Pro Football Computer Simulation: Week 12-November 24, 2008
The Pro Football Computer Simulation for 2008-09 takes the 32 current franchises in the NFL and selects, from the years 1981 to 2008, an outstanding season for these teams.
The simulation uses the actual 2008-09 NFL schedule and then plays the game with the computer acting as coach of both teams. I have no interaction or partiality in this. The computer generates a play-by-play and box score for every game.
The PiRate Ratings you see are the same ratings for the real NFL, as these ratings only need final scores and strength of schedule.
Last year’s simulation of teams from 1960 to 1979 saw the 1967 Oakland Raiders defeating the 1968 Dallas Cowboys in Simulated Super Bowl I.
Here are the results from Week 11’s games:
| 1981 Cincinnati | 28 | 2005 Pittsburgh | 17 |
| 1998 Minnesota | 35 | 1999 Jacksonville | 21 |
| 2000 Baltimore | 20 | 2004 Philadelphia | 12 |
| 1984 Miami | 41 | 2007 New England | 38 |
| 1999 St. Louis | 28 | 1985 Chicago | 20 |
| 1998 Atlanta | 26 | 1996 Carolina | 24 |
| 1987 Cleveland | 30 | 2007 Houston | 20 |
| 1984 San Francisco | 28 | 1992 Dallas | 16 |
| 1991 Detroit | 27 | 2002 Tampa Bay | 17 |
| 1990 Buffalo | 34 | 2003 Kansas City | 20 |
| 2000 Tennessee | 20 | 1998 NY Jets | 10 |
| 1998 Denver | 31 | 2000 Oakland | 14 |
| 1986 NY Giants | 21 | 1998 Arizona | 6 |
| 1991 Washington | 24 | 2005 Seattle | 13 |
| 2005 Indianapolis | 31 | 2006 San Diego | 14 |
| 1996 Green Bay | 33 | 1987 New Orleans | 14 |
Current Standings:
| Pro Football Computer Simulation League | ||||||
| National Football Conference | ||||||
| East Division | Won | Lost | Tie | Pts | Opp | PiRate |
| 1991 Washington Redskins | 7 | 4 | 0 | 229 | 156 | 104.7 |
| 1986 New York Giants | 6 | 5 | 0 | 178 | 144 | 102.1 |
| 1992 Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 5 | 0 | 220 | 234 | 98.8 |
| 2004 Philadelphia Eagles | 3 | 8 | 0 | 167 | 209 | 95.8 |
| North Division | Won | Lost | Tie | Pts | Opp | PiRate |
| 1985 Chicago Bears | 9 | 2 | 0 | 231 | 150 | 109.4 |
| 1996 Green Bay Packers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 328 | 185 | 114.7 |
| 1998 Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 4 | 0 | 308 | 230 | 109.9 |
| 1991 Detroit Lions | 2 | 9 | 0 | 190 | 286 | 95.7 |
| South Division | Won | Lost | Tie | Pts | Opp | PiRate |
| 2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 214 | 180 | 103.5 |
| 1987 New Orleans Saints | 5 | 6 | 0 | 226 | 212 | 102.9 |
| 1996 Carolina Panthers | 5 | 6 | 0 | 226 | 258 | 98.0 |
| 1998 Atlanta Falcons | 5 | 6 | 0 | 202 | 278 | 95.0 |
| West Division | Won | Lost | Tie | Pts | Opp | PiRate |
| 1999 St. Louis Rams | 9 | 2 | 0 | 296 | 236 | 104.3 |
| 1984 San Francisco 49ers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 282 | 190 | 106.6 |
| 2005 Seattle Seahawks | 5 | 6 | 0 | 203 | 280 | 94.1 |
| 1998 Arizona Cardinals | 2 | 9 | 0 | 157 | 301 | 88.1 |
| American Football Conference | ||||||
| East Division | Won | Lost | Tie | Pts | Opp | PiRate |
| 2007 New England Patriots | 7 | 4 | 0 | 355 | 259 | 106.5 |
| 1990 Buffalo Bills | 6 | 5 | 0 | 295 | 236 | 103.5 |
| 1998 New York Jets | 5 | 6 | 0 | 223 | 269 | 95.9 |
| 1984 Miami Dolphins | 3 | 8 | 0 | 277 | 349 | 92.8 |
| North Division | Won | Lost | Tie | Pts | Opp | PiRate |
| 2000 Baltimore Ravens | 9 | 2 | 0 | 154 | 147 | 98.3 |
| 1981 Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | 6 | 0 | 206 | 212 | 97.0 |
| 1987 Cleveland Browns | 4 | 7 | 0 | 172 | 240 | 93.5 |
