The Pi-Rate Ratings

November 17, 2008

Pro Football Computer Simulation for Week 11: November 17, 2008

Week 11 in the Pro Football Computer Simulation League may not have had the excitement that week 11 in the real NFL season saw, but there were no controversial endings by the computer.  Maybe computers should officiate the NFL games, and they won’t mess up the final play in Heinz Field (which by the way altered the allocation over 100 million dollars in that little town in Nevada).

For those new to this simulation, I have selected excellent seasons for each of the 32 NFL teams.  This year, that selection involves an excellent season between 1981 and 2007.  Last year, I simulated teams from 1960 to 1979, and the 1967 Oakland Raiders defeated the 1968 Dallas Cowboys in the Simulation Bowl.

Here are this week’s results from the PFCSL:

2007 New England 42 1998 NY Jets  17
1998 Denver 22 1998 Atlanta  16 ot
2000 Oakland 34 1984 Miami 21
2000 Baltimore 13 1986 NY Giants 10
1998 Minnesota 28 2002 Tampa Bay 13
2000 Tennessee 17 1999 Jacksonville 14
1996 Carolina 20 1991 Detroit 16
1985 Chicago 24 1996 Green Bay  22
1981 Cincinnati 23 2004 Philadelphia 17
2003 Kansas City 24 1987 New Orleans 16
2005 Indianapolis 38 2007 Houston 17
1998 Arizona 23 2005 Seattle 20
1999 St. Louis 38 1984 San Francisco 28
2006 San Diego 20 2005 Pittsburgh 10
1992 Dallas 24 1991 Washington 17
1990 Buffalo 38 1987 Cleveland 16  

Here are the updated standings

Pro Football Computer Simulation League
National Football Conference
East Division Won Lost  Tie Pts  Opp PiRate
1991 Washington Redskins 6 4 0 205 143 103.9
1992 Dallas Cowboys 6 4 0 204 206 99.3
1986 New York Giants 5 5 0 157 138 100.5
2004 Philadelphia Eagles 3 7 0 155 189 95.7
North Division Won Lost  Tie Pts  Opp PiRate
1985 Chicago Bears 9 1 0 211 122 110.5
1996 Green Bay Packers 6 4 0 295 171 114.0
1998 Minnesota Vikings 6 4 0 273 209 109.2
1991 Detroit Lions 1 9 0 163 269 93.9
South Division Won Lost  Tie Pts  Opp PiRate
2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7 3 0 197 153 105.5
1987 New Orleans Saints 5 5 0 212 179 105.4
1996 Carolina Panthers 5 5 0 202 232 98.6
1998 Atlanta Falcons 4 6 0 176 254 95.0
West Division Won Lost  Tie Pts  Opp PiRate
1999 St. Louis Rams 8 2 0 268 216 104.3
1984 San Francisco 49ers 6 4 0 254 174 106.4
2005 Seattle Seahawks 5 5 0 189 249 95.1
1998 Arizona Cardinals 2 8 0 151 280 88.3
American Football Conference
East Division Won Lost  Tie Pts  Opp PiRate
2007 New England Patriots 7 3 0 317 218 107.8
1990 Buffalo Bills 5 5 0 261 216 103.1
1998 New York Jets 5 5 0 213 249 96.7
1984 Miami Dolphins 2 8 0 236 311 92.3
North Division Won Lost  Tie Pts  Opp PiRate
2000 Baltimore Ravens 8 2 0 134 135 96.8
1981 Cincinnati Bengals 4 6 0 178 195 95.2
1987 Cleveland Browns 3 7 0 142 220 91.1
2005 Pittsburgh Steelers 2 8 0 145 179 95.1
South Division Won Lost  Tie Pts  Opp PiRate
2000 Tennessee Titans 8 2 0 235 102 111.1
1999 Jacksonville Jaguars 5 5 0 181 184 100.4
2005 Indianapolis Colts 3 7 0 202 274 94.3
2007 Houston Texans 3 7 0 206 291 91.9
West Division Won Lost  Tie Pts  Opp PiRate
1998 Denver Broncos 8 2 0 300 212 107.4
2006 San Diego Chargers 7 3 0 253 199 104.3
2000 Oakland Raiders 4 6 0 201 226 97.2
2003 Kansas City Chiefs 2 8 0 218 340 89.6

Here are the boxscores for this week’s games

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
2007 NE 14 14 7 7 42
1998 NYJ 0 0 3 14 17
 
