Week 3—September 17-19, 2009
Another one bites the dust! Of course, somebody had to lose when Southern Cal played Ohio State, but the Buckeyes weren’t the only losers coming out of the game. The entire Big 10 took a blow. Penn State, Michigan, and Iowa could still conceivably find a way to run the table, but unless the Pac-10 and Big 12 see every team lose at least one time, the Big 10 is going to be shut out in the national championship picture this year.
Charlie Weis added fuel to the fire that heats his hot seat by ordering two passing plays. Weis may earn the Dick Jauron Award for finding ways to pull defeat out of the jaws of victory. Throw Ralph Friedgen into the hot seat watch. His Maryland Terrapins almost lost to James Madison. He joins Virginia’s Al Groh from the ACC.
There are a handful of games promising to be exciting this week. Let’s start with the Weeknight games. Georgia Tech plays at Miami on Thursday and Boise State visits Fresno State on Friday. A Miami win sets up two key Saturdays for the U. The Hurricanes face Virginia Tech in Blacksburg next week and then host Oklahoma on October 3. All of a sudden those games don’t look impossible if Miami can handle Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets’ schedule isn’t all that difficult, so a road win this week could set them up for a possible run similar to 1990.
On Saturday, the key games are Texas Tech vs. Texas, Nebraska vs. Virginia Tech, Auburn vs. West Virginia, Tennessee vs. Florida, and Cincinnati vs. Oregon State. However, the contest that may affect the standings the most is the Brigham Young-Florida State game. If the Cougars can thoroughly manhandle the Seminoles, it should solidify them high enough in the rankings to guarantee the eventual Mountain West Champion a spot in a BCS bowl, as long as that champion is undefeated. TCU and Utah could move up high enough by defeating BYU and taking the league crown.
Here is this week’s PiRate Ratings Top 25 Ranking. Remember that this list does not try to rank teams based on what they have done so far. The PiRate Ratings are always looking ahead, so these rankings are based on what we expect of these teams this week.
|
NCAA Top 25 For September 14, 2009 |
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|
Rank |
Team |
PiRate |
Won |
Lost |
|
1 |
Florida |
142.5 |
2 |
0 |
|
2 |
Texas |
132.5 |
2 |
0 |
|
3 |
Oklahoma |
130.0 |
1 |
1 |
|
4 |
Southern Cal |
128.1 |
2 |
0 |
|
5 |
California |
123.4 |
2 |
0 |
|
6 |
Alabama |
122.6 |
2 |
0 |
|
7 |
Ole Miss |
120.6 |
1 |
0 |
|
8 |
Penn St. |
117.9 |
2 |
0 |
|
9 |
Va. Tech |
117.9 |
1 |
1 |
|
10 |
Okla. St. |
115.7 |
1 |
1 |
|
11 |
B Y U |
115.6 |
2 |
0 |
|
12 |
Iowa |
115.0 |
2 |
0 |
|
13 |
Texas Tech |
114.7 |
2 |
0 |
|
14 |
Georgia Tech |
114.1 |
2 |
0 |
|
15 |
L S U |
113.7 |
2 |
0 |
|
16 |
Kansas |
113.4 |
2 |
0 |
|
17 |
N. Carolina |
113.2 |
2 |
0 |
|
18 |
T C U |
112.7 |
1 |
0 |
|
19 |
Boise St. |
112.4 |
2 |
0 |
|
20 |
Ohio St. |
112.2 |
1 |
1 |
|
21 |
Clemson |
112.1 |
1 |
1 |
|
22 |
Pittsburgh |
112.0 |
2 |
0 |
|
23 |
Nebraska |
111.6 |
2 |
0 |
|
24 |
Notre Dame |
110.9 |
1 |
1 |
|
25 |
Miami (Fla.) |
110.8 |
1 |
0 |
|
|
|
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|
Note: Ratings rounded to one decimal point |
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|
even though I rank them to two decimal points |
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Here are the PiRate Ratings for all 120 teams, arranged by conferences.