| 2005 Pittsburgh Steelers | 2 | 9 | 0 | 162 | 207 | 95.2 |
| South Division | Won | Lost | Tie | Pts | Opp | PiRate |
| 2000 Tennessee Titans | 9 | 2 | 0 | 255 | 112 | 111.6 |
| 1999 Jacksonville Jaguars | 5 | 6 | 0 | 202 | 219 | 100.2 |
| 2005 Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 7 | 0 | 233 | 288 | 96.9 |
| 2007 Houston Texans | 3 | 8 | 0 | 226 | 321 | 92.5 |
| West Division | Won | Lost | Tie | Pts | Opp | PiRate |
| 1998 Denver Broncos | 9 | 2 | 0 | 331 | 226 | 107.3 |
| 2006 San Diego Chargers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 267 | 230 | 101.7 |
| 2000 Oakland Raiders | 4 | 7 | 0 | 215 | 257 | 95.1 |
| 2003 Kansas City Chiefs | 2 | 9 | 0 | 238 | 374 | 88.6 |
Here are the box scores for Week 11’s games:
|
Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
OT |
F |
|
2005 Pit |
3 |
7 |
0 |
7 |
|
17 |
|
1981 Cin |
14 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
|
28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pit |
Stat |
Cin |
|
|
|
|
|
16 |
FD |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
24-71 |
Rush-Yds |
37-155 |
|
|
|
|
|
223 |
Pass Yds |
195 |
|
|
|
|
|
19-38-3 |
Passes |
16-25-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-13 |
Sacks |
1-7 |
|
|
|
|
|
6-43.5 |
Punt |
4-39.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
1-7 |
PR |
3-25 |
|
|
|
|
|
5-30 |
Pen |
4-30 |
|
|
|
|
|
0-0 |
Fum |
1-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
64 |
Play |
63 |
|
|
|
|
|
281 |
Tot Yds |
343 |
|
|
Ken Anderson-3 TD passes including 59 yard connection with Chris Collinsworth on the 5th play of the game
|
Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
OT |
F |
|
1999 Jac |
0 |
7 |
0 |
14 |
|
21 |
|
1998 Min |
14 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
|
35 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jac |
Stat |
Min |
|
|
|
|
|
16 |
FD |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
24-68 |
Rush-Yds |
42-166 |
|
|
|
|
|
211 |
Pass Yds |
278 |
|
|
|
|
|
18-33-1 |
Passes |
19-27-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
1-8 |
Sacks |
0-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
5-42.6 |
Punt |
3-44.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
1-12 |
PR |
4-52 |
|
|
|
|
|
6-50 |
Pen |
3-25 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-1 |
Fum |
1-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
58 |
Play |
69 |
|
|
|
|
|
271 |
Tot Yds |
444 |
|
|
Randall Cunningham-4 TD passes and 1 TD run
|
Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
OT |
F |
|
2000 Bal |
0 |
3 |
14 |
3 |
|
20 |
|
2004 Phi |
3 |
3 |
0 |
6 |
|
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bal |
Stat |
Phi |
|
|
|
|
|
15 |
FD |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
39-146 |
Rush-Yds |
27-41 |
|
|
|
|
|
108 |
Pass Yds |
157 |
|
|
|
|
|
9-21-1 |
Passes |
16-29-2 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-17 |
Sacks |
3-23 |
|
|
|
|
|
6-40.7 |
Punt |
7-42.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5-62 |
PR |
3-22 |
|
|
|
|
|
7-58 |
Pen |
5-43 |
|
|
|
|
|
1-0 |
Fum |
0-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
62 |
Play |
59 |
|
|
|
|
|
237 |
Tot Yds |
175 |
|
|
Corey Harris 41 yard interception return for TD in 3rd quarter broke game open
|
Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
OT |
F |
|
1984 Mia |
17 |
7 |
14 |
3 |
|
41 |
|
2007 NE |
14 |
10 |
7 |
7 |
|
38 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mia |
Stat |
NE |
