego | 4 | – | 5 | – | 0 | 239 | 197 | 102.6 | 102.2 | 101.9 | 4 | |
| Oakland | 5 | – | 4 | – | 0 | 235 | 188 | 100.2 | 100.6 | 101.7 | 2 | |
| Kansas City | 5 | – | 4 | – | 0 | 212 | 194 | 97.9 | 98.7 | 99.1 | 4 | |
| Denver | 3 | – | 6 | – | 0 | 203 | 252 | 95.9 | 97.3 | 94.8 | 2 | |
| Home Team in CAPS | (N) Denotes Neutral Site | ||||||
| Week 10: November 18-22, 2010 | |||||||
| Vegas Line as of 12:30 PM EDT Tuesday | |||||||
| Favorite | Underdog | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Vegas | Totals | |
| MIAMI | Chicago | 6.4 | 5.6 | 4.2 | 1 1/2 | 40 | |
| PITTSBURGH | Oakland | 5.0 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 7 1/2 | 41 | |
| NEW YORK JETS | Houston | 11.8 | 11.0 | 11.2 | 6 1/2 | 45 1/2 | |
| Baltimore | CAROLINA | 11.9 | 11.9 | 12.6 | 10 | 37 1/2 | |
| TENNESSEE | Washington | 10.5 | 11.0 | 12.1 | 7 | 44 | |
| Detroit | DALLAS | 3.3 | -0.1 | -3.0 | -6 1/2 | 47 | |
| Green Bay | MINNESOTA | 6.7 | 3.3 | 3.9 | 3 | 44 | |
| CINCINNATI | Buffalo | 6.0 | 7.1 | 6.8 | 5 1/2 | 44 | |
| Cleveland | JACKSONVILLE | 4.6 | 1.4 | -0.6 | 1 1/2 | 43 | |
| KANSAS CITY | Arizona | 10.1 | 9.2 | 10.5 | 7 1/2 | 44 | |
| NEW ORLEANS | Seattle | 11.9 | 9.3 | 7.8 | 11 1/2 | 44 | |
| Atlanta | ST. LOUIS | 4.7 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 3 | 43 | |
| SAN FRANCISCO | Tampa Bay | 4.5 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3 | 41 1/2 | |
| NEW ENGLAND |
|
3.9 | 2.6 | 5.1 | 3 | 50 1/2 | |
| PHILADELPHIA | New York Giants | 3.4 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 3 | 48 1/2 | |
| SAN DIEGO | Denver | 10.7 | 8.9 | 11.1 | 10 | 50 | |
| PiRate Passer Rating | ||||
| Player | Team | AYPA | Int% | PiRate # |
| Michael Vick | PHI | 7.5 | 0.00 | 126.0 |
| Peyton Manning | IND | 6.1 | 1.03 | 109.1 |
| Kyle Orton | DEN | 6.6 | 1.43 | 108.4 |
| Tom Brady | NE | 6 | 1.32 | 106.0 |
| Matt Cassel | KC | 5.7 | 1.50 | 102.7 |
| Phillip Rivers | SD | 7 | 2.43 | 101.8 |
| Matt Ryan | ATL | 5.5 | 1.48 | 101.8 |
| Josh Freeman | TB | 5.7 | 1.85 | 99.6 |
| Vince Young | TEN | 5.8 | 2.14 | 97.6 |
| Colt McCoy | CLE | 5.6 | 2.02 | 97.6 |
| Seneca Wallace | CLE | 5.4 | 2.00 | 96.6 |
| Ben Roethlisberger | PIT | 6.1 | 2.53 | 95.9 |
| Matt Schaub | HOU | 5.8 | 2.34 | 95.9 |
| Mark Sanchez | NYJ | 5.2 | 2.01 | 95.4 |
| Joe Flacco | BAL | 5.5 | 2.36 | 94.1 |
| Aaron Rodger | GB | 5.6 | 2.97 | 89.2 |
| Kevin Kolb | PHI | 4.9 | 2.61 | 88.4 |
| Tony Romo | DAL | 5.7 | 3.29 | 87.0 |
| Sam Bradford | STL | 4.1 | 2.40 | 85.9 |
| Jason Campbell | OAK | 4.8 | 2.92 | 85.1 |
| Drew Brees | NO | 5.1 | 3.21 | 84.3 |
| Carson Palmer | CIN | 4.7 | 3.06 | 83.4 |
| Chad Henne | MIA | 5 | 3.27 | 83.2 |
| Kerry Collins | TEN | 4.2 | 2.80 | 82.8 |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | BUF | 4.6 | 3.08 | 82.6 |
| Donovan McNabb | WAS | 4.8 | 3.57 | 79.5 |
| Shaun Hill | DET | 4.4 | 3.37 | 79.0 |
| Jay Cutler | CHI | 4.8 | 3.66 | 78.7 |
| Matt Hasselbeck | SEA | 3.7 | 2.97 | 78.6 |
| Eli Manning | NYG | 5.4 | 4.08 | 78.4 |
| David Garrard | JAX | 5.1 | 3.89 | 78.3 |
| Alex Smith | SF | 4.2 | 3.72 | 74.8 |
| Jimmy Clausen | CAR | 2.8 | 2.90 | 74.2 |
| Bruce Gradkowski | OAK | 4.3 | 3.92 | 73.6 |
| Derek Anderson | ARI | 3.7 | 3.87 | 70.7 |
| Jon Kitna | DAL | 5 | 5.22 | 66.0 |
| Brett Favre | MIN | 4 | 5.54 | 57.6 |
| Matt Moore | CAR | 2 | 6.99 | 33.7 |
| Formula: (((7 * AYPA) – (11 * Int%) + 105) *0.8 | ||||
| AYPA is Air Yards Per Pass Attempt. It eliminates Yards After Catch and can be found at advancednflstats.com | ||||
The Pi-Rate Ratings 