Week five in the NFL finds three excellent games on the schedule. Who would have thought that the Baltimore-Cincinnati game would be a contest with first place on the line? Atlanta visits San Francisco in a battle where the winner will be in great shape for qualifying for the playoffs, even this early in the season. Denver hosts New England in a game that will definitely affect the playoff race. If the Broncos sit at 5-0 on Monday morning, you can go ahead and make playoff plans if you live in Denver. The Broncos have five very winnable games left on the schedule, and 10-6 will win the AFC West.
The PiRate Picks against the spread (find them at www.piratings.webs.com), finished 8-4 last week, making our record for the year 25-15-1. In the last three weeks, our winning percentage has been a sizzling 72% against the spread (18-7-0).
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Current NFL PiRate Ratings |
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PiRate |
Mean |
Biased |
W-L-T |
Pts |
Opp |
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| NY Giants |
108.1 |
106.7 |
107.3 |
4-0-0 |
107 |
64 |
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| Philadelphia |
105.8 |
105.4 |
105.7 |
2-1-0 |
94 |
72 |
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| Dallas |
100.3 |
102.8 |
101.1 |
2-2-0 |
96 |
78 |
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| Washington |
94.2 |
95.4 |
96.9 |
2-2-0 |
56 |
62 |
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| NFC North |
PiRate |
Mean |
Biased |
W-L-T |
Pts |
Opp |
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| Minnesota |
105.0 |
105.2 |
105.8 |
4-0-0 |
118 |
80 |
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| Chicago |
103.5 |
103.5 |
103.7 |
3-1-0 |
105 |
78 |
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| Green Bay |
99.9 |
101.1 |
101.3 |
2-2-0 |
104 |
93 |
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| Detroit |
93.8 |
92.0 |
92.8 |
1-3-0 |
83 |
134 |
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| NFC South |
PiRate |
Mean |
Biased |
W-L-T |
Pts |
Opp |
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| New Orleans |
112.0 |
112.5 |
109.3 |
4-0-0 |
144 |
66 |
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| Atlanta |
103.6 |
99.1 |
103.1 |
2-1-0 |
57 |
53 |
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| Carolina |
98.5 |
94.7 |
97.3 |
0-3-0 |
37 |
87 |
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| Tampa Bay |
89.0 |
91.3 |
90.5 |
0-4-0 |
54 |
107 |
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| NFC West |
PiRate |
Mean |
Biased |
W-L-T |
Pts |
Opp |
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| San Francisco |
103.0 |
103.5 |
104.8 |
3-1-0 |
102 |
53 |
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| Arizona |
97.7 |
100.2 |
99.4 |
1-2-0 |
57 |
68 |
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| Seattle |
95.7 |
97.3 |
97.9 |
1-3-0 |
74 |
82 |
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| St. Louis |
87.6 |
87.0 |
84.0 |
0-4-0 |
24 |
108 |
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| AFC East |
PiRate |
Mean |
Biased |
W-L-T |
Pts |
Opp |
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| New England |
108.3 |
104.4 |
106.6 |
3-1-0 |
87 |
71 |
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| NY Jets |
102.6 |
104.2 |
105.1 |
3-1-0 |
74 |
57 |
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| Miami |
97.8 |
99.9 |
99.7 |
1-3-0 |
81 |
79 |
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| Buffalo |
96.2 |
95.9 |
96.2 |
1-3-0 |
74 |
110 |
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| AFC North |
PiRate |
Mean |
Biased |
W-L-T |
Pts |
Opp |
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| Baltimore |
110.1 |
106.6 |
107.1 |
3-1-0 |
124 |
80 |
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| Pittsburgh |
107.2 |
104.5 |
105.2 |
2-2-0 |
85 |
78 |
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| Cincinnati |
100.3 |
100.0 |
101.7 |
3-1-0 |
84 |
76 |
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| Cleveland |
89.8 |
91.5 |
89.2 |
0-4-0 |
49 |
118 |
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| AFC South |
PiRate |
Mean |
Biased |
W-L-T |
Pts |
Opp |
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| Indianapolis |
107.5 |
109.5 |
107.8 |
4-0-0 |
106 |
62 |
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| Houston |
100.5 |
97.8 |
100.1 |
2-2-0 |
94 |
92 |
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| Tennessee |
99.5 |
97.7 |
96.6 |
0-4-0 |
75 |
108 |
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| Jacksonville |
98.2 |
101.5 |
100.4 |
2-2-0 |
97 |
86 |
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| AFC West |
PiRate |
Mean |
Biased |
W-L-T |
Pts |
Opp |
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| San Diego |
103.6 |
100.7 |
101.9 |
2-2-0 |
101 |
102 |
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| Denver |
100.1 |
105.4 |
104.3 |
4-0-0 |
79 |
26 |
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| Oakland |
90.8 |
90.5 |
90.1 |
1-3-0 |
42 |
86 |
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| Kansas City |
89.4 |
92.5 |
87.2 |
0-4-0 |
64 |
112 |
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Vegas Lines Shown as of 7PM ET Tuesday
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This Week’s Games |
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| Home Team in CAPS | (N) Denotes Neutral Site | |||||
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| HFA for Week 5 = 2.9 |
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| Sunday, October 11, 2009 |
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| Favorite | Underdog |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Vegas |
Totals |
| Minnesota | ST. LOUIS |
14.5 |
15.3 |
18.9 |
10 |
40 |
| Dallas | KANSAS CITY |
8.0 |
7.4 |
11.0 |
8 1/2 |
42 ½ |
| CAROLINA | Washington |
7.2 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
3 1/2 |
37 |
| PHILADELPHIA | Tampa Bay |
19.7 |
17.0 |
18.1 |
14 |
43 ½ |
| N Y GIANTS | Oakland |
20.2 |
19.1 |
20.1 |
16 |
39 ½ |
| BUFFALO | Cleveland |
9.3 |
7.3 |
9.9 |
6 |
40 ½ |
| BALTIMORE | Cincinnati |
12.7 |
9.5 |
8.3 |
8 1/2 |
42 |
| Pittsburgh | DETROIT |
16.3 |
15.4 |
15.3 |
10 1/2 |
44 |
| SAN FRANCISCO | Atlanta |
2.3 |
7.3 |
4.6 |
2 1/2 |
40 1/2 |
| New England | DENVER |
5.3 |
-3.9 |
-0.6 |
3 |
41 |
| ARIZONA | Houston |
0.1 |
5.3 |
2.2 |
5 1/2 |
48 |
| SEATTLE | Jacksonville |
0.4 |
-0.7 |
0.4 |
NL |
NL |
| Indianapolis | TENNESSEE |
5.1 |
8.9 |
8.3 |
3 1/2 |
45 1/2 |
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| Monday, October 12, 2009 |
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| Favorite | Underdog |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
Vegas |
Totals |
| N y Jets | MIAMI |
1.9 |
1.4 |
2.5 |
1 1/2 |
36 |
The Pi-Rate Ratings 