The Pi-Rate Ratings

August 18, 2008

PiRate School Is Back In Session

Filed under: Pro Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 12:11 pm

After a nice summer break, it’s time to get back to football.  As I mentioned in my prior post, I am changing the emphasis on the PiRate Ratings for 2008.  This year, I will feature the NFL season while continuing to supply ratings and predictions for college football.

I have come to the realization that not having playoffs has made the college football season sort of superfluous for me.  Last year really took the cake when a two-loss LSU team and a one-loss Ohio State team were chosen to play in the National Championship Game, when Missouri, Kansas, Southern Cal, West Virginia, and a few others were just as deserving. 

We wouldn’t continue to endorse our electoral process if a panel of experts and computers decided from among 10 candidates the top two to face off in the general election if the individual candidates never faced off directly against each other in all the states.  Imagine, for example, that this year, John McCain faced off against Sam Brownback and Duncan Hunter only in the Pacific Time Zone area.  Mike Huckabee faced off against Ron Paul in the Midwest and South.  Mitt Romney, Rudolph Giuliani, and Fred Thompson squared off in the Eastern and Mid-Atlantic States.  Now, let’s say that a computer picked Huckabee to be the GOP nominee because he looked more impressive beating Paul than McCain and Romney did in their wins.  Apply the same methods to the Democrats, and let’s say John Edwards would have won due to a better showing against Christopher Dodd than Barack Obama did against Bill Richardson or Hillary Clinton did against Joe Biden.  Would the country be better served with a Huckabee-Edwards general election this fall? 

The NCAA should either go to an 8 or 12-team playoff or at least ditch this BCS BS and go back to the old format where certain conference champions automatically go to set bowls and have years where more than one team is crowned National Champion.  Truth be told, the real experts (those guys who do it for a living in Las Vegas) would tell you that Southern California was the best team last year.  They showed how strong they are in the Rose Bowl win over Illinois by 32 points.

The NFL, being composed of 32 teams with assigned schedules based on logical reasoning, does it the right way.  Sure, there may be too many playoff teams with 3/8 of the league making the postseason, but there hasn’t been many seasons where a mediocre team advanced through the playoffs and won the Super Bowl.  The Giants last year proved their worth by almost beating the Patriots in the regular season.  The rematch showed they belonged there.  I could support getting rid of the Wildcard teams and going with just the eight divisional winners, but having the four Wildcard teams does not ruin it for me.

So, what you will see this year at the PiRate Ratings are:

1. A weekly NCAA Top 25 combined with PiRate Ratings for the 120 FBS football teams by conference

2. A weekly list of predictions for the college games based on the PiRate Ratings plus some intangibles that could alter the prediction by 1 to 7 points

3. Due to the high number of fans from The University of Wisconsin and Vanderbilt University, I will supply a small preview of their games

4. A weekly PiRate Rating for all NFL teams broken down by divisions

5. A weekly preview of all NFL games with PiRate prediction

6. A weekly selection of games against the spread with a pretend list of wagering propositions

7. Occasional commentary on the NFL season

8. Due to the response last year, I will repeat the Pro Football Simulation with some different teams.  I will not have the time to keep all the statistics like last year, but I will have small synopses for the games and keep the standings.  It will culminate with a simulated Super Bowl at the conclusion of the season.

So, look for the PiRate Preseason College Ratings to appear here within the next week and the first games predictions to appear in time for the opening Thursday night of the season.  The NFL Ratings will debut within a few days of the final cuts and last minute free-agent signings but prior to the opening Thursday night game.  The Pro Football Simulation League will debut the Monday following the opening week of the NFL season.  This year, I will simulate teams that played between 1981 and 2007.

So, strap on your helmets, plop yourselves into your favorite sitting place, and get ready for some football.


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