The Pi-Rate Ratings

November 2, 2009

PiRate Ratings and Spreads For College Football–November 3-7, 2009

Several Big Games To Highlight Weekend

PiRate Ratings Go 9-2 Against Spread

 

Several key games dot the college football schedule this week, and because so many could go either way, we think it’s time to start paring the number of college games we select.  After a 9-2 against the spread, the PiRates are counting their booty.  Our two week record against the spread is 17-3-1, and our percentage for the season is now 63.5% (54-31-2).  We will be playing with Vegas’s money the rest of the year, so we will guarantee ourselves a winning season and play fewer games from here on out, unless we see too many easy ones to pass up.

 

That 9-2 record was really nice, but when we see just how close we came to going 11-0, it is almost a tad disappointing.  We had Indiana +17, and for so long that game looked good until Iowa scored four quick touchdowns.  The other loss was on a 10-point teaser, and two of the three games had already won when a late Brett Favre touchdown pass moved the total score from 57 to 64 points (The 10-point teaser line was 57 ½).  We won with Minnesota +3 vs. Green Bay, Georgia Tech -11 vs. Vanderbilt, Illinois +7 vs. Michigan, Louisville -165 money line vs. Arkansas St., Houston -3 vs. Buffalo, Baltimore -3 ½ vs. Denver, North Carolina +16 ½ vs. Va. Tech, and three teasers.

 

NCAA Top 25 For October 26, 2009
Rank Team PiRate Won Lost
1 Texas 136.3 8 0
2 Florida  133.4 8 0
3 Oklahoma 129.8 5 3
4 Alabama 128.9 7 0
5 Oregon 121.9 7 1
6 T C U 121.8 8 0
7 Southern Cal 120.9 6 2
8 Boise St. 119.7 8 0
9 Georgia Tech 119.2 8 1
10 Penn St. 118.9 8 1
11 Iowa 117.9 9 0
12 Va. Tech 117.9 5 3
13 Ohio St. 116.4 7 2
14 Okla. St. 116.0 6 2
15 California 115.8 6 2
16 Cincinnati 115.3 8 0
17 Pittsburgh 115.3 7 1
18 Nebraska 115.1 5 3
19 Ole Miss 114.1 5 3
20 L  S  U 113.9 7 1
21 Miami (Fla.) 113.7 6 2
22 Tennessee 113.6 4 4
23 Arkansas 112.8 4 4
24 Clemson 112.7 5 3
25 Stanford 112.3 5 3

 

 

     
Note: Ratings rounded to one decimal point
Even though I rank them to two decimal points

 

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division

 

 

 

Team Conf. Overall Rating
Clemson 3-2 5-3 112.7
Boston College 3-2 6-3 110.8
Florida State 2-3 4-4 109.7
Wake Forest 2-3 4-5 104.8
North Carolina State 0-4 3-5 103.2
Maryland 1-3 2-6 91.4

 

 

 

 

Coastal Division

 

 

 

Team Conf. Overall Rating
Georgia Tech 5-1 8-1 119.2
Virginia Tech 3-2 5-3 117.9
Miami-FL 3-2 6-2 113.7
North Carolina 1-3 5-3 108.3
Duke 3-1 5-3 102.5
Virginia 2-2 3-5 98.2

 

Big East Conference
 

 

 

 

Team Conf. Overall Rating
Cincinnati 4-0 8-0 115.3
Pittsburgh 4-0 7-1 115.3
South Florida 2-2 6-2 105.3
West Virginia 2-1 6-2 104.1
Connecticut 1-3 4-4 103.6
Rutgers 1-2 6-2 101.8
Syracuse 0-3 3-5 92.4
Louisville 0-3 3-5 92.4

 

Big Ten

 

 

 

 

Team Conf. Overall Rating
Penn State 4-1 8-1 118.9
Iowa 5-0 9-0 117.9
Ohio State 4-1 7-2 116.4
Wisconsin 3-2 6-2 105.0
Michigan State 3-3 4-5 102.6
Minnesota 3-3 5-4 100.1
Michigan 1-4 5-4 98.3
Purdue 2-3 3-6 95.6
Northwestern 2-3 5-4 94.9
Illinois 1-5 2-6 94.0
Indiana 1-4 4-5 91.5

 

Big 12
North Division

 

