The Pi-Rate Ratings

November 24, 2008

Pro Football Computer Simulation: Week 12–November 24, 2008

Pro Football Computer Simulation: Week 12-November 24, 2008

 

The Pro Football Computer Simulation for 2008-09 takes the 32 current franchises in the NFL and selects, from the years 1981 to 2008, an outstanding season for these teams.

 

The simulation uses the actual 2008-09 NFL schedule and then plays the game with the computer acting as coach of both teams.  I have no interaction or partiality in this.  The computer generates a play-by-play and box score for every game.

 

The PiRate Ratings you see are the same ratings for the real NFL, as these ratings only need final scores and strength of schedule.

 

Last year’s simulation of teams from 1960 to 1979 saw the 1967 Oakland Raiders defeating the 1968 Dallas Cowboys in Simulated Super Bowl I.

 

Here are the results from Week 11’s games:

 

1981 Cincinnati 28 2005 Pittsburgh 17
1998 Minnesota 35 1999 Jacksonville 21
2000 Baltimore 20 2004 Philadelphia 12
1984 Miami 41 2007 New England 38
1999 St. Louis 28 1985 Chicago 20
1998 Atlanta 26 1996 Carolina 24
1987 Cleveland 30 2007 Houston 20
1984 San Francisco 28 1992 Dallas 16
1991 Detroit 27 2002 Tampa Bay 17
1990 Buffalo 34 2003 Kansas City 20
2000 Tennessee 20 1998 NY Jets 10
1998 Denver 31 2000 Oakland 14
1986 NY Giants 21 1998 Arizona 6
1991 Washington 24 2005 Seattle 13
2005 Indianapolis 31 2006 San Diego 14
1996 Green Bay 33 1987 New Orleans 14

 

Current Standings:

Pro Football Computer Simulation League
National Football Conference
East Division Won Lost Tie Pts Opp PiRate
1991 Washington Redskins 7 4 0 229 156 104.7
1986 New York Giants 6 5 0 178 144 102.1
1992 Dallas Cowboys 6 5 0 220 234 98.8
2004 Philadelphia Eagles 3 8 0 167 209 95.8
             
North Division Won Lost Tie Pts Opp PiRate
1985 Chicago Bears 9 2 0 231 150 109.4
1996 Green Bay Packers 7 4 0 328 185 114.7
1998 Minnesota Vikings 7 4 0 308 230 109.9
1991 Detroit Lions 2 9 0 190 286 95.7
             
South Division Won Lost Tie Pts Opp PiRate
2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7 4 0 214 180 103.5
1987 New Orleans Saints 5 6 0 226 212 102.9
1996 Carolina Panthers 5 6 0 226 258 98.0
1998 Atlanta Falcons 5 6 0 202 278 95.0
             
West Division Won Lost Tie Pts Opp PiRate
1999 St. Louis Rams 9 2 0 296 236 104.3
1984 San Francisco 49ers 7 4 0 282 190 106.6
2005 Seattle Seahawks 5 6 0 203 280 94.1
1998 Arizona Cardinals 2 9 0 157 301 88.1
             
American Football Conference
East Division Won Lost Tie Pts Opp PiRate
2007 New England Patriots 7 4 0 355 259 106.5
1990 Buffalo Bills 6 5 0 295 236 103.5
1998 New York Jets 5 6 0 223 269 95.9
1984 Miami Dolphins 3 8 0 277 349 92.8
             
North Division Won Lost Tie Pts Opp PiRate
2000 Baltimore Ravens 9 2 0 154 147 98.3
1981 Cincinnati Bengals 5 6 0 206 212 97.0
1987 Cleveland Browns 4 7 0 172 240 93.5
2005 Pittsburgh Steelers 2 9 0 162 207 95.2
             
South Division Won Lost Tie Pts Opp PiRate
2000 Tennessee Titans 9 2 0 255 112 111.6
1999 Jacksonville Jaguars 5 6 0 202 219 100.2
2005 Indianapolis Colts 4 7 0 233 288 96.9
2007 Houston Texans 3 8 0 226 321 92.5
             
