The Pi-Rate Ratings

December 15, 2008

Pro Football Computer Simulation For Week 15: December 15, 2008

Pro Football Computer Simulation Week 15-December 15, 2008

 

The simulation for Week 15 has just been completed, and there were a couple of interesting games of note.  The rematch of Super Bowl 19 took place in Miami where the 1984 Dolphins knocked the 1984 49ers out of playoff contention, giving the 1999 Rams the NFC West title.  With the win, the Dolphins moved to within just one game of the playoff bubble, as four teams are tied at 7-7 in the AFC and 7-7 is the second best record of potential AFC Wildcard teams.

 

The big upset took place in Oakland.  The 2000 Raiders beat the 2007 Patriots.

 

Here are the results from this week’s simulation:

 

1985 Chicago

24

1987 New Orleans

13

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1985 Chi

7

10

0

7

 

24

1987 NO

3

7

0

3

 

13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chi

Stat

NO

 

 

 

 

18

FD

12

 

 

 

 

43-177

Rush-Yds

25-57

 

 

 

 

154

Pass Yds

169

 

 

 

 

13-24-0

Passes

14-27-2

 

 

 

 

1-6

Sacks

3-20

 

 

 

 

6-44.0

Punt

7-42.4

 

 

 

 

3-56

PR

2-11

 

 

 

 

7-55

Pen

5-49

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

68

Play

55

 

 

 

 

325

Tot Yds

206

 

 

                     

The Bears scored 10 points off the two interceptions thrown by Bobby Hebert, and Walter Payton rushed for 129 yards and a score.

 

1981 Cincinnati

30

1991 Washington

17

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1981 Cin

10

14

3

3

 

30

1991 Was

7

3

7

0

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cin

Stat

Was

 

 

 

 

23

FD

16

 

 

 

 

41-197

Rush-Yds

19-84

 

 

 

 

231

Pass Yds

208

 

 

 

 

18-29-0

Passes

17-30-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

3-19

 

 

 

 

4-39.8

Punt

6-40.3

 

 

 

 

2-5

PR

1-7

 

 

 

 

3-15

Pen

8-80

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

70

Play

52

 

 

 

 

428

Tot Yds

273

 

 

                     

Ken Anderson threw three touchdown passes in the first half and Pete Johnson rushed for 132 yards as the Bengals moved into playoff contention.  With the loss, the Redskins fell from first place in the NFC East.

 

1998 Atlanta

27

2002 Tampa Bay

17

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 Atl

0

6

14

7

 

27

2002 TB

10

0

7

0

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Atl

Stat

TB

 

 

 

 

19

FD

17

 

 

 

 

34-168

Rush-Yds

34-121

 

 

 

 

182

Pass Yds

224

 

 

 

 

15-25-0

Passes

19-29-1

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

1-7

 

 

 

 

6-42.5

Punt

7-41.9

 

 

 

 

4-58

PR

2-19

 

 

 

 

4-30

Pen

6-55

 

 

 

 

2-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

59

Play

64

 

 

 

 

350

Tot Yds

338

 

 

                     

Jamal Anderson’s two third quarter touchdown runs (17 & 11 yards) brought the Falcons back after Tampa Bay had taken a 17-6 lead.  The two teams are now tied for the lead in the NFC South, with Tampa Bay holding a slim tiebreaker advantage.

 

2000 Tennessee

23

2007 Houston

14

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2007 Hou

0

7

7

0

 

14

2000 Ten

3

6

7

7

 

23

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hou

Stat

Ten

 

 

 

 

14

FD

19

 

 

 

 

28-77

Rush-Yds

40-208

 

 

 

 

184

Pass Yds

139

 

 

 

 

16-28-1

Passes

11-19-0

 

 

 

 

4-23

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

7-42.3

Punt

5-48.2

 

 

 

 

2-27

PR

3-44

 

 

 

 

8-77

Pen

5-40

 

 

 

 

3-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

60

Play

59

 

 

 

 

238

Tot Yds

347

 

 

                     

Eddie George rushed for 177 yards and two touchdowns and Jevon Kearse recorded two sacks, as the Titans moved closer to securing home field advantage throughout the playoffs.

