The Pi-Rate Ratings

September 13, 2010

PiRate Ratings For College Football: September 16-18, 2010

We are red hot to start the 2010 season.  After starting off week one with a 5-1-1 record, we decided to go with 11 different propositions in week two and finished 8-3.  For the season, our record against the spread stands at 13-4-1 for 76.5%!  Yeah, team.  For those who did not purchase our picks, here is how it went:

 

1. Florida Atlantic + 28 ½ vs. Michigan State                        WON

 

2. Moneyline parlay at even odds: East Carolina, LSU, Boston College, Texas A&M, and Texas all won                                              WON

 

3. 10-point teaser: LSU + ½ vs. Vandy, California +1 vs. Colorado, and Michigan +4 vs. Notre Dame                                                         

WON

 

4. 10-point teaser: Baylor -6 ½ vs. Buffalo, Florida Atlantic +38 ½ vs. Michigan State, and Rice +12 ½ vs. North Texas           

WON

 

5. 10-point teaser: Boston College -7 vs. Kent State, Miami (Fl) +19 vs. Ohio State, and BYU +11 vs. Air Force                             

Lost

 

6. 10-point teaser: Oregon -2 ½ vs. Tennessee, Bowling Green & Tulsa Over 52, and Syracuse +23 ½ vs. Washington                        

WON

 

7. 10-point teaser: Georgia Tech -4 Kansas, Georgia Tech & Kansas Under 60, and East Carolina -2 Memphis                                 

Lost

 

8. 10-point teaser: Detroit + 16 ½ vs. Chicago, New England +5 ½ vs. Cincinnati, and Denver and Jacksonville Over 30             

WON

 

9. 10-point teaser: Indianapolis +8 vs. Houston, Baltimore +2 ½ vs. New York Jets, and San Diego +5 ½ vs. Kansas City              

Lost (already lost on Indy game before the two Monday nighters)

 

10. 13-point teaser: Houston & UTEP Over 57 ½, Wake Forest & Duke Over 36 ½, S. Florida +38 vs. Florida, and Iowa – ½ vs. Iowa St.      

WON

 

11. 13-point teaser: Miami (O) -3 vs. E. Michigan, Texas A&M -6 vs. La. Tech, Alabama +1 ½ vs. Penn St., and S.D. State Pk vs. N. Mex. St. WON

 

We are very happy to see that almost all of you that purchased our picks last week have already done so for this week.  Thank you for your support, and we hope to repeat our performance again.  For those new folks interested in playing with us, go to www.piratings.webs.com to purchase our picks for the week.  Deadline every week is 7PM Eastern Time on Wednesdays.

 

 

The Weekly PiRate Ratings

Requiem for a conference:  Alas poor ACC, I knew it well.  Good bye for your BCS Championship hopes.  In one day, Miami, Florida State, Virginia Tech, and Georgia Tech lost and eliminated themselves from the national title picture.

 

The ACC can now struggle with the Big East as both conferences just might be on the precipice of dropping below the Mountain West Conference. 

 

After two weeks, the once given up for dead Big 12 is looking particularly strong.  In the South, all six teams are 2-0.  Missouri, Nebraska, and Kansas State are 2-0.  No other league has nine 2-0 teams.

 

We do not discount Boise State’s win over Virginia Tech because of the Hokies’ loss to James Madison.  BSU won on the road (virtually a road game) 2,000 miles away from home against a top 10 team.  The Hokies were too flat Saturday and shot themselves in the foot.  We expect VT to catch fire now and play Beamer Ball to the max. 

 

As for the top two teams, Oregon and Alabama proved their worth Saturday.  The Tide looked more like a Bear Bryant team from the 1960’s than last year’s title team.  No Mark Ingram—No problem!  The Tide’s second 22 might be a top 20 team.

 

The Ducks may have been shaken by a one hour thunderstorm delay.  They played a bit lethargically for 25 minutes, and then BOOM.  Oregon ripped off 45 consecutive points about as quickly as they did against New Mexico.  Jeremiah who?