West Division Won Lost Tie Pts Opp PiRate
1998 Denver Broncos 9 2 0 331 226 107.3
2006 San Diego Chargers 7 4 0 267 230 101.7
2000 Oakland Raiders 4 7 0 215 257 95.1
2003 Kansas City Chiefs 2 9 0 238 374 88.6

 

Here are the box scores for Week 11’s games:

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2005 Pit

3

7

0

7

 

17

1981 Cin

14

0

14

0

 

28

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pit

Stat

Cin

 

 

 

 

16

FD

19

 

 

 

 

24-71

Rush-Yds

37-155

 

 

 

 

223

Pass Yds

195

 

 

 

 

19-38-3

Passes

16-25-0

 

 

 

 

2-13

Sacks

1-7

 

 

 

 

6-43.5

Punt

4-39.8

 

 

 

 

1-7

PR

3-25

 

 

 

 

5-30

Pen

4-30

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

64

Play

63

 

 

 

 

281

Tot Yds

343

 

 

Ken Anderson-3 TD passes including 59 yard connection with Chris Collinsworth on the 5th play of the game

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1999 Jac

0

7

0

14

 

21

1998 Min

14

7

7

7

 

35

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jac

Stat

Min

 

 

 

 

16

FD

21

 

 

 

 

24-68

Rush-Yds

42-166

 

 

 

 

211

Pass Yds

278

 

 

 

 

18-33-1

Passes

19-27-0

 

 

 

 

1-8

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

5-42.6

Punt

3-44.3

 

 

 

 

1-12

PR

4-52

 

 

 

 

6-50

Pen

3-25

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

58

Play

69

 

 

 

 

271

Tot Yds

444

 

 

Randall Cunningham-4 TD passes and 1 TD run

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2000 Bal

0

3

14

3

 

20

2004 Phi

3

3

0

6

 

12

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bal

Stat

Phi

 

 

 

 

15

FD

11

 

 

 

 

39-146

Rush-Yds

27-41

 

 

 

 

108

Pass Yds

157

 

 

 

 

9-21-1

Passes

16-29-2

 

 

 

 

2-17

Sacks

3-23

 

 

 

 

6-40.7

Punt

7-42.1

 

 

 

 

5-62

PR

3-22

 

 

 

 

7-58

Pen

5-43

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

0-0

 

 

 

 

62

Play

59

 

 

 

 

237

Tot Yds

175

 

 

Corey Harris 41 yard interception return for TD in 3rd quarter broke game open

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1984 Mia

17

7

14

3

 

41

2007 NE

14

10

7

7

 

38

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mia

Stat

NE

 

 

 

 

23

FD

20

 

 

 

 

24-83

Rush-Yds

25-79

 

 

 

 

402

Pass Yds

288

 

 

 

 

27-44-1

Passes

25-41-2

 

 

 

 

1-8

Sacks

1-6

 

 

 

 

1-47.0

Punt

2-37.5

 

 

 

 

0-0

PR

1-16

 

 

 

 

3-20

Pen

8-58

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

2-1

 

 

 

 

69

Play

67

 

 

 

 

477

Tot Yds

361

 

 

Receiving: Mark Clayton-11-152 & 1 TD, Mark Duper-8-133 & 2 TD, Nat Moore-6-101

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1999 Stl

0

7

14

7

 

28

1985 Chi

3

3

14

0

 

20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stl

Stat

Chi

 

 

 

 

20

FD

18

 

 

 

 

32-117

Rush-Yds

34-164

 

 

 

 

277

Pass Yds

156

 

 

 

 

21-29-0

Passes

13-23-1

 

 

 

 

3-28

Sacks

1-9

 

 

 

 

2-41.0

Punt

4-41.3

 

 

 

 

1-11

PR

1-9

 

 

 

 

7-50

Pen

6-52

 

 

 

 

1-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

64

Play

58

 

 

 

 

366

Tot Yds

311

 

 

Marshall Faulk: 23-101 & 2 TD rushing & 5-77 receiving

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 Atl

7

2

14

3

 

26

1996 Car

7

7

10

0

 

