Pro Football Computer Simulation For Week 15: December 15, 2008

Pro Football Computer Simulation Week 15-December 15, 2008

 

The simulation for Week 15 has just been completed, and there were a couple of interesting games of note.  The rematch of Super Bowl 19 took place in Miami where the 1984 Dolphins knocked the 1984 49ers out of playoff contention, giving the 1999 Rams the NFC West title.  With the win, the Dolphins moved to within just one game of the playoff bubble, as four teams are tied at 7-7 in the AFC and 7-7 is the second best record of potential AFC Wildcard teams.

 

The big upset took place in Oakland.  The 2000 Raiders beat the 2007 Patriots.

 

Here are the results from this week’s simulation:

 

1985 Chicago			24	1987 New Orleans				13
Team	1	2			3	4	OT			F
1985 Chi	7	10			0	7				24
1987 NO	3	7			0	3				13
		Chi			Stat	NO
		18			FD	12
		43-177			Rush-Yds	25-57
		154			Pass Yds	169
		13-24-0			Passes	14-27-2
		1-6			Sacks	3-20
		6-44.0			Punt	7-42.4
		3-56			PR	2-11
		7-55			Pen	5-49
		0-0			Fum	1-0
		68			Play	55
		325			Tot Yds	206

The Bears scored 10 points off the two interceptions thrown by Bobby Hebert, and Walter Payton rushed for 129 yards and a score.

 

1981 Cincinnati			30	1991 Washington				17
Team	1	2			3	4	OT			F
1981 Cin	10	14			3	3				30
1991 Was	7	3			7	0				17
		Cin			Stat	Was
		23			FD	16
		41-197			Rush-Yds	19-84
		231			Pass Yds	208
		18-29-0			Passes	17-30-2
		0-0			Sacks	3-19
		4-39.8			Punt	6-40.3
		2-5			PR	1-7
		3-15			Pen	8-80
		2-1			Fum	1-1
		70			Play	52
		428			Tot Yds	273

Ken Anderson threw three touchdown passes in the first half and Pete Johnson rushed for 132 yards as the Bengals moved into playoff contention.  With the loss, the Redskins fell from first place in the NFC East.

 

1998 Atlanta			27	2002 Tampa Bay				17
Team	1	2			3	4	OT			F
1998 Atl	0	6			14	7				27
2002 TB	10	0			7	0				17
		Atl			Stat	TB
		19			FD	17
		34-168			Rush-Yds	34-121
		182			Pass Yds	224
		15-25-0			Passes	19-29-1
		0-0			Sacks	1-7
		6-42.5			Punt	7-41.9
		4-58			PR	2-19
		4-30			Pen	6-55
		2-0			Fum	1-1
		59			Play	64
		350			Tot Yds	338

Jamal Anderson’s two third quarter touchdown runs (17 & 11 yards) brought the Falcons back after Tampa Bay had taken a 17-6 lead.  The two teams are now tied for the lead in the NFC South, with Tampa Bay holding a slim tiebreaker advantage.

 

2000 Tennessee			23	2007 Houston				14
Team	1	2			3	4	OT			F
2007 Hou	0	7			7	0				14
2000 Ten	3	6			7	7				23
		Hou			Stat	Ten
		14			FD	19
		28-77			Rush-Yds	40-208
		184			Pass Yds	139
		16-28-1			Passes	11-19-0
		4-23			Sacks	0-0
		7-42.3			Punt	5-48.2
		2-27			PR	3-44
		8-77			Pen	5-40
		3-1			Fum	1-0
		60			Play	59
		238			Tot Yds	347

Eddie George rushed for 177 yards and two touchdowns and Jevon Kearse recorded two sacks, as the Titans moved closer to securing home field advantage throughout the playoffs.