 

PiRate NCAA Top 25 for September 14, 2010
Rank Team PiRate Won Lost
1 Oregon 130.1 2 0
2 Alabama 127.2 2 0
3 Oklahoma 126.6 2 0
4 Ohio State 125.7 2 0
5 Arkansas 124.7 2 0
6 T C U 124.4 2 0
7 South Carolina 122.8 2 0
8 Boise State 122.3 1 0
9 Iowa 121.1 2 0
10 Stanford 120.5 2 0
11 Miami (Fla) 120.5 1 1
12 Nebraska 120.3 2 0
13 Florida 119.9 2 0
14 North Carolina 119.5 0 1
15 Georgia Tech 118.5 1 1
16 Texas 118.4 2 0
17 Virginia Tech 117.7 0 2
18 Auburn 117.6 2 0
19 California 117.0 2 0
20 Arizona 116.8 2 0
21 Florida State 116.7 1 1
22 Texas A&M 116.4 2 0
23 Wisconsin 116.4 2 0
24 L S U 115.9 2 0
25 Georgia 115.9 1 1
         
Note: Ratings rounded to one decimal point
even though I rank them to two decimal points

 

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division      
Team Conf. Overall Rating
Florida State 0-0 1-1 116.7
Clemson 0-0 2-0 113.2
Boston College 0-0 2-0 108.3
Wake Forest 1-0 2-0 103.4
North Carolina State 0-0 2-0 98.6
Maryland 0-0 2-0 96.4
       
Coastal Division      
Team Conf. Overall Rating
Miami-FL 0-0 1-1 120.5
North Carolina 0-0 0-1 119.5
Georgia Tech 0-0 1-1 118.5
Virginia Tech 0-0 0-2 117.7
Virginia 0-0 1-1 97.1
Duke 0-1 1-1 95.5

 

Big East Conference
       
Team Conf. Overall Rating
West Virginia 0-0 2-0 111.4
Connecticut 0-0 1-1 111.4
Pittsburgh 0-0 1-1 110.0
Cincinnati 0-0 1-1 108.2
South Florida 0-0 1-1 105.7
Syracuse 0-0 1-1 101.3
Rutgers 0-0 2-0 95.3
Louisville 0-0 1-1 93.9

 

Big Ten
       
Team Conf. Overall Rating
Ohio State 0-0 2-0 125.7
Iowa 0-0 2-0 121.1
Wisconsin 0-0 2-0 116.4
Michigan 0-0 2-0 110.2
Penn State 0-0 1-1 109.6
Michigan State 0-0 2-0 106.5
Illinois 0-0 1-1 99.8
Minnesota 0-0 1-1 98.9
Purdue 0-0 1-1 97.9
Northwestern 0-0 2-0 95.9
Indiana 0-0 1-0 92.0

 

Big 12
North Division      
Team Conf. Overall Rating
Nebraska 0-0 2-0 120.3
Missouri 0-0 2-0 111.8
Colorado 0-0 1-1 103.0
Kansas 0-0 1-1 100.7
Kansas State 0-0 2-0 97.9
Iowa State 0-0 1-1 95.1
       
South Division      
Team Conf. Overall Rating
Oklahoma 0-0 2-0 126.6
Texas 0-0 2-0 118.4
Texas A&M 0-0 2-0 116.4
Texas Tech 0-0 2-0 112.5
Baylor 0-0 2-0 103.8
Oklahoma State 0-0 2-0 101.2

 

Conference USA
East Division      
Team Conf. Overall Rating
Central Florida 0-0 1-1 94.7
Southern Mississippi 0-0 1-1 91.7
East Carolina 2-0 2-0 91.0
Marshall 0-0 0-2 89.9
U A B 0-1 0-2 87.6
Memphis 0-1 0-2 75.9
       
West Division      
Team Conf. Overall Rating
Houston 1-0 2-0 105.1
S M U 1-0 1-1 94.4
Tulsa 0-1 1-1 92.6
Rice 0-0 1-1 87.0
U T E P 0-1 1-1 81.4
Tulane 0-0 1-1 73.2

 

Independents
       
Team   Overall Rating
Notre Dame   1-1 110.5
Navy   1-1 98.6
Army   1-1 82.8

 

Mid American Conference
East Division      
Team Conf. Overall Rating
Temple 1-0 2-0 90.8
Miami (O) 1-0 1-1 89.3
Kent St. 0-0 1-1 85.9
Ohio U 0-1 1-1 83.0
Buffalo 0-0 1-1 81.4
Bowling Green 0-0 0-2 78.7
Akron 0-0 0-2 75.5
       
West Division      
Team Conf. Overall Rating
Central Michigan 0-1 1-1 89.5
Northern Illinois 0-0 1-1 88.6
Toledo 1-0 1-1 81.4
Ball State 0-0 1-1 79.4
Western Michigan 0-0 1-1 77.7
Eastern Michigan 0-1 0-2 71.8