NE Stat NYJ
24 FD 11
35-137 Rush-Yds 13-44
308 Pass Yds 244
22-35-0 Passes 21-39-2
1-8 Sacks 3-26
1-42.0 Punt 6-40.7
3-44 PR 0-0
7-44 Pen 5-34
1-0 Fum 2-1
71 Play 55
437 Tot Yds 262    

Randy Moss and Wesley Welker both caught 2 TD passes

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
1998 Atl 10 3 0 3 0 16
1998 Den 6 3 0 7 6 22
Atl Stat Den
18 FD 22
38-145 Rush-Yds 40-165
184 Pass Yds 228
19-32-1 Passes 19-29-0
3-28 Sacks 1-7
6-43.0 Punt 6-39.7
2-14 PR 3-41
8-55 Pen 6-40
2-1 Fum 2-0
73 Play 70
301 Tot Yds 386    

John Elway directs another late fourth quarter touchdown drive to force overtime, and then he drove the Broncos 80 yards in nine plays in overtime for the win with Rod Smith scoring from 19 yards out on a reverse.

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
1984 Mia 7 0 14 0 21
2000 Oak 7 6 14 7 34
 
Mia Stat Oak
16 FD 19
26-55 Rush-Yds 29-108
302 Pass Yds 266
26-45-2 Passes 19-33-1
3-33 Sacks 2-13
4-48.3 Punt 3-43.3
1-7 PR 4-66
4-25 Pen 9-80
1-0 Fum 2-1
74 Play 64
324 Tot Yds 361    

Rich Gannon threw TD passes to Tim Brown, Andrew Rison, and James Jett

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
1986 NYG 0 7 3 0 10
2000 Bal 3 0 7 3 13
 
NYG Stat Bal
12 FD 14
33-97 Rush-Yds 38-119
166 Pass Yds 134
15-26-1 Passes 10-22-0
1-8 Sacks 2-17
6-42.5 Punt 6-40.7
2-4 PR 4-59
5-33 Pen 6-40
3-2 Fum 2-1
60 Play 62
255 Tot Yds 236    

Chris McAlister intercepted a Phil Simms pass and returned it 47 yards to set up game-winning field goal

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
2002 TB 7 3 3 0 13
1998 Min 14 7 7 0 28
 
TB Stat Min
14 FD 21
22-76 Rush-Yds 40-159
199 Pass Yds 304
18-33-2 Passes 19-27-0
2-18 Sacks 0-0
6-42.5 Punt 4-44.0
2-19 PR 3-71
6-40 Pen 2-15
0-0 Fum 2-1
57 Play 67
257 Tot Yds 463    

Chris Carter 8-132 & 2 TD receiving

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
1999 Jac 0 0 0 14 14
2000 Ten 10 7 0 0 17
 
Jac Stat Ten
14 FD 17
12-19 Rush-Yds 55-211
252 Pass Yds 136
18-37-3 Passes 11-17-0
4-37 Sacks 0-0
9-43.1 Punt 6-44.3
2-19 PR 6-104
7-55 Pen 4-32
1-0 Fum 2-0
53 Play 72
234 Tot Yds 347    

Eddie George 25-104 & 1 TD rushing/Steve McNair 11-82 rushing

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
1996 Car 7 0 3 10 20
1991 Det 7 3 6 0 16
 
Car Stat Det
18 FD 19
22-79 Rush-Yds 41-177
256 Pass Yds 158
19-33-1 Passes 13-22-0
2-13 Sacks 1-6
6-41.5 Punt 5-42.8
2-18 PR 3-28
5-25 Pen 6-44
1-1 Fum 2-1
57 Play 64
322 Tot Yds 329    

Kerry Collins eight yard pass to Wesley Walls with 1:47 remaining is the game-winner

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
1996 GB 6 6 3 7 22
1985 Chi 7 7 0 10 24
 
GB Stat Chi
15 FD 16
26-81 Rush-Yds 37-143
229 Pass Yds 157
19-34-1 Passes 14-24-1
2-19 Sacks 1-8
7-44.6 Punt 6-43.3
2-61 PR 3-41
5-35 Pen 7-47
2-0 Fum 1-1
62 Play 62
291 Tot Yds 292    

Wild fourth quarter sees Brett Favre leading Packers on a go-ahead TD drive, and Dennis Gentry returning ensuing kick 98 yards for the winning score

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
1981 Cin 7 7 2 7 23
2004 Phi 0 10 7 0 17
 