 

2005 Indianapolis			38	1991 Detroit				17
Team	1	2			3	4	OT			F
2005 Ind	14	14			3	7				38
1991 Det	0	3			7	7				17
		Ind			Stat	Det
		24			FD	16
		41-177			Rush-Yds	21-109
		285			Pass Yds	173
		19-32-0			Passes	14-27-2
		0-0			Sacks	3-20
		2-42.5			Punt	6-41.7
		3-23			PR	1-4
		6-50			Pen	4-30
		0-0			Fum	2-1
		73			Play	51
		462			Tot Yds	262

Peyton Manning passed for 3 touchdowns and Edgerrin James rushed for 152 yards and a score, as the Colts moved onto the top side of the Wildcard playoff bubble.

 

2006 San Diego			28	2003 Kansas City				24
Team	1	2			3	4	OT			F
2003 KC	3	7			14	0				24
2006 SD	7	7			7	7				28
		KC			Stat	SD
		20			FD	18
		16-71			Rush-Yds	41-189
		256			Pass Yds	142
		22-38-1			Passes	12-20-0
		1-8			Sacks	0-0
		5-43.6			Punt	6-41.8
		3-19			PR	4-46
		5-40			Pen	7-57
		2-1			Fum	3-1
		55			Play	61
		319			Tot Yds	331

Phillip Rivers passed for two touchdowns and LaDainian Tomlinson rushed for 144 yards and a touchdown, as the Chargers virtually locked up a playoff spot.

 

2000 Baltimore			10	2005 Pittsburgh				6
Team	1	2			3	4	OT			F
2000 Bal	0	3			0	7				10
2005 Pit	3	0			3	0				6
		Bal			Stat	Pit
		14			FD	12
		33-114			Rush-Yds	31-89
		129			Pass Yds	158
		11-24-2			Passes	16-28-2
		2-11			Sacks	3-18
		6-42.0			Punt	8-40.8
		3-41			PR	2-16
		11-110			Pen	6-52
		2-1			Fum	1-0
		59			Play	62
		232			Tot Yds	229

Ray Lewis intercepted a Ben Roethlisberger pass and returned it 47 yards for the winning score in the fourth quarter as the Ravens moved closer to gaining a first round bye in the playoffs.

 

1996 Green Bay			34	1999 Jacksonville				13
Team	1	2			3	4	OT			F
1999 Jac	0	3			3	7				13
1996 GB	10	14			7	3				34
		Jac			Stat	GB
		13			FD	24
		19-44			Rush-Yds	45-185
		142			Pass Yds	228
		13-26-1			Passes	19-29-0
		1-11			Sacks	0-0
		8-40.3			Punt	4-44.3
		1-11			PR	6-82
		5-39			Pen	4-30
		0-0			Fum	1-0
		46			Play	74
		175			Tot Yds	413

The Packers held onto the ball for 38:16 to just 21:44 for the Jaguars, as Brett Favre led the green and gold on four touchdown drives of 10 or more plays.  Jacksonville’s lone touchdown came with just 10 seconds to play in the game.  The loss eliminated the Jaguars from the playoffs.

 

1996 Carolina			28	1998 Denver				27
Team	1	2			3	4	OT			F
1996 Car	0	14			7	7				28
1998 Den	7	3			7	10				27
		Car			Stat	Den
		19			FD	20
		28-107			Rush-Yds	35-147
		242			Pass Yds	204
		19-34-1			Passes	17-28-1
		2-10			Sacks	1-8
		5-43.0			Punt	5-42.4
		2-17			PR	3-22
		5-33			Pen	6-35
		0-0			Fum	1-1
		64			Play	64
		339			Tot Yds	343

Anthony Johnson broke loose on a draw play and scored on a 42-yard run to give the Panthers the upset victory after John Elway had put the Broncos ahead on a 4^th quarter drive.  The Panthers held onto their slim playoff hopes, while Denver fell one game behind Baltimore for a playoff bye.

 

1998 NY Jets			31	1990 Buffalo				28	ot
Team	1	2			3	4	OT			F
1998 NYJ	0	14			14	0	3			31
1990 Buf	7	0			7	14	0			28
		NYJ			Stat	Buf
		18			FD	21
		33-109			Rush-Yds	34-117
		221			Pass Yds	233
		19-33-2			Passes	19-34-1
		3-16			Sacks	5-43
		7-41.7			Punt	5-42.4
		2-9			PR	3-41
		8-65			Pen	4-53
		2-1			Fum	1-0
		69			Play	73
		314			Tot Yds	307

Aaron Glenn intercepted a Jim Kelly pass and returned it 17 yards to set up John Hall’s 47 yard field goal with 3:11 to go in overtime, as the Jets moved into a second place tie with the Bills in the AFC East.