 

2005 Indianapolis

38

1991 Detroit

17

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2005 Ind

14

14

3

7

 

38

1991 Det

0

3

7

7

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ind

Stat

Det

 

 

 

 

24

FD

16

 

 

 

 

41-177

Rush-Yds

21-109

 

 

 

 

285

Pass Yds

173

 

 

 

 

19-32-0

Passes

14-27-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

3-20

 

 

 

 

2-42.5

Punt

6-41.7

 

 

 

 

3-23

PR

1-4

 

 

 

 

6-50

Pen

4-30

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

73

Play

51

 

 

 

 

462

Tot Yds

262

 

 

                     

Peyton Manning passed for 3 touchdowns and Edgerrin James rushed for 152 yards and a score, as the Colts moved onto the top side of the Wildcard playoff bubble.

 

2006 San Diego

28

2003 Kansas City

24

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2003 KC

3

7

14

0

 

24

2006 SD

7

7

7

7

 

28

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

KC

Stat

SD

 

 

 

 

20

FD

18

 

 

 

 

16-71

Rush-Yds

41-189

 

 

 

 

256

Pass Yds

142

 

 

 

 

22-38-1

Passes

12-20-0

 

 

 

 

1-8

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

5-43.6

Punt

6-41.8

 

 

 

 

3-19

PR

4-46

 

 

 

 

5-40

Pen

7-57

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

3-1

 

 

 

 

55

Play

61

 

 

 

 

319

Tot Yds

331

 

 

                     

Phillip Rivers passed for two touchdowns and LaDainian Tomlinson rushed for 144 yards and a touchdown, as the Chargers virtually locked up a playoff spot.

 

2000 Baltimore

10

2005 Pittsburgh

6

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2000 Bal

0

3

0

7

 

10

2005 Pit

3

0

3

0

 

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bal

Stat

Pit

 

 

 

 

14

FD

12

 

 

 

 

33-114

Rush-Yds

31-89

 

 

 

 

129

Pass Yds

158

 

 

 

 

11-24-2

Passes

16-28-2

 

 

 

 

2-11

Sacks

3-18

 

 

 

 

6-42.0

Punt

8-40.8

 

 

 

 

3-41

PR

2-16

 

 

 

 

11-110

Pen

6-52

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

59

Play

62

 

 

 

 

232

Tot Yds

229

 

 

                     

Ray Lewis intercepted a Ben Roethlisberger pass and returned it 47 yards for the winning score in the fourth quarter as the Ravens moved closer to gaining a first round bye in the playoffs.

 

1996 Green Bay

34

1999 Jacksonville

13

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1999 Jac

0

3

3

7

 

13

1996 GB

10

14

7

3

 

34

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jac

Stat

GB

 

 

 

 

13

FD

24

 

 

 

 

19-44

Rush-Yds

45-185

 

 

 

 

142

Pass Yds

228

 

 

 

 

13-26-1

Passes

19-29-0

 

 

 

 

1-11

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

8-40.3

Punt

4-44.3

 

 

 

 

1-11

PR

6-82

 

 

 

 

5-39

Pen

4-30

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

46

Play

74

 

 

 

 

175

Tot Yds

413

 

 

                     

The Packers held onto the ball for 38:16 to just 21:44 for the Jaguars, as Brett Favre led the green and gold on four touchdown drives of 10 or more plays.  Jacksonville’s lone touchdown came with just 10 seconds to play in the game.  The loss eliminated the Jaguars from the playoffs.

 

1996 Carolina

28

1998 Denver

27

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1996 Car

0

14

7

7

 

28

1998 Den

7

3

7

10

 

27

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Car

Stat

Den

 

 

 

 

19

FD

20

 

 

 

 

28-107

Rush-Yds

35-147

 

 

 

 

242

Pass Yds

204

 

 

 

 

19-34-1

Passes

17-28-1

 

 

 

 

2-10

Sacks

1-8

 

 

 

 

5-43.0

Punt

5-42.4

 

 

 

 

2-17

PR

3-22

 

 

 

 

5-33

Pen

6-35

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

64

Play

64

 

 

 

 

339

Tot Yds

343

 

 

                     

Anthony Johnson broke loose on a draw play and scored on a 42-yard run to give the Panthers the upset victory after John Elway had put the Broncos ahead on a 4th quarter drive.  The Panthers held onto their slim playoff hopes, while Denver fell one game behind Baltimore for a playoff bye.