 

 

Team Conf. Overall Rating
Nebraska 2-2 5-3 115.1
Kansas 1-3 5-3 105.9
Missouri 1-3 5-3 104.9
Kansas State 3-2 5-4 98.9
Iowa State 2-3 5-4 95.5
Colorado 1-3 2-6 95.0

 

 

 

 

South Division

 

 

 

Team Conf. Overall Rating
Texas 5-0 8-0 136.3
Oklahoma 3-1 5-3 129.8
Oklahoma State 3-1 6-2 116.0
Texas Tech 3-2 6-3 112.3
Texas A&M 2-2 5-3 99.8
Baylor 0-4 3-5 99.0

 

Conference USA
East Division

 

 

 

Team Conf. Overall Rating
Southern Mississippi 3-2 5-4 100.7
East Carolina 4-1 5-3 99.9
Marshall 3-2 5-4 95.7
Central Florida 3-2 5-3 95.5
U A B 3-2 3-5 88.9
Memphis 1-4 2-6 84.0

 

 

 

 

West Division

 

 

 

Team Conf. Overall Rating
Houston 3-1 7-1 106.0
Tulsa 2-2 4-4 97.1
U T E P 2-2 3-5 91.8
S M U 3-1 4-4 90.3
Rice 0-4 0-8 76.4
Tulane 0-4 2-6 73.8
Independents

 

 

 

 

Team   Overall Rating
Notre Dame

 

6-2 109.4
Navy

 

6-3 100.6
Army

 

3-5 82.7
             

 

Mid American Conference
East Division

 

 

 

Team Conf. Overall Rating
Temple 4-0 6-2 100.2
Buffalo 1-3 3-5 92.4
Ohio U 4-1 6-3 90.1
Kent St. 4-1 5-4 88.9
Bowling Green 2-2 3-5 88.6
Akron 0-4 1-7 82.5
Miami (O) 1-4 1-8 77.4

 

 

 

 

West Division

 

 

 

Team Conf. Overall Rating
Central Michigan 5-0 7-2 106.7
Northern Illinois 3-1 5-3 94.4
Western Michigan 3-3 4-5 88.4
Toledo 2-3 4-5 86.7
Ball State 1-4 1-8 81.3
Eastern Michigan 0-4 0-8 79.2

 

Mountain West Conference

 

 

 

 

Team Conf. Overall Rating
T C U 4-0 8-0 121.8
B Y U 3-1 6-2 109.8
Utah 4-0 7-1 106.3
Air Force 4-2 5-4 99.5
S. D. State 2-2 4-4 89.8
Colo. State 0-5 3-6 89.8
Wyoming 2-2 4-4 89.1
UNLV 1-4 3-6 86.8
New Mexico 0-4 0-8 74.7

 

Pac-10 Conference

 

 

 

 

Team Conf. Overall Rating
Oregon 5-0 7-1 121.9
Southern Cal 3-2 6-2 120.9
California 3-2 6-2 115.8
Stanford 4-2 5-3 112.3
Arizona 3-1 5-2 111.4
Oregon St. 3-2 5-3 105.4
U C L A 0-5 3-5 103.5
Arizona St. 2-3 4-4 102.8
Washington 2-3 3-5 98.7
Wash. St. 0-5 1-7 76.3

 

Southeastern Conference
East Division

 

 

 

Team Conf. Overall Rating
Florida 6-0 8-0 133.4
Tennessee 2-3 4-4 113.6
Georgia 3-3 4-4 109.2
South Carolina 3-3 6-3 107.6
Kentucky 1-4 4-4 102.9
Vanderbilt 0-5 2-7 92.7

 

 

 

 

West Division

 

 

 

Team Conf. Overall Rating
Alabama 5-0 8-0 128.9
Ole Miss 2-3 5-3 114.1
L S U 4-1 7-1 113.9
Arkansas 1-4 4-4 112.8
Auburn 3-3 6-3 105.3
Mississippi State 2-3 4-5 101.6

 

Sunbelt Conference

 

 

 

 

Team Conf. Overall Rating
Troy 5-0 6-2 99.1
Arkansas State 1-2 2-5 92.3
Middle Tennessee 3-1 5-3 89.7
Louisiana-Monroe 3-0 3-4 88.1
Florida International 2-3 2-6 84.9
Florida Atlantic 2-2 2-5 84.7
Louisiana 2-2 4-4 81.2
North Texas 1-4 2-6 78.7
Western Kentucky 0-4 0-8 71.7