 

Mountain West Conference
       
Team Conf. Overall Rating
T C U 0-0 2-0 124.4
Utah 1-0 2-0 106.0
Air Force 1-0 2-0 104.2
B Y U 0-1 1-1 102.5
Wyoming 0-0 1-1 95.4
S. D. State 0-0 2-0 94.3
UNLV 0-1 0-2 93.2
Colo. State 0-0 0-2 83.3
New Mexico 0-0 0-2 78.4

 

Pac-10 Conference
       
Team Conf. Overall Rating
Oregon 0-0 2-0 130.1
Stanford 1-0 2-0 120.5
California 0-0 2-0 117.0
Arizona 0-0 2-0 116.8
Washington 0-0 1-1 115.0
Oregon St. 0-0 0-1 113.7
Southern Cal 0-0 2-0 109.3
U C L A 0-1 0-2 105.4
Arizona St. 0-0 2-0 99.0
Wash. St. 0-0 1-1 90.0

 

Southeastern Conference
East Division      
Team Conf. Overall Rating
South Carolina 1-0 2-0 122.8
Florida 0-0 2-0 119.9
Georgia 0-1 1-1 115.9
Kentucky 0-0 2-0 102.8
Tennessee 0-0 1-1 101.6
Vanderbilt 0-1 0-2 94.9
       
West Division      
Team Conf. Overall Rating
Alabama 0-0 2-0 127.2
Arkansas 0-0 2-0 124.7
Auburn 1-0 2-0 117.6
L S U 1-0 2-0 115.9
Mississippi State 0-1 1-1 111.2
Ole Miss 0-0 1-1 103.8

 

Sunbelt Conference
       
Team Conf. Overall Rating
Troy 0-0 1-1 87.9
Middle Tennessee 0-0 1-1 87.9
North Texas 0-0 0-2 82.7
U. of Louisiana 1-0 1-1 81.4
Florida Atlantic 0-0 1-1 80.2
Florida International 0-0 0-1 79.7
Arkansas State 0-1 0-2 77.7
Louisiana-Monroe 0-0 0-1 76.3
Western Kentucky 0-0 0-2 72.7

 

Western Athletic Conference
       
Team Conf. Overall Rating
Boise State 0-0 1-0 122.3
Nevada 0-0 2-0 104.8
Fresno State 0-0 1-0 101.1
Utah State 0-0 1-1 98.0
Louisiana Tech 0-0 1-1 94.2
Idaho 0-0 1-1 91.3
Hawaii 0-0 1-1 86.5
San Jose State 0-0 0-2 83.7
New Mexico State 0-0 0-1 77.2

 

 

Caution: Never use the raw PiRate ratings to determine betting options for football games.  They are only a starting point.  We do not use our raw ratings when me make our selections, and neither should you.

 

This Week’s Games–PiRate Ratings
Home Team Advantage Added (2-5 points)    
Thursday, September 16      
Favorite Underdog Spread Score
Cincinnati NORTH CAROLINA ST. 6.6 27-20
       
Friday, September 17      
Favorite Underdog Spread Score
Kansas SOUTHERN MISS 6.0 34-28
California NEVADA 9.7 34-24
       
