The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 6, 2009

PiRate Ratings and Spreads For NFL Week Five: October 11-12, 2009

Week five in the NFL finds three excellent games on the schedule.  Who would have thought that the Baltimore-Cincinnati game would be a contest with first place on the line?  Atlanta visits San Francisco in a battle where the winner will be in great shape for qualifying for the playoffs, even this early in the season.  Denver hosts New England in a game that will definitely affect the playoff race.  If the Broncos sit at 5-0 on Monday morning, you can go ahead and make playoff plans if you live in Denver.  The Broncos have five very winnable games left on the schedule, and 10-6 will win the AFC West.

 

The PiRate Picks against the spread (find them at www.piratings.webs.com), finished 8-4 last week, making our record for the year 25-15-1.  In the last three weeks, our winning percentage has been a sizzling 72% against the spread (18-7-0).

 

Current NFL PiRate Ratings

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NFC East

 

PiRate

Mean

Biased

W-L-T

Pts

Opp

NY Giants

108.1

106.7

107.3

4-0-0

107

64

Philadelphia 

105.8

105.4

105.7

2-1-0

94

72

Dallas   

100.3

102.8

101.1

2-2-0

96

78

Washington

94.2

95.4

96.9

2-2-0

56

62

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFC North

PiRate

Mean

Biased

W-L-T

Pts

Opp

Minnesota

105.0

105.2

105.8

4-0-0

118

80

Chicago  

103.5

103.5

103.7

3-1-0

105

78

Green Bay

99.9

101.1

101.3

2-2-0

104

93

Detroit  

93.8

92.0

92.8

1-3-0

83

134

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFC South

PiRate

Mean

Biased

W-L-T

Pts

Opp

New Orleans

112.0

112.5

109.3

4-0-0

144

66

Atlanta  

103.6

99.1

103.1

2-1-0

57

53

Carolina  

98.5

94.7

97.3

0-3-0

37

87

Tampa Bay

89.0

91.3

90.5

0-4-0

54

107

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFC West

PiRate

Mean

Biased

W-L-T

Pts

Opp

San Francisco

103.0

103.5

104.8

3-1-0

102

53

Arizona  

97.7

100.2

99.4

1-2-0

57

68

Seattle  

95.7

97.3

97.9

1-3-0

74

82

St. Louis  

87.6

87.0

84.0

0-4-0

24

108

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC East

PiRate

Mean

Biased

W-L-T

Pts

Opp

New England

108.3

104.4

106.6

3-1-0

87

71

NY Jets  

102.6

104.2

105.1

3-1-0

74

57

Miami  

97.8

99.9

99.7

1-3-0

81

79

Buffalo  

96.2

95.9

96.2

1-3-0

74

110

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC North

PiRate

Mean

Biased

W-L-T

Pts

Opp

Baltimore

110.1

106.6

107.1

3-1-0

124

80

Pittsburgh

107.2

104.5

105.2

2-2-0

85

78

Cincinnati

100.3

100.0

101.7

3-1-0

84

76

Cleveland

89.8

91.5

89.2

0-4-0

49

118

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC South

PiRate

Mean

Biased

W-L-T

Pts

Opp

Indianapolis

107.5

109.5

107.8

4-0-0

106

62

Houston  

100.5

97.8

100.1

2-2-0

94

92

Tennessee

99.5

97.7

96.6

0-4-0

75

108

Jacksonville

98.2

101.5

100.4

2-2-0

97

86

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFC West

PiRate

Mean

Biased

W-L-T

Pts

Opp

San Diego

103.6

100.7

101.9

2-2-0

101

102

Denver  

100.1

105.4

104.3

4-0-0

79

26

Oakland  

90.8

90.5

90.1

1-3-0

42

86

Kansas City

89.4

92.5

87.2

0-4-0

64

112

 

Vegas Lines Shown as of 7PM ET Tuesday

This Week’s Games

Home Team in CAPS (N) Denotes Neutral Site          
   

 

 

 

 

 

HFA for Week 5 = 2.9  

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

Sunday, October 11, 2009  

 

 

 

 

 

Favorite Underdog

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Vegas

Totals

Minnesota ST. LOUIS

14.5

15.3

18.9

10   

40   

Dallas KANSAS CITY

8.0

7.4

11.0

8 1/2

42 ½

CAROLINA Washington

7.2

2.2

3.3

3 1/2

37    

PHILADELPHIA Tampa Bay

19.7

17.0

18.1

14   

43 ½

N Y GIANTS Oakland

20.2

19.1

20.1

16   

39 ½

BUFFALO Cleveland

9.3

7.3

9.9

6   

40 ½

BALTIMORE Cincinnati

12.7

9.5

8.3

8 1/2

42   

Pittsburgh DETROIT

16.3

15.4

15.3

10 1/2

44   

SAN FRANCISCO Atlanta

2.3

7.3

4.6

2 1/2

40 1/2

New England DENVER

5.3

-3.9

-0.6

3   

41   

ARIZONA Houston

0.1

5.3

2.2

5 1/2

48   

SEATTLE Jacksonville

0.4

-0.7

0.4

NL

NL

Indianapolis TENNESSEE

5.1

8.9

8.3

3 1/2

45 1/2

   

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

Monday, October 12, 2009  

 

 

 

 

 

Favorite Underdog

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Vegas

Totals

N y Jets MIAMI

1.9

1.4

2.5

1 1/2

36   

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