24

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Atl

Stat

Car

 

 

 

 

17

FD

17

 

 

 

 

39-206

Rush-Yds

37-135

 

 

 

 

138

Pass Yds

178

 

 

 

 

11-20-1

Passes

16-29-1

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

1-9

 

 

 

 

4-42.5

Punt

4-38.8

 

 

 

 

1-(-1)

PR

2-19

 

 

 

 

5-25

Pen

4-40

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

59

Play

67

 

 

 

 

344

Tot Yds

304

 

 

Jamal Anderson: Rushing-25-163, Steve Deberg directed winning field goal drive in relief of injured Chris Chandler

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1987 Cle

10

10

10

0

 

30

2007 Hou

3

7

3

7

 

20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cle

Stat

Hou

 

 

 

 

20

FD

17

 

 

 

 

40-190

Rush-Yds

19-53

 

 

 

 

182

Pass Yds

211

 

 

 

 

16-27-1

Passes

17-30-2

 

 

 

 

1-7

Sacks

4-34

 

 

 

 

2-42.0

Punt

3-39.7

 

 

 

 

1-5

PR

1-13

 

 

 

 

5-34

Pen

8-75

 

 

 

 

0-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

68

Play

53

 

 

 

 

365

Tot Yds

230

 

 

Cleveland Rushing:  Kevin Mack-23-85 & 2 TD, Earnest Byner-15-102

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1992 Dal

3

0

6

7

 

16

1984 SF

14

0

7

7

 

28

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dal

Stat

SF

 

 

 

 

18

FD

19

 

 

 

 

31-130

Rush-Yds

39-138

 

 

 

 

184

Pass Yds

244

 

 

 

 

17-31-1

Passes

19-26-0

 

 

 

 

2-17

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

4-41.8

Punt

4-42.0

 

 

 

 

2-13

PR

2-31

 

 

 

 

9-80

Pen

4-30

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

64

Play

65

 

 

 

 

297

Tot Yds

382

 

 

Joe Montana completed first 11 passes for 156 yards and two TDs

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1991 Det

7

3

17

0

 

27

2002 TB

0

3

0

14

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Det

Stat

TB

 

 

 

 

22

FD

15

 

 

 

 

44-268

Rush-Yds

22-59

 

 

 

 

157

Pass Yds

213

 

 

 

 

14-24-1

Passes

17-29-2

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

3-19

 

 

 

 

2-46.5

Punt

5-41.4

 

 

 

 

2-28

PR

1-11

 

 

 

 

6-40

Pen

6-46

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

3-1

 

 

 

 

68

Play

54

 

 

 

 

425

Tot Yds

253

 

 

Barry Sanders: Rushing-26-211 including five runs of more than 20 yards

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2003 KC

0

14

3

3

 

20

1990 Buf

10

0

21

3

 

34

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

KC

Stat

Buf

 

 

 

 

18

FD

22

 

 

 

 

22-51

Rush-Yds

26-138

 

 

 

 

266

Pass Yds

359

 

 

 

 

21-38-2

Passes

23-39-1

 

 

 

 

2-16

Sacks

1-12

 

 

 

 

3-41.7

Punt

2-44.0

 

 

 

 

1-8

PR

2-17

 

 

 

 

6-44

Pen

5-35

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

62

Play

66

 

 

 

 

301

Tot Yds

485

 

 

Buffalo Receiving: Andre Reed-7-114, James Lofton-5-111, Kenneth Davis-5-71

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2000 Ten

0

0

13

7

 

20

1998 NYJ

0

0

3

7

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ten

Stat

NYJ

 

 

 

 

14

FD

15

 

 

 

 

45-159

Rush-Yds

31-87

 

 

 

 

115

Pass Yds

122

 

 

 

 

9-16-1

Passes

11-25-1

 

 

 

 

0-0

Sacks

1-8

 

 

 

 

6-43.5

Punt

7-39.9

 

 

 

 

5-74

PR

3-31

 

 

 

 

5-40

Pen

11-102

 

 

 

 

1-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

61

Play

57

 

 

 

 

274

Tot Yds

201

 