 

1998 NY Jets

31

1990 Buffalo

28

ot

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 NYJ

0

14

14

0

3

31

1990 Buf

7

0

7

14

0

28

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NYJ

Stat

Buf

 

 

 

 

18

FD

21

 

 

 

 

33-109

Rush-Yds

34-117

 

 

 

 

221

Pass Yds

233

 

 

 

 

19-33-2

Passes

19-34-1

 

 

 

 

3-16

Sacks

5-43

 

 

 

 

7-41.7

Punt

5-42.4

 

 

 

 

2-9

PR

3-41

 

 

 

 

8-65

Pen

4-53

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

69

Play

73

 

 

 

 

314

Tot Yds

307

 

 

                       

Aaron Glenn intercepted a Jim Kelly pass and returned it 17 yards to set up John Hall’s 47 yard field goal with 3:11 to go in overtime, as the Jets moved into a second place tie with the Bills in the AFC East.

 

1984 Miami

42

1984 San Francisco

31

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1984 Mia

14

7

14

7

 

42

1984 SF

10

7

7

7

 

31

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mia

Stat

SF

 

 

 

 

25

FD

22

 

 

 

 

19-74

Rush-Yds

35-148

 

 

 

 

403

Pass Yds

277

 

 

 

 

28-44-0

Passes

21-34-1

 

 

 

 

1-6

Sacks

1-6

 

 

 

 

2-53.5

Punt

5-41.6

 

 

 

 

3-14

PR

2-21

 

 

 

 

4-25

Pen

6-48

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

64

Play

70

 

 

 

 

471

Tot Yds

419

 

 

                     

Dan Marino threw four touchdown passes, two each to Mark Duper and Mark Clayton, as the Dolphins eliminated the 49ers from the playoff race and held onto slim hopes of obtaining a wildcard spot themselves.

 

1999 St. Louis

45

2005 Seattle

17

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1999 Stl

21

3

14

7

 

45

2005 Sea

0

7

10

0

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stl

Stat

Sea

 

 

 

 

26

FD

18

 

 

 

 

37-177

Rush-Yds

17-55

 

 

 

 

345

Pass Yds

228

 

 

 

 

23-36-0

Passes

16-29-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

2-19

 

 

 

 

1-42

Punt

6-43.5

 

 

 

 

3-52

PR

1-7

 

 

 

 

6-44

Pen

5-59

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

73

Play

48

 

 

 

 

522

Tot Yds

264

 

 

                     

Kurt Warner completed touchdown passes to Isaac Bruce, Marshall Faulk, and Az Hakim in the first quarter, as the Rams cruised to the easy win.  Combined with the 49ers loss, St. Louis clinched the NFC West.

 

1998 Minnesota

35

1998 Arizona

10

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 Ari

3

7

0

0

 

10

1998 Min

7

7

14

7

 

35

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ari

Stat

Min

 

 

 

 

14

FD

20

 

 

 

 

23-67

Rush-Yds

42-163

 

 

 

 

195

Pass Yds

285

 

 

 

 

13-27-1

Passes

15-26-0

 

 

 

 

4-23

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

7-40.4

Punt

4-39.8

 

 

 

 

0-0

PR

2-21

 

 

 

 

6-55

Pen

4-34

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

54

Play

68

 

 

 

 

239

Tot Yds

448

 

 

                     

Randall Cunningham completed long bombs to Randy Moss (46 yards) and Cris Carter (41 yards) in the third quarter to put a close game out of reach.  Jimmy Hitchcock put the game out of reach with a 44 yard interception return for a touchdown in the final period.

 

2000 Oakland

34

2007 New England

28

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2000 Oak

9

0

18

7

 

34

2007 NE

14

7

0

7

 

28

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oak

Stat

NE

 

 

 

 

13

FD

24

 

 

 

 

31-98

Rush-Yds

29-121

 

 

 

 

159

Pass Yds

312

 

 

 

 

14-25-0

Passes

23-39-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

1-9

 

 

 

 

7-46.6

Punt

2-41.0

 

 

 

 

1-68

PR

4-35

 

 

 

 

10-100

Pen

6-46

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

4-3

 

 

 

 

56

Play

69

 

 

 

 

257

Tot Yds

424

 

 

                     

The Raiders took advantage of five New England turnovers and converted them into two touchdowns and three field goals, and the silver and black forced two safeties as well.  New England still led 28-27 after Tom Brady scrambled for a 5 yard touchdown run with 4:08 left to play, but David Dunn returned the following kickoff 67 yards to the Patriots’ 24 yard line.  Rich Gannon completed back-to-back passes to Tim Brown to move the ball to the four, and Tyrone Wheatley scored on the next play.

