Pro Football Computer Simulation for Week 11: November 17, 2008

Week 11 in the Pro Football Computer Simulation League may not have had the excitement that week 11 in the real NFL season saw, but there were no controversial endings by the computer.  Maybe computers should officiate the NFL games, and they won’t mess up the final play in Heinz Field (which by the way altered the allocation over 100 million dollars in that little town in Nevada).

For those new to this simulation, I have selected excellent seasons for each of the 32 NFL teams.  This year, that selection involves an excellent season between 1981 and 2007.  Last year, I simulated teams from 1960 to 1979, and the 1967 Oakland Raiders defeated the 1968 Dallas Cowboys in the Simulation Bowl.

Here are this week’s results from the PFCSL:

2007 New England			42	1998 NY Jets			17
1998 Denver			22	1998 Atlanta			16	ot
2000 Oakland			34	1984 Miami			21
2000 Baltimore			13	1986 NY Giants			10
1998 Minnesota			28	2002 Tampa Bay			13
2000 Tennessee			17	1999 Jacksonville			14
1996 Carolina			20	1991 Detroit			16
1985 Chicago			24	1996 Green Bay			22
1981 Cincinnati			23	2004 Philadelphia			17
2003 Kansas City			24	1987 New Orleans			16
2005 Indianapolis			38	2007 Houston			17
1998 Arizona			23	2005 Seattle			20
1999 St. Louis			38	1984 San Francisco			28
2006 San Diego			20	2005 Pittsburgh			10
1992 Dallas			24	1991 Washington			17
1990 Buffalo			38	1987 Cleveland			16

Here are the updated standings

Pro Football Computer Simulation League
National Football Conference
East Division	Won	Lost	Tie	Pts	Opp	PiRate
1991 Washington Redskins	6	4	0	205	143	103.9
1992 Dallas Cowboys	6	4	0	204	206	99.3
1986 New York Giants	5	5	0	157	138	100.5
2004 Philadelphia Eagles	3	7	0	155	189	95.7
North Division	Won	Lost	Tie	Pts	Opp	PiRate
1985 Chicago Bears	9	1	0	211	122	110.5
1996 Green Bay Packers	6	4	0	295	171	114.0
1998 Minnesota Vikings	6	4	0	273	209	109.2
1991 Detroit Lions	1	9	0	163	269	93.9
South Division	Won	Lost	Tie	Pts	Opp	PiRate
2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers	7	3	0	197	153	105.5
1987 New Orleans Saints	5	5	0	212	179	105.4
1996 Carolina Panthers	5	5	0	202	232	98.6
1998 Atlanta Falcons	4	6	0	176	254	95.0
West Division	Won	Lost	Tie	Pts	Opp	PiRate
1999 St. Louis Rams	8	2	0	268	216	104.3
1984 San Francisco 49ers	6	4	0	254	174	106.4
2005 Seattle Seahawks	5	5	0	189	249	95.1
1998 Arizona Cardinals	2	8	0	151	280	88.3
American Football Conference
East Division	Won	Lost	Tie	Pts	Opp	PiRate
2007 New England Patriots	7	3	0	317	218	107.8
1990 Buffalo Bills	5	5	0	261	216	103.1
1998 New York Jets	5	5	0	213	249	96.7
1984 Miami Dolphins	2	8	0	236	311	92.3
North Division	Won	Lost	Tie	Pts	Opp	PiRate
2000 Baltimore Ravens	8	2	0	134	135	96.8
1981 Cincinnati Bengals	4	6	0	178	195	95.2
1987 Cleveland Browns	3	7	0	142	220	91.1
2005 Pittsburgh Steelers	2	8	0	145	179	95.1
South Division	Won	Lost	Tie	Pts	Opp	PiRate
2000 Tennessee Titans	8	2	0	235	102	111.1
1999 Jacksonville Jaguars	5	5	0	181	184	100.4
2005 Indianapolis Colts	3	7	0	202	274	94.3
2007 Houston Texans	3	7	0	206	291	91.9
West Division	Won	Lost	Tie	Pts	Opp	PiRate
1998 Denver Broncos	8	2	0	300	212	107.4
2006 San Diego Chargers	7	3	0	253	199	104.3
2000 Oakland Raiders	4	6	0	201	226	97.2
2003 Kansas City Chiefs	2	8	0	218	340	89.6

Here are the boxscores for this week’s games

Team	1	2	3	4	OT	F
2007 NE	14	14	7	7		42
1998 NYJ	0	0	3	14		17
		NE	Stat	NYJ
		24	FD	11
		35-137	Rush-Yds	13-44
		308	Pass Yds	244
		22-35-0	Passes	21-39-2
		1-8	Sacks	3-26
		1-42.0	Punt	6-40.7
		3-44	PR	0-0
		7-44	Pen	5-34
		1-0	Fum	2-1
		71	Play	55
		437	Tot Yds	262