|
|
|
|
|
23 |
FD |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
24-83 |
Rush-Yds |
25-79 |
|
|
|
|
|
402 |
Pass Yds |
288 |
|
|
|
|
|
27-44-1 |
Passes |
25-41-2 |
|
|
|
|
|
1-8 |
Sacks |
1-6 |
|
|
|
|
|
1-47.0 |
Punt |
2-37.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0-0 |
PR |
1-16 |
|
|
|
|
|
3-20 |
Pen |
8-58 |
|
|
|
|
|
0-0 |
Fum |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
69 |
Play |
67 |
|
|
|
|
|
477 |
Tot Yds |
361 |
|
|
Receiving: Mark Clayton-11-152 & 1 TD, Mark Duper-8-133 & 2 TD, Nat Moore-6-101
|
Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
OT |
F |
|
1999 Stl |
0 |
7 |
14 |
7 |
|
28 |
|
1985 Chi |
3 |
3 |
14 |
0 |
|
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Stl |
Stat |
Chi |
|
|
|
|
|
20 |
FD |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
32-117 |
Rush-Yds |
34-164 |
|
|
|
|
|
277 |
Pass Yds |
156 |
|
|
|
|
|
21-29-0 |
Passes |
13-23-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3-28 |
Sacks |
1-9 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-41.0 |
Punt |
4-41.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
1-11 |
PR |
1-9 |
|
|
|
|
|
7-50 |
Pen |
6-52 |
|
|
|
|
|
1-1 |
Fum |
1-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
64 |
Play |
58 |
|
|
|
|
|
366 |
Tot Yds |
311 |
|
|
Marshall Faulk: 23-101 & 2 TD rushing & 5-77 receiving
|
Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
OT |
F |
|
1998 Atl |
7 |
2 |
14 |
3 |
|
26 |
|
1996 Car |
7 |
7 |
10 |
0 |
|
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Atl |
Stat |
Car |
|
|
|
|
|
17 |
FD |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
39-206 |
Rush-Yds |
37-135 |
|
|
|
|
|
138 |
Pass Yds |
178 |
|
|
|
|
|
11-20-1 |
Passes |
16-29-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0-0 |
Sacks |
1-9 |
|
|
|
|
|
4-42.5 |
Punt |
4-38.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
1-(-1) |
PR |
2-19 |
|
|
|
|
|
5-25 |
Pen |
4-40 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-1 |
Fum |
1-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
59 |
Play |
67 |
|
|
|
|
|
344 |
Tot Yds |
304 |
|
|
Jamal Anderson: Rushing-25-163, Steve Deberg directed winning field goal drive in relief of injured Chris Chandler
|
Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
OT |
F |
|
1987 Cle |
10 |
10 |
10 |
0 |
|
30 |
|
2007 Hou |
3 |
7 |
3 |
7 |
|
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cle |
Stat |
Hou |
|
|
|
|
|
20 |
FD |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
40-190 |
Rush-Yds |
19-53 |
|
|
|
|
|
182 |
Pass Yds |
211 |
|
|
|
|
|
16-27-1 |
Passes |
17-30-2 |
|
|
|
|
|
1-7 |
Sacks |
4-34 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-42.0 |
Punt |
3-39.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
1-5 |
PR |
1-13 |
|
|
|
|
|
5-34 |
Pen |
8-75 |
|
|
|
|
|
0-0 |
Fum |
1-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
68 |
Play |
53 |
|
|
|
|
|
365 |
Tot Yds |
230 |
|
|
Cleveland Rushing: Kevin Mack-23-85 & 2 TD, Earnest Byner-15-102
|
Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
OT |
F |
|
1992 Dal |
3 |
0 |
6 |
7 |
|
16 |
|
1984 SF |
14 |
0 |
7 |
7 |
|
28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dal |
Stat |
SF |
|
|
|
|
|
18 |
FD |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
31-130 |
Rush-Yds |
39-138 |
|
|
|
|
|
184 |
Pass Yds |
244 |
|
|
|
|
|
17-31-1 |
Passes |
19-26-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-17 |
Sacks |
0-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
4-41.8 |
Punt |
