| Current NFL Standings | |||||||||||
| NFC East | Won | Lost | Tied | Pts | Opp | PiRate | Mean | Biased | HFA | ||
| NY Giants | 6 | – | 2 | – | 0 | 216 | 160 | 108.0 | 105.0 | 108.7 | 2 |
| Philadelphia | 5 | – | 3 | – | 0 | 198 | 181 | 103.6 | 102.9 | 105.0 | 2 |
| Washington | 4 | – | 4 | – | 0 | 155 | 170 | 98.2 | 99.2 | 99.6 | 4 |
| Dallas | 1 | – | 7 | – | 0 | 161 | 232 | 90.4 | 94.8 | 90.0 | 3 |
| NFC North | Won | Lost | Tied | Pts | Opp | PiRate | Mean | Biased | |||
| Green Bay | 6 | – | 3 | – | 0 | 221 | 143 | 108.1 | 106.5 | 106.7 | 3 |
| Minnesota | 3 | – | 5 | – | 0 | 156 | 168 | 99.6 | 100.2 | 96.5 | 3 |
| Detroit | 2 | – | 6 | – | 0 | 203 | 188 | 99.0 | 99.8 | 101.1 | 4 |
| Chicago | 5 | – | 3 | – | 0 | 148 | 133 | 98.2 | 99.3 | 101.4 | 2 |
| NFC South | Won | Lost | Tied | Pts | Opp | PiRate | Mean | Biased | |||
| New Orleans | 6 | – | 3 | – | 0 | 201 | 151 | 105.8 | 103.0 | 106.1 | 2 |
| Atlanta | 6 | – | 2 | – | 0 | 196 | 154 | 103.2 | 102.9 | 106.1 | 3 |
| Tampa Bay | 5 | – | 3 | – | 0 | 157 | 190 | 94.7 | 96.7 | 100.8 | 2 |
| Carolina | 1 | – | 7 | – | 0 | 88 | 184 | 94.2 | 90.9 | 91.2 | 2 |
| NFC West | Won | Lost | Tied | Pts | Opp | PiRate | Mean | Biased | |||
| San Francisco | 2 | – | 6 | – | 0 | 137 | 178 | 97.1 | 95.6 | 97.5 | 4 |
| St. Louis | 4 | – | 4 | – | 0 | 140 | 141 | 95.7 | 96.9 | 99.3 | 3 |
| Arizona | 3 | – | 5 | – | 0 | 157 | 225 | 94.3 | 94.6 | 92.5 | 4 |
| Seattle | 4 | – | 4 | – | 0 | 130 | 181 | 93.4 | 94.1 | 94.6 | 4 |
| AFC East | Won | Lost | Tied | Pts | Opp | PiRate | Mean | Biased | |||
| NY Jets | 6 | – | 2 | – | 0 | 182 | 130 | 107.3 | 105.4 | 106.9 | 4 |
| New England | 6 | – | 2 | – | 0 | 219 | 188 | 104.7 | 104.0 | 104.3 | 2 |
| Miami | 4 | – | 4 | – | 0 | 143 | 175 | 101.7 | 100.3 | 101.1 | 2 |
| Buffalo | 0 | – | 8 | – | 0 | 150 | 233 | 94.9 | 93.4 | 93.6 | 2 |
| AFC North | Won | Lost | Tied | Pts | Opp | PiRate | Mean | Biased | |||
| Baltimore | 6 | – | 2 | – | 0 | 175 | 139 | 107.6 | 104.8 | 105.6 | 2 |
| Pittsburgh | 6 | – | 2 | – | 0 | 174 | 123 | 104.8 | 106.4 | 105.4 | 2 |
| Cleveland | 3 | – | 5 | – | 0 | 152 | 156 | 101.4 | 100.2 | 101.1 | 2 |
| Cincinnati | 2 | – | 6 | – | 0 | 167 | 190 | 97.5 | 97.9 | 93.2 | 4 |
| AFC South | Won | Lost | Tied | Pts | Opp | PiRate | Mean | Biased | |||
| Indianapolis | 5 | – | 3 | – | 0 | 187 | 151 | 105.9 | 105.4 | 104.2 | 4 |
| Tennessee | 5 | – | 3 | – | 0 | 224 | 150 | 103.2 | 106.6 | 103.3 | 2 |
| Houston | 4 | – | 4 | – | 0 | 176 | 196 | 97.5 | 98.4 | 97.5 | 2 |
| Jacksonville | 4 | – | 4 | – | 0 | 165 | 226 | 93.8 | 95.2 | 95.5 | 4 |
| AFC West | Won | Lost | Tied | Pts | Opp | PiRate | Mean | Biased | |||
| San Diego | 4 | – | 5 | – | 0 | 239 | 197 | 102.6 | 102.8 | 100.0 | 4 |
| Kansas City | 5 | – | 3 | – | 0 | 183 | 145 | 100.3 | 101.4 | 100.5 | 2 |
| Oakland | 5 | – | 4 | – | 0 | 235 | 188 | 100.2 | 100.6 | 100.3 | 2 |
| Denver | 2 | – | 6 | – | 0 | 154 | 223 | 93.5 | 94.7 | 90.6 | 2 |
THIS WEEK’S PIRATE, MEAN, AND BIAS SPREADS
| Favorite | Underdog | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Vegas | Totals |
| Baltimore | ATLANTA | 1.4 | -1.1 | -3.5 | -1 1/2 | 43 |
| INDIANAPOLIS | Cincinnati | 12.4 | 11.5 | 15.0 | 8 | 47 1/2 |
