NFL Week 6—Three Games Worth Watching
As we start the middle third of the NFL season, three week six games are worth noting. The New Orleans Saints host the New York Giants in a battle of unbeaten teams. With recent parity in the league, there haven’t been many recent matchups of unbeaten teams in week six. In 2007, New England, on its way to a 16-0 regular season record, disposed of undefeated Dallas in week six. Then, a few weeks later, the Patriots met an undefeated Indianapolis team and won.
The Baltimore Ravens are facing a 3-3 record after beginning 3-0 if they cannot handle Brett Favre, Adrian Peterson, and company at the Metrodome. If the Vikings win, it will be their first 6-0 record since 1998, when they finished 15-1.
The Chicago Bears, coming off a bye week play at Atlanta. The Falcons are fresh off a slaughter of the San Francisco 49ers. The winner of this battle of 3-1 teams will have a leg up in the standings for a possible wildcard spot if neither can overtake their undefeated intra-divisional rivals.
There are potentially five really crappy ballgames this week. Any and all five could see the favorite winning by three to five touchdowns. Pittsburgh hosts a Cleveland team that can do little more than pass the ball to the line of scrimmage. Jacksonville hosts St. Louis; if the Rams lose big in this one, they may be worse than last year’s Lions. Oakland hosts Philadelphia. The Raiders lost by 37 to the Giants last week and enjoy virtually no home field advantage any more. If the Eagles come ready for slaughter, they could hang half a hundred on the Raiders this week. The hapless Bills must face an angry Jets team at The Meadowlands. If Buffalo couldn’t beat Cleveland when Derek Anderson completed just two of 17 passes, how will they stop the Jets’ potent and balanced offense? New England is looking to take out their frustrations on somebody after letting one slip away in the cold Rocky Mountain air at Denver. Lucky for the Patriots, they get an 0-5 Tennessee team that has no pass defense and appears to be ready to mail it in the rest of the season.
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Current NFL PiRate Ratings |
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PiRate |
Mean |
Biased |
W-L-T |
Pts |
Opp |
||
| NY Giants |
109.4 |
107.6 |
108.7 |
5-0-0 |
151 |
71 |
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| Philadelphia |
105.8 |
105.8 |
107.0 |
3-1-0 |
127 |
86 |
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| Dallas |
99.7 |
102.5 |
100.9 |
3-2-0 |
122 |
98 |
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| Washington |
94.4 |
95.4 |
94.2 |
2-3-0 |
73 |
82 |
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| NFC North |
PiRate |
Mean |
Biased |
W-L-T |
Pts |
Opp |
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| Minnesota |
105.8 |
105.4 |
106.9 |
5-0-0 |
156 |
90 |
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| Chicago |
103.5 |
103.7 |
104.3 |
3-1-0 |
105 |
78 |
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| Green Bay |
99.9 |
100.5 |
101.2 |
2-2-0 |
104 |
93 |
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| Detroit |
94.6 |
93.0 |
95.0 |
1-4-0 |
103 |
162 |
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| NFC South |
PiRate |
Mean |
Biased |
W-L-T |
Pts |
Opp |
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| New Orleans |
112.0 |
110.5 |
110.4 |
4-0-0 |
144 |
66 |
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| Atlanta |
106.1 |
104.1 |
104.9 |
3-1-0 |
102 |
63 |
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| Carolina |
98.3 |
96.3 |
95.2 |
1-3-0 |
57 |
104 |
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| Tampa Bay |
89.0 |
92.4 |
89.6 |
0-5-0 |
68 |
140 |
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| NFC West |
PiRate |
Mean |
Biased |
W-L-T |
Pts |
Opp |
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| San Francisco |
100.5 |
99.9 |
101.1 |
3-2-0 |
112 |
98 |
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| Seattle |
99.2 |
100.7 |
99.8 |
2-3-0 |
115 |
