BCS National Championship Game Simulation
Monday, January 09, 2012
The Louisiana Superdome
New Orleans, Louisiana
8:30 PM EST
TV: ESPN (pre-game begins at 2:00 PM EST)
L S U 13-0 vs. Alabama 11-1
Vegas Spread: Alabama by 2 Totals: 40
We simulated this game 100 times, and here are the results below:
Sim Wins: Alabama 61 L S U 39
Average Sim Score: Alabama 20.1 L S U 15.7
Alabama beat the spread: 58
LSU beat the spread: 38
Push: 4
Biggest Alabama Win in the sim: 22 points
Biggest L S U Win in the sim: 12 points
We looked at all the sims individually to find the one that most accurately represented the mean. We found one sim where Alabama won 20-16, and here are the stats from that one sim.
|
L S U |
Team |
Ala |
|
|
|
|
14 |
FD |
13 |
|
|
|
|
47-145 |
Rush |
38-141 |
|
|
|
|
119 |
Passing |
177 |
|
|
|
|
10-21-2 |
Passes |
16-26-1 |
|
|
|
|
68 |
Plays |
64 |
|
|
|
|
264 |
Tot Yds |
318 |
|
|
|
|
3-61 |
KR |
4-92 |
|
|
|
|
3-17 |
PR |
2-104 |
|
|
|
|
1-12 |
Int Ret |
2-31 |
|
|
|
|
1-1 |
Fum-Lst |
1-0 |
|
|
|
|
7-55 |
Pen |
5-40 |
|
|
|
|
7-42.3 |
Punt |
7-40.6 |
|
|
|
|
30:53 |
Time |
29:07 |
|
|
|
|
1-6 |
Sacks |
4-25 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Final |
|
LSU |
3 |
3 |
3 |
7 |
16 |
|
Ala |
0 |
7 |
3 |
10 |
20 |
|
Rushing Leaders |
|||||
| LSU: Ware 14-49 | |||||
| Ala: Richardson 23-87 | |||||
|
Passing Leaders |
|||||
| LSU: Lee 7-12-1 79 | |||||
| Ala: McCarron 16-26-1 177 | |||||
|
Receiving Leader |
|||||
| LSU: Randle 4-63 | |||||
| Ala: Richardson 2-81 | |||||
| Winning touchdown scored on 87 yard punt return by Marquis | |||||
| Maze with 7:09 left in the game | |||||
