Two weeks into the NFL season brings very few surprises. Tampa Bay and Kansas City are 2-0, while Dallas and Minnesota are 0-2. Overall, defenses are ahead of offenses on the whole, and it looks like very few teams will top 400 points this season. The 3-4 defense with the zone blitz has stymied many quarterbacks, and we are seeing more 14-10 type games.
We’ve noticed that punt returns are a dying art. Punters are getting adequate hang time; more punts are being made that are not returnable, and players like Devin Hester are not getting the opportunity to return punts.
As we mentioned in the college ratings, our 10 and 13-point sweetheart teaser plays have been like gold to us so far. If the scores continue to be lower than normal, these should continue to pay dividends for us. Go to www.piratings.webs.com to purchase this week’s picks. Deadline is 7 PM Eastern Time Wednesdays. All purchases made after the deadline will be applied to the next week’s games.
| Current Regular Season NFL PiRate Ratings | |||||||
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NFC East |
PiRate | Mean | Biased | W-L-T | PPG | Opp | |
| Dallas | 102.4 | 100.2 | 99.4 | 0-2-0 | 13.5 | 20.0 | |
| Philadelphia | 100.8 | 100.5 | 102.2 | 1-1-0 | 27.5 | 29.5 | |
| New York Giants | 100.0 | 99.8 | 100.1 | 1-1-0 | 22.5 | 28.0 | |
| Washington | 99.4 | 99.9 | 101.8 | 1-1-0 | 20.0 | 18.5 | |
| NFC North | PiRate | Mean | Biased | W-L-T | Pts | Opp | |
| Green Bay | 106.6 | 107.7 | 108.4 | 2-0-0 | 30.5 | 13.5 | |
| Minnesota | 103.5 | 103.2 | 102.7 | 0-2-0 | 9.5 | 14.0 | |
| Chicago | 101.5 | 99.8 | 103.4 | 2-0-0 | 23.0 | 17.0 | |
| Detroit | 92.5 | 92.4 | 92.9 | 0-2-0 | 23.0 | 27.0 | |
| NFC South | PiRate | Mean | Biased | W-L-T | Pts | Opp | |
| Atlanta | 106.0 | 104.9 | 105.3 | 1-1-0 | 25.0 | 11.0 | |
| New Orleans | 104.8 | 106.3 | 106.5 | 2-0-0 | 19.5 | 15.5 | |
| Carolina | 98.3 | 97.1 | 96.2 | 0-2-0 | 12.5 | 25.5 | |
| Tampa Bay | 96.5 | 99.7 | 100.6 | 2-0-0 | 18.5 | 10.5 | |
| NFC West | PiRate | Mean | Biased | W-L-T | Pts | Opp | |
| San Francisco | 99.2 | 96.6 | 98.7 | 0-2-0 | 14.0 | 28.0 | |
| Arizona | 96.2 | 95.6 | 96.1 | 1-1-0 | 12.0 | 27.0 | |
| Seattle | 94.2 | 96.3 | 99.4 | 1-1-0 | 22.5 | 18.5 | |
| St. Louis | 89.9 | 89.8 | 90.1 | 0-2-0 | 13.5 | 16.5 | |
| AFC East | PiRate | Mean | Biased | W-L-T | Pts | Opp | |
| NY Jets | 107.9 | 105.1 | 105.1 | 1-1-0 | 18.5 | 12.0 | |
| New England | 105.0 | 102.9 | 102.9 | 1-1-0 | 26.0 | 26.0 | |
| Miami | 102.8 | 102.6 | 101.8 | 2-0-0 | 14.5 | 10.0 | |
| Buffalo | 95.2 | 94.5 | 91.5 | 0-2-0 | 8.5 | 24.5 | |
| AFC North | PiRate | Mean | Biased | W-L-T | Pts | Opp | |
| Baltimore | 105.3 | 103.7 | 103.7 | 1-1-0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | |
| Pittsburgh | 102.3 | 105.0 | 105.2 | 2-0-0 | 17.0 | 10.0 | |
| Cincinnati | 100.7 | 99.8 | 99.6 | 1-1-0 | 19.5 | 24.0 | |
| Cleveland | 96.2 | 94.9 | 95.3 | 0-2-0 | 14.0 | 16.5 | |
| AFC South | PiRate | Mean | Biased | W-L-T | Pts | Opp | |
| Indianapolis | 104.7 | 106.1 | 106.5 | 1-1-0 | 31.0 | 24.0 | |
| Houston | 103.5 | 104.7 | 104.2 | 2-0-0 | 32.0 | 25.5 | |
| Tennessee | 99.9 | 101.4 | 98.6 | 1-1-0 | 24.5 | 16.0 | |
| Jacksonville | 95.6 | 96.3 | 94.3 | 1-1-0 | 18.5 | 27.5 | |
| AFC West | PiRate | Mean | Biased | W-L-T | Pts | Opp | |
| San Diego | 102.5 | 104.4 | 100.3 | 1-1-0 | 26.0 | 17.0 | |
| Kansas City | 97.7 | 99.1 | 98.9 | 2-0-0 | 18.5 | 14.0 | |
| Denver | 97.0 | 98.3 | 96.8 | 1-1-0 | 24.0 | 19.0 | |
| Oakland | 92.0 | 91.8 | 91.5 | 1-1-0 | 14.5 | 26.0 | |
| This Week’s Games | |||||||
| Home Team in CAPS | (N) Denotes Neutral Site | ||||||
| Week 3: September 26-27, 2010 | |||||||
| Vegas Line as of 10:30 PM EDT Tuesday | |||||||
| Favorite | Underdog | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Vegas | Totals | |
| NEW YORK GIANTS | Tennessee | 3.1 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 3 | 42 | |
| NEW ENGLAND | Buffalo | 13.8 | 12.4 | 15.4 | 14 | 42 1/2 | |
| BALTIMORE | Cleveland | 12.1 | 11.8 | 11.4 | 10 1/2 | 37 | |
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TAMPA BAY | 7.8 | 7.3 | 6.6 | 2 1/2 | 33 | |
| CAROLINA | Cincinnati | 0.6 | 5.2 | 3.9 | -3 | 38 1/2 | |
| NEW ORLEANS | Atlanta | 1.8 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 4 | 49 1/2 | |
| KANSAS CITY | San Francisco | 0.5 | 4.5 | 2.2 | -3 | 36 1/2 | |
| MINNESOTA | Detroit | 15.0 | 14.8 | 13.8 | 11 | 42 1/2 | |
| HOUSTON | Dallas | 3.1 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 3 | 47 1/2 | |
| Washington | ST. LOUIS | 7.5 | 8.1 | 9.7 | 3 1/2 | 38 | |
| Philadelphia | JACKSONVILLE | 2.2 | 1.2 | 4.9 | 3 | 44 1/2 | |
| Indianapolis | DENVER | 4.7 | 4.8 | 6.7 | 5 1/2 | 48 | |
| San Diego | SEATTLE | 6.3 | 6.1 | -1.1 | 5 1/2 | 44 | |
| ARIZONA | Oakland | 6.2 | 5.8 | 6.6 | 4 | 39 | |
| New York Jets | MIAMI | 3.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | -2 1/2 | 34 1/2 | |
| Green Bay | CHICAGO | 2.1 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 46 | |
The Pi-Rate Ratings 