Randy Moss and Wesley Welker both caught 2 TD passes

Team	1	2	3	4	OT	F
1998 Atl	10	3	0	3	0	16
1998 Den	6	3	0	7	6	22
		Atl	Stat	Den
		18	FD	22
		38-145	Rush-Yds	40-165
		184	Pass Yds	228
		19-32-1	Passes	19-29-0
		3-28	Sacks	1-7
		6-43.0	Punt	6-39.7
		2-14	PR	3-41
		8-55	Pen	6-40
		2-1	Fum	2-0
		73	Play	70
		301	Tot Yds	386

John Elway directs another late fourth quarter touchdown drive to force overtime, and then he drove the Broncos 80 yards in nine plays in overtime for the win with Rod Smith scoring from 19 yards out on a reverse.

Team	1	2	3	4	OT	F
1984 Mia	7	0	14	0		21
2000 Oak	7	6	14	7		34
		Mia	Stat	Oak
		16	FD	19
		26-55	Rush-Yds	29-108
		302	Pass Yds	266
		26-45-2	Passes	19-33-1
		3-33	Sacks	2-13
		4-48.3	Punt	3-43.3
		1-7	PR	4-66
		4-25	Pen	9-80
		1-0	Fum	2-1
		74	Play	64
		324	Tot Yds	361

Rich Gannon threw TD passes to Tim Brown, Andrew Rison, and James Jett

Team	1	2	3	4	OT	F
1986 NYG	0	7	3	0		10
2000 Bal	3	0	7	3		13
		NYG	Stat	Bal
		12	FD	14
		33-97	Rush-Yds	38-119
		166	Pass Yds	134
		15-26-1	Passes	10-22-0
		1-8	Sacks	2-17
		6-42.5	Punt	6-40.7
		2-4	PR	4-59
		5-33	Pen	6-40
		3-2	Fum	2-1
		60	Play	62
		255	Tot Yds	236

Chris McAlister intercepted a Phil Simms pass and returned it 47 yards to set up game-winning field goal

Team	1	2	3	4	OT	F
2002 TB	7	3	3	0		13
1998 Min	14	7	7	0		28
		TB	Stat	Min
		14	FD	21
		22-76	Rush-Yds	40-159
		199	Pass Yds	304
		18-33-2	Passes	19-27-0
		2-18	Sacks	0-0
		6-42.5	Punt	4-44.0
		2-19	PR	3-71
		6-40	Pen	2-15
		0-0	Fum	2-1
		57	Play	67
		257	Tot Yds	463

Chris Carter 8-132 & 2 TD receiving

Team	1	2	3	4	OT	F
1999 Jac	0	0	0	14		14
2000 Ten	10	7	0	0		17
		Jac	Stat	Ten
		14	FD	17
		12-19	Rush-Yds	55-211
		252	Pass Yds	136
		18-37-3	Passes	11-17-0
		4-37	Sacks	0-0
		9-43.1	Punt	6-44.3
		2-19	PR	6-104
		7-55	Pen	4-32
		1-0	Fum	2-0
		53	Play	72
		234	Tot Yds	347

Eddie George 25-104 & 1 TD rushing/Steve McNair 11-82 rushing

Team	1	2	3	4	OT	F
1996 Car	7	0	3	10		20
1991 Det	7	3	6	0		16
		Car	Stat	Det
		18	FD	19
		22-79	Rush-Yds	41-177
		256	Pass Yds	158
		19-33-1	Passes	13-22-0
		2-13	Sacks	1-6
		6-41.5	Punt	5-42.8
		2-18	PR	3-28
		5-25	Pen	6-44
		1-1	Fum	2-1
		57	Play	64
		322	Tot Yds	329

Kerry Collins eight yard pass to Wesley Walls with 1:47 remaining is the game-winner

Team	1	2	3	4	OT	F
1996 GB	6	6	3	7		22
1985 Chi	7	7	0	10		24
		GB	Stat	Chi
		15	FD	16
		26-81	Rush-Yds	37-143
		229	Pass Yds	157
		19-34-1	Passes	14-24-1
		2-19	Sacks	1-8
		7-44.6	Punt	6-43.3
		2-61	PR	3-41
		5-35	Pen	7-47
		2-0	Fum	1-1
		62	Play	62
		291	Tot Yds	292

Wild fourth quarter sees Brett Favre leading Packers on a go-ahead TD drive, and Dennis Gentry returning ensuing kick 98 yards for the winning score

Team	1	2	3	4	OT	F
1981 Cin	7	7	2	7		23
2004 Phi	0	10	7	0		17
		Cin	Stat	Phi
		19	FD	17
		33-118	Rush-Yds	28-97
		253	Pass Yds	195
		23-35-0	Passes	15-27-1
		2-17	Sacks	1-7
		5-45.2	Punt	5-37.8
		1-6	PR	4-38
		5-33	Pen	6-42
		1-0	Fum	0-0
		70	Play	56
		354	Tot Yds	285

