The Pi-Rate Ratings

September 28, 2010

PiRate Ratings For NFL Football: Week 4–October 3-4, 2010

Week 3 PiRate Passer Ratings *

Player Team AYPA Int % PiRate #
Peyton Manning IND  7.7 0.00 127.1
Michael Vick PHI 6.7 0.00 121.5
Mark Sanchez NYJ 6.1 0.00 118.2
Donovan McNabb WAS 7.0 0.98 114.6
Kyle Orton DEN 7.4 1.60 111.4
Matt Ryan ATL 5.7 0.94 107.6
Tony Romo DAL 6.6 1.56 107.2
Chad Henne MIA 5.8 1.08 107.0
Jay Cutler CHI 7.5 2.20 106.7
Drew Brees NO 6.2 1.79 103.0
Tom Brady NE 6.5 2.04 102.4
 

Seneca Wallace

CLE 5.4 1.82 98.2
Phillip Rivers SD 6.7 3.31 92.4
Aaron Rodgers GB 5.6 2.86 90.2
Josh Freeman TB 4.8 2.41 89.7
Carson Palmer CIN 4.4 2.46 87.0
Dennis Dixon PIT 4.5 3.13 81.7
Brad Gradkowski OAK 5.1 3.57 81.1
 

Matt Schaub

HOU 5.4 3.96 79.4
Derek Anderson ARI 3.7 3.06 77.8
Matt Cassel KC 4.4 3.90 74.4
Kerry Collins TEN 3.7 4.00 69.5
Alex Smith SF 3.7 4.20 67.7
Vince Young TEN 4.3 4.65 67.1
Joe Flacco BAL 3.8 4.63 64.5
Jimmy Clausen CAR 3.0 4.17 64.1
Sam Bradford STL 3.1 4.27 63.8
Shaun Hill DET 3.7 4.67 63.6
Jason Campbell OAK 2.2 3.85 62.5
 

Trent Edwards

BUF 1.5 3.85 58.6
Eli Manning NYG 4.5 5.88 57.4
Jake Delhomme CLE 3.7 5.41 57.2
Matt Hasselbeck SEA 3.9 5.56 57.0
Ryan Fitzpatrick BUF 5.2 7.14 50.3
Brett Favre MIN 2.8 6.19 45.2
Charlie Batch PIT 3.8 7.14 42.4
 

David Garrard

JAX 1.8 6.76 34.6
Matt Moore CAR 1.2 8.16 18.9

 

* PiRate Passer Rating Formula: [(AYPA * 7) – (11 * Int%) + 105] * 0.8

Where AYPA is Air Yards Per Pass Attempt (passing yards minus yards after catch)

AYPA is available at advancednflstats.com

Current Regular Season NFL PiRate Ratings
             
             
 

NFC East

PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T PPG Opp
Dallas  104.2 102.4 103.6 1-2-0 18.0 17.7
Philadelphia  103.3 103.1 103.6 2-1-0 27.7 20.7
New York Giants 98.8 94.8 97.4 1-2-0 18.3 28.3
Washington 96.8 99.4 95.6 1-2-0 18.7 22.3
             
NFC North PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Green Bay 105.8 106.6 107.8 2-1-0 26.0 15.7
Minnesota 103.3 102.5 102.3 1-2-0 14.3 12.7
Chicago 102.3 102.0 104.4 3-0-0 22.0 17.0
Detroit 92.7 95.1 92.7 0-3-0 18.7 26.0
             
NFC South PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Atlanta 106.3 108.9 107.7 2-1-0 25.7 15.3
New Orleans 104.5 104.8 106.0 2-1-0 21.0 19.3
Carolina 96.7 90.7 91.4 0-3-0 10.7 23.7
Tampa Bay 94.3 94.8 97.1 2-1-0 16.7 19.7
             
NFC West PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
San Francisco 96.4 93.2 95.4 0-3-0 10.3 29.0
Arizona 95.6 97.5 97.9 2-1-0 16.0 25.7
Seattle 95.5 99.3 100.1 2-1-0 24.0 19.0
St. Louis 92.5 96.2 94.7 1-2-0 19.0 16.3
             
AFC East PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
NY Jets 108.6 104.4 106.7 2-1-0 22.7 15.7
New England 104.6 100.4 104.5 2-1-0 30.0 27.3
Miami 102.1 101.6 101.2 2-1-0 17.3 17.0
Buffalo 95.6 94.0 91.2 0-3-0 15.7 29.0
             
AFC North PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Baltimore 104.8 101.9 103.7 2-1-0 14.7 13.7
Pittsburgh 104.5 107.7 107.7 3-0-0 24.0 11.0
Cincinnati 102.3 98.1 102.4 2-1-0 19.7 18.3
Cleveland 96.7 95.7 94.8 0-3-0 15.0 19.0
             
AFC South PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Indianapolis 105.9 109.7 107.8 2-1-0 29.7 20.3
Houston 101.7 103.8 103.4 2-1-0 25.7 26.0
Tennessee 101.1 102.6 102.5 2-1-0 26.0 14.0
Jacksonville 93.1 93.4 91.2 1-2-0 13.3 27.7
             
AFC West PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
San Diego 101.2 101.6 99.9 1-2-0 24.0 20.3
Kansas City 100.5 100.4 99.5 3-0-0 22.7 10.3
Denver 95.8 100.6 96.8 1-2-0 20.3 21.7
Oakland 92.6 92.3 89.1 1-2-0 17.3 25.3

 

This Week’s Games
Home Team in CAPS (N) Denotes Neutral Site        
             
Week 4: October 3-4, 2010          
Vegas Line as of 5:00 PM EDT Tuesday          
             
Favorite Underdog PiRate Mean Bias Vegas Totals
TENNESSEE Denver 8.3 5.0 8.7 6 1/2 41 1/2
PITTSBURGH Baltimore 2.7 8.8 7.0 1 1/2 34 1/2
Cincinnati CLEVELAND 3.6 0.4 5.6 3    37 1/2
GREEN BAY Detroit 16.1 14.5 18.1 14 1/2 45 1/2
NEW ORLEANS Carolina 10.8 17.1 17.6 13    44   
ATLANTA San Francisco 12.9 18.7 15.3 7    42   
Seattle ST. LOUIS 1.0 1.1 3.4 Pk 38 1/2
New York Jets BUFFALO 10.0 7.4 12.5 5    37   
Indianapolis JACKSONVILLE 9.8 13.3 13.6 7 1/2 46 1/2
Houston OAKLAND 7.1 9.5 12.3 3    43 1/2
SAN DIEGO Arizona 7.6 6.1 4.0 8    46   
PHILADELPHIA Washington 9.5 6.7 11.0 6    42 1/2
Chicago NEW YORK GIANTS 0.5 4.2 4.0 -4    44   
New England MIAMI 0.5 -3.2 1.3 Pk 45 1/2
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