4-42.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-13 |
PR |
2-31 |
|
|
|
|
|
9-80 |
Pen |
4-30 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-1 |
Fum |
1-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
64 |
Play |
65 |
|
|
|
|
|
297 |
Tot Yds |
382 |
|
|
Joe Montana completed first 11 passes for 156 yards and two TDs
|
Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
OT |
F |
|
1991 Det |
7 |
3 |
17 |
0 |
|
27 |
|
2002 TB |
0 |
3 |
0 |
14 |
|
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Det |
Stat |
TB |
|
|
|
|
|
22 |
FD |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
44-268 |
Rush-Yds |
22-59 |
|
|
|
|
|
157 |
Pass Yds |
213 |
|
|
|
|
|
14-24-1 |
Passes |
17-29-2 |
|
|
|
|
|
0-0 |
Sacks |
3-19 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-46.5 |
Punt |
5-41.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-28 |
PR |
1-11 |
|
|
|
|
|
6-40 |
Pen |
6-46 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-1 |
Fum |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
68 |
Play |
54 |
|
|
|
|
|
425 |
Tot Yds |
253 |
|
|
Barry Sanders: Rushing-26-211 including five runs of more than 20 yards
|
Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
OT |
F |
|
2003 KC |
0 |
14 |
3 |
3 |
|
20 |
|
1990 Buf |
10 |
0 |
21 |
3 |
|
34 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
KC |
Stat |
Buf |
|
|
|
|
|
18 |
FD |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
22-51 |
Rush-Yds |
26-138 |
|
|
|
|
|
266 |
Pass Yds |
359 |
|
|
|
|
|
21-38-2 |
Passes |
23-39-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-16 |
Sacks |
1-12 |
|
|
|
|
|
3-41.7 |
Punt |
2-44.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
1-8 |
PR |
2-17 |
|
|
|
|
|
6-44 |
Pen |
5-35 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-1 |
Fum |
1-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
62 |
Play |
66 |
|
|
|
|
|
301 |
Tot Yds |
485 |
|
|
Buffalo Receiving: Andre Reed-7-114, James Lofton-5-111, Kenneth Davis-5-71
|
Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
OT |
F |
|
2000 Ten |
0 |
0 |
13 |
7 |
|
20 |
|
1998 NYJ |
0 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
|
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ten |
Stat |
NYJ |
|
|
|
|
|
14 |
FD |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
45-159 |
Rush-Yds |
31-87 |
|
|
|
|
|
115 |
Pass Yds |
122 |
|
|
|
|
|
9-16-1 |
Passes |
11-25-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0-0 |
Sacks |
1-8 |
|
|
|
|
|
6-43.5 |
Punt |
7-39.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
5-74 |
PR |
3-31 |
|
|
|
|
|
5-40 |
Pen |
11-102 |
|
|
|
|
|
1-1 |
Fum |
1-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
61 |
Play |
57 |
|
|
|
|
|
274 |
Tot Yds |
201 |
|
|
Eddie George Rushing: 27-122 & 1 TD, Derrick Mason 57 yard punt return to set up clinching TD
|
Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
OT |
F |
|
1998 Den |
14 |
3 |
14 |
0 |
|
31 |
|
2000 Oak |
0 |
7 |
7 |
0 |
|
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Den |
Stat |
Oak |
|
|
|
|
|
20 |
FD |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
39-197 |
Rush-Yds |
21-47 |
|
|
|
|
|
182 |
Pass Yds |
185 |
|
|
|
|
|
16-26-0 |
Passes |
15-34-3 |
|
|
|
|
|
1-9 |
Sacks |
2-17 |
|
|
|
|
|
3-46.7 |
Punt |
5-45.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
3-71 |
PR |
2-15 |
|
|
|
|
|
4-30 |
Pen |
7-65 |
|
|
|
|
|
1-1 |
Fum |
2-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
66 |
Play |
57 |
|
|
|
|
|
370 |
Tot Yds |
215 |