 

Western Athletic Conference

 

 

 

 

Team Conf. Overall Rating
Boise State 3-0 8-0 119.7
Fresno State 4-1 5-3 102.4
Nevada 4-0 5-3 100.4
Louisiana Tech 2-3 3-5 95.9
Utah State 1-3 2-6 93.7
Idaho 4-1 7-2 90.6
San Jose State 0-3 1-6 86.3
Hawaii 0-5 2-6 82.0
New Mexico State 1-3 3-6 71.8

 

Reminder: Don’t use these ratings against the spread when you pick games.  We rely on several other factors when we pick games against the spread.

For our weekly picks, go to www.piratings.webs.com and select “Picks vs. Vegas Line.”  We’re a great bargain at just $5 per week.

 

This Week’s Games–PiRate & Mean Ratings

Home Team in CAPS (N) Denotes Neutral Site

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tuesday, November 3

 

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog Score Mean
BUFFALO Bowling Green 6.5 28-21 0

 

 

 

 

 

Thursday, November 5

 

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog Score Mean
NORTHERN ILLINOIS Eastern Michigan 18.2 35-17 23
TEMPLE Miami-OH 25.5 33-7 19
Virginia Tech EAST CAROLINA 15.0 27-12 10

 

 

 

 

 

Friday, November 6

 

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog Score Mean
Boise State LOUISIANA TECH 20.5 34-13 22

 

 

 

 

 

Saturday, November 7

 

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog Score Mean
MICHIGAN STATE Western Michigan 16.7 34-17 14
CINCINNATI Connecticut 14.7 24-9 18
PITTSBURGH Syracuse 25.9 35-9 24
IOWA Northwestern 26.2 36-10 23
MINNESOTA Illinois 9.3 35-26 11
WEST VIRGINIA Louisville 14.7 35-20 15
N. C. STATE Maryland 14.8 35-20 7
GEORGIA TECH Wake Forest 17.4 41-24 17
NORTH CAROLINA Duke 7.8 31-23 7
Wisconsin INDIANA 10.5 34-23 11
ARKANSAS South Carolina 8.2 35-27 6
Oklahoma State IOWA STATE 17.8 35-17 6
MISSOURI Baylor 8.9 21-12 11
FLORIDA Vanderbilt 44.0 47-3 37
Brigham Young WYOMING 17.7 31-13 11
NOTRE DAME Navy 12.3 38-26 9
S M U Rice 16.6 34-17 24
U t e p TULANE 15.3 42-27 6
ALABAMA L s u 18.2 28-10 9
TEXAS Central Florida 44.8 52-7 32
Kent State AKRON 3.9 24-20 6
AIR FORCE Army 19.8 30-10 21
Kansas KANSAS STATE 5.0 27-22 1
Oklahoma NEBRASKA 11.7 24-12 2
PENN STATE Ohio State 5.5 16-10 5
T c u SAN DIEGO STATE 29.0 42-13 25
Fresno State IDAHO 8.8 30-21 6
UTAH New Mexico 34.6 42-7 33
ARIZONA Washington State 38.3 55-17 27
CALIFORNIA Oregon State 13.4 27-14 6
U C L A Washington 7.8 35-27 4
Oregon STANFORD 6.9 31-24 10
Texas A&M COLORADO 1.8 28-26 7
MIAMI-FL Virginia 18.7 33-14 14
TENNESSEE Memphis 32.6 47-14 28
CLEMSON Florida State 6.0 34-28 10
Houston TULSA 5.9 37-31 8
Southern Cal ARIZONA STATE 15.1 38-23 11
MICHIGAN Purdue 5.7 30-24 6
Colorado State U N L V 0.3 24-24 ot 0
Utah State HAWAII 8.7 30-21 1
U A B Florida Atlantic 6.7 30-23 5
UL-Monroe NORTH TEXAS 6.7 34-27 5
Troy WESTERN KENTUCKY 24.9 45-20 26
ARKANSAS STATE UL-Lafayette 13.8 34-20 10
MIDDLE TENNESSEE Florida Int’l 7.8 24-16 12

 

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