 

1984 Miami			42	1984 San Francisco				31
Team	1	2			3	4	OT			F
1984 Mia	14	7			14	7				42
1984 SF	10	7			7	7				31
		Mia			Stat	SF
		25			FD	22
		19-74			Rush-Yds	35-148
		403			Pass Yds	277
		28-44-0			Passes	21-34-1
		1-6			Sacks	1-6
		2-53.5			Punt	5-41.6
		3-14			PR	2-21
		4-25			Pen	6-48
		0-0			Fum	1-0
		64			Play	70
		471			Tot Yds	419

Dan Marino threw four touchdown passes, two each to Mark Duper and Mark Clayton, as the Dolphins eliminated the 49ers from the playoff race and held onto slim hopes of obtaining a wildcard spot themselves.

 

1999 St. Louis			45	2005 Seattle				17
Team	1	2			3	4	OT			F
1999 Stl	21	3			14	7				45
2005 Sea	0	7			10	0				17
		Stl			Stat	Sea
		26			FD	18
		37-177			Rush-Yds	17-55
		345			Pass Yds	228
		23-36-0			Passes	16-29-2
		0-0			Sacks	2-19
		1-42			Punt	6-43.5
		3-52			PR	1-7
		6-44			Pen	5-59
		2-1			Fum	1-0
		73			Play	48
		522			Tot Yds	264

Kurt Warner completed touchdown passes to Isaac Bruce, Marshall Faulk, and Az Hakim in the first quarter, as the Rams cruised to the easy win.  Combined with the 49ers loss, St. Louis clinched the NFC West.

 

1998 Minnesota			35	1998 Arizona				10
Team	1	2			3	4	OT			F
1998 Ari	3	7			0	0				10
1998 Min	7	7			14	7				35
		Ari			Stat	Min
		14			FD	20
		23-67			Rush-Yds	42-163
		195			Pass Yds	285
		13-27-1			Passes	15-26-0
		4-23			Sacks	0-0
		7-40.4			Punt	4-39.8
		0-0			PR	2-21
		6-55			Pen	4-34
		1-0			Fum	1-1
		54			Play	68
		239			Tot Yds	448

Randall Cunningham completed long bombs to Randy Moss (46 yards) and Cris Carter (41 yards) in the third quarter to put a close game out of reach.  Jimmy Hitchcock put the game out of reach with a 44 yard interception return for a touchdown in the final period.

 

2000 Oakland			34	2007 New England				28
Team	1	2			3	4	OT			F
2000 Oak	9	0			18	7				34
2007 NE	14	7			0	7				28
		Oak			Stat	NE
		13			FD	24
		31-98			Rush-Yds	29-121
		159			Pass Yds	312
		14-25-0			Passes	23-39-2
		0-0			Sacks	1-9
		7-46.6			Punt	2-41.0
		1-68			PR	4-35
		10-100			Pen	6-46
		0-0			Fum	4-3
		56			Play	69
		257			Tot Yds	424

The Raiders took advantage of five New England turnovers and converted them into two touchdowns and three field goals, and the silver and black forced two safeties as well.  New England still led 28-27 after Tom Brady scrambled for a 5 yard touchdown run with 4:08 left to play, but David Dunn returned the following kickoff 67 yards to the Patriots’ 24 yard line.  Rich Gannon completed back-to-back passes to Tim Brown to move the ball to the four, and Tyrone Wheatley scored on the next play.