82 |
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| Arizona |
98.2 |
100.5 |
100.2 |
2-2-0 |
85 |
89 |
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| St. Louis |
86.8 |
86.6 |
85.6 |
0-5-0 |
34 |
146 |
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| AFC East |
PiRate |
Mean |
Biased |
W-L-T |
Pts |
Opp |
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| New England |
107.7 |
104.9 |
105.4 |
3-2-0 |
104 |
91 |
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| NY Jets |
101.6 |
102.8 |
103.7 |
3-2-0 |
101 |
88 |
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| Miami |
98.8 |
100.9 |
100.4 |
2-3-0 |
112 |
106 |
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| Buffalo |
94.0 |
94.6 |
93.4 |
1-4-0 |
77 |
116 |
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| AFC North |
PiRate |
Mean |
Biased |
W-L-T |
Pts |
Opp |
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| Baltimore |
109.9 |
104.5 |
105.8 |
3-2-0 |
138 |
97 |
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| Pittsburgh |
106.4 |
103.9 |
103.7 |
3-2-0 |
113 |
98 |
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| Cincinnati |
102.1 |
101.5 |
104.8 |
4-1-0 |
101 |
90 |
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| Cleveland |
91.2 |
93.2 |
92.5 |
1-4-0 |
55 |
121 |
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| AFC South |
PiRate |
Mean |
Biased |
W-L-T |
Pts |
Opp |
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| Indianapolis |
110.0 |
108.6 |
109.6 |
5-0-0 |
137 |
71 |
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| Houston |
100.0 |
97.2 |
98.1 |
2-3-0 |
115 |
120 |
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| Tennessee |
97.0 |
96.5 |
93.8 |
0-5-0 |
84 |
139 |
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| Jacksonville |
94.7 |
98.2 |
97.9 |
2-3-0 |
97 |
127 |
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| AFC West |
PiRate |
Mean |
Biased |
W-L-T |
Pts |
Opp |
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| San Diego |
103.6 |
101.5 |
102.7 |
2-2-0 |
101 |
102 |
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| Denver |
100.7 |
104.0 |
105.6 |
5-0-0 |
99 |
43 |
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| Kansas City |
90.0 |
93.1 |
90.5 |
0-5-0 |
84 |
138 |
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| Oakland |
88.7 |
89.7 |
87.1 |
1-4-0 |
49 |
130 |
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This Week’s Games |
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| Home Team in CAPS | (N) Denotes Neutral Site | |||||
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| HFA for Week 6 = 2.7 |
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| Vegas Line as of 1:30PM Tuesday |
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| Sunday, October 18, 2009 |
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| Favorite | Underdog |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Vegas |
Totals |
| WASHINGTON | Kansas City |
7.1 |
5.0 |
6.4 |
6 1/2 |
37 |
| CINCINNATI | Houston |
4.8 |
7.0 |
9.4 |
5 1/2 |
45 1/2 |
| PITTSBURGH | Cleveland |
17.9 |
13.4 |
13.9 |
14 |
38 |
| Baltimore | MINNESOTA |
1.4 |
-3.6 |
-3.8 |
2 1/2 |
43 1/2 |
| JACKSONVILLE | St. Louis |
10.6 |
14.3 |
15.0 |
9 1/2 |
42 |
| NEW ORLEANS | New York Giants |
5.3 |
5.6 |
4.4 |
3 |
48 |
| Carolina | TAMPA BAY |
6.6 |
1.2 |
2.9 |
3 1/2 |
40 |
| GREEN BAY | Detroit |
8.0 |
10.2 |
8.9 |
13 1/2 |
48 1/2 |
| Philadelphia | OAKLAND |
14.4 |
13.4 |
17.2 |
14 |
40 1/2 |
| SEATTLE | Arizona |
3.7 |
2.9 |
2.3 |
2 1/2 |
47 |
| NEW YORK JETS | Buffalo |
10.3 |
10.9 |
13.0 |
10 |
38 |
| NEW ENGLAND | Tennessee |
13.4 |
11.1 |
14.3 |
9 |
43 1/2 |
| ATLANTA | Chicago |
5.3 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3 |
46 |
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| Monday, October 19, 2009 |
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| Favorite | Underdog |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Vegas |
Totals |
| SAN DIEGO | Denver |
5.6 |
0.2 |
-0.2 |
4 |
44 |
The Pi-Rate Ratings 