The Pi-Rate Ratings

November 17, 2009

PiRate Ratings and Spreads For NFL Week 11: November 19-23, 2009

Toilet Bowl Heads Schedule

 

Seldom do we get a chance to see the reverse of the Super Bowl in a given year, but this week presents the football fan with the Toilet Bowl.  The worst team in the NFC faces the worst team in the AFC when Cleveland plays Detroit.  The game features a Browns’ team that has trouble crossing midfield much less scoring against a Lions’ team that alternates from weak-to-weak whether they play like crap on offense or defense (or both).

 

In other games, the Indianapolis Colts could find it quite difficult keeping their undefeated mark intact.  Expect another tough game for Peyton Manning and company, when they visit Baltimore.  By now, the Colts returning to Baltimore shouldn’t be much of a story.

 

Several games this week will go a long way in deciding playoff contenders.  The losers in the Atlanta-New York Giants, Philadelphia-Chicago, Green Bay-San Francisco, and San Diego-Denver games will be on the outside, looking in.  Additionally, The Jets face a must-win game at New England, while both the Texans and Jaguars need to take care of business at home against the Titans and Bills respectively. 

 

Current NFL PiRate Ratings
               
               

 

NFC East

 

PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
NY Giants 103.8 102.1 102.3 5-4-0 232 204
Dallas 103.3 104.7 103.5 6-3-0 224 169
Philadelphia 103.8 104.7 104.6 5-3-0 219 153
Washington 93.0 92.6 93.4 2-6-0 113 154
               
NFC North PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Minnesota 106.5 105.6 107.3 8-1-0 271 184
Green Bay 100.7 102.0 101.2 5-4-0 232 179
Chicago 98.1 99.0 97.7 4-5-0 186 201
Detroit 90.7 89.4 88.9 1-8-0 143 264
               
NFC South PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
New Orleans 112.4 109.1 109.8 9-0-0 331 197
Atlanta 102.9 102.5 101.8 5-4-0 221 194
Carolina   100.5 98.8 98.7 4-5-0 176 215
Tampa Bay 92.2 93.0 92.3 1-8-0 157 256
               
NFC West PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Arizona 104.0 104.6 104.2 6-3-0 229 184
San Francisco 99.1 99.3 98.6 4-5-0 184 180
Seattle 96.0 96.4 96.2 3-6-0 187 198
St. Louis 88.0 90.4 91.6 1-8-0 100 249
               
AFC East PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
New England 111.5 107.8 108.7 6-3-0 259 150
NY Jets 99.9 100.8 100.2 4-5-0 199 158
Miami 98.6 100.6 99.3 4-5-0 218 227
Buffalo 94.1 94.8 93.7 3-6-0 140 210
               
AFC North PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Baltimore 108.9 105.4 104.7 5-4-0 222 154
Pittsburgh 108.2 105.4 105.8 6-3-0 207 157
Cincinnati 106.2 105.3 106.6 7-2-0 198 147
Cleveland 87.9 90.1 89.1 1-8-0 78 225
               
AFC South PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Indianapolis 111.0 108.3 109.9 9-0-0 252 142
Houston 103.8 102.9 103.0 5-4-0 215 188
Tennessee 99.6 99.4 99.4 3-6-0 189 255
Jacksonville 93.8 96.6 98.8 5-4-0 181 220
               
AFC West PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
San Diego 104.5 102.8 105.1 6-3-0 237 202
Denver 98.2 100.5 101.0 6-3-0 167 151
Kansas City 89.5 93.5 93.1 2-7-0 142 215
Oakland 88.3 90.3 91.0 2-7-0 88 217

 

This Week’s Games
Home Team in CAPS (N) Denotes Neutral Site          
             
HFA for Week 11 = 2.5            
Vegas Line as of 5:30PM EDT Tuesday            
Thursday, November 19, 2009            
Favorite Underdog PiRate Mean Bias Vegas Totals
CAROLINA Miami 4.4 0.7 1.9 3    43   
             
Sunday, November 22, 2009            
Favorite Underdog PiRate Mean Bias Vegas Totals
DETROIT Cleveland 5.3 1.8 2.3 3 1/2 38 1/2
JACKSONVILLE Buffalo 2.2 4.3 7.6 8 1/2 42 1/2
Pittsburgh KANSAS CITY 16.2 9.4 10.2 10    40 1/2
BALTIMORE Indianapolis 0.4 -0.4 -2.7 1    44 1/2
N Y GIANTS Atlanta 3.4 2.0 3.1 6 1/2 46   
GREEN BAY San Francisco 4.1 5.2 5.1 6 1/2 42 1/2
MINNESOTA Seattle 13.0 11.7 13.6 11    46   
DALLAS Washington 11.7 12.2 11.1 11    41 1/2
New Orleans TAMPA BAY 17.7 13.6 15.0 11    51   
Arizona ST. LOUIS 13.5 11.7 10.1 9    46 1/2
NEW ENGLAND N Y Jets 14.1 9.5 11.0 10    45   
Cincinnati OAKLAND 15.4 12.5 13.1 9 1/2 36   
San Diego DENVER 3.8 -0.2 1.6 NL NL
Philadelphia CHICAGO 2.4 2.3 2.4 3    45   
             
Monday, November 23, 2009            
Favorite Underdog PiRate Mean Bias Vegas Totals
HOUSTON Tennessee 6.7 6.1 5.2 4 1/2 47 1/2

 

Playoff Projections

 

NFC

 

Atlanta at Arizona

Dallas at New York Giants

 

New Orleans vs. Lower Remaining Seed

Minnesota vs. Higher Remaining Seed

 

AFC

 

Houston at Cincinnati

Pittsburgh at New England

 

Indianapolis vs. Lower Remaining Seed

San Diego vs. Higher Remaining Seed

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