The Pi-Rate Ratings

September 8, 2009

PiRate Ratings and Spreads for College Football–September 10-12, 2009

Week 2—September 10-12, 2009

 

Week one sure brought excitement and surprises to the Football Bowl Subdivision.  With Sam Bradford’s injury and Oklahoma’s loss, the door is open for the Ohio State-Southern Cal winner to move into the number two position.

 

Where does Brigham Young fit into the equation?  We aren’t sure they are the best team in their conference, so the Mountain West is gaining power.  TCU begins play this week, and Utah is riding the nation’s longest winning streak.  Air Force, Colorado State, and UNLV won impressively.

 

The ACC and Big 10 took major hits in week one, and either could fall below the MWC with a few more bad weeks.  Miami’s win over Florida State hurts the ACC, because the Hurricanes have a very difficult schedule, whereas the Seminoles might have had a chance to get on a roll and even run the table with their schedule.

 

NCAA Top 25 For September 8. 2009

Rank

Team

PiRate

Won

Lost

1

Florida 

142.4

1

0

2

Texas

133.3

1

0

3

Oklahoma

129.7

0

1

4

Southern Cal

127.2

1

0

5

Alabama

122.8

1

0

6

California

122.5

1

0

7

Ole Miss

120.6

1

0

8

Okla. St.

119.9

1

0

9

Penn St.

118.5

1

0

10

Va. Tech

115.7

0

1

11

Florida St.

114.2

0

1

12

Georgia Tech

114.1

1

0

13

L S U

113.6

1

0

14

N. Carolina

113.4

1

0

15

Georgia 

113.2

0

1

16

Iowa

112.2

1

0

17

Ohio St.

111.6

1

0

18

Texas Tech

111.6

1

0

19

Notre Dame

111.5

1

0

20

Pittsburgh

111.5

1

0

21

Boise St.

111.3

1

0

22

Miami (Fla.)

110.8

1

0

23

T C U

110.7

0

0

24

B Y U

110.5

1

0

25

Kansas

110.5

1

0

     

 

 

Note: Ratings rounded to one decimal point

even though I rank them to two decimal points

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Florida State

0-1

0-1

114.2

Clemson

0-0

1-0

112.0

Boston College

0-0

1-0

109.8

North Carolina State

0-0

0-1

106.4

Wake Forest

0-0

0-1

104.8

Maryland

0-0

0-1

95.3

 

 

 

 

Coastal Division

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Virginia Tech

0-0

0-1

115.7

Georgia Tech

0-0

1-0

114.1

North Carolina

0-0

1-0

113.4

Miami-FL

1-0

1-0

110.8

Virginia

0-0

0-1

96.6

Duke

0-0

0-1

95.2

 

Big East Conference

 

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Pittsburgh

0-0

1-0

111.5

Cincinnati

1-0

1-0

109.7

South Florida

0-0

1-0

105.6

West Virginia

0-0

1-0

100.9

Connecticut

0-0

1-0

100.5

Rutgers

0-1

0-1

100.1

Louisville

0-0

1-0

94.2

Syracuse

0-0

0-1

93.4

 

Big Ten

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Penn State

0-0

1-0

118.5

Iowa

0-0

1-0

112.2

Ohio State

0-0

1-0

111.6

Michigan State

0-0

1-0

104.1

Michigan

0-0

1-0

104.1

Minnesota

0-0

1-0

100.5

Illinois

0-0

0-1

100.3

Wisconsin

0-0

1-0

100.1

Purdue

0-0

1-0

99.4

Northwestern

0-0

1-0

97.8

Indiana

0-0

1-0

87.5

 

Big 12

North Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Nebraska

0-0

1-0

111.0

Kansas

0-0

1-0

110.5

Missouri

0-0

1-0

109.1

Colorado

0-0

0-1

98.5

Kansas State

0-0

1-0

96.4

Iowa State

0-0

1-0

92.3

 

 

 

 
South Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Texas

0-0

1-0

133.3

Oklahoma

0-0

0-1

129.7

Oklahoma State

0-0

1-0

119.9

Texas Tech

0-0

1-0

111.6

Baylor

0-0

1-0

109.9

Texas A&M

0-0

1-0

97.0

 

Conference USA

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

East Carolina

0-0

1-0

102.3

Southern Mississippi

0-0

1-0

101.5

Marshall

0-0

1-0

95.3

Memphis

0-0

0-1

90.4

Central Florida

0-0

1-0

87.5

U A B

1-0

1-0

90.3

 

 

 

 
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Houston

0-0

1-0

101.4

Tulsa

1-0

1-0

99.4

U T E P

0-0

0-1

92.4

Rice

0-1

0-1

89.4

S M U

0-0

1-0

84.2

Tulane

0-1

0-1

79.6

 

Independents

       
Team

 

Overall

Rating

Notre Dame  

1-0

111.5

Navy  

0-1

98.9

Army  

1-0

84.3

 

Mid American Conference

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Buffalo

0-0

1-0

97.7

Temple

0-0

0-1

90.6

Bowling Green

0-0

1-0

90.3

Ohio U

0-0

0-1

89.0

Akron

0-0

0-1

88.2

Kent St.