|
Atlantic Coast Conference |
|||
| Atlantic Division |
|
|
|
| Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
| Florida State |
0-1 |
1-1 |
112.8 |
| Clemson |
0-1 |
1-1 |
112.1 |
| Boston College |
0-0 |
2-0 |
109.8 |
| North Carolina State |
0-0 |
1-1 |
107.2 |
| Wake Forest |
0-0 |
1-1 |
105.9 |
| Maryland |
0-0 |
1-1 |
93.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Coastal Division |
|
|
|
| Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
| Virginia Tech |
0-0 |
1-1 |
117.9 |
| Georgia Tech |
1-0 |
2-0 |
114.1 |
| North Carolina |
0-0 |
2-0 |
113.2 |
| Miami-FL |
1-0 |
1-0 |
110.8 |
| Virginia |
0-0 |
0-2 |
94.5 |
| Duke |
0-0 |
1-1 |
96.5 |
|
Big East Conference |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
| Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
| Pittsburgh |
0-0 |
2-0 |
112.0 |
| Cincinnati |
1-0 |
2-0 |
110.4 |
| South Florida |
0-0 |
2-0 |
104.9 |
| West Virginia |
0-0 |
2-0 |
103.0 |
| Connecticut |
0-0 |
1-1 |
100.6 |
| Rutgers |
0-1 |
1-1 |
100.5 |
| Louisville |
0-0 |
1-0 |
94.2 |
| Syracuse |
0-0 |
0-2 |
93.8 |
|
Big Ten |
|||
| Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
| Penn State |
0-0 |
2-0 |
117.9 |
| Iowa |
0-0 |
2-0 |
115.0 |
| Ohio State |
0-0 |
1-1 |
112.2 |
| Michigan |
0-0 |
2-0 |
105.2 |
| Michigan State |
0-0 |
1-1 |
101.9 |
| Purdue |
0-0 |
1-1 |
101.2 |
| Minnesota |
0-0 |
2-0 |
100.9 |
| Illinois |
0-0 |
1-1 |
100.6 |
| Wisconsin |
0-0 |
2-0 |
99.4 |
| Northwestern |
0-0 |
2-0 |
96.6 |
| Indiana |
0-0 |
2-0 |
88.2 |
|
Big 12 |
|||
| North Division | |||
| Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
| Kansas |
0-0 |
2-0 |
113.4 |
| Nebraska |
0-0 |
2-0 |
111.6 |
| Missouri |
0-0 |
2-0 |
107.6 |
| Kansas State |
0-0 |
1-1 |
94.6 |
| Colorado |
0-0 |
0-2 |
94.1 |
| Iowa State |
0-0 |
1-1 |
89.7 |
| South Division | |||
| Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
| Texas |
0-0 |
2-0 |
132.5 |
| Oklahoma |
0-0 |
1-1 |
130.0 |
| Oklahoma State |
0-0 |
1-1 |
115.7 |
| Texas Tech |
0-0 |
2-0 |
114.7 |
| Baylor |
0-0 |
1-0 |
109.9 |
| Texas A&M |
0-0 |
1-0 |
97.0 |
|
Conference USA |
|||
| East Division | |||
| Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
| Southern Mississippi |
1-0 |
2-0 |
101.2 |
| East Carolina |
0-0 |
1-1 |
100.2 |
| Marshall |
0-0 |
1-1 |
93.6 |
| U A B |
1-1 |
1-1 |
88.8 |
| Central Florida |
0-1 |
1-1 |
88.1 |
| Memphis |
0-0 |
0-2 |
87.6 |
| West Division | |||
| Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
| Houston |
0-0 |
2-0 |
106.6 |
| Tulsa |
1-0 |
2-0 |
103.8 |
| U T E P |
0-0 |
0-2 |
89.6 |
| S M U |
1-0 |
2-0 |
85.7 |
| Rice |
0-1 |
0-2 |
85.6 |
| Tulane |
0-1 |
0-2 |
73.4 |
|
Independents |
|||
| Team |
|
Overall |
Rating |
| Notre Dame |
1-1 |
110.9 |
|
| Navy |
1-1 |
100.4 |
|
| Army |
1-1 |
83.4 |
|
|
Mid American Conference |
|||
| East Division | |||
| Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
| Buffalo |
0-0 |
1-1 |
97.1 |
| Bowling Green |
0-0 |
1-1 |
91.8 |
| Temple |
0-0 |
0-1 |
90.6 |
| Akron |
0-0 |
1-1 |
88.6 |
| Ohio U |