Saturday, September 18      
Favorite Underdog Spread Score
Arkansas GEORGIA 5.3 31-26
KENTUCKY Akron 30.3 44-14
Indiana WESTERN KENTUCKY 16.8 34-17
MISSOURI San Diego State 21.5 40-18
OLE MISS Vanderbilt 11.9 21-9
NORTH CAROLINA Georgia Tech 4.0 28-24
OHIO STATE Ohio U 45.2 48-3
OKLAHOMA STATE Tulsa 11.1 38-27
PENN STATE Kent State 27.2 34-7
Connecticut TEMPLE 18.1 28-10
Northwestern RICE 5.9 34-28
WEST VIRGINIA Maryland 18.0 35-17
ILLINOIS Northern Illinois 13.7 31-17
ARKANSAS STATE La.-Monroe 3.9 31-27
Kansas State (at KC) Iowa State 4.8 27-22
PURDUE Ball State 21.0 35-14
ARMY North Texas 3.6 24-20
VIRGINIA TECH East Carolina 30.2 44-14
COLORADO Hawaii 20.0 41-21
FLORIDA STATE B y u 17.7 38-20
Southern Cal MINNESOTA 6.9 20-13
Alabama DUKE 29.2 35-6
MIAMI (O) Colorado State 9.5 31-21
OKLAHOMA Air Force 25.4 42-17
Nebraska WASHINGTON 1.8 19-17
WISCONSIN Arizona State 20.9 38-17
Florida TENNESSEE 14.8 28-13
S M U Washington State 7.4 34-27
U A B Troy 2.2 30-28
Central Michigan EASTERN MICHIGAN 15.2 35-20
T C U Baylor 23.6 34-10
OREGON STATE Louisville 24.3 38-14
AUBURN Clemson 7.4 34-27
Marshall BOWLING GREEN 8.7 30-21
Middle Tennessee MEMPHIS 9.5 45-35
TEXAS A&M Florida Int’l 40.2 52-12
Central Florida BUFFALO 9.8 27-17
Toledo WESTERN MICHIGAN 1.2 28-27
Navy LOUISIANA TECH 0.9 24-23
L S U Mississippi State 7.7 31-23
Fresno State UTAH STATE 0.6 31-30
Texas TEXAS TECH 2.9 31-28
Utah NEW MEXICO 24.6 28-3
Boise State WYOMING 23.9 34-10
U T E P New Mexico State 6.7 34-27
Iowa ARIZONA 0.8 17-16
U C L A Houston 3.8 38-34
IDAHO U n l v 1.1 31-30
STANFORD Wake Forest 21.1 38-17

 

 

This Week’s Games–Mean & Biased Ratings
       
Thursday, September 16      
Favorite Underdog Mean Biased
NORTH CAROLINA ST. Cincinnati 26-24 21-17
       
Friday, September 17      
Favorite Underdog Mean Biased
Kansas SOUTHERN MISS 28-27 17-27
California NEVADA 34-31 44-24
       
Saturday, September 18      
Favorite Underdog Mean Biased
GEORGIA Arkansas 24-22 28-24
KENTUCKY Akron 42-13 41-14
Indiana WESTERN KENTUCKY 35-24 31-20
MISSOURI San Diego State 35-17 35-17
OLE MISS Vanderbilt 19-7 20-7
NORTH CAROLINA Georgia Tech 28-24 31-27
OHIO STATE Ohio U 40-7 54-7
OKLAHOMA STATE Tulsa 45-33 45-35
PENN STATE Kent State 31-7 28-6
Connecticut TEMPLE 24-24 to ot 27-17
Northwestern RICE 34-24 27-20
WEST VIRGINIA Maryland 31-23 28-23
ILLINOIS Northern Illinois 31-20 30-18
ARKANSAS STATE La.-Monroe 30-30 to ot 34-27
Kansas State (at KC) Iowa State 26-21 24-19
PURDUE Ball State 31-17 35-14
ARMY North Texas 27-21 24-31
VIRGINIA TECH East Carolina 33-20 35-24
COLORADO Hawaii 31-24 31-26
FLORIDA STATE B y u 34-32 33-21
Southern Cal MINNESOTA 21-10 21-12
Alabama DUKE 35-10 44-13
MIAMI (O) Colorado State 30-24 32-24
OKLAHOMA Air Force 31-21 41-17
Nebraska WASHINGTON 26-20 27-14
WISCONSIN Arizona State 34-24 28-17
Florida TENNESSEE 28-14 27-14
S M U Washington State 34-14 44-20
Troy U A B 31-23 38-26
Central Michigan EASTERN MICHIGAN 34-17 24-17
T C U Baylor 34-14 30-16
OREGON STATE Louisville 30-10 35-14
AUBURN Clemson 33-28 31-24
BOWLING GREEN Marshall 28-26 26-30
Middle Tennessee MEMPHIS 42-34 38-34
TEXAS A&M Florida Int’l 42-17 40-17
Central Florida BUFFALO 24-19 24-20
WESTERN MICHIGAN Toledo 28-25 27-21
Navy LOUISIANA TECH 24-20 20-24
L S U Mississippi State 31-20 19-17
Fresno State UTAH STATE 35-30 28-20
Texas TEXAS TECH 28-26 24-20
Utah NEW MEXICO 40-14 37-14
Boise State WYOMING 35-13 41-17
U T E P New Mexico State 35-22 38-28
ARIZONA Iowa 24-23 24-21
Houston U C L A 35-28 42-31
IDAHO U n l v 41-33 38-30
STANFORD Wake Forest 35-21 42-24

 

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