The Pi-Rate Ratings

November 3, 2009

PiRate Ratings and Spreads For NFL Week Nine: November 8-9, 2009

Five Key Intra-Divisional Games Highlight Week

 

Week nine finds five key intra-divisional games as well as three other inter-divisional spectaculars.  Cincinnati beat the Ravens in Baltimore earlier in the season, and if the Bengals complete the sweep, Baltimore will find its playoff hopes beginning to dim.

 

Houston visits Indianapolis, and if the Colts win, they will be up four games at the halfway point of the season.  Should the Texans find a way to pull off the upset, Coach Gary Kubiak’s squad will climb to the top of the Wildcard bubble.

 

New England hosts Miami, and the Patriots are coming off a bye week.  A New England win will virtually clinch the AFC East title, but a Dolphin win throws the race open once again.

 

Carolina visits New Orleans in a game that looks like another easy win for the Saints.  However, the Panthers won at Arizona last week, and they could climb back in the playoff race with an upset.

 

Dallas visits Philadelphia, and to the winner goes first place in the NFC East.  It should be an exciting Sunday night game with scoring aplenty.

 

The other three big games are Arizona at Chicago, San Diego at New York (Giants), and Pittsburgh at Denver on Monday night.  All six of these teams are jockeying for playoff positioning.

 

Current NFL PiRate Ratings
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NFC East

 

PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Philadelphia 104.6 105.0 104.9 5-2-0 203 133
NY Giants 104.2 102.8 102.0 5-3-0 212 183
Dallas 103.6 104.8 104.7 5-2-0 197 136
Washington 93.0 92.9 92.4 2-5-0 96 123
               
NFC North PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Minnesota 106.5 105.9 106.6 7-1-0 244 174
Green Bay 102.8 102.5 102.8 4-3-0 187 134
Chicago 100.9 100.8 101.5 4-3-0 159 150
Detroit 91.3 89.6 89.0 1-6-0 113 205
               
NFC South PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
New Orleans 114.6 112.5 112.0 7-0-0 273 154
Atlanta 104.3 104.2 104.1 4-3-0 171 149
Carolina   98.6 96.7 97.8 3-4-0 128 166
Tampa Bay 88.2 89.7 87.2 0-7-0 96 203
               
NFC West PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Arizona 101.5 102.3 101.3 4-3-0 157 143
San Francisco 101.1 100.7 102.1 3-4-0 147 140
Seattle 95.6 96.9 96.7 2-5-0 135 147
St. Louis 86.3 87.9 90.6 1-7-0 77 221
               
AFC East PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
New England 111.7 108.3 108.8 5-2-0 198 98
NY Jets 101.5 103.3 100.9 4-4-0 177 134
Miami 99.2 102.5 102.1 3-4-0 176 177
Buffalo 96.3 96.2 98.5 3-5-0 123 169
               
AFC North PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Baltimore 110.5 107.1 107.1 4-3-0 199 137
Pittsburgh 107.3 104.3 105.9 5-2-0 167 129
Cincinnati 103.3 103.4 104.3 5-2-0 163 128
Cleveland 88.0 90.4 85.5 1-7-0 78 209
               
AFC South PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
Indianapolis 111.7 108.2 109.9 7-0-0 197 91
Houston 103.1 102.0 103.4 5-3-0 198 168
Tennessee 94.9 94.9 94.3 1-6-0 114 211
Jacksonville 92.4 94.6 96.8 3-4-0 133 177
               
AFC West PiRate Mean Biased W-L-T Pts Opp
San Diego 103.3 101.9 104.0 4-3-0 185 159
Denver 101.4 105.3 104.9 6-1-0 140 96
Oakland 89.3 90.6 89.9 2-6-0 78 201
Kansas City 88.3 92.2 88.3 1-6-0 105 181

 

This Week’s Games

 

Home Team in CAPS (N) Denotes Neutral Site          
             
HFA for Week 9 = 2.3            
Vegas Line as of 5:30PM EDT Tuesday            
Sunday, November 8, 2009            
Favorite Underdog PiRate Mean Bias Vegas Totals

 

JACKSONVILLE Kansas City 6.4 4.7 10.8 6    42   

 

Baltimore CINCINNATI 4.9 1.4 0.5 3    44   

 

INDIANAPOLIS Houston 10.9 8.5 8.8 9    47 1/2

 

ATLANTA Washington 13.6 13.6 14.0 10 ½ 41 1/2

 

Green Bay TAMPA BAY 12.3 10.5 13.3 10    43 1/2

 

CHICAGO Arizona 1.7 0.8 2.5 3    44   

 

NEW ENGLAND Miami 14.8 8.1 9.0 10 1/2 46 1/2

 

NEW ORLEANS Carolina 18.3 18.1 16.5 13 1/2 51 1/2

 

SEATTLE Detroit 6.6 9.6 10.0 10    43   

 

SAN FRANCISCO Tennessee 8.5 8.1 10.1 4    41   

 

NEW YORK GIANTS San Diego 3.2 3.2 0.3 5    47 1/2

 

PHILADELPHIA Dallas 3.3 2.5 2.5 3    47 1/2

 

             

 

             

 

             

 

             

 

Monday, November 9, 2009            

 

Favorite Underdog PiRate Mean Bias Vegas Totals

 

Pittsburgh DENVER 3.6 -3.3 -1.3 3    39 1/2

 

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