0-0 |
1-1 |
88.1 |
| Kent St. |
0-0 |
1-1 |
86.6 |
| Miami (O) |
0-0 |
0-2 |
73.3 |
| West Division | |||
| Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
| Central Michigan |
0-0 |
1-1 |
102.2 |
| Toledo |
0-0 |
1-1 |
94.7 |
| Western Michigan |
0-0 |
0-2 |
89.7 |
| Eastern Michigan |
0-0 |
0-2 |
89.3 |
| Northern Illinois |
0-0 |
1-1 |
88.2 |
| Ball State |
0-0 |
0-2 |
82.7 |
|
Mountain West Conference |
|||
| Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
| B Y U |
0-0 |
2-0 |
115.6 |
| T C U |
0-0 |
1-0 |
112.7 |
| Utah |
0-0 |
2-0 |
107.2 |
| Air Force |
0-0 |
1-1 |
99.7 |
| Colo. State |
0-0 |
2-0 |
95.6 |
| UNLV |
0-0 |
1-1 |
93.3 |
| S. D. State |
0-0 |
1-1 |
90.9 |
| Wyoming |
0-0 |
1-1 |
88.5 |
| New Mexico |
0-0 |
0-2 |
79.2 |
|
Pac-10 Conference |
|||
| Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
| Southern Cal |
0-0 |
2-0 |
128.1 |
| California |
0-0 |
2-0 |
123.4 |
| Stanford |
1-0 |
1-1 |
108.9 |
| Arizona |
0-0 |
2-0 |
108.9 |
| Oregon St. |
0-0 |
2-0 |
107.4 |
| U C L A |
0-0 |
2-0 |
106.2 |
| Arizona St. |
0-0 |
1-0 |
103.3 |
| Oregon |
0-0 |
1-1 |
103.2 |
| Washington |
0-0 |
1-1 |
99.0 |
| Wash. St. |
0-1 |
0-2 |
78.7 |
|
Southeastern Conference |
|||
| East Division | |||
| Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
| Florida |
0-0 |
2-0 |
142.5 |
| Georgia |
1-0 |
1-1 |
111.8 |
| Tennessee |
0-0 |
1-1 |
107.3 |
| South Carolina |
0-1 |
1-1 |
105.0 |
| Vanderbilt |
0-1 |
1-1 |
104.7 |
| Kentucky |
0-0 |
1-0 |
102.4 |
| West Division | |||
| Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
| Alabama |
0-0 |
2-0 |
122.6 |
| Ole Miss |
0-0 |
1-0 |
120.6 |
| L S U |
1-0 |
2-0 |
113.7 |
| Auburn |
1-0 |
2-0 |
108.2 |
| Arkansas |
0-0 |
1-0 |
107.9 |
| Mississippi State |
0-1 |
1-1 |
89.7 |
|
Sunbelt Conference |
|||
| Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
| Troy |
0-0 |
0-2 |
93.8 |
| Arkansas State |
0-0 |
1-1 |
89.9 |
| Middle Tennessee |
0-0 |
1-1 |
88.7 |
| Florida International |
0-0 |
0-1 |
88.0 |
| Louisiana-Monroe |
0-0 |
0-2 |
87.5 |
| Louisiana |
0-0 |
2-0 |
85.8 |
| Florida Atlantic |
0-0 |
0-1 |
82.2 |
| North Texas |
0-0 |
1-1 |
79.7 |
| Western Kentucky |
0-0 |
0-2 |
73.8 |
|
Western Athletic Conference |
|||
| Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Rating |
| Boise State |
0-0 |
2-0 |
112.4 |
| Utah State |
0-0 |
0-1 |
96.2 |
| Fresno State |
0-0 |
1-1 |
96.8 |
| Nevada |
0-0 |
0-1 |
95.6 |
| Louisiana Tech |
0-0 |
0-2 |
91.5 |
| San Jose State |
0-0 |
0-2 |
89.9 |
| Hawaii |
0-0 |
2-0 |
89.0 |
| Idaho |
1-0 |
1-1 |
78.2 |
| New Mexico State |
0-1 |
1-1 |
73.3 |
Here is a list of this week’s games with both the PiRate and Mean ratings. Please note that we at the PiRate Ratings don’t recommend you using these ratings when trying to determine how you will make your selections. We offer that service for the ridiculously low price of $5 a week and deliver the picks to your e-mail at 1PM Eastern Time on Thursdays. For more info on how to get our selections, please go to: www.piratings.webs.com.