Cin Stat Phi
19 FD 17
33-118 Rush-Yds 28-97
253 Pass Yds 195
23-35-0 Passes 15-27-1
2-17 Sacks 1-7
5-45.2 Punt 5-37.8
1-6 PR 4-38
5-33 Pen 6-42
1-0 Fum 0-0
70 Play 56
354 Tot Yds 285    

Ken Anderson leads Bengals on nine-minute TD drive at start of game, and then leads team on 16-play, 78-yard drive to end the half, as Cinti dominated time of possession with 39:16

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
2003 KC 0 3 14 7 24
1987 NO 6 3 0 7 16
 
KC Stat NO
17 FD 16
39-165 Rush-Yds 26-81
163 Pass Yds 202
15-27-1 Passes 16-29-2
0-0 Sacks 2-19
6-42.5 Punt 4-38.8
1-7 PR 3-55
5-35 Pen 5-37
1-1 Fum 1-0
66 Play 57
328 Tot Yds 264    

Priest Holmes runs for two third quarter touchdowns and finishes with 97 yards rushing

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
2005 Ind 14 10 7 7 38
2007 Hou 0 7 3 7 17
 
Ind Stat Hou
24 FD 17
40-172 Rush-Yds 22-68
266 Pass Yds 228
19-29-0 Passes 19-34-2
0-0 Sacks 4-35
1-44.0 Punt 5-43.6
2-17 PR 1-5
4-30 Pen 8-71
1-0 Fum 2-0
69 Play 60
438 Tot Yds 261    

Peyton Manning directs Colts on TD drives on Indy’s first three possessions and finishes the first half at 14 of 20 for 187 yards

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
2005 Sea 3 7 7 3 20
1998 Ari 6 0 7 10 23
 
Sea Stat Ari
15 FD 17
30-95 Rush-Yds 29-77
252 Pass Yds 304
18-33-3 Passes 19-28-0
2-15 Sacks 1-12
5-43.0 Punt 5-41.6
2-17 PR 3-25
6-40 Pen 4-30
2-1 Fum 1-0
65 Play 58
332 Tot Yds 369    

Jake Plummer leads Cardinals on 69 yard TD drive with Adrian Murrell diving over from the one yard line in the final minute

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
1984 SF 14 0 14 0 28
1999 Stl 7 17 7 7 38
 
SF Stat Stl
19 FD 23
31-112 Rush-Yds 34-129
215 Pass Yds 316
19-31-0 Passes 21-36-0
1-6 Sacks 0-0
2-41.5 Punt 0-0
0-0 PR 0-0
6-45 Pen 7-50
1-0 Fum 3-2
63 Play 70
321 Tot Yds 445    

Kurt Warner tosses four TD passes (2 to Isaac Bruce)

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
2005 Pit 3 0 0 7 10
2006 SD 7 3 10 0 20
 
Pit Stat SD
16 FD 18
28-103 Rush-Yds 45-209
161 Pass Yds 122
14-25-1 Passes 11-19-0
2-15 Sacks 0-0
7-40.7 Punt 4-49.5
3-52 PR 4-49
4-30 Pen 5-30
2-1 Fum 2-1
55 Play 64
249 Tot Yds 331    

Michael Turner replaces an injured LaDainian Tomlinson and rushes for 114 yards/LT left the game with 94 rushing yards

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
1991 Was 3 7 7 0 17
1992 Dal 0 0 14 10 24
 
Was Stat Dal
18 FD 19
32-115 Rush-Yds 22-106
226 Pass Yds 248
21-34-1 Passes 23-34-1
3-30 Sacks 1-8
4-43.0 Punt 4-41.8
1-12 PR 3-12
6-50 Pen 6-55
1-1 Fum 2-0
69 Play 57
311 Tot Yds 346    

Dallas trailed 17-0 before scoring game’s final 24 points/Troy Aikman passed to Daryl Johnston for two TDs

Team 1 2 3 4 OT F
1990 Buf 14 10 14 0 38
1987 Cle 0 0 3 14 17
 
Buf Stat Cle
22 FD 14
41-176 Rush-Yds 17-49
330 Pass Yds 267
22-28-0 Passes 22-39-3
0-0 Sacks 3-17
2-39.5 Punt 6-39.7
2-13 PR 1-(-4)
4-25 Pen 7-46
0-0 Fum 1-0
69 Play 59
506 Tot Yds 299    

Jim Kelly unstoppable as he connected on two TD passes with Andre Reed and another with Kenneth Davis/Thurman Thomas rushed for 152 yards and a score

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