| JACKSONVILLE | Houston | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 50 |
| MIAMI | Tennessee | 0.5 | -4.3 | -0.1 | -1 | 42 1/2 |
| CHICAGO | Minnesota | 0.6 | 1.1 | 6.9 | -1 | 40 1/2 |
| Detroit | BUFFALO | 2.1 | 4.4 | 5.5 | -3 | 42 1/2 |
| New York Jets | CLEVELAND | 3.9 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 3 | 37 |
| TAMPA BAY | Carolina | 2.5 | 7.8 | 11.6 | 7 | 35 1/2 |
| Kansas City | DENVER | 4.8 | 4.7 | 7.9 | 1 | 42 |
| SAN FRANCISCO | St. Louis | 5.4 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 6 | 38 1/2 |
| ARIZONA | Seattle | 4.9 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 41 |
| NEW YORK GIANTS | Dallas | 19.6 | 12.2 | 20.7 | 14 | 45 |
| PITTSBURGH | New England | 2.1 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 4 1/2 | 45 |
| Philadelphia | WASHINGTON | 1.4 | -0.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 42 |
PIRATE QUARTERBACK PASSER FORMULA
| Player | Team | AYPA | Int% | PiRate # | |
| Michael Vick | PHI | 6.7 | 0.00 | 121.5 | |
| Peyton Manning | IND | 6.2 | 1.14 | 108.7 | |
| Vince Young | TEN | 6.5 | 1.64 | 106.0 | |
| Kyle Orton | DEN | 6.4 | 1.58 | 105.9 | |
| Tom Brady | NE | 5.7 | 1.53 | 102.4 | |
| Phillip Rivers | SD | 7.0 | 2.43 | 101.8 | |
| Matt Ryan | ATL | 5.5 | 1.74 | 99.5 | |
| Matt Cassel | KC | 5.2 | 1.87 | 96.7 | |
| Seneca Wallace | CLE | 5.4 | 2.00 | 96.6 | |
| Mark San chez | NYJ | 5.2 | 1.97 | 95.8 | |
| Josh Freeman | TB | 5.3 | 2.03 | 95.8 | |
| Ben Roethlisberger | PIT | 6.4 | 2.75 | 95.6 | |
| Joe Flacco | BAL | 5.6 | 2.28 | 95.3 | |
| Matt Schaub | HOU | 5.4 | 2.62 | 91.2 | |
| Carson Palmer | CIN | 4.9 | 2.52 | 89.3 | |
| Aaron Rodgers | GB | 5.6 | 2.97 | 89.2 | |
| Kevin Kolb | PHI | 4.9 | 2.61 | 88.4 | |
| Tony Romo | DAL | 5.7 | 3.29 | 87.0 | |
| Donovan McNabb | WAS | 4.9 | 2.89 | 86.0 | |
| Jason Campbell | OAK | 4.8 | 2.92 | 85.1 | |
| Drew Brees | NO | 5.1 | 3.21 | 84.3 | |
| Chad Henne | MIA | 4.9 | 3.24 | 83.0 | |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | BUF | 4.6 | 3.08 | 82.6 | |
| Jay Cutler | CHI | 4.9 | 3.32 | 82.2 | |
| Sam Bradford | STL | 3.9 | 2.74 | 81.7 | |
| Kerry Collins | TEN | 4.6 | 3.45 | 79.4 | |
| Shaun Hill | DET | 4.4 | 3.37 | 79.0 | |
| Matt Hasselbeck | SEA | 3.7 | 2.97 | 78.6 | |
| Eli Manning | NYG | 5.3 | 4.06 | 78.0 | |
| Alex Smith | SF | 4.2 | 3.72 | 74.8 | |
| Bruce Gradkowski | OAK | 4.3 | 3.92 | 73.6 | |
| Derek Anderson | ARI | 3.7 | 3.87 | 70.7 | |
| David Garrard | JAX | 4.2 | 4.70 | 66.2 | |
| Brett Favre | MIN | 4.3 | 5.04 | 63.7 | |
| Jimmy Clausen | CAR | 2.0 | 3.67 | 62.9 | |
| Jon Kitna | DAL | 3.6 | 5.36 | 57.0 | |
| Trent Edwards | JAX | 1.4 | 5.26 | 45.5 | |
| Matt Moore | CAR | 2.0 | 6.99 | 33.7 | |
| Formula: [((7* Air Yards Per Attempt [eliminates YAC]) – (11* Int.%)) +105] * 0.8 | |||||
| AYPA can be found at advancednflstats.com | |||||
Playoff Projections
N F C
1. New York Giants 12-4
2. Atlanta Falcons 12-4
3. Green Bay Packers 10-6
4. Seattle Seahawks 8-8
5. New Orleans Saints 11-5
6. Philadelphia Eagles 11-5
A F C
1. Pittsburgh Steelers 13-3
2. New York Jets 12-4
3. Indianapolis Colts 10-6
4. Kansas City Chiefs 10-6
5. Baltimore Ravens 12-4
6. New England Patriots 11-5
The Pi-Rate Ratings 