0-0

1-0

86.6

Miami (O)

0-0

0-1

74.2

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Central Michigan

0-0

0-1

99.5

Western Michigan

0-0

0-1

90.4

Toledo

0-0

0-1

89.8

Eastern Michigan

0-0

0-1

87.8

Northern Illinois

0-0

0-1

87.8

Ball State

0-0

0-1

84.8

 

Mountain West Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

T C U

0-0

0-0

110.7

B Y U

0-0

1-0

110.5

Utah

0-0

1-0

108.0

Air Force

0-0

1-0

99.9

Colo. State

0-0

1-0

95.9

UNLV

0-0

1-0

91.5

S. D. State

0-0

0-1

90.7

Wyoming

0-0

1-0

87.7

New Mexico

0-0

0-1

84.9

 

Pac-10 Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Southern Cal

0-0

1-0

127.2

California

0-0

1-0

122.5

Stanford

1-0

1-0

109.4

Arizona

0-0

1-0

109.2

Oregon St.

0-0

1-0

108.8

Oregon

0-0

0-1

105.0

U C L A

0-0

1-0

104.7

Arizona St.

0-0

1-0

103.3

Washington

0-0

0-1

100.2

Wash. St.

0-1

0-1

83.4

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Florida

0-0

1-0

142.4

Georgia

0-0

0-1

113.2

Tennessee

0-0

1-0

108.4

Vanderbilt

0-0

1-0

104.8

South Carolina

0-0

1-0

103.7

Kentucky

0-0

1-0

102.4

 

 

 

 
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Alabama

0-0

1-0

122.8

Ole Miss

0-0

1-0

120.6

L S U

0-0

1-0

113.6

Arkansas

0-0

1-0

107.9

Auburn

0-0

1-0

106.7

Mississippi State

0-0

1-0

91.3

 

Sunbelt Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Troy

0-0

0-1

93.8

Arkansas State

0-0

1-0

90.2

Florida International

0-0

0-0

87.6

Louisiana-Monroe

0-0

0-1

87.3

Middle Tennessee

0-0

0-1

85.9

Louisiana

0-0

1-0

84.7

Florida Atlantic

0-0

0-1

82.2

Western Kentucky

0-0

0-1

73.9

North Texas

0-0

1-0

78.9

 

Western Athletic Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Boise State

0-0

1-0

111.3

Utah State

0-0

0-1

96.2

Fresno State

0-0

1-0

96.2

Nevada

0-0

0-1

95.6

Louisiana Tech

0-0

0-1

92.9

San Jose State

0-0

0-1

89.2

Hawaii

0-0

1-0

84.5

Idaho

1-0

1-0

77.1

New Mexico State

0-1

0-1

74.6

 

This Week’s Games–PiRate & Mean Ratings

Home Team in CAPS (N) Denotes Neutral Site

 

 

 

   

 

 

 

Thursday, September 10  

 

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Spread

Score

Mean

GEORGIA TECH Clemson

4.6

28-23

0.8

   

 

 

 

Friday, September 11  

 

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Spread

Score

Mean

Colorado TOLEDO

5.7

26-20

4.5

   

 

 

 

Saturday, September 12  

 

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Spread

Score

Mean

PENN STATE Syracuse

28.4

35-7

28.9

North Carolina CONNECTICUT

9.7

24-14

0.4

NORTHWESTERN Eastern Michigan

13.0

37-24

23.7

Western Michigan INDIANA

0.4

20-20 ot

0.5

MICHIGAN STATE Central Michigan

8.1

28-20

14.2

WAKE FOREST Stanford

0.4

28-28

2.4

WISCONSIN Fresno State

8.4

31-23

9.3

Duke ARMY

8.1

35-27

0.6

Pittsburgh BUFFALO

11.5

28-16

9.6

Iowa IOWA STATE

17.4

24-7

13.3

FLORIDA Troy

52.6

56-3

34.0

VIRGINIA TECH Marshall

23.9

34-10

21.8

NEBRASKA Arkansas State

25.3

35-10

23.8

BOSTON COLLEGE Kent State

27.2

34-7

22.7

Texas WYOMING

42.6

49-6

28.0

OKLAHOMA STATE Houston

21.5

44-22

15.5

T c u VIRGINIA

10.6

21-10

13.4

B y u TULANE

27.4

37-10

25.5

Notre Dame MICHIGAN

3.6

28-24

1.8

WASHINGTON Idaho

26.1

35-9

13.4

WEST VIRGINIA East Carolina

2.4

23-21

10.3

NAVY Louisiana Tech

9.0

35-26

15.2

U A B S m u

8.6

40-31

14.5

TENNESSEE U c l a

8.2

28-20

11.1

ALABAMA Florida Int’l

40.7

41-0

32.9

L S U Vanderbilt

13.3

27-14

10.0

GEORGIA South Carolina

12.0

19-7

7.3

AUBURN Mississippi State

18.9

31-12

13.7

MINNESOTA Air Force

4.4

31-27

-1.5

MISSOURI Bowling Green

22.8

40-17

18.2

Ohio U NORTH TEXAS

7.1

27-20

2.6

WASHINGTON STATE Hawaii

2.9

31-28

-4.8

Kansas State LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE

8.7

28-19

4.3

Memphis MIDDLE TENNESSEE

2.0

30-28

-2.5

SOUTHERN MISS. Central Florida

17.5

42-24

13.4

TEXAS TECH Rice

25.7

44-18

22.7

Kansas U T E P

15.1

35-20

14.9

South Florida WESTERN KENTUCKY

29.7

37-7

25.5

Southern Cal OHIO STATE

10.8

35-24

5.9

BOISE STATE Miami (O)

42.6

52-9

40.7

Tulsa NEW MEXICO

12.2

33-21

12.3

OREGON Purdue

10.1

34-24

15.6

Utah SAN JOSE ST.

16.0

30-14

18.9

Oregon State U N L V

14.3

31-17

12.6

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