|
|
Terrell Davis Rushing: 23-137, John Elway: 1 rushing TD and 2 passing TDs
|
Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
OT |
F |
|
1998 Ari |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
|
6 |
|
1986 NYG |
7 |
7 |
7 |
0 |
|
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ari |
Stat |
NYG |
|
|
|
|
|
8 |
FD |
23 |
|
|
|
|
|
24-32 |
Rush-Yds |
60-257 |
|
|
|
|
|
97 |
Pass Yds |
109 |
|
|
|
|
|
7-20-1 |
Passes |
9-15-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
3-38 |
Sacks |
0-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
8-37.4 |
Punt |
1-43.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0-0 |
PR |
3-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
6-39 |
Pen |
5-35 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-2 |
Fum |
2-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
47 |
Play |
75 |
|
|
|
|
|
91 |
Tot Yds |
366 |
|
|
Giants total domination in 1st half-44 plays and 267 yards to 11 plays and 18 yards
|
Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
OT |
F |
|
2005 Sea |
3 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
|
13 |
|
1991 Was |
7 |
3 |
14 |
0 |
|
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sea |
Stat |
Was |
|
|
|
|
|
19 |
FD |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
35-172 |
Rush-Yds |
32-113 |
|
|
|
|
|
153 |
Pass Yds |
157 |
|
|
|
|
|
14-31-3 |
Passes |
13-25-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
3-28 |
Sacks |
1-7 |
|
|
|
|
|
3-43.3 |
Punt |
5-43.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-18 |
PR |
1-11 |
|
|
|
|
|
7-60 |
Pen |
5-40 |
|
|
|
|
|
4-2 |
Fum |
1-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
69 |
Play |
58 |
|
|
|
|
|
297 |
Tot Yds |
263 |
|
|
Redskins forced 5 turnovers and scored 21 points off those takeaways
|
Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
OT |
F |
|
2006 SD |
0 |
7 |
0 |
7 |
|
14 |
|
2005 Ind |
14 |
10 |
7 |
0 |
|
31 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SD |
Stat |
Ind |
|
|
|
|
|
15 |
FD |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
28-113 |
Rush-Yds |
38-144 |
|
|
|
|
|
144 |
Pass Yds |
258 |
|
|
|
|
|
14-28-2 |
Passes |
19-31-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
4-31 |
Sacks |
1-9 |
|
|
|
|
|
6-39.2 |
Punt |
4-44.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-23 |
PR |
2-21 |
|
|
|
|
|
5-50 |
Pen |
6-40 |
|
|
|
|
|
1-0 |
Fum |
1-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
60 |
Play |
70 |
|
|
|
|
|
226 |
Tot Yds |
393 |
|
|
Peyton Manning completed 13 of 20 passes for 187 yards and 3 TDs in the first half to put the game away early
|
Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
OT |
F |
|
1987 NO |
0 |
7 |
0 |
7 |
|
14 |
|
1996 GB |
10 |
14 |
2 |
7 |
|
33 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NO |
Stat |
GB |
|
|
|
|
|
14 |
FD |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
28-82 |
Rush-Yds |
36-158 |
|
|
|
|
|
198 |
Pass Yds |
251 |
|
|
|
|
|
17-32-2 |
Passes |
16-28-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3-26 |
Sacks |
1-9 |
|
|
|
|
|
5-41.6 |
Punt |
4-43.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-5 |
PR |
4-115 |
|
|
|
|
|
6-40 |
Pen |
6-48 |
|
|
|
|
|
2-1 |
Fum |
1-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
63 |
Play |
65 |
|
|
|
|
|
254 |
Tot Yds |
400 |
|
|
Brett Favre completed touchdown passes to Keith Jackson and Antonio Freeman, Desmond Howard returned a punt 69 yards for a TD just before halftime
The Pi-Rate Ratings 