 

1992 Dallas			20	1986 NY Giants				17
Team	1	2			3	4	OT			F
1992 Dal	3	3			7	7				20
1986 NYG	7	0			7	3				17
		Dal			Stat	NYG
		18			FD	16
		34-141			Rush-Yds	33-108
		165			Pass Yds	172
		14-23-0			Passes	12-24-1
		1-7			Sacks	1-5
		6-44.5			Punt	6-37.5
		2-13			PR	3-24
		4-30			Pen	5-27
		2-1			Fum	2-1
		58			Play	58
		299			Tot Yds	275

 Emmitt Smith broke loose on a 26 yard touchdown run with 3:11 to go in the game, and the Cowboys’ defense held the Giants on downs at midfield to move into first place in the NFC East.

 

2004 Philadelphia			31	1987 Cleveland				21
Team	1	2			3	4	OT			F
2004 Phi	13	0			11	7				31
1987 Cle	14	0			7	0				21
		Phi			Stat	Cle
		17			FD	18
		45-190			Rush-Yds	34-122
		162			Pass Yds	197
		15-24-0			Passes	17-27-1
		0-0			Sacks	2-15
		5-41.8			Punt	7-41.3
		3-17			PR	2-23
		6-41			Pen	5-40
		0-0			Fum	1-1
		69			Play	63
		352			Tot Yds	304

Three different Eagles rushed for more than 50 yards and a touchdown each, as Philadelphia won for just the fifth time this season.  Brian Westbrook rushed for 72 yards on 17 carries, Dorsey Levens rushed for 67 yards on 19 carries, and Donovan McNabb scrambled for 51 yards on nine attempts.

 

Current Standings

Pro Football Computer Simulation League
National Football Conference
East Division	Won	Lost	Tie	Pts	Opp	PiRate
1992 Dallas Cowboys	9	5	0	290	284	99.7
1991 Washington Redskins	8	6	0	276	215	102.0
1986 New York Giants	7	7	0	228	195	100.9
2004 Philadelphia Eagles	5	9	0	239	257	97.6
North Division	Won	Lost	Tie	Pts	Opp	PiRate
1985 Chicago Bears	11	3	0	296	194	109.9
1996 Green Bay Packers	10	4	0	423	224	116.2
1998 Minnesota Vikings	10	4	0	401	277	111.7
1991 Detroit Lions	2	12	0	233	385	94.0
South Division	Won	Lost	Tie	Pts	Opp	PiRate
2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers	8	6	0	268	243	102.4
1998 Atlanta Falcons	8	6	0	267	329	97.6
1987 New Orleans Saints	6	8	0	272	269	101.8
1996 Carolina Panthers	6	8	0	284	340	97.0
West Division	Won	Lost	Tie	Pts	Opp	PiRate
1999 St. Louis Rams	11	3	0	427	315	106.2
1984 San Francisco 49ers	8	6	0	363	279	103.8
2005 Seattle Seahawks	5	9	0	260	382	91.9
1998 Arizona Cardinals	2	12	0	191	407	85.4
American Football Conference
East Division	Won	Lost	Tie	Pts	Opp	PiRate
2007 New England Patriots	9	5	0	451	329	106.6
1990 Buffalo Bills	7	7	0	384	331	101.9
1998 New York Jets	7	7	0	296	347	96.3
1984 Miami Dolphins	6	8	0	404	453	95.5
North Division	Won	Lost	Tie	Pts	Opp	PiRate
2000 Baltimore Ravens	11	3	0	190	179	98.5
1981 Cincinnati Bengals	7	7	0	273	273	97.5
1987 Cleveland Browns	4	10	0	227	335	91.9
2005 Pittsburgh Steelers	2	12	0	197	278	93.6
South Division	Won	Lost	Tie	Pts	Opp	PiRate
2000 Tennessee Titans	12	2	0	325	149	111.7
2005 Indianapolis Colts	7	7	0	346	346	101.8
1999 Jacksonville Jaguars	5	9	0	252	308	98.2
2007 Houston Texans	4	10	0	284	398	93.6
West Division	Won	Lost	Tie	Pts	Opp	PiRate
1998 Denver Broncos	10	4	0	416	293	106.6
2006 San Diego Chargers	9	5	0	343	292	102.3
2000 Oakland Raiders	5	9	0	287	340	95.6
2003 Kansas City Chiefs	3	11	0	303	457	90.1