|
This Week’s Games–PiRate & Mean Ratings |
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| Home Team in CAPS | (N) Denotes Neutral Site |
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| Thursday, September 17 |
|
|
|
|
| Favorite | Underdog |
PiRate |
Score |
Mean |
| Georgia Tech | MIAMI (FL) |
0.3 |
35-35 ot |
-4 |
|
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|
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| Friday, September 18 |
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|
|
|
| Favorite | Underdog |
PiRate |
Score |
Mean |
| Boise State | FRESNO STATE |
12.1 |
28-16 |
15 |
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| Saturday, September 19 |
|
|
|
|
| Favorite | Underdog |
PiRate |
Score |
Mean |
| ARMY | Ball State |
3.7 |
28-24 |
2 |
| PURDUE | Northern Illinois |
16.5 |
41-24 |
10 |
| MICHIGAN | Eastern Michigan |
18.4 |
35-17 |
25 |
| PITTSBURGH | Navy |
14.6 |
42-27 |
12 |
| SYRACUSE | Northwestern |
0.2 |
27-27 ot |
-6 |
| CLEMSON | Boston College |
5.8 |
34-28 |
4 |
| PENN STATE | Temple |
29.8 |
37-7 |
27 |
| NORTH CAROLINA | East Carolina |
15.5 |
37-21 |
12 |
| WESTERN MICHIGAN | Miami (O) |
18.9 |
28-9 |
15 |
| VANDERBILT | Mississippi State |
17.5 |
35-17 |
12 |
| COLORADO | Wyoming |
8.1 |
35-27 |
3 |
| IOWA | Arizona |
10.1 |
24-14 |
4 |
| AKRON | Indiana |
2.9 |
20-17 |
6 |
| KANSAS | Duke |
20.9 |
42-21 |
19 |
| SOUTHERN MISS. | Virginia |
9.7 |
31-21 |
7 |
| Utah | OREGON |
1.0 |
28-27 |
-2 |
| Southern Cal | WASHINGTON |
26.1 |
38-12 |
29 |
| UCLA | Kansas State |
15.1 |
27-12 |
12 |
| VIRGINIA TECH | Nebraska |
9.8 |
31-21 |
4 |
| NOTRE DAME | Michigan State |
12.5 |
37-24 |
7 |
| Ohio State | Toledo (CLEVELAND) |
18.5 |
33-14 |
21 |
| AUBURN | West Virginia |
9.2 |
35-26 |
2 |
| FLORIDA | Tennessee |
39.7 |
49-9 |
27 |
| S m u | WASHINGTON STATE |
4.0 |
31-27 |
1 |
| San Diego State | IDAHO |
10.2 |
30-20 |
3 |
| COLORADO STATE | Nevada |
2.5 |
27-24 |
6 |
| MARSHALL | Bowling Green |
4.3 |
28-24 |
-8 |
| California | MINNESOTA |
18.5 |
38-19 |
11 |
| Buffalo | CENTRAL FLORIDA |
5.5 |
27-21 |
0 |
| OKLAHOMA STATE | Rice |
33.6 |
44-10 |
25 |
| OKLAHOMA | Tulsa |
28.7 |
52-23 |
16 |
| BAYLOR | Connecticut |
13.3 |
27-14 |
6 |
| TEXAS A&M | Utah State |
4.3 |
24-20 |
12 |
| KENTUCKY | Louisville |
10.2 |
34-24 |
14 |
| Iowa State | KENT STATE |
0.6 |
24-23 |
-1 |
| B Y U | Florida State |
6.8 |
38-31 |
12 |
| Georgia | ARKANSAS |
0.4 |
27-27 ot |
3 |
| Air Force | NEW MEXICO |
18.0 |
42-24 |
12 |
| U t e p | NEW MEXICO STATE |
14.3 |
31-17 |
10 |
| TEXAS | Texas Tech |
20.8 |
45-24 |
10 |
| U N L V | Hawaii |
7.3 |
31-24 |
5 |
| STANFORD | San Jose State |
21.5 |
42-20 |
15 |
| OREGON STATE | Cincinnati |
1.5 |
28-26 |
-1 |
| RUTGERS | Florida International |
16.0 |
30-14 |
14 |
| ALABAMA | North Texas |
47.4 |
47-0 |
35 |
| MARYLAND | Middle Tennessee |
8.4 |
24-16 |
9 |
| SOUTH CAROLINA | Florida Atlantic |
26.3 |
33-7 |
19 |
| TROY | U a b |
7.0 |
28-21 |
7 |
| L S U | Louisiana Lafayette |
31.4 |
38-7 |
23 |
| ARIZONA STATE | Louisiana Monroe |
20.3 |
27-7 |
20 |
The Pi-Rate Ratings 