 

Eddie George Rushing: 27-122 & 1 TD, Derrick Mason 57 yard punt return to set up clinching TD

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 Den

14

3

14

0

 

31

2000 Oak

0

7

7

0

 

14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Den

Stat

Oak

 

 

 

 

20

FD

15

 

 

 

 

39-197

Rush-Yds

21-47

 

 

 

 

182

Pass Yds

185

 

 

 

 

16-26-0

Passes

15-34-3

 

 

 

 

1-9

Sacks

2-17

 

 

 

 

3-46.7

Punt

5-45.8

 

 

 

 

3-71

PR

2-15

 

 

 

 

4-30

Pen

7-65

 

 

 

 

1-1

Fum

2-0

 

 

 

 

66

Play

57

 

 

 

 

370

Tot Yds

215

 

 

Terrell Davis Rushing: 23-137, John Elway: 1 rushing TD and 2 passing TDs

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1998 Ari

0

0

6

0

 

6

1986 NYG

7

7

7

0

 

21

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ari

Stat

NYG

 

 

 

 

8

FD

23

 

 

 

 

24-32

Rush-Yds

60-257

 

 

 

 

97

Pass Yds

109

 

 

 

 

7-20-1

Passes

9-15-0

 

 

 

 

3-38

Sacks

0-0

 

 

 

 

8-37.4

Punt

1-43.0

 

 

 

 

0-0

PR

3-20

 

 

 

 

6-39

Pen

5-35

 

 

 

 

2-2

Fum

2-0

 

 

 

 

47

Play

75

 

 

 

 

91

Tot Yds

366

 

 

Giants total domination in 1st half-44 plays and 267 yards to 11 plays and 18 yards

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2005 Sea

3

0

3

7

 

13

1991 Was

7

3

14

0

 

24

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sea

Stat

Was

 

 

 

 

19

FD

15

 

 

 

 

35-172

Rush-Yds

32-113

 

 

 

 

153

Pass Yds

157

 

 

 

 

14-31-3

Passes

13-25-0

 

 

 

 

3-28

Sacks

1-7

 

 

 

 

3-43.3

Punt

5-43.2

 

 

 

 

2-18

PR

1-11

 

 

 

 

7-60

Pen

5-40

 

 

 

 

4-2

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

69

Play

58

 

 

 

 

297

Tot Yds

263

 

 

Redskins forced 5 turnovers and scored 21 points off those takeaways

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

2006 SD

0

7

0

7

 

14

2005 Ind

14

10

7

0

 

31

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SD

Stat

Ind

 

 

 

 

15

FD

21

 

 

 

 

28-113

Rush-Yds

38-144

 

 

 

 

144

Pass Yds

258

 

 

 

 

14-28-2

Passes

19-31-0

 

 

 

 

4-31

Sacks

1-9

 

 

 

 

6-39.2

Punt

4-44.0

 

 

 

 

2-23

PR

2-21

 

 

 

 

5-50

Pen

6-40

 

 

 

 

1-0

Fum

1-1

 

 

 

 

60

Play

70

 

 

 

 

226

Tot Yds

393

 

 

Peyton Manning completed 13 of 20 passes for 187 yards and 3 TDs in the first half to put the game away early

 

Team

1

2

3

4

OT

F

1987 NO

0

7

0

7

 

14

1996 GB

10

14

2

7

 

33

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NO

Stat

GB

 

 

 

 

14

FD

20

 

 

 

 

28-82

Rush-Yds

36-158

 

 

 

 

198

Pass Yds

251

 

 

 

 

17-32-2

Passes

16-28-1

 

 

 

 

3-26

Sacks

1-9

 

 

 

 

5-41.6

Punt

4-43.8

 

 

 

 

2-5

PR

4-115

 

 

 

 

6-40

Pen

6-48

 

 

 

 

2-1

Fum

1-0

 

 

 

 

63

Play

65

 

 

 

 

254

Tot Yds

400

 

 

Brett Favre completed touchdown passes to Keith Jackson and Antonio Freeman, Desmond Howard returned a punt 69 yards for a TD just before halftime

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