The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 20, 2009

PiRate Ratings and Spreads For NFL Week Seven: October 25-26, 2009

Vikings-Steelers Headline The Week

 

Brett Favre is the modern day Y.A. Tittle.  Tittle was considered over-the-hill and washed up after 1960.  After playing three years with the Baltimore Colts, two of them in the old All American Football Conference, Tittle spent 10 years with the San Francisco 49ers.  In 1960, John Brodie took his job away.  Tittle went to the New York Giants for the 1961 season and spent four years starting as their quarterback.  His record as a starter for the Giants his first three years was 31-5-1, and his best statistical season was 1963 at the age of 37, when he led the NFL with a 104.8 passer rating.  Tittle led the Giants to the NFL Championship Game all three of those years.

 

History lesson over.  Favre is three years older now than Tittle was in 1963, but through six games, he is having his best year statistically in his career.  His 109.5 passer rating is almost 10 points higher than his previous best.  He’s completing nearly 70% of his passes, and he has 12 touchdown strikes to just two interceptions.

 

His counterpart Sunday, Ben Roethlisberger, is also off to his best ever start in the NFL.  His 104.5 Passer Rating looks all the more impressive when you throw in he is leading the AFC in passing yards. 

 

This should be quite an entertaining game this week, and who know?  We could be watching a preview of the Super Bowl. 

 

The other big game this week is New Orleans at Miami.  It’s awfully early in the season, but the Dolphins have quite a history for ending opposing teams’ undefeated seasons.  Miami is playing sound ball after beginning the season with three tough losses.  The Dolphins benefit from having an extra week to prepare for this game, and it’s their style of play that could put keep Drew Brees on the sideline longer than he needs to stay sharp.

 

We here wonder how the New England Patriots will be received in London.  Will the fans at Wembly Stadium cheer for the team with the word “England” in their title, or will they boo a team with the nickname of “Patriots?”  It won’t affect the game, because the team with the name “Tampa Bay” could hire Tony Blair or Gordon Brown as coach and perform no worse than they have to date.  Too bad the Bucs don’t play St. Louis or Tennessee.

 

Current NFL PiRate Ratings

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFC East

 

PiRate

Mean

Biased

W-L-T

Pts

Opp

NY Giants

107.6

106.3

106.6

5-1-0

178

119

Philadelphia 

103.0

103.3

103.3

3-2-0

136

99

Dallas  

99.7

102.4

102.4

3-2-0

122

98

Washington

93.3

93.7

91.6

2-4-0

79

96

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFC North

PiRate

Mean

Biased

W-L-T

Pts

Opp

Minnesota

106.4

105.4

107.4

6-0-0

189

121

Chicago  

103.0

103.3

103.3

3-2-0

119

99

Green Bay

101.5

101.9

103.3

3-2-0

130

93

Detroit  

93.0

91.6

93.5

1-5-0

103

188

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFC South

PiRate

Mean

Biased

W-L-T

Pts

Opp

New Orleans

113.8

112.2

111.4

5-0-0

192

93

Atlanta  

106.6

105.1

105.6

4-1-0

123

77

Carolina  

98.4

96.0

97.3

2-3-0

85

125

Tampa Bay

88.9

91.3

86.6

0-6-0

89

168

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFC West

PiRate

Mean

Biased

W-L-T

Pts

Opp

Arizona  

100.9

103.5

103.5

3-2-0

112

92

San Francisco

100.5

100.2

101.6

3-2-0

112

98

Seattle  

96.5

98.4

98.0

2-4-0

118

109

St. Louis  

87.9

87.4

88.7

0-6-0

54

169

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC East

PiRate

Mean

Biased

W-L-T

Pts

Opp

New England

111.0

107.2

107.5

4-2-0

163

91

NY Jets  

99.6

101.2

100.4

3-3-0

114

104

Miami

98.8

100.9

100.4

2-3-0

112

106

Buffalo  

96.0

96.4

95.7

2-4-0

93

129

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC North

PiRate

Mean

Biased

W-L-T

Pts

Opp

Baltimore

109.3

104.8

103.6

3-3-0

169

130

Pittsburgh

106.2

103.3

105.1

4-2-0

140

112

Cincinnati

100.5

99.9

102.1

4-2-0

118

118

Cleveland

91.4

93.2

92.3

1-5-0

69

148

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC South

PiRate

Mean

Biased

W-L-T

Pts

Opp

Indianapolis

110.0

108.6

109.6

5-0-0

137

71

Houston  

101.6

99.3

100.4

3-3-0

143

137

Tennessee

93.7

93.9

89.9

0-6-0

84

198

Jacksonville

93.6

96.8

95.3

3-3-0

120

147

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC West

PiRate

Mean

Biased

W-L-T

Pts

Opp

Denver  

102.6

105.6

106.1

6-0-0

133

66

San Diego

101.7

100.5

101.9

2-3-0

124

136

Oakland  

91.5

91.8

92.1

2-4-0

62

139

Kansas City

91.1

94.2

93.7

1-5-0

98

144

This Week’s Games

Home Team in CAPS (N) Denotes Neutral Site          
   

 

 

 

 

 

HFA for Week 7 = 2.7    

 

 

 

 

Vegas Line as of 7:30PM EDT Tuesday  

 

 

 

 

 

Sunday, October 25, 2009  

 

 

 

 

 

Favorite Underdog

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Vegas

Totals

San Diego KANSAS CITY

7.9

3.6

5.5

5 1/2

44   

Indianapolis ST. LOUIS

19.4

18.5

17.9

13   

45   

CINCINNATI Chicago

0.2

-0.7

1.5

1 1/2

41 1/2

Green Bay CLEVELAND

7.4

6.0

8.3

7   

41 1/2

PITTSBURGH Minnesota

2.5

0.6

0.4

4   

45   

New England     (N) Tampa Bay

22.1

15.9

20.9

15   

45   

HOUSTON San Francisco

3.8

1.8

1.5

3   

44   

New York Jets OAKLAND

5.4

6.7

5.6

6   

34 1/2

CAROLINA Buffalo

5.1

2.3

4.3

NL

NL

New Orleans MIAMI

12.3

8.3

7.9

6   

47   

Atlanta DALLAS

4.2

0.0

0.5

-4   

47 1/2

NEW YORK GIANTS Arizona

9.4

5.5

5.8

7   

46   

   

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

Monday, October 26, 2009  

 

 

 

 

 

Favorite Underdog

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Vegas

Totals

Philadelphia WASHINGTON

7.0

6.9

9.0

7   

37 1/2

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