Ken Anderson leads Bengals on nine-minute TD drive at start of game, and then leads team on 16-play, 78-yard drive to end the half, as Cinti dominated time of possession with 39:16

Team	1	2	3	4	OT	F
2003 KC	0	3	14	7		24
1987 NO	6	3	0	7		16
		KC	Stat	NO
		17	FD	16
		39-165	Rush-Yds	26-81
		163	Pass Yds	202
		15-27-1	Passes	16-29-2
		0-0	Sacks	2-19
		6-42.5	Punt	4-38.8
		1-7	PR	3-55
		5-35	Pen	5-37
		1-1	Fum	1-0
		66	Play	57
		328	Tot Yds	264

Priest Holmes runs for two third quarter touchdowns and finishes with 97 yards rushing

Team	1	2	3	4	OT	F
2005 Ind	14	10	7	7		38
2007 Hou	0	7	3	7		17
		Ind	Stat	Hou
		24	FD	17
		40-172	Rush-Yds	22-68
		266	Pass Yds	228
		19-29-0	Passes	19-34-2
		0-0	Sacks	4-35
		1-44.0	Punt	5-43.6
		2-17	PR	1-5
		4-30	Pen	8-71
		1-0	Fum	2-0
		69	Play	60
		438	Tot Yds	261

Peyton Manning directs Colts on TD drives on Indy’s first three possessions and finishes the first half at 14 of 20 for 187 yards

Team	1	2	3	4	OT	F
2005 Sea	3	7	7	3		20
1998 Ari	6	0	7	10		23
		Sea	Stat	Ari
		15	FD	17
		30-95	Rush-Yds	29-77
		252	Pass Yds	304
		18-33-3	Passes	19-28-0
		2-15	Sacks	1-12
		5-43.0	Punt	5-41.6
		2-17	PR	3-25
		6-40	Pen	4-30
		2-1	Fum	1-0
		65	Play	58
		332	Tot Yds	369

Jake Plummer leads Cardinals on 69 yard TD drive with Adrian Murrell diving over from the one yard line in the final minute

Team	1	2	3	4	OT	F
1984 SF	14	0	14	0		28
1999 Stl	7	17	7	7		38
		SF	Stat	Stl
		19	FD	23
		31-112	Rush-Yds	34-129
		215	Pass Yds	316
		19-31-0	Passes	21-36-0
		1-6	Sacks	0-0
		2-41.5	Punt	0-0
		0-0	PR	0-0
		6-45	Pen	7-50
		1-0	Fum	3-2
		63	Play	70
		321	Tot Yds	445

Kurt Warner tosses four TD passes (2 to Isaac Bruce)

Team	1	2	3	4	OT	F
2005 Pit	3	0	0	7		10
2006 SD	7	3	10	0		20
		Pit	Stat	SD
		16	FD	18
		28-103	Rush-Yds	45-209
		161	Pass Yds	122
		14-25-1	Passes	11-19-0
		2-15	Sacks	0-0
		7-40.7	Punt	4-49.5
		3-52	PR	4-49
		4-30	Pen	5-30
		2-1	Fum	2-1
		55	Play	64
		249	Tot Yds	331

Michael Turner replaces an injured LaDainian Tomlinson and rushes for 114 yards/LT left the game with 94 rushing yards

Team	1	2	3	4	OT	F
1991 Was	3	7	7	0		17
1992 Dal	0	0	14	10		24
		Was	Stat	Dal
		18	FD	19
		32-115	Rush-Yds	22-106
		226	Pass Yds	248
		21-34-1	Passes	23-34-1
		3-30	Sacks	1-8
		4-43.0	Punt	4-41.8
		1-12	PR	3-12
		6-50	Pen	6-55
		1-1	Fum	2-0
		69	Play	57
		311	Tot Yds	346

Dallas trailed 17-0 before scoring game’s final 24 points/Troy Aikman passed to Daryl Johnston for two TDs

Team	1	2	3	4	OT	F
1990 Buf	14	10	14	0		38
1987 Cle	0	0	3	14		17
		Buf	Stat	Cle
		22	FD	14
		41-176	Rush-Yds	17-49
		330	Pass Yds	267
		22-28-0	Passes	22-39-3
		0-0	Sacks	3-17
		2-39.5	Punt	6-39.7
		2-13	PR	1-(-4)
		4-25	Pen	7-46
		0-0	Fum	1-0
		69	Play	59
		506	Tot Yds	299

Jim Kelly unstoppable as he connected on two TD passes with Andre Reed and another with Kenneth Davis/Thurman Thomas rushed for 152 yards and a score

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