 

1992 Dallas

20

1986 NY Giants

17

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1992 Dal

3

3

7

7

 

20

1986 NYG

7

0

7

3

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dal

Stat

NYG

 

 

 

 

18

FD

16

 

 

 

 

34-141

Rush-Yds

33-108

 

 

 

 

165

Pass Yds

172

 

 

 

 

14-23-0

Passes

12-24-1

 

 

 

 

1-7

Sacks

1-5

 

 

 

 

6-44.5

Punt

6-37.5

 

 

 

 

2-13

PR

3-24

 

 

 

 

4-30

Pen

5-27

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

58

Play

58

 

 

 

 

299

Tot Yds

275

 

 

                     

 Emmitt Smith broke loose on a 26 yard touchdown run with 3:11 to go in the game, and the Cowboys’ defense held the Giants on downs at midfield to move into first place in the NFC East.

 

2004 Philadelphia

31

1987 Cleveland

21

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2004 Phi

13

0

11

7

 

31

1987 Cle

14

0

7

0

 

21

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Phi

Stat

Cle

 

 

 

 

17

FD

18

 

 

 

 

45-190

Rush-Yds

34-122

 

 

 

 

162

Pass Yds

197

 

 

 

 

15-24-0

Passes

17-27-1

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

2-15

 

 

 

 

5-41.8

Punt

7-41.3

 

 

 

 

3-17

PR

2-23

 

 

 

 

6-41

Pen

5-40

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

69

Play

63

 

 

 

 

352

Tot Yds

304

 

 

                     

Three different Eagles rushed for more than 50 yards and a touchdown each, as Philadelphia won for just the fifth time this season.  Brian Westbrook rushed for 72 yards on 17 carries, Dorsey Levens rushed for 67 yards on 19 carries, and Donovan McNabb scrambled for 51 yards on nine attempts.

 

Current Standings

Pro Football Computer Simulation League

National Football Conference

East Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1992 Dallas Cowboys

9

5

0

290

284

99.7

1991 Washington Redskins

8

6

0

276

215

102.0

1986 New York Giants

7

7

0

228

195

100.9

2004 Philadelphia Eagles

5

9

0

239

257

97.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

North Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1985 Chicago Bears

11

3

0

296

194

109.9

1996 Green Bay Packers

10

4

0

423

224

116.2

1998 Minnesota Vikings

10

4

0

401

277

111.7

1991 Detroit Lions

2

12

0

233

385

94.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

South Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

8

6

0

268

243

102.4

1998 Atlanta Falcons

8

6

0

267

329

97.6

1987 New Orleans Saints

6

8

0

272

269

101.8

1996 Carolina Panthers

6

8

0

284

340

97.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

West Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1999 St. Louis Rams

11

3

0

427

315

106.2

1984 San Francisco 49ers

8

6

0

363

279

103.8

2005 Seattle Seahawks

5

9

0

260

382

91.9

1998 Arizona Cardinals

2

12

0

191

407

85.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

American Football Conference

East Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2007 New England Patriots

9

5

0

451

329

106.6

1990 Buffalo Bills

7

7

0

384

331

101.9

1998 New York Jets

7

7

0

296

347

96.3

1984 Miami Dolphins

6

8

0

404

453

95.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

North Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2000 Baltimore Ravens

11

3

0

190

179

98.5

1981 Cincinnati Bengals

7

7

0

273

273

97.5

1987 Cleveland Browns

4

10

0

227

335

91.9

2005 Pittsburgh Steelers

2

12

0

197

278

93.6

           

 

South Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

2000 Tennessee Titans

12

2

0

325

149

111.7

2005 Indianapolis Colts

7

7

0

346

346

101.8

1999 Jacksonville Jaguars

5

9

0

252

308

98.2

2007 Houston Texans

4

10

0

284

398

93.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

West Division

Won

Lost

Tie

Pts

Opp

PiRate

1998 Denver Broncos

10

4

0

416

293

106.6

2006 San Diego Chargers

9

5

0

343

292

102.3

2000 Oakland Raiders

5

9

0

287

340

95.6

2003 Kansas City Chiefs

3

11

